A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method uses LLMs to generate detailed scientific hypotheses.
AGATHA predicts promising research directions from scientific data.
AutoSciDACT detects scientific anomalies in noisy data.
Scientific discovery is limited by hypothesis redundancy, and hybrid methods can exploit non-local exploration.
Model predicts future term connections in biomedical research.
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
Paper proposes a new framework for hypothesis testing in imaging.
Unified Bayesian framework improves clinical trial hypothesis testing.
Finite resources limit false discovery rate control in structured hypothesis spaces.
Study designs statistical inference for collaborative science teams.
Method predicts rarity of image features to support research integrity investigations.
In the quest to align deep learning with the sciences to address calls for rigor, safety, and interpretability in machine learning systems, this contribution identifies key missing pieces: the stages of hypothesis formulation and testing, as well as statistical and systematic uncertainty estimation -- core tenets of th…
A new framework for private Bayesian tests maintains interpretability and computational efficiency.
Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study such selection bias in machine learning models where the reporter is motivated to…
New Physics Learning Machine compares generative models for scientific research.
Hypothesis tests are a crucial statistical tool for data mining and are the workhorse of scientific research in many fields. Here we present a differentially private analogue of the classic Wilcoxon signed-rank hypothesis test, which is used when comparing sets of paired (e.g., before-and-after) data values. We present…
This paper shows that scientific discovery can be efficiently learned via compositional function trees, reducing the sample complexity.
Statistical physics of complex systems exploits network theory not only to model, but also to effectively extract information from many dynamical real-world systems. A pivotal case of study is given by financial systems: market prediction represents an unsolved scientific challenge yet with crucial implications for soc…
Multiple hypothesis testing, a situation when we wish to consider many hypotheses, is a core problem in statistical inference that arises in almost every scientific field. In this setting, controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), which is the expected proportion of type I error, is an important challenge for making …
Neyman-Pearson testing improves goodness of fit in detecting new physics.
New method corrects biased predictions and uncertainty estimates in classification with nuisance parameters.
Research develops a generic method for evaluating trading platform components.
Novel method models dynamic brain graphs from time series data.
Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses , Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery rate (FDR), which is the expected proportion of false positives among rejected nu…
Efficiently tests two distributions using Nyström approximation of MMD.
The paper develops a new method to interpret deep neural networks using Cohen's f2.
Machine learning (ML) has become a commodity in our every-day lives. We routinely ask ML empowered smartphones to suggest lovely food places or to guide us through a strange place. ML methods have also become standard tools in many fields of science and engineering. A plethora of ML applications transform human lives a…
Hypothesis testing is one of the most common types of data analysis and forms the backbone of scientific research in many disciplines. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) in particular is used to detect dependence between a categorical and a numerical variable. Here we show how one can carry out this hypothesis test under the…
The machine learning community adopted the use of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) in order to ensure the statistical validity of results. Many scientific fields however realized the shortcomings of frequentist reasoning and in the most radical cases even banned its use in publications. We should do the same…
xVal tokenizes numbers continuously for better scientific model training.
Study explores DNNs' reliance on existing vs. new features in physiological signals.
Many studies in biomedical and health sciences involve small sample sizes due to logistic or financial constraints. Often, identifying weak (but scientifically interesting) associations between a set of predictors and a response necessitates pooling datasets from multiple diverse labs or groups. While there is a rich l…
The study uncovers the conditions under which diffusion models memorize or generalize.
EduQG generates better educational questions by pre-training on scientific text.
SOS-VAE improves generative models for scientific applications by correcting decoder bias.
There is significant interest in using modern neural networks for scientific applications due to their effectiveness in modeling highly complex, non-linear problems in a data-driven fashion. However, a common challenge is to verify the scientific plausibility or validity of outputs predicted by a neural network. This w…
MDNs offer a data-efficient alternative to diffusion and flow models for multimodal scientific learning.
Galactica learns from scientific literature to help researchers.
Scientific documents rely on both mathematics and text to communicate ideas. Inspired by the topical correspondence between mathematical equations and word contexts observed in scientific texts, we propose a novel topic model that jointly generates mathematical equations and their surrounding text (TopicEq). Using an e…
A framework assesses the trustworthiness of probabilistic classifiers using local calibration error.
Researchers often summarize their work in the form of posters. Posters provide a coherent and efficient way to convey core ideas from scientific papers. Generating a good scientific poster, however, is a complex and time consuming cognitive task, since such posters need to be readable, informative, and visually aesthet…
Evidence shows that in a significant number of cases the current methods of research do not allow for reproducible and falsifiable procedures of scientific investigation. As a consequence, the majority of critical decisions at all levels, from personal investment choices to overreaching global policies, rely on some va…
We define a new class of Bayesian point estimators, which we refer to as risk averse. Using this definition, we formulate axioms that provide natural requirements for inference, e.g. in a scientific setting, and show that for well-behaved estimation problems the axioms uniquely characterise an estimator. Namely, for es…
Why do nations produce scientific research? This is a fundamental problem in the field of social studies of science. The paper confronts this question here by showing vital determinants of science to explain the sources of social power and wealth creation by nations. Firstly, this study suggests a new general definitio…
We present a study of generalization for data-dependent hypothesis sets. We give a general learning guarantee for data-dependent hypothesis sets based on a notion of transductive Rademacher complexity. Our main result is a generalization bound for data-dependent hypothesis sets expressed in terms of a notion of hypothe…
New framework compresses and recovers scientific data efficiently.
Discovering a correlation from one variable to another variable is of fundamental scientific and practical interest. While existing correlation measures are suitable for discovering average correlation, they fail to discover hidden or potential correlations. To bridge this gap, (i) we postulate a set of natural axioms …
Understanding the pathways whereby an intervention has an effect on an outcome is a common scientific goal. A rich body of literature provides various decompositions of the total intervention effect into pathway specific effects. Interventional direct and indirect effects provide one such decomposition. Existing estima…