REDS improves scenario discovery from few simulations, reducing costs by 50-75%.
problem Discovering scenarios in data spaces resulting from simulations with limited computational resources.
method Uses an intermediate machine learning model to label data for subgroup discovery methods.
result Reduces the number of simulations required by 50-75% on average.
Differentiable causal discovery methods perform robustly under model violations.
problem Causal discovery algorithms struggle with real-world data due to unverifiable causal assumptions.
method Benchmarked differentiable causal discovery methods under eight model assumption violations.
result Differentiable causal discovery methods exhibit robust performance under Structural Hamming Distance and Structural Intervention Distance metrics.
SCARY dataset generates complex causal scenarios for causality research.
problem Lack of complexity in existing causal datasets.
method Synthetic dataset with 40 scenarios, three seeds, and two data generation mechanisms.
result Provides a valuable resource for realistic causal discovery.
Automated process discovery is a class of process mining methods that allow analysts to extract business process models from event logs. Traditional process discovery methods extract process models from a snapshot of an event log stored in its entirety. In some scenarios, however, events keep coming with a high arrival…
CausalCompass evaluates TSCD robustness under violations of modeling assumptions.
problem Widespread adoption of TSCD is hindered by untestable causal assumptions and lack of robustness evaluation.
method CausalCompass is a flexible benchmark framework for assessing TSCD robustness under violations of modeling assumptions.
result No single method consistently attains optimal performance across all settings, but deep learning-based methods perform well.
New method discovers causal relationships in sparse linear data.
problem Discovering cause-effect relationships in sparse linear data.
method Uses structural matrix to reconstruct data and identify causal structures without independence tests.
result Outperforms existing methods in sparse causal structure recovery.
This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.
problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.
New approach uses dynamic programming to efficiently discover failures in autonomous vehicle simulations.
problem Efficiently discovering rare failure events in autonomous vehicle simulations.
method Approximate dynamic programming and scene decomposition to estimate failure distribution.
result Increased number of failures discovered compared to baseline approaches.
Develops a new method to discover causal relationships from nonstationary time series data.
problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from observational data, especially for nonstationary time series.
method State-Dependent Causal Inference (SDCI) for conditionally stationary time series.
result SDCI can recover underlying causal dependencies with provable identifiability for state-dependent causal structures.
KEEL improves causal discovery with fuzzy knowledge and complex data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery due to prior knowledge, domain inconsistencies, and small sample sizes.
method Weakly-supervised fuzzy knowledge and data co-driven causal discovery method (KEEL).
result KEEL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy, robustness, and computational efficiency.
BAMS uses Bayesian sampling to discover AV failures more efficiently and accurately.
problem Discovering potential failure cases in autonomous vehicles efficiently and accurately.
method Bayesian adaptive multifidelity sampling (BAMS) prioritizes exploration of low performance regions.
result BAMS discovers 10 times more issues than traditional methods with narrower rate estimates.
A deep learning framework discovers causal relationships from incomplete data.
problem Discovering causal knowledge from incomplete observational data.
method Imputated Causal Learning (ICL) framework for iterative missing data imputation and causal structure discovery.
result ICL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various missing data scenarios.
Paper proposes method to calibrate market simulator for various scenarios.
problem Calibrate market simulator to represent different market conditions.
method Two-step method using GAN with self-attention to train discriminator and optimize simulator parameters.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of method in capturing various market scenarios.
The false discovery rate (FDR)---the expected fraction of spurious discoveries among all the discoveries---provides a popular statistical assessment of the reproducibility of scientific studies in various disciplines. In this work, we introduce a new method for controlling the FDR in meta-analysis of many decentralized…
Sparse regression models CMs from oscillatory shear data efficiently.
problem Discovering parsimonious constitutive models from oscillatory shear experiments.
method Sparse regression with tensor basis functions, l1 regularization, and greedy two-stage algorithm.
result Inferred CMs extrapolate well beyond training data and flow conditions.
MissDAG addresses causal discovery with missing data using imputation and EM.
problem Causal discovery with missing data in incomplete observational studies.
method MissDAG uses EM framework to maximize likelihood of visible data, leveraging ANMs and Monte Carlo EM for approximations.
result MissDAG outperforms two-step imputation and causal discovery methods.
Model discovers causal relationships from video data of physical systems.
problem Discover structural dependencies and causal interactions in physical systems from video data.
method End-to-end model with perception, inference, and dynamics modules; handles unknown interventions.
result Model correctly identifies causal interactions and makes long-term predictions.
DADI framework dynamically discovers fair information using reinforcement learning.
problem Discovering fair information from third-party features with unknown objectives.
method Adversarial reinforcement learning agent that balances accuracy and fairness.
result Achieves group fairness by rewarding the agent with the adversary's loss.
E-CIT framework reduces CITs' computational burden and improves causal discovery performance.
problem High computational cost of traditional CITs in causal discovery.
method E-CIT framework using divide-and-aggregate strategy with stable distribution p-value combination.
result Significant reduction in computational burden and competitive performance in causal discovery.
CICME estimates common and domain-specific causal mechanisms from multi-sensor data.
problem Inferring causal mechanisms from heterogeneous multi-sensor data across multiple domains.
method Three-step approach using Causal Transfer Learning (CTL).
result CICME reliably detects domain-invariant causal mechanisms and guides individual domain causal mechanism estimation.
DAG-FM discovers causal relationships from heterogeneous data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from heterogeneous causal mechanisms.
method DAG-FM uses two specialized Transformer-based sub-modules and a robust tabular interaction block to model complex row-column interactions.
result DAG-FM achieves state-of-the-art performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.
GaussDetect-LiNGAM eliminates Gaussianity tests for causal discovery.
problem Causal direction identification without Gaussianity assumptions.
method Leverages the equivalence between noise Gaussianity and residual independence in reverse regression.
result Gaussianity tests replaced with robust kernel-based independence tests.
The paper introduces negative controls to evaluate causal discovery algorithms, improving their reliability.
problem Lack of a general guideline for evaluating causal discovery algorithms.
method Derive exact distributional results under random guessing for evaluation metrics and propose a pipeline for using negative controls.
result Evaluation metrics can achieve very favorable values under random guessing, highlighting the need for negative control results.
Paper proposes an efficient causal discovery method with linear computational complexity.
problem Identifying causal relationships efficiently in large datasets.
method Approximate kernel-based generalized score function with low-rank technique and sampling algorithms.
result Significantly reduces computational costs while maintaining comparable accuracy.
Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.
Recursive causal discovery reduces errors and complexity in causal graph learning.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from limited data and computational complexity.
method Removable variables for recursive causal discovery, reducing problem size and CI tests.
result Worst-case performances nearly match lower bound, with state-of-the-art efficiency.
New method finds subsets of vertices to minimize interventions in causal discovery.
problem Learning only part of the causal graph from interventional data.
method Introducing Meek separators and an algorithm to find them efficiently.
result First known average-case provable guarantees for subset search and causal matching.
BCD Nets use variational inference to estimate DAGs with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in inferring causal graphs from limited data.
method Variational inference framework for Bayesian DAG estimation.
result BCD Nets outperform maximum-likelihood methods in low data regimes.
MetaCaDI learns causal graphs and unknown interventions from few data instances.
problem Discovering causal mechanisms in systems with high data costs and unknown interventions.
method MetaCaDI is a Bayesian meta-learning framework that optimizes for rapid adaptation to new intervention targets.
result MetaCaDI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in causal graph recovery and intervention target prediction.
New bounds on majority voting's accuracy for multi-class classification problems.
problem Determining the accuracy of majority voting for multi-class classification.
method Analyzing the majority voting function under different voter conditions and distributions.
result The error rate of majority voting exponentially decays or grows with the number of voters under certain conditions.
New method for identifying causal relationships in financial time series data.
problem Identifying causal relationships in nonstationary financial time series data.
method Refined constraint-based causal discovery algorithm (CD-NOTS) for nonstationary time series data.
result CD-NOTS effectively identifies causal connections in financial applications.
FinCARE combines financial data and AI reasoning to improve causal analysis of financial performance.
problem Correlation-based analysis fails to capture true causal relationships in financial performance.
method Hybrid framework integrating causal discovery algorithms with financial domain knowledge from SEC filings and LLM reasoning.
result KG+LLM-enhanced methods improve causal discovery across PC, GES, and NOTEARS by 36-366%.
AdaPT-GMM improves multiple testing power with covariates.
problem Powerful and robust multiple testing with covariates.
method Covariate-assisted Gaussian mixture model with adaptive thresholding.
result AdaPT-GMM delivers high power in various scenarios.
dcFCI discovers causal relationships robustly under latent confounding and mixed data.
problem Causal discovery under latent confounding and unfaithfulness.
method dcFCI integrates a new score to assess PAG compatibility, guided by FCI search.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in small and heterogeneous datasets.
Causal discovery predicts unobserved joint statistics from observed data.
problem Inferring properties of unobserved joint distributions from observed data.
method Infer causal models from observed data to predict statistical properties of unobserved sets.
result Sparse causal graphs can be more useful than dense ones in predicting unobserved joint distributions.
COLUMBUS discovers new features to improve domain generalization.
problem Improving machine learning models' ability to generalize to unseen domains.
method COLUMBUS uses targeted corruption of input and multi-level representations to discover new features.
result COLUMBUS achieves state-of-the-art performance on DG benchmarks.
Proposes a method to select features for deep learning in noisy, high-dimensional data.
problem Feature selection for deep learning in ultra-high dimensional and highly correlated data.
method Data-adaptive multi-resolutional screening and cleaning with deep learning.
result Achieves high power while keeping false discovery rate low.
A framework identifies worst-case decision points in safety-critical scenarios, improving risk assessment by 10 hours.
problem Identifying worst-case outcomes in safety-critical decision-making under uncertainty.
method Explicitly estimating distributions of expected return to identify dead-ends, tuning based on risk tolerance.
result Significantly improves risk assessment, providing indications 10 hours earlier and increasing detection by 20%.
New method identifies causal structure in count data using cumulants and path analysis.
problem Challenges in discovering causal structure from count data, especially due to non-identifiability.
method Poisson Branching Structural Causal Model (PB-SCM) with path analysis using high-order cumulants.
result Causal order is identifiable under specific conditions in PB-SCM using cumulant information.
New method detects causal relationships from noisy measurements.
problem Discover causal relationships from noisy, imperfect measurements.
method Transformed Independent Noise (TIN) condition and ordered group decomposition.
result Identifies causal graph structure without over-complete ICA.
Active search is a learning paradigm for actively identifying as many members of a given class as possible. A critical target scenario is high-throughput screening for scientific discovery, such as drug or materials discovery. In this paper, we approach this problem in Bayesian decision framework. We first derive the B…
OpenHAIV integrates OOD detection and incremental learning for open-world models.
problem Challenges in open-world recognition, especially in model knowledge updates and OOD detection.
method Unified pipeline combining OOD detection, new class discovery, and incremental fine-tuning.
result Models can autonomously acquire and update knowledge in open-world environments.
Search queries are appropriate when users have explicit intent, but they perform poorly when the intent is difficult to express or if the user is simply looking to be inspired. Visual browsing systems allow e-commerce platforms to address these scenarios while offering the user an engaging shopping experience. Here we …
CAnDOIT discovers causal relationships using both observational and interventional time-series data.
problem Identifying causal relationships in the presence of hidden factors.
method CAnDOIT combines observational and interventional time-series data to reconstruct causal models.
result CAnDOIT effectively handles interventional data and enhances the accuracy of causal analysis.
Novel method discovers causal relations in time series data, even with autocorrelation.
problem Discovering causal relations in time series data with strong autocorrelation.
method Conditional independence (CI) based PCMCI+ method, optimized for contemporaneous and lagged links. result PCMCI+ outperforms other methods in detecting causal links and controlling false positives. CausalGame benchmarks LLM agents' causal thinking in games.
problem Evaluating causal thinking in AI Scientists with LLMs.
method Interactive games with 14 scenarios incorporating selection bias, measurement error, and hidden confounders.
result None of the 30 LLM agents demonstrated reliable causal thinking, with the best model achieving only 68.0% survival.
Unified framework uses all data to improve multiple testing efficiency.
problem Improving predictive uncertainty control in decision-making.
method Uses all available data (null, alternative, unlabelled) for score construction and calibration.
result Significantly improves power and adaptability across diverse scenarios.
New model predicts energy prices under different scenarios.
problem Complex causal relationships in energy markets with continuous regime changes.
method Augmented Time Series Structural Causal Models (ATSCM) integrating neural causal discovery.
result Enables novel counterfactual queries in energy markets.