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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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174349523697 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for sampling variability

Proposes SVI for covariate-shift generalization with sparse variable independence.

problem Covariate-shift generalization with limited data and unstable variables.
method Introduces sparsity constraint and combines reweighting and selection in an iterative way.
result Improves covariate-shift generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

ARMS improves gradient estimation for binary variables using antithetic samples.

problem Estimating gradients for binary variables in discrete latent variable models.
method ARMS uses antithetic samples generated by a copula to estimate gradients more efficiently and unbiasedly.
result ARMS outperforms competing methods in training generative models and optimizing variational bounds.

Proposes a method to select variables for kernel two-sample tests.

problem Determining whether two samples have the same distribution using informative variables.
method A framework based on kernel maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) for selecting a subset of variables.
result The sample size requirements for the three kernels depend on the number of selected variables, not the data dimension.

Mean representations of VAEs are correlated but still useful for tasks.

problem Correlation between mean and sampled representations of VAEs.
method Selective posterior collapse to identify active and passive variables.
result Passive variables in mean representations are correlated but uncorrelated in sampled ones.

The paper introduces methods to identify key variables discriminating between two datasets.

problem Identifying variables that distinguish between two datasets.
method Introduces a mathematical notion of discriminating variables and proposes two methods for their selection.
result Proposed methods improve upon existing techniques in two-sample variable selection.

A/B testing improves marketing decisions by selecting effective stratification variables.

problem Improving the sensitivity of A/B testing through stratified sampling.
method Designing an algorithm to select a subset of stratification variables for variance reduction.
result The subset selection method outperforms other variance reduction techniques in A/B testing.

Random Forest variable importance is improved by class balancing techniques.

problem Class imbalance problem in machine learning.
method Proposed a variable selection algorithm using RF variable importance and its confidence interval.
result Our algorithm efficiently selects an optimal feature set, leading to improved prediction performance.

Two statistical tasks are shown to have equivalent sample complexity.

problem Determining if a function depends on only a few variables and identifying those variables.
method Proved statistical equivalence of feature selection and junta testing through sample complexity analysis.
result Brute-force algorithm is sample-optimal for both tasks with optimal sample size.

We study covariance matrix estimation for the case of partially observed random vectors, where different samples contain different subsets of vector coordinates. Each observation is the product of the variable of interest with a 010-1 Bernoulli random variable. We analyze an unbiased covariance estimator under this mod…

2018-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal sampling strategy improves prediction accuracy with surrogate variables under measurement constraints.

problem Measurement-constrained datasets and lack of labeled data.
method A-optimality criterion for optimal sampling, leveraging surrogate variables.
result Achieves lower asymptotic variance and reduced empirical mean squared error.

Probabilistic linear discriminant analysis (PLDA) is a method used for biometric problems like speaker or face recognition that models the variability of the samples using two latent variables, one that depends on the class of the sample and another one that is assumed independent across samples and models the within-c…

2018-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm groups variables by ancestral relationships to improve causal graph estimation accuracy.

problem Difficulty in estimating causal graphs with small sample sizes relative to variables.
method CAG algorithm groups variables based on ancestral relationships, reducing complexity and improving accuracy.
result CAG outperforms existing methods in estimation accuracy and computation time.

Thompson sampling is an efficient algorithm for sequential decision making, which exploits the posterior uncertainty to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. There has been significant recent interest in integrating Bayesian neural networks into Thompson sampling. Most of these methods rely on global variable u…

2019-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced Bayesian target encoding uses sampling techniques to improve model performance.

problem Improving target encoding for better model performance in machine learning.
method Using sampling techniques in Bayesian target encoding to extract intra-category distribution information.
result Improves generalization and reduces target leakage in machine learning models.

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models, hidden Markov models, Gaussian mixture models, and Markov evolutionary trees. The …

2011-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Langevin autoencoders improve deep latent variable models with efficient posterior sampling.

problem Efficient posterior sampling in deep latent variable models using MCMC.
method Amortized Langevin dynamics (ALD) replaces datapoint-wise sampling with encoder updates.
result ALD is valid as an MCMC algorithm with the target posterior as a stationary distribution.

Latent variable models improve RL by facilitating efficient learning and exploration.

problem Improving sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Representation view of latent variable models for state-action value functions, incorporating kernel embeddings and UCB exploration.
result Established sample complexity of the proposed approach in online and offline settings, demonstrated superior performance in benchmarks.

GEEN uses deep learning to estimate unobserved variables from observed data.

problem Estimating unobserved variables in latent variable models.
method GEEN uses deep learning with Kullback-Leibler distance to map observed measurements to latent variable realizations.
result GEEN provides a method to identify and estimate latent variables in a class of models.

Improves Bayesian optimization efficiency for mixed variable spaces.

problem Boosting sample efficiency in Bayesian optimization for mixed variable spaces.
method Proposes frequency modulated (FM) kernels to model complex dependencies across different types of variables.
result BO-FM outperforms competitors in various optimization problems.

Standard probabilistic linear discriminant analysis (PLDA) for speaker recognition assumes that the sample's features (usually, i-vectors) are given by a sum of three terms: a term that depends on the speaker identity, a term that models the within-speaker variability and is assumed independent across samples, and a fi…

2017-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimating the strength of dependency between two variables is fundamental for exploratory analysis and many other applications in data mining. For example: non-linear dependencies between two continuous variables can be explored with the Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC); and categorical variables that are depende…

2015-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the asymptotic properties of the adaptive Lasso in cointegration regressions in the case where all covariates are weakly exogenous. We assume the number of candidate I(1) variables is sub-linear with respect to the sample size (but possibly larger) and the number of candidate I(0) variables is polynomial with …

2011-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances diffusion-based sampling for molecular systems.

problem Inefficiency and thermodynamic mode miss in diffusion-based samplers for molecular systems.
method Introduces a sequential bias along collective variables (CVs) to encourage exploration and increase temperature in the projected space.
result Improves efficiency, mode discovery, and free energy estimation; first to demonstrate reactive sampling.

New algorithms for IV regression with streaming data, avoiding matrix inversions.

problem Instrumental variable regression with streaming data.
method Viewing IV regression as a stochastic optimization problem, developing algorithms that avoid matrix inversions and mini-batches.
result Rates of convergence of order O(logT/T)\mathcal{O}(\log T/T) and O(1/T1ι)\mathcal{O}(1/T^{1-ι}) for linear models.

Categorical variables are a natural choice for representing discrete structure in the world. However, stochastic neural networks rarely use categorical latent variables due to the inability to backpropagate through samples. In this work, we present an efficient gradient estimator that replaces the non-differentiable sa…

2016-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input variables of the model. When the statistics of the output event are known, these input …

2012-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved hierarchical discrete VAEs for better stability and performance.

problem Training stable and efficient hierarchical discrete VAEs with numerous latent variables.
method Introducing Relaxed-Responsibility Vector-Quantisation to parameterise discrete latent variables in a hierarchical structure.
result Achieved state-of-the-art bits-per-dim results for various standard datasets.