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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · May 199319922001200920182026
48 results for safe decision making

StageOpt efficiently optimizes safe decisions by separating safety and utility stages.

problem Optimizing unknown utility with safety constraints in sequential decisions.
method Develops StageOpt, a two-stage safe Bayesian optimization algorithm.
result StageOpt is more efficient and applicable to broader problems than existing methods.

Accumulator module improves reinforcement learning by delaying decisions based on evidence.

problem Incomplete information, limited sensing, and stochastic environments lead to risky decisions.
method Integrates evidence for each action, delays action until confident, using dynamic competition.
result Accumulator module outperforms traditional reinforcement learning methods in a guessing game.

ARTEO algorithm optimizes safety-critical systems with uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with safety constraints in real-time optimization.
method ARTEO algorithm uses multi-armed bandits as a mathematical programming problem subject to safety constraints, learning unknown characteristics through exploration and incorporating uncertainty quantification.
result ARTEO achieves less cumulative regret with accurate and safe decisions.

A deep reinforcement learning method with rule-based constraints improves safe and efficient lane changes in autonomous driving.

problem Complex and uncertain traffic environment challenges autonomous driving decision-making.
method Deep Q-Network (DQN) combined with rule-based constraints for lane change decision-making.
result The proposed rule-based DQN method outperforms both rule-based and DQN approaches in a real-world simulator.

Safe reinforcement learning framework using optimal transport for robustness.

problem Robustness and safety in deep reinforcement learning with limited data assumptions.
method Optimal transport perturbations to construct worst-case virtual state transitions.
result Significantly improved safety at deployment time compared to standard methods.

Safe autonomous decisions made with machine learning predictions using Conformal Decision Theory.

problem Safe decisions from imperfect machine learning predictions.
method Conformal Decision Theory framework for producing safe decisions.
result Safe decisions with provable statistical guarantees of low risk.

Risk-averse model uncertainty framework for safe reinforcement learning.

problem Safe decision making in uncertain environments.
method Risk-averse perspective towards model uncertainty using coherent distortion risk measures; equivalent to distributionally robust safe reinforcement learning problems; efficient, model-free implementation.
result Demonstrates robust performance and safety across perturbed test environments.

Paper defines ε-Safe Decision Regions for exponential family distributions and approximates them for unbalanced data.

problem Need probabilistic guarantees for reliable predictions in machine learning.
method Formalizes ε-Safe Decision Regions, proves their form for exponential family distributions, and develops Multi Cost SVM for unbalanced data.
result Formal definition and analytical determination of ε-Safe Decision Regions for exponential family distributions.

Examines fairness in ML for health, highlighting its importance and challenges.

problem Ensuring fairness in ML models for health to prevent health disparities.
method Reviews fairness notions in ML for health, including group, individual, and causal-based approaches.
result Discusses the importance and challenges of fairness in health-focused ML applications.

Algorithm reduces regret in safe Bayesian optimization with monotonicity constraints.

problem Sequentially maximize unknown function with safety constraints.
method Sequential algorithms using Gaussian processes with safety constraints modeled as monotonicity.
result Sublinear regret achieved for expanding safe region and finding optimal ss.

An important problem in sequential decision-making under uncertainty is to use limited data to compute a safe policy, i.e., a policy that is guaranteed to perform at least as well as a given baseline strategy. In this paper, we develop and analyze a new model-based approach to compute a safe policy when we have access …

2016-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm finds safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.

problem Finding safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.
method Bi-criteria approximation learning algorithm with polynomial sample complexity.
result Achieves almost 2 approximation for both escape probability and safe zone size.

This paper proposes a method to safely adjust exploration in RL to satisfy constraints.

problem Unsafe exploration in reinforcement learning violates constraints on controlled object states.
method Automatic adjustment of exploration inputs and variance-covariance matrix for safety.
result The method guarantees satisfaction of joint chance constraints with specified probability.

IDAS approach for autonomous vehicles to make decisions under merging scenarios.

problem Decision making for autonomous vehicles in merging scenarios with varying driver cooperativeness.
method IDAS approach using multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) with curriculum learning and masking mechanism.
result IDAS approach can handle uncertainties in real-world scenarios and make strategic decisions.

In many real-world reinforcement learning (RL) problems, besides optimizing the main objective function, an agent must concurrently avoid violating a number of constraints. In particular, besides optimizing performance it is crucial to guarantee the safety of an agent during training as well as deployment (e.g. a robot…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm optimizes reward while ensuring safety in complex decision-making problems.

problem Maximizing reward while adhering to safety constraints in complex decision-making problems.
method Optimistic Primal-Dual Proximal Policy Optimization (OPDOP) algorithm combining least-squares policy evaluation and a bonus term for safe exploration.
result Achieves ildeO(dH2.5T) ilde{O}(d H^{2.5}\sqrt{T}) regret and ildeO(dH2.5T) ilde{O}(d H^{2.5}\sqrt{T}) constraint violation.

A new algorithm trains experts to safely guide agents in partially observed environments.

problem Existing imitation learning methods for POMDPs can lead to sub-optimal or unsafe policies.
method Derive an objective to encourage the expert to maximize the agent's reward, then use it to train both expert and agent.
result The algorithm produces an expert policy that the agent can safely imitate, outperforming fixed expert policies.

CoCoRL learns safe constraints from demonstrations with unknown rewards.

problem Learning safe constraints from demonstrations with different unknown rewards.
method Convex Constraint Learning for Reinforcement Learning (CoCoRL) constructs a convex safe set based on demonstrations.
result CoCoRL learns constraints that lead to safe driving behavior and can safely transfer to different tasks and environments.

Improves pre-trial risk assessments by making them safer without changing existing rules.

problem Improving pre-trial risk assessments while maintaining deterministic rules.
method Developed a maximin robust optimization approach to find a safer policy.
result Can safely improve certain components of the risk assessment instrument.

Develops new methods for risk-aware decision-making in medical bandits.

problem Risk-averse decision-making in medical contexts with limited data.
method Safe, anytime-valid concentration bounds, risk-aware contextual bandits, nonparametric algorithms.
result Improved decision-making algorithms for postoperative patient follow-up.

A framework identifies worst-case decision points in safety-critical scenarios, improving risk assessment by 10 hours.

problem Identifying worst-case outcomes in safety-critical decision-making under uncertainty.
method Explicitly estimating distributions of expected return to identify dead-ends, tuning based on risk tolerance.
result Significantly improves risk assessment, providing indications 10 hours earlier and increasing detection by 20%.

Safety is a desirable property that can immensely increase the applicability of learning algorithms in real-world decision-making problems. It is much easier for a company to deploy an algorithm that is safe, i.e., guaranteed to perform at least as well as a baseline. In this paper, we study the issue of safety in cont…

2016-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses deep reinforcement learning to control autonomous lane changes safely.

problem Safe and efficient autonomous lane changes in vehicles.
method Deep Q-networks and quadratic approximators for decision-making and control.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in simulations for decision-making and control.

Develops optimal uncertainty quantification for risk-averse decision makers.

problem Quantifying prediction uncertainty for risk-sensitive domains.
method Decision-theoretic foundations connecting uncertainty quantification with risk-averse decision-making.
result Risk-Averse Calibration (RAC) algorithm provides optimal prediction sets for risk-averse decision makers.

New framework uses OR to ensure AI systems make safe decisions.

problem Ensuring generative AI systems make safe decisions as they gain autonomy.
method Developed a conceptual framework combining flow-based models and adversarial robustness.
result Increased autonomy requires new OR approaches for feasibility, robustness, and stress testing.

Safe actions learned in finite trials, without infinite exploration.

problem Learning safe actions in unknown environments efficiently.
method Defining a handicap metric and using sequential probability ratio test for discarding unsafe actions.
result Achieves constant handicap, discarding unsafe machines with probability one in finite rounds.

Proposes novel method for detecting novel scenarios in autonomous systems.

problem Detecting when a machine learning model makes a trustworthy prediction in dynamic, real-world situations.
method Leverages trained model's learned information and a new image similarity metric.
result Demonstrates the method's efficacy on real-world driving and indoor racing datasets.

Proposes Constrained Q-learning for reinforcement learning with constraints.

problem Optimizing multiple objectives while adhering to constraints in reinforcement learning.
method Directly restricts the action space in Q-update to learn optimal Q-function for constrained MDP.
result Improves safety and optimality in high-level decision making for autonomous driving.

This study examines representation bias in open-source Qwen models for investment decisions.

problem Representation bias in financial applications of large language models.
method Balanced round-robin prompting over 150 U.S. equities, constrained decoding, token-logit aggregation.
result Firm size and valuation increase model confidence, while risk factors decrease it.