Estimates peeking effects in p-values to correct bias.
arXiv research
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The paper analyses the extrema of p-energy functional on a Finsler space with constant curvature.
New algorithm explains neural network extrema for better model generalization.
AI models failed to profitably predict cryptocurrency extrema on Binance Spot.
We propose a novel Bayesian approach to solve stochastic optimization problems that involve finding extrema of noisy, nonlinear functions. Previous work has focused on representing possible functions explicitly, which leads to a two-step procedure of first, doing inference over the function space and second, finding th…
We investigate the problem of classification in the presence of unknown class-conditional label noise in which the labels observed by the learner have been corrupted with some unknown class dependent probability. In order to obtain finite sample rates, previous approaches to classification with unknown class-conditiona…
Imagine that measurements are made at times and of the trajectory of a physical system whose governing laws are given approximately by a class of so-called {\em prior vector fields}. Because the physical laws are not known precisely, it might be that the measurements are not realised by the integ…
Study examines local extrema and crossing statistics in financial markets.
The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise featureless processes such as random walks. The bias stems from the selection o…
Quantum algorithm finds extrema in discrete optimisation problems.
In this paper we consider the length minimizing properties of Hamiltonian paths generated by quasi-autonomous Hamiltonians on symplectically aspherical manifolds. Motivated by the work of L. Polterovich and M. Schwarz, we study the role of the fixed global extrema in the Floer complex of the generating Hamiltonian. Our…
Survey about extremum of eigenvalues of geometric operators within a conformal class of a compact riemannian manifold.
We develop a novel approximate simulation algorithm for the joint law of the position, the running supremum and the time of the supremum of a general Lévy process at an arbitrary finite time. We identify the law of the error in simple terms. We prove that the error decays geometrically in (for any ) as a…
The paper evaluates functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema efficiently.
Develops a Monte Carlo algorithm for tempered stable process extrema.
The functional determinants of the GJMS scalar operators, P_{2k}, on even-dimensional spheres are computed via Barnes multiple gamma functions relying on the numerical availability of the digamma function. For the critical k=d/2 case, it is necessary to calculate the Stirling moduli. The multiplicative anomalies are gi…
Given a Laplace eigenfunction on a surface, we study the distribution of its extrema on the nodal domains. It is classically known that the absolute value of the eigenfunction is asymptotically bounded by the 4-th root of the eigenvalue. It turns out that the number of nodal domains where the eigenfunction has an extre…
We present sufficient conditions for topological stability of continuous functions having finitely many local extrema with respect to averagings by discrete measures with finite supports.
Study efficient pricing for barrier options in stochastic-volatility models with leverage correction.
An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on the continuous-time extrema of an underlying asset. It is based on the simple a…
We describe some general constructions on a real smooth projective 4-quadric which provide analogues of the Willmore functional and conformal Gauss map in both Lie sphere and projective differential geometry. Extrema of these functionals are characterized by harmonicity of this Gauss map.
The intermarket analysis, in particular the lead-lag relationship, plays an important role within financial markets. Therefore a mathematical approach to be able to find interrelations between the price development of two different financial underlyings is developed in this paper. Computing the differences of the relat…
The classical Tait-Kneser theorem states that the osculating circles of a smooth plane curve, free from curvature extrema, are pairwise disjoint. We prove a number of analogs of this theorem, e.g., for ovals of osculating cubics, osculating polynomials and trigonometric polynomials; in each case, we will obtain a non-d…
It is common for CCTV operators to overlook inter- esting events taking place within the crowd due to large number of people in the crowded scene (i.e. marathon, rally). Thus, there is a dire need to automate the detection of salient crowd regions acquiring immediate attention for a more effective and proactive surveil…
Paper shows equivalence between MM and PH for n-D Morse functions.
For Hamiltonian flows we establish the existence of periodic orbits on a sequence of level sets approaching a Bott-nondegenerate symplectic extremum of the Hamiltonian. As a consequence, we show that a charge on a compact manifold with a nondegenerate (i.e. symplectic) magnetic field has periodic orbits on a sequence o…
The study finds a special type of smooth function on connected sums of manifolds.
Recent literature on unsupervised learning focused on designing structural priors with the aim of learning meaningful features, but without considering the description length of the representations. In this thesis, first we introduce the metric that evaluates unsupervised models based on their reconstruction …
Previous literature on unsupervised learning focused on designing structural priors with the aim of learning meaningful features. However, this was done without considering the description length of the learned representations which is a direct and unbiased measure of the model complexity. In this paper, first we intro…
New properties are derived of renormalized volume functionals, which arise as coefficients in the asymptotic expansion of the volume of an asymptotically hyperbolic Einstein (AHE) manifold. A formula is given for the renormalized volume of an even-dimensional AHE manifold in terms of an arbitrary totally geodesic compa…
We introduce a natural generalisation of holomorphic curves to morphisms of supermanifolds, referred to as holomorphic supercurves. More precisely, supercurves are morphisms from a Riemann surface, endowed with the structure of a supermanifold which is induced by a holomorphic line bundle, to an ordinary almost complex…
New tools for constructing fixed point sets in digital topology.
Rationality proved for curvature invariants of 2-complexes.
Geometrically, tensors of fixed rank form a minimal submanifold.
Heegaard splittings and Heegaard diagrams of a closed 3-manifold M are translated into the language of Morse functions with Morse-Smale pseudo-gradients defined on M. We make use in a very simple setting of techniques which Jean Cerf developed for solving a famous pseudo-isotopy problem. In passing, we show how to canc…
Researchers prove hot spots conjecture for Gaussian spaces.
We discuss generic smooth maps from smooth manifolds to smooth surfaces, which we call "Morse 2-functions", and homotopies between such maps. The two central issues are to keep the fibers connected, in which case the Morse 2-function is "fiber-connected", and to avoid local extrema over 1-dimensional submanifolds of th…
We propose a hierarchy for approximate inference based on the Dobrushin, Lanford, Ruelle (DLR) equations. This hierarchy includes existing algorithms, such as belief propagation, and also motivates novel algorithms such as factorized neighbors (FN) algorithms and variants of mean field (MF) algorithms. In particular, w…
We introduce a model for Hermitian holormorphic Deligne cohomology on a projective algebraic manifold which allows to incorporate singular hermitian structures along a normal crossing divisor. In the case of a projective curve, the cup-product in cohomology is shown to correspond to a generalization of the Deligne pair…
The relationship between price volatilty and a market extremum is examined using a fundamental economics model of supply and demand. By examining randomness through a microeconomic setting, we obtain the implications of randomness in the supply and demand, rather than assuming that price has randomness on an empirical …
Functionals involving surface curvature are important across a range of scientific disciplines, and their extrema are representative of physically meaningful objects such as atomic lattices and biomembranes. Inspired in particular by the relationship of the Willmore energy to lipid bilayers, we consider a general funct…
We study a class of 2-variable polynomials called exact polynomials which contains -polynomials of knot complements. The Mahler measure of these polynomials can be computed in terms of a volume function defined on the vanishing set of the polynomial. We prove that the local extrema of the volume function are on the …
Loopy and generalized belief propagation are popular algorithms for approximate inference in Markov random fields and Bayesian networks. Fixed points of these algorithms correspond to extrema of the Bethe and Kikuchi free energy. However, belief propagation does not always converge, which explains the need for approach…
Stochastic bridges are commonly used to impute missing data with a lower sampling rate to generate data with a higher sampling rate, while preserving key properties of the dynamics involved in an unbiased way. While the generation of Brownian bridges and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridges is well understood, unbiased generatio…
Study hot spots on warped product manifolds and infinite cones.
New pricing methods for -quantile and early-exercise options using Spitzer identities.
This study examines the interaction between CDS and stock indices, revealing significant short and long-term impacts.
Bayesian optimization is an effective method for finding extrema of a black-box function. We propose a new type of Bayesian optimization for learning user preferences in high-dimensional spaces. The central assumption is that the underlying objective function cannot be evaluated directly, but instead a minimizer along …