Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

16314762 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for running extrema

AI models failed to profitably predict cryptocurrency extrema on Binance Spot.

problem Tackling the profitability of candle-based machine learning models for short-term cryptocurrency trading.
method Scripted fixed-seed model runs and deterministic simulators with human supervision.
result Strongest evidence found negative, with models underperforming buy-and-hold strategies.

Imagine that measurements are made at times t0t_0 and t1t_1 of the trajectory of a physical system whose governing laws are given approximately by a class A{\cal A} of so-called {\em prior vector fields}. Because the physical laws are not known precisely, it might be that the measurements are not realised by the integ…

2011-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines local extrema and crossing statistics in financial markets.

problem Understanding local extrema and crossing statistics in financial markets.
method Excursion set theory, numerical computation, theoretical prediction, clustering of geometrical measures, cross-correlation, Singular Value Decomposition.
result Excursion sets reveal statistical coherency and sensitivity to crises in financial markets.

The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise featureless processes such as random walks. The bias stems from the selection o…

2011-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum algorithm finds extrema in discrete optimisation problems.

problem Finding extrema in discrete optimisation functions.
method Quantum unstructured search algorithm (QSERA) to map and find extrema.
result Quadratic speed-up over classical algorithms for discrete optimisation.

We develop a novel approximate simulation algorithm for the joint law of the position, the running supremum and the time of the supremum of a general Lévy process at an arbitrary finite time. We identify the law of the error in simple terms. We prove that the error decays geometrically in LpL^p (for any p1p\geq 1) as a…

2018-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper evaluates functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema efficiently.

problem Efficiently evaluating functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema.
method Integral representations, conformal acceleration technique, simplified trapezoid rule.
result Efficient numerical procedures for cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdfs) are developed.

Given a Laplace eigenfunction on a surface, we study the distribution of its extrema on the nodal domains. It is classically known that the absolute value of the eigenfunction is asymptotically bounded by the 4-th root of the eigenvalue. It turns out that the number of nodal domains where the eigenfunction has an extre…

2006-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study efficient pricing for barrier options in stochastic-volatility models with leverage correction.

problem Barrier options are sensitive to volatility dynamics, especially leverage, making accurate pricing difficult.
method Developed a class of continuous-path stochastic-clock volatility models and a systematic small-ρ expansion to incorporate leverage.
result Transform-only pricing formulas for barrier derivatives are fast and numerically stable, even for negative leverage.

We describe some general constructions on a real smooth projective 4-quadric which provide analogues of the Willmore functional and conformal Gauss map in both Lie sphere and projective differential geometry. Extrema of these functionals are characterized by harmonicity of this Gauss map.

2001-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The intermarket analysis, in particular the lead-lag relationship, plays an important role within financial markets. Therefore a mathematical approach to be able to find interrelations between the price development of two different financial underlyings is developed in this paper. Computing the differences of the relat…

2015-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The classical Tait-Kneser theorem states that the osculating circles of a smooth plane curve, free from curvature extrema, are pairwise disjoint. We prove a number of analogs of this theorem, e.g., for ovals of osculating cubics, osculating polynomials and trigonometric polynomials; in each case, we will obtain a non-d…

2006-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

It is common for CCTV operators to overlook inter- esting events taking place within the crowd due to large number of people in the crowded scene (i.e. marathon, rally). Thus, there is a dire need to automate the detection of salient crowd regions acquiring immediate attention for a more effective and proactive surveil…

2014-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

For Hamiltonian flows we establish the existence of periodic orbits on a sequence of level sets approaching a Bott-nondegenerate symplectic extremum of the Hamiltonian. As a consequence, we show that a charge on a compact manifold with a nondegenerate (i.e. symplectic) magnetic field has periodic orbits on a sequence o…

2000-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The study finds a special type of smooth function on connected sums of manifolds.

problem Finding smooth functions that are Morse on preimages of non-extrema values.
method Investigates internally Morse (I-Morse) and neat with respect to Reeb graph (N-Reeb) functions.
result Constructs an IN-Morse-Reeb function on a connected sum of given manifolds.

Previous literature on unsupervised learning focused on designing structural priors with the aim of learning meaningful features. However, this was done without considering the description length of the learned representations which is a direct and unbiased measure of the model complexity. In this paper, first we intro…

2019-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New properties are derived of renormalized volume functionals, which arise as coefficients in the asymptotic expansion of the volume of an asymptotically hyperbolic Einstein (AHE) manifold. A formula is given for the renormalized volume of an even-dimensional AHE manifold in terms of an arbitrary totally geodesic compa…

2012-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a natural generalisation of holomorphic curves to morphisms of supermanifolds, referred to as holomorphic supercurves. More precisely, supercurves are morphisms from a Riemann surface, endowed with the structure of a supermanifold which is induced by a holomorphic line bundle, to an ordinary almost complex…

2011-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Heegaard splittings and Heegaard diagrams of a closed 3-manifold M are translated into the language of Morse functions with Morse-Smale pseudo-gradients defined on M. We make use in a very simple setting of techniques which Jean Cerf developed for solving a famous pseudo-isotopy problem. In passing, we show how to canc…

2012-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss generic smooth maps from smooth manifolds to smooth surfaces, which we call "Morse 2-functions", and homotopies between such maps. The two central issues are to keep the fibers connected, in which case the Morse 2-function is "fiber-connected", and to avoid local extrema over 1-dimensional submanifolds of th…

2011-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a hierarchy for approximate inference based on the Dobrushin, Lanford, Ruelle (DLR) equations. This hierarchy includes existing algorithms, such as belief propagation, and also motivates novel algorithms such as factorized neighbors (FN) algorithms and variants of mean field (MF) algorithms. In particular, w…

2012-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The relationship between price volatilty and a market extremum is examined using a fundamental economics model of supply and demand. By examining randomness through a microeconomic setting, we obtain the implications of randomness in the supply and demand, rather than assuming that price has randomness on an empirical …

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We study a class of 2-variable polynomials called exact polynomials which contains AA-polynomials of knot complements. The Mahler measure of these polynomials can be computed in terms of a volume function defined on the vanishing set of the polynomial. We prove that the local extrema of the volume function are on the …

2018-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Loopy and generalized belief propagation are popular algorithms for approximate inference in Markov random fields and Bayesian networks. Fixed points of these algorithms correspond to extrema of the Bethe and Kikuchi free energy. However, belief propagation does not always converge, which explains the need for approach…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic bridges are commonly used to impute missing data with a lower sampling rate to generate data with a higher sampling rate, while preserving key properties of the dynamics involved in an unbiased way. While the generation of Brownian bridges and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridges is well understood, unbiased generatio…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New pricing methods for αα-quantile and early-exercise options using Spitzer identities.

problem Pricing perpetual Bermudan and American options and αα-quantile options.
method Based on Spitzer identities for general Lévy processes and Wiener-Hopf method.
result Direct calculation of the optimal exercise barrier for early-exercise options.

This study examines the interaction between CDS and stock indices, revealing significant short and long-term impacts.

problem Understanding the interaction between Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and national stock indices.
method ARDL technique applied to analyze short and long-run interactions between BIST-100 index and CDS prices over a specific period.
result The study finds that changes in CDS and BIST-100 index prices have significant impacts on each other, with long-term effects being more pronounced.

Bayesian optimization is an effective method for finding extrema of a black-box function. We propose a new type of Bayesian optimization for learning user preferences in high-dimensional spaces. The central assumption is that the underlying objective function cannot be evaluated directly, but instead a minimizer along …

2020-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗