Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4284126168 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for rumor detection

With the pervasiveness of online media data as a source of information verifying the validity of this information is becoming even more important yet quite challenging. Rumors spread a large quantity of misinformation on microblogs. In this study we address two common issues within the context of microblog social media…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We provide a systematic study of the problem of finding the source of a rumor in a network. We model rumor spreading in a network with a variant of the popular SIR model and then construct an estimator for the rumor source. This estimator is based upon a novel topological quantity which we term \textbf{rumor centrality…

2009-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Botnet, a group of coordinated bots, is becoming the main platform of malicious Internet activities like DDOS, click fraud, web scraping, spam/rumor distribution, etc. This paper focuses on design and experiment of a new approach for botnet detection from streaming web server logs, motivated by its wide applicability, …

2018-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines how wash traders exploit market conditions in Bitcoin, finding strategic timing and spillover effects.

problem Wash trading in cryptocurrency markets to inflate volume and manipulate market conditions.
method Analysis of 18 million Mt. Gox transactions, exogenous demand shock study.
result Wash trading intensifies in low legitimate trading volume and responds to demand shocks, indicating strategic behavior.

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by an external dynamic signal of information. This signal can be interpreted as a …

2015-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Gringotts Wizarding Bank is well known as the only financial institution in all of the Wizarding UK as documented in the works recounting the heroics of Harry Potter. The concentration of power and wealth in this single bank needs to be weighed against the financial stability of the entire Wizarding economy. This study…

2017-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Many real-world graphs or networks are temporal, e.g., in a social network persons only interact at specific points in time. This information directs dissemination processes on the network, such as the spread of rumors, fake news, or diseases. However, the current state-of-the-art methods for supervised graph classific…

2019-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Fan tokens surged before World Cup matches, but declined during them, revealing cognitive biases.

problem Analyzing the impact of FIFA World Cup matches on fan tokens.
method Event study and intraday analysis of blockchain-based fan tokens.
result Fan tokens experienced a surge in returns six months before the World Cup, followed by a decline during the matches, revealing asymmetries in performance.

New method identifies diffusion sources on networks with statistical confidence.

problem Identifying sources of diffusion on networks without restrictive assumptions.
method Statistical framework and confidence set inference approach based on hypothesis testing.
result Efficiently produces a small subset of nodes covering the source node with any confidence level.

Human decision making by professionals trading daily in the stock market can be a daunting task. It includes decisions on whether to keep on investing or to exit a market subject to huge price swings, and how to price in news or rumors attributed to a specific stock. The question then arises how professional traders, w…

2011-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm estimates past and future diffusion processes on networks.

problem Estimating past and future states of concurrent diffusion processes on networks.
method Extension of independent-cascade model, Belief-Propagation algorithm.
result Scalable and convergent algorithm for estimating diffusion processes.

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because the structure of these interactions matters for spreading processes, the pairwise …

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph energy helps detect communities in networks better than traditional methods.

problem Detecting communities in sparse networks where traditional methods fail.
method Using graph energy based on the full spectrum of adjacency matrices.
result The difference in graph energy between a planted partition model and an Erdős--Rényi network has a distinct transition at the detectability threshold.

Develops a method to detect changes in linear systems with temporal correlations.

problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with temporal correlations.
method Data-dependent threshold for online change point detection in linear dynamical systems.
result Achieves a pre-specified upper bound on the probability of false alarms and provides a finite-sample-based bound for detection probability.

Tackles the computational hardness of HPC detection, conjecturing equivalence to PC detection.

problem Computational hardness of hypergraphic planted clique detection.
method No specific method mentioned; focuses on conjecturing equivalence.
result Equivalence of computational hardness between HPC and PC detection.

Study on detecting hierarchical community structures in networks.

problem Detecting hierarchical community structures in networks.
method Analysis of planted hierarchies of partitions in networks, identifying additional detectability phases.
result There are additional phases in which the presence of multiple consistent partitions can either help or hinder detection of hierarchical structures.

Deep object detection improves mitotic nucleus detection in breast cancer biopsies.

problem Challenges in automated mitotic nucleus detection in breast cancer histopathological images.
method Adapted Mask R-CNN for deep object detection, initially selects candidate regions with maximum recall, refines them with multi-object loss function.
result Improved discrimination ability (F-score of 0.86) and significant precision (0.86) for mitotic nuclei compared to two-stage models.

ECAD detects anomalies without data exchangeability, improving traffic flow detection.

problem Detecting anomalies in spatio-temporal data with missing values.
method ECAD uses conformal prediction to wrap around any regression algorithm, controlling Type-I error without data exchangeability.
result ECAD outperforms other methods in detecting anomalous traffic flow.

Autonomous driving requires 3D perception of vehicles and other objects in the in environment. Much of the current methods support 2D vehicle detection. This paper proposes a flexible pipeline to adopt any 2D detection network and fuse it with a 3D point cloud to generate 3D information with minimum changes of the 2D d…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper offers a distribution-free method for post-detection changepoint localization.

problem Locating the exact time of a change in distribution after a sequential detection procedure.
method A distribution-free framework using conformal test martingales for sequential change detection and post-detection inference.
result Valid post-detection coverage guarantees and non-asymptotic bounds on confidence set size.

Detects data drift in deep learning models using neural embeddings.

problem Detecting changes in data distribution in deep learning models.
method Formulates drift detection in a sequential decision framework and introduces a loss function to balance false alarms and quick detection.
result Demonstrates improved ability to balance false alarms and quick detection in change detection.

It follows from earlier work of Silver-Williams and the authors that twisted Alexander polynomials detect the unknot and the Hopf link. We now show that twisted Alexander polynomials also detect the trefoil and the figure-8 knot, that twisted Alexander polynomials detect whether a link is split and that twisted Alexand…

2013-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This research identifies flaws in drift detection methods and creates adversarial data streams to exploit them.

problem The challenge of detecting data distribution changes (drift) in real-time systems.
method Developed adversarial data streams to show weaknesses in existing drift detection schemes.
result Demonstrated that common drift detection methods can be fooled by adversarial data streams.

New method detects OOD samples using neural network trajectories.

problem Lack of comprehensive layer exploration in OOD detection.
method Functional data perspective, analyzing sample trajectories through multi-layer classifier.
result Empirically validated as effective compared to state-of-the-art methods.

A method detects vehicles far from tunnel CCTV using AI.

problem Tunnel CCTV's height limits detection of far-away vehicles.
method Object detection algorithm with inverse perspective transform.
result Deep learning model trained on warped images detects vehicles more accurately.