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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for robust validation

HD-BWDM improves clustering validation in high-dimensional data.

problem Determining the right number of clusters in high-dimensional data.
method HD-BWDM integrates random projection, PCA, trimmed clustering, and medoid-based distances.
result HD-BWDM remains stable and interpretable under high-dimensional projections and contamination.

The paper presents a method to make predictions robust to distributional shifts.

problem Making predictions robust to distributional shifts in machine learning.
method The method uses prediction sets and conformal inference to provide valid coverage under shifts.
result The method achieves nearly valid coverage in finite samples under exchangeable training data.

The paper assesses quality measures for machine learning models using cross-validation.

problem Evaluating the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for machine learning models.
method Cross-validation approach to estimate prediction error and quantify explained variation. Confidence bounds and local quality measures derived from residuals.
result The reliability and robustness of quality measures are assessed through numerical examples and confidence bounds.

Sharp bounds on ATE with unmeasured confounders, valid even when misspecified.

problem Bounding average treatment effects with unmeasured confounders.
method Distributionally robust optimization, double sharpness, double validity.
result Proposes estimators with robustness properties for valid bounds.

Flexible framework integrates machine learning and DRO for uncertain parameter prediction.

problem Limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets.
result Validation of theoretical and practical benefits in limited data scenarios.

Robust variable selection for high-dimensional data with missing and measurement errors.

problem Missing data and measurement errors confound data distribution.
method Exponential loss function with inverse probability weighting and additive error models.
result The Atan punishment method improves robust variable selection.

Paper extends prediction-powered inference using conformal prediction for robust and valid imputation.

problem Safe use of black-box ML models for imputing missing data with strong guarantees.
method Connecting prediction-powered inference with conformal prediction for valid and additional guarantees.
result First general prediction-powered procedure for e-values operating off-line.

This work introduces robust counterfactuals for neural networks that remain valid after minor model changes.

problem Generating counterfactual explanations that are robust to slight model changes.
method Introduces a measure called Stability to quantify robustness of counterfactuals to potential model changes, and proposes practical relaxations.
result Counterfactuals with high Stability remain valid after potential model changes with high probability.

FIRE method improves model performance in federated learning by penalizing fragmentation-induced covariate shifts.

problem Performance degradation in federated learning due to data fragmentation and covariate shift.
method FIRE method accumulates fragmentation-induced covariate shift divergences via approximate Fisher information and uses it as a per-fragment loss penalty.
result FIRE outperforms importance weighting and federated learning benchmarks by up to 5.3% on shifted validation sets.

RILA learns HQMMs robustly against adversarial corruption.

problem Robustness of HQMM learning algorithms under adversarial perturbations.
method Adversarially Corrupted HQMM (AC-HQMM) and Robust Iterative Learning Algorithm (RILA).
result RILA outperforms existing algorithms in convergence stability, corruption resilience, and physical validity.

The paper develops a method to learn robust decision policies from observational data, reducing high-cost outcomes.

problem Learning safe decision policies from observational data with high-risk outcomes.
method Develops a method to learn policies that reduce high-cost outcomes, valid under finite samples and uneven feature overlap.
result Validates the method with real and synthetic data, providing statistical bounds on decision costs.

The problem of robust hedging requires to solve the problem of superhedging under a nondominated family of singular measures. Recent progress was achieved by [9,11]. We show that the dual formulation of this problem is valid in a context suitable for martingale optimal transportation or, more generally, for optimal tra…

2013-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method improves robustness and efficiency of Bayesian LOO-CV.

problem Computational expense and unreliability of classical LOO-CV in high-dimensional Bayesian models.
method Proposes a mixture estimator to compute Bayesian LOO-CV criteria with finite asymptotic variance.
result Improved robustness and efficiency in high-dimensional problems.

CNNs achieve remarkable performance by leveraging deep, over-parametrized architectures, trained on large datasets. However, they have limited generalization ability to data outside the training domain, and a lack of robustness to noise and adversarial attacks. By building better inductive biases, we can improve robust…

2019-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to make statistical inferences robust in spatially dependent settings with missing at random labels.

problem Statistical inference challenges with missing at random labels and spatial dependence.
method Doubly robust estimator with cross-fit nuisances and jackknife spatial HAC variance correction.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals with improved finite-sample calibration.

New method constrains CNN filter frequencies to improve robustness.

problem CNN bias towards low frequency components, leading to poor performance in scenario transformations.
method Frequency domain regularization by constraining filter spectra, training valid frequency range end-to-end.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in defending adversarial perturbations, reducing generalization gap, and improving transfer learning.

Study robustness of split conformal prediction under adversarial attacks.

problem Ensuring distribution-free coverage guarantees in CP under adversarial conditions.
method Theoretical analysis and extensive experiments on split conformal prediction robustness.
result Prediction coverage varies with calibration-time attack strength, enabling control over coverage under adversarial tests.

New IF method improves accuracy in deep neural networks with noisy data.

problem Inaccurate influence estimates in deep neural networks, especially with noisy data.
method Established a connection between influence estimation error, validation set risk, and sharpness, introducing a novel estimation form for flat validation minima.
result Our novel Influence Function approach provides more accurate influence estimates, validated across various tasks.

New method evaluates personalized treatment in critical care, robust to death.

problem Truncation by death in critical care makes traditional DTR evaluation ineffective.
method Principal stratification-based approach, focusing on always-survivor value function, with a semiparametrically efficient, multiply robust estimator.
result Demonstrates robustness and efficiency of the method for personalized treatment optimization.

Paper optimizes hyperparameters for high-dimensional regression models.

problem Optimizing robustness radius in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) with high-dimensional asymptotic statistics.
result Optimal hyperparameter selection minimizes estimation error efficiently.