arXiv research

New methods estimate covariance for matrix data without assuming fixed size or specific distributions.

SCOPE estimator improves covariance and precision matrix estimation.

Method cleans covariance matrices for better statistical inference.

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of available market returns is often of similar order to the number of assets, so that t…

New algorithms improve robustness in metric learning.

Robustly estimates linear regression coefficients with adversarial and noisy data.

A new method preserves useful information in data rows with outlying cells.

Efficiently estimates covariance matrix for elliptical distributions under strong contamination.

Anomalies and outliers are common in real-world data, and they can arise from many sources, such as sensor faults. Accordingly, anomaly detection is important both for analyzing the anomalies themselves and for cleaning the data for further analysis of its ambient structure. Nonetheless, a precise definition of anomali…

New algorithm estimates robust Gaussian covariance in nearly matrix multiplication time.

KMRCD detects outliers in non-elliptical data using kernel trick.

Study robust covariance estimation in large data with concentrated vectors.

Robust covariance testing requires significantly more samples in contaminated data.

We study the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a high-dimensional distribution when a small constant fraction of the samples can be arbitrarily corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with near-optimal error guarantees for several natural structured distributions. …

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model minimizes the worst case (maximum) of Stein's loss across all normal reference d…

A large dimensional characterization of robust M-estimators of covariance (or scatter) is provided under the assumption that the dataset comprises independent (essentially Gaussian) legitimate samples as well as arbitrary deterministic samples, referred to as outliers. Building upon recent random matrix advances in the…

Study improves portfolio risk estimation methods using robust covariance and CVaR constraints.

Robust Lasso-Zero handles missing covariates and sparse corruptions.

Alpha-based performance evaluation may fail to capture correlated residuals due to model errors. This paper proposes using the Generalized Information Ratio (GIR) to measure performance under misspecified benchmarks. Motivated by the theoretical link between abnormal returns and residual covariance matrix, GIR is deriv…

Denise learns a function to quickly decompose covariance matrices robustly.

Improved robustness for high-dimensional Kalman filtering.

This paper studies a robust continuous-time Markowitz portfolio selection pro\-blem where the model uncertainty carries on the covariance matrix of multiple risky assets. This problem is formulated into a min-max mean-variance problem over a set of non-dominated probability measures that is solved by a McKean-Vlasov dy…

We provide a novel -- and to the best of our knowledge, the first -- algorithm for high dimensional sparse regression with constant fraction of corruptions in explanatory and/or response variables. Our algorithm recovers the true sparse parameters with sub-linear sample complexity, in the presence of a constant fractio…

Building on a recent framework for distributionally robust optimization, we consider estimation of the inverse covariance matrix for multivariate data. We provide a novel notion of a Wasserstein ambiguity set specifically tailored to this estimation problem, leading to a tractable class of regularized estimators. Speci…

Signatures of universality are detected by comparing individual eigenvalue distributions and level spacings from financial covariance matrices to random matrix predictions. A chopping procedure is devised in order to produce a statistical ensemble of asset-price covariances from a single instance of financial data sets…

Framework for robust matrix estimation with side information.

Compared with global average pooling in existing deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs), global covariance pooling can capture richer statistics of deep features, having potential for improving representation and generalization abilities of deep CNNs. However, integration of global covariance pooling into deep CNNs …

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

Paper proposes an online covariance estimator for sketched Newton methods.

Investigates portfolio optimization with and without gearing constraints.

New method estimates covariance matrices without restrictive assumptions.

Paper proposes a new method for covariance estimation using M-estimators with eigenvalue shrinkage.

Traditional Kalman filter (KF) is derived under the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion, which is optimal under Gaussian assumption. However, when the signals are non-Gaussian, especially when the system is disturbed by some heavy-tailed impulsive noises, the performance of KF will deteriorate serious…

We study the basic problem of robust subspace recovery. That is, we assume a data set that some of its points are sampled around a fixed subspace and the rest of them are spread in the whole ambient space, and we aim to recover the fixed underlying subspace. We first estimate "robust inverse sample covariance" by solvi…

Hybrid ResNet and RMT improve covariance matrix estimation for cryptocurrency portfolios.

Consider jointly Gaussian random variables whose conditional independence structure is specified by a graphical model. If we observe realizations of the variables, we can compute the covariance matrix, and it is well known that the support of the inverse covariance matrix corresponds to the edges of the graphical model…

We consider streaming principal component analysis when the stochastic data-generating model is subject to perturbations. While existing models assume a fixed covariance, we adopt a robust perspective where the covariance matrix belongs to a temporal uncertainty set. Under this setting, we provide fundamental limits on…

In this work we construct an optimal shrinkage estimator for the precision matrix in high dimensions. We consider the general asymptotics when the number of variables $p\rightarrow\infty$ and the sample size $n\rightarrow\infty$ so that $p/n\rightarrow c\in (0, +\infty)$. The precision matrix is estimated directly, wit…

Principal component regression (PCR) is a simple, but powerful and ubiquitously utilized method. Its effectiveness is well established when the covariates exhibit low-rank structure. However, its ability to handle settings with noisy, missing, and mixed-valued, i.e., discrete and continuous, covariates is not understoo…

Robust and reliable covariance estimates play a decisive role in financial and many other applications. An important class of estimators is based on Factor models. Here, we show by extensive Monte Carlo simulations that covariance matrices derived from the statistical Factor Analysis model exhibit a systematic error, w…

The paper infers multiple graphs from stationary signals on them.

Classifies SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.

Paper presents a new framework for covariance matrix estimation with geometric insights.

In this paper, we study the problem of multi-band (frequency-variant) covariance interpolation with a particular emphasis towards massive MIMO applications. In a massive MIMO system, the communication between each BS with $M \gg 1$ antennas and each single-antenna user occurs through a collection of scatterers in the e…

This paper considers the problem of robustly estimating a structured covariance matrix with an elliptical underlying distribution with known mean. In applications where the covariance matrix naturally possesses a certain structure, taking the prior structure information into account in the estimation procedure is benef…

New method cleans cross-covariance matrices for better financial forecasting.

We study the robustness of classifiers to various kinds of random noise models. In particular, we consider noise drawn uniformly from the $\ell\_p$ ball for $p \in [1, \infty]$ and Gaussian noise with an arbitrary covariance matrix. We characterize this robustness to random noise in terms of the distance to the decisio…

Graphical models improve portfolio optimization for financial time series.