Study proposes GRU-D networks for missing value handling in road surface friction prediction.
problem Missing values in road surface friction data affect prediction accuracy.
method Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) network with decay mechanism.
result GRU-D networks outperform baseline models in road surface friction prediction.
In this paper, the problem of road friction prediction from a fleet of connected vehicles is investigated. A framework is proposed to predict the road friction level using both historical friction data from the connected cars and data from weather stations, and comparative results from different methods are presented. …
Generative model creates frictional surfaces from friction laws.
problem Designing frictional interfaces with prescribed behavior is challenging.
method Uses Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) to infer surface topographies from friction laws.
result Efficiently generates candidate topographies without contact simulations.
Owing to the expeditious growth in the information and communication technologies, smart cities have raised the expectations in terms of efficient functioning and management. One key aspect of residents' daily comfort is assured through affording reliable traffic management and route planning. Comprehensively, the majo…
New methods detect roads in low-res satellite data, overcoming visibility challenges.
problem Detecting roads in low-resolution satellite imagery, especially those hard to see.
method Two deep learning frameworks for ordinal classification of road types from satellite time series data.
result Models can identify large and medium-sized roads from Sentinel-2 imagery.
In this paper, we propose a game theoretical adversarial intervention detection mechanism for reliable smart road signs. A future trend in intelligent transportation systems is ``smart road signs" that incorporate smart codes (e.g., visible at infrared) on their surface to provide more detailed information to smart veh…
Paper proposes machine learning models for more accurate road inspection.
problem Traditional road inspection systems have safety, energy, and cost issues.
method Hybrid machine learning models using surface deflection data from FWD tests.
result CMIS model outperforms other models with APRE=2.3303, AAPRE=11.6768, RMSE=12.0056, and SD=0.0210.
Machine learning techniques for road networks hold the potential to facilitate many important transportation applications. Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) are neural networks that are capable of leveraging the structure of a road network by utilizing information of, e.g., adjacent road segments. While state-of-the-…
Unified asymptotics for investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.
problem Investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Power-utility maximization problem with proportional transaction costs and Poisson-triggered trades, analyzed using a novel asymptotic framework.
result Explicit asymptotics for the no-trade region and value function derived.
Market trade-routes can support infectious-disease transmission, impacting biological populations and even disrupting causal trade. Epidemiological models increasingly account for reductions in infectious contact, such as risk-aversion behaviour in response to pathogen outbreaks. However, market dynamics clearly differ…
RFN improves GCNs for road networks, outperforming state-of-the-art by 21%-40%.
problem Leveraging the structure of road networks effectively in machine learning tasks.
method Introducing RFN, a novel GCN specifically designed for road networks.
result RFN outperforms state-of-the-art GCNs by 21%-40% on road network tasks.
System predicts ice formation to improve road safety.
problem Improving road safety through accurate ice formation prediction.
method Combining physical models and machine learning for data correction.
result Machine learning effectively corrects incorrect data in forecasts.
We construct examples of compact and one-ended constant mean curvature surfaces with large mean curvature in Riemannian manifolds with axial symmetry by gluing together small spheres positioned end-to-end along a geodesic. Such surfaces cannot exist in Euclidean space, but we show that the gradient of the ambient scala…
Network embedding helps predict speed limits on incomplete Danish road network.
problem Incomplete speed limit data on Danish roads limits machine learning applications.
method Applied node2vec network embedding to Danish road network.
result Network embedding can derive useful features for predicting speed limits.
Model analyzes trading frictions in cap-and-trade markets, showing how they interact to affect market effectiveness.
problem Analyzing how trading frictions impact cap-and-trade market effectiveness.
method Developed a dynamic stochastic model with multiple trading frictions, characterized access choices in closed form, and quantified using EU ETS data.
result Trading frictions interact to amplify or dampen market responses, and their combined effect is non-additive.
Paper presents a self-supervised method to infer road lane networks.
problem Difficult and costly to create lane maps for autonomous vehicles.
method Self-supervised learning using neural and search-based model.
result Model can generalize to new road layouts, unlike previous approaches.
In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by càdlàg processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices arbitrarily unfavorable for high trading intensity. Such frictions induce a duality bet…
Novel signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
problem Pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
method Signature approach, mean-quadratic variation criterion, non-standard infinite-dimensional Riccati equations, time-augmented signature, non-Markovian stochastic control problem.
result Effective hedging strategies in frictional markets with low-truncated signature approximations.
Automated road infrastructure mapping using connected vehicle data and deep learning.
problem Manual identification of intersections is laborious and time-consuming.
method Geohashing, YOLOv5 algorithm for classification of road segments and intersections.
result Overall classification accuracy of 95%, with high F1 scores for straight roads and intersections.
Generative model extracts road networks from images.
problem Extracting road networks from image data.
method Developed Generative Graph Transformer (GGT) for image-conditioned graph generation.
result Demonstrated effective road network generation from semantic segmentation data.
Each year, around 6 million car accidents occur in the U.S. on average. Road safety features (e.g., concrete barriers, metal crash barriers, rumble strips) play an important role in preventing or mitigating vehicle crashes. Accurate maps of road safety features is an important component of safety management systems for…
Investment and insurance decisions are studied in a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
problem Investment and insurance decisions under a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
method Dynamic programming approach to find optimality conditions.
result Agent can choose to assume, partially assume, or purchase total insurance against adverse jumps in wealth.
Study finds cryptoasset markets inefficient due to capital reallocation frictions.
problem Inefficiency in cryptoasset markets due to capital reallocation frictions.
method Examined investments with dominant and secondary risk factors, derived equilibrium restrictions, and tested empirically.
result Empirical results strongly reject necessary equilibrium restrictions, indicating market inefficiency.
Road accidents are an important issue of our modern societies, responsible for millions of deaths and injuries every year in the world. In Quebec only, in 2018, road accidents are responsible for 359 deaths and 33 thousands of injuries. In this paper, we show how one can leverage open datasets of a city like Montreal, …
More than half of the world's roads lack adequate street addressing systems. Lack of addresses is even more visible in daily lives of people in developing countries. We would like to object to the assumption that having an address is a luxury, by proposing a generative address design that maps the world in accordance w…
We investigate the optimal strategy over a finite time horizon for a portfolio of stock and bond and a derivative in an multiplicative Markovian market model with transaction costs (friction). The optimization problem is solved by a Hamilton-Bellman-Jacobi equation, which by the verification theorem has well-behaved so…
Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.
problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.
Enhanced travel time prediction using deep neural networks and road network information.
problem Improving travel time estimation using deep learning models.
method Proposes incorporating road network information into deep learning models for travel time prediction.
result Improved travel time prediction, especially with limited training data.
Repo dealers' market power affects bond prices by up to 2 percentage points.
problem Market power of repo dealers impacts bond prices and liquidity.
method Proprietary data on repo and reverse-repo trades analyzed.
result Market power of repo dealers accounts for 0.5-1.3 percentage points of bond yield deviation.
Study shows 'Belt and Road' node cities boost digital finance in China.
problem Impact of 'Belt and Road' node cities on digital inclusive finance.
method Descriptive analysis, literature review, theoretical model, differential differential method.
result Establishment of 'Belt and Road' node cities promotes digital inclusive finance in China, with Internet development as a mediating variable.
Road Network Metric Learning improves ETA prediction accuracy by addressing data sparsity.
problem Data sparsity in road network embedding vectors affects ETA prediction accuracy.
method Proposes Road Network Metric Learning (RNML-ETA) framework with an auxiliary metric learning task and triangle loss.
result RNML-ETA outperforms state-of-the-art models and improves prediction accuracy for cold links.
Road transportation is of critical importance for a nation, having profound effects in the economy, the health and life style of its people. With the growth of cities and populations come bigger demands for mobility and safety, creating new problems and magnifying those of the past. New tools are needed to face the cha…
Roads are critically important infrastructure to societal and economic development, with huge investments made by governments every year. However, methods for monitoring those investments tend to be time-consuming, laborious, and expensive, placing them out of reach for many developing regions. In this work, we develop…
The paper optimizes forecasting for risk-adjusted decisions under trading frictions.
problem Optimizing forecasting accuracy for investment decisions in the presence of transaction costs.
method Develops a utility-weighted calibration criterion to minimize decision loss net of costs.
result Utility-weighted calibration reduces decision loss by over 30% and improves Sharpe ratio.
The paper models insurance market dynamics under uncertainty and financial frictions.
problem Modeling insurer behavior under uncertainty and financial frictions.
method Dynamic equilibrium model of insurance market with competitive insurers maximizing shareholder value.
result Investment can lead to lower insurance prices and negative loadings under certain conditions.
Study on friction forces for nonholonomic systems using affine connections.
problem Realizing nonholonomic constraints with strong friction forces.
method Affine connection approach, covariant derivatives, recursive procedure.
result Approximations of slip velocities and dynamics up to second order.
Study improves traffic prediction intervals for minor roads.
problem Uncertainty in traffic data for underrepresented minor roads.
method Quantile Random Forest with PCA for interval prediction.
result Achieved 88.22% interval coverage and Winkler Score of 7,468.47.
China's rapid economic growth resulted in serious air pollution, which caused substantial losses to economic development and residents' health. In particular, the road transport sector has been blamed to be one of the major emitters. During the past decades, fluctuation in the international oil prices has imposed signi…
Bitcoin's monetary velocity is constrained by network friction, leading to significant utility contraction during shocks.
problem Bitcoin's monetary velocity is limited by network congestion, causing significant utility loss during economic shocks.
method Empirical analysis using Transaction Cost Index and threshold regression to identify structural breaks and velocity contraction.
result Network friction significantly reduces Bitcoin's monetary velocity, leading to a net utility contraction of -9.39% during shocks.
Study shows GPT's earnings forecasts are human-like but not always accurate.
problem Information friction in AI-generated financial analysis.
method Examined GPT's earnings forecasts following corporate earnings releases and proposed a diagnostic framework.
result GPT's narrative attention is consistent and human-like but not always associated with higher forecast accuracy.
SPAC data shows premium investors get better terms, non-premium get quid pro quo deals.
problem Agency problems and informational frictions in securities issuance.
method Analysis of SPAC data to identify premium and non-premium investors.
result Non-premium investors engage in quid pro quo relationships with issuers and intermediaries.
Model predicts road traffic using high-dimensional time-series with L1-penalization.
problem Predicting high-dimensional road traffic data with limited observations.
method Vector autoregressive model with L1-penalization for high-dimensional regression.
result The approach identifies the most important road sections and is competitive in prediction.
We study superreplication of European contingent claims in discrete time in a large trader model with market indifference prices recently proposed by Bank and Kramkov. We introduce a suitable notion of efficient friction in this framework, adopting a terminology introduced by Kabanov, Rasonyi, and Stricker in the conte…
We study long-term growth-optimal strategies on a simple market with linear proportional transaction costs. We show that several problems of this sort can be solved in closed form, and explicit the non-analytic dependance of optimal strategies and expected frictional losses of the friction parameter. We present one der…
New algorithms improve sampling from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from complex probability distributions efficiently.
method Regime-switching Langevin dynamics and Monte Carlo algorithms.
result Convergence guarantees and iteration complexities provided.
Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.
problem Maximizing wealth in an illiquid market with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Characterized no-trade region and provided asymptotic expansions of value function for small transaction costs.
result The effects of transaction costs are more pronounced in illiquid markets.
Model explains capital allocation and wealth distribution dynamics in a frictional economy.
problem Understanding capital allocation and wealth distribution dynamics in a frictional economy.
method Mean-field game approach to model interactions between expert and household groups.
result Experts accumulate capital during booms and quickly reverse behavior in busts, even without macro-shocks.
We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider a thresholded linear model, corresponding to an application of a MARS model to r…