Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based model is a computational approach commonly used for modeling the complex relationships between input and output parameters. Prediction of the flow rate of a river is a requisite for any successful water resource management and river basin planning. In the current survey, the effect…
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48 results for “river flow prediction”
New method combines simple forecasting techniques for river flow predictions.
problem Improving accuracy of long-term hydrological forecasts.
method Combines at least two forecasting methods using median combiner.
result Performs well in long-term forecasts, especially with multiple methods.
Modeling daily river flow distribution with seasonal and long-term trends.
problem Capturing both seasonal and gradual long-term changes in environmental variables.
method Distributional regression using GAMLSS framework to estimate daily distribution of river flows.
result Model successfully captures seasonal variation and long-term trends in river flow data.
Paper presents a GAN model for realistic river image synthesis.
problem Generating high-quality river images for hydrological research.
method Used a Progressive Growing GAN (PGGAN) architecture to overcome training challenges.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of GANs in generating high-resolution river images.
Machine learning predicts flood risk across river basins.
problem Costly physics-based models are not generalizable.
method Supervised machine learning using remote sensing data.
result Machine learning models predict flood susceptibility.
HydroNets use river structure to improve hydrologic predictions.
problem Scalable and accurate hydrologic models are needed for climate change impacts.
method HydroNets are deep neural networks that incorporate river network structure.
result HydroNets improve predictions with fewer data, especially at longer horizons.
The study analyzes river water quality using statistical and machine learning methods.
problem Analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of dissolved oxygen in the River Thames.
method Superstatistical methods and machine learning (e.g., Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Informer model).
result The Informer model outperforms others in long-term dissolved oxygen concentration forecasting.
WSD schedule improves model training efficiency by adapting learning rates dynamically.
problem Fixed compute budgets limit training efficiency of language models.
method Introduces a WSD schedule that uses a constant learning rate followed by a rapid decay phase.
result WSD schedule generates a non-traditional loss curve with stable and decay phases.
Method reduces model bias in water temperature prediction using physics-guided GNNs.
problem Model bias in traditional physics-based models across different income and education levels.
method Physics-guided GNNs with refined neighbor selection and weights.
result Preserves equitable performance across different sensitive groups in the Delaware River Basin.
This study examines whether PCA can effectively identify nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.
problem Identifying pollution sources in rivers for effective environmental management.
method Principal Component Analysis and its modifications, along with Independent Component Analysis and Factor Analysis, are applied to nitrogen pollution source identification.
result PCA and related techniques can be powerful tools for uncovering nitrogen pollution sources in rivers.
Online algorithms for identifying river pollution sources.
problem Real-time estimation of river pollution sources from downstream data.
method Gradient-based online learning algorithms with adaptive step sizes and escaping from saddle points module.
result High estimation accuracy in three dimensions, superior to existing methods.
Deep learning improves probabilistic river discharge forecasting for hydroelectric power.
problem Uncertain river discharges due to climate variability.
method Modified recurrent neural network architecture conditioned on global circulation model projections.
result Generates parameterized probability distributions for realistic long-term discharge scenarios.
Learning hydrologic models for accurate riverine flood prediction at scale is a challenge of great importance. One of the key difficulties is the need to rely on in-situ river discharge measurements, which can be quite scarce and unreliable, particularly in regions where floods cause the most damage every year. Accordi…
Looped transformers outperform standard transformers in complex reasoning tasks due to a specific loss landscape geometry.
problem Understanding why looped transformers outperform standard transformers in complex reasoning tasks.
method Explained through loss landscape geometry, distinguishing between U-shaped and V-shaped valleys, and proposing SHIFT training strategy.
result Looped transformers' recursive architecture induces a River-V-Valley landscape, leading to better loss convergence and complex pattern learning.
We consider remodeling the planar search patterns, in the presence of the river-type perturbation represented by the weak vector field, basing on the time-optimal paths as Finslerian solutions to the Zermelo navigation problem via Randers metric.
A Data Scientist's Guide to Streamflow Predictionphysics.ao-ph
Data scientists guide to streamflow prediction and flood forecasting.
problem Forecasting floods and predicting streamflow volume.
method Explains hydrologic concepts and machine learning applications.
result Helps data scientists understand streamflow prediction.
Study uses AUVs and RL to map river plumes over multiple days.
problem Long-term mapping of dynamic river plumes with multiple AUVs.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning with spatiotemporal GPR.
result Multi-agent approach outperforms single-agent and benchmarks.
PIML model improves hydrological predictions by blending physics and ML.
problem Hydrological models either lack predictive accuracy or fail to maintain physical consistency.
method Physics Informed Machine Learning (PIML) that integrates physics-based models and ML algorithms.
result PIML model outperforms both physics-based and ML models in predicting streamflow and evapotranspiration.
Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models still lack of giving accurate forecasts everywhere. This study aims to explore arti…
New framework reveals thermodynamic principles for LLM training.
problem Understanding the training dynamics of large language models.
method Introducing Neural Thermodynamic Laws (NTL) under river-valley loss landscape assumptions.
result Key thermodynamic quantities and principles naturally emerge in LLM training.
New method estimates root-directed tree from extreme data.
problem Discovering causality in river networks from extreme flow data.
method Qualitative max-linear Bayesian network approach to estimate bivariate scores and root-directed spanning tree.
result The new estimator is consistent under max-linear Bayesian network model with noise.
High Temporal Resolution Rainfall Runoff Modelling Using Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) Networkseess.SP
LSTM model predicts rainfall runoff with high temporal resolution.
problem Accurate and efficient rainfall runoff simulations for flood risk management.
method Data-driven rainfall runoff model using Long-short-Term-Memory (LSTM) networks.
result LSTM model achieves high-resolution discharge predictions with improved performance.
CausalRivers benchmarks causal discovery methods on real-world river discharge data.
problem Lack of in-the-wild evaluation of causal discovery methods on complex, real-world data.
method Introduces CausalRivers, a large-scale dataset of river discharge data for benchmarking.
result Demonstrates the utility of CausalRivers in evaluating causal discovery methods.
Dataset for rainfall modeling in central Europe from 1981-2011.
problem Improving rainfall streamflow modeling beyond simple catchments.
method Spatially resolved meteorological and ancillary data compilation.
result Dataset for neural network-driven hydrological modeling.
We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or sensitivity analyses of complex problems, and hence allow global exploration of th…
INDEQS: A Graph-Based Neural Controlled Differential Equation Framework for Forecasting
problem Forecasting time series with neural networks
method Incorporating prior knowledge of a directed graph
result Outer informedness consistently improves forecasting accuracy
Spectral algorithm reduces samples needed for multitask regression.
problem Jointly recover shared and task-specific components in low-rank multitask regression.
method Common mechanism regression (CMR) model with a non-iterative spectral algorithm.
result Provable non-convex bi-linear structure is overcome with spectral algorithm.
OML-AD detects anomalies in non-stationary time series data.
problem Anomaly detection in non-stationary time series data.
method Online machine learning for anomaly detection.
result OML-AD outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and efficiency.
Understanding Quantization-Aware Training: Gradients at Quantized Weights Bias to the Low-Loss Basincs.LG
Quantization-aware training can recover accuracy lost by post-training quantization.
problem Post-training quantization (PTQ) can fail sharply at aggressive bitwidths.
method A unified geometric framework that explains PTQ failure and QAT recovery.
result QAT has a useful bias that steers iterates back into the basin.
Despite the huge success of Long Short-Term Memory networks, their applications in environmental sciences are scarce. We argue that one reason is the difficulty to interpret the internals of trained networks. In this study, we look at the application of LSTMs for rainfall-runoff forecasting, one of the central tasks in…
Out-of-Distribution generalization of quantile regression with heavy tailed inputs: an SVM approachstat.ML
Novel SVM approach for extreme quantile regression with heavy tailed inputs.
problem Learning from extreme values in quantile regression.
method Support Vector Machine framework for handling high-dimensional and nonlinear settings.
result Established finite-sample learning guarantees under mild regularity assumptions.
This paper uses VAE to generate extreme events from multivariate data.
problem Generating accurate extremes from observational data for risk assessment.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) approach for multivariate heavy-tailed distributions.
result Improves learning of dependency structure between extremes.
We generalize Conway's approach to integral binary quadratic forms on Q to study integral binary hermitian forms on quadratic imaginary extensions of Q. In Conway's case, an indefinite form that doesn't represent 0 determines a line ("river") in the spine T associated with SL(2,Z) in the hyperbolic plane. In our genera…
Machine learning and deep learning infer surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data.
problem Inferring surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data with high temporal resolution.
method Application of machine learning and deep learning algorithms to infer surface/groundwater exchange flux from subsurface temperature observations.
result DL methods outperform ML methods in interpreting noisy temperature data, especially with a smoothing filter.
This study compares deep learning models for multi-step dissolved oxygen prediction.
problem Lack of comprehensive comparison among deep learning models for multi-step time series forecasting.
method Walk-forward validation using real-time data from 2012 to 2016, tested models: CNN, TCN, LSTM, GRU, BiRNN.
result GRU outperforms other models in multi-step time series forecasting.
Through the River: Understanding the Benefit of Schedule-Free Methods for Language Model Trainingcs.LG
New method SF-AdamW trains large models without decay phases or memory overhead.
problem Inadequate fixed compute budgets for large-scale training.
method Schedule-Free (SF) method revisited and refined.
result SF-AdamW effectively navigates loss landscape without decay phases or memory overhead.
Shape information is of great importance in many applications. For example, the oil-bearing capacity of sand bodies, the subterranean remnants of ancient rivers, is related to their cross-sectional shapes. The analysis of these shapes is therefore of some interest, but current classifications are simplistic and ad hoc.…
We propose a simple yet powerful framework for modeling integer-valued data, such as counts, scores, and rounded data. The data-generating process is defined by Simultaneously Transforming and Rounding (STAR) a continuous-valued process, which produces a flexible family of integer-valued distributions capable of modeli…
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.
New method clusters hydrological and sediment data for storm event analysis.
problem Analyzing storm events for water quality constituents like turbidity.
method Multivariate time series clustering of river discharge and sediment data.
result Clusters differ from 2-D hysteresis loop classifications.
Proposes a method to apply conformal prediction to probabilistic time series forecasting models.
problem Obtaining accurate prediction regions for multi-step time series forecasting with probabilistic models.
method Conformalises conditional normalising flows to generate potentially disjoint prediction regions.
result Improves predictive efficiency in time series forecasting with multimodal distributions.
Contrast uses normalizing flows to create precise prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs.
problem Generating reliable prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs in supervised and unsupervised learning.
method Contrast uses normalizing flows to define nonconformity scores based on distances in latent space, creating sharp prediction regions.
result Contrast maintains guaranteed coverage probability and outperforms existing methods in generating accurate prediction regions.
In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the future based on some finite history is of interest. This problem is significantly mor…
Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different dom…
One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is the bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting the flow for a single station, recent research works often predict the bike flow at cluster-level. While such studies gain satisfactory prediction accuracy, they cannot directly guide some fine-grained …
Diverging Flows detects extrapolations in flow models, ensuring reliable predictions.
problem Flow models extrapolate into invalid data, leading to silent failures.
method Structurally enforce inefficient transport for off-manifold inputs.
result Effective detection of extrapolations without compromising predictive fidelity or inference latency.
PO-Flow models potential and counterfactual outcomes for personalized treatment decisions.
problem Predicting individualized treatment effects from observational data.
method Continuous normalizing flow (CNF) framework for causal inference.
result Unified approach to potential outcome prediction, treatment effect estimation, and counterfactual prediction.
Prediction of flow and elastic stresses in a viscoelastic turbulent channel flow using convolutional neural networksphysics.flu-dyn
Neural networks predict flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulence.
problem Predicting flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulent flows using limited experimental data.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on wall-normal velocity and pressure data.
result Neural networks accurately predict flow and elastic stresses, especially during low-drag events.