Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

1.2%2.4%3.6%4.8% · Aug 199819922001200920172026
48 results for risky business

The paper analyzes optimal dividend strategies for risky businesses, considering both periodic and extraordinary payments.

problem Maximizing dividends paid until ruin, net of transaction costs.
method Modeling cash surplus as Brownian motion, considering different types of dividends with transaction costs.
result Optimal strategies depend on business profitability and transaction costs, sometimes including liquidation.

Regulations impose idiosyncratic capital and funding costs for holding derivatives. Capital requirements are costly because derivatives desks are risky businesses; funding is costly in part because regulations increase the minimum funding tenor. Idiosyncratic costs mean no single measure makes derivatives martingales f…

2013-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal reinsurance and investment to minimize drawdown risk.

problem Minimizing drawdown risk in a risk model with correlated insurance claims.
method Optimal reinsurance-investment strategy under expected value and variance premium principles, considering per-loss reinsurance and financial market investment.
result Closed-form expressions for optimal reinsurance-investment strategies and value functions.

Modeling business cycles via collective risk fluctuations in economic agents' risk space.

problem Understanding and predicting business cycles through economic agents' risk dynamics.
method Continuous numerical risk grades for economic agents, modeling collective economic variables and flows as functions of risk coordinates, deriving equations for their evolution.
result Business and credit cycles are explained as fluctuations of collective economic variables and their mean risks in the risk space of economic agents.

Study optimal periodic dividend strategies for risky businesses with transaction costs.

problem Optimal periodic dividend strategies for spectrally positive Lévy risk processes with fixed transaction costs.
method Investigates periodic (bu,bl)(b_u,b_l) strategies for a Poisson arrival process of decision times.
result A periodic (bu,bl)(b_u,b_l) strategy is optimal with lump sum dividends net of transaction costs.

Proposes a new risk model using stable laws to manage company-wide losses.

problem Managing aggregate risks and pricing policies in the presence of systematic risk.
method Develops a modified risk model using multivariate stable distributions to account for various risk phenomena.
result Computes the Tail Conditional Expectation of aggregate risks and corresponding allocations.

Study investigates ruin probability with random premiums and risky investments.

problem Ruin probability with random premiums and risky investments.
method Laplace transform applied to a model with geometric Brownian motion.
result Asymptotic behavior of ruin probability for large initial capital values.

Large corporate credit models may be adapted for small business risk assessment.

problem Limited data and lack of credit analysts for small businesses.
method Adapting large corporate credit risk models for small businesses.
result Adapted models can predict small business credit risk effectively.

The option is a financial derivative, which is regularly employed in reducing the risk of its underlying securities. However, investing in option is still risky. Such risk becomes much severer for speculators who utilize option as a means of leverage to increase their potential returns. In order to mitigate risk on the…

2017-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.

problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.

Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.

problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.

Study optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients and jumps.

problem Optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers with random coefficients and jumps.
method Solves backward stochastic differential equations with jumps under a convex cone constraint.
result Optimal strategy and value remain the same even with random coefficients and jumps.

Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.

problem Optimizing business expansion under exposure constraints and opportunity costs.
method Formulated as a novel stochastic control problem combined with optimal stopping time, derived an explicit solution for exponential utility.
result Firms are incentivized to expand but may wait due to opportunity costs and other factors.

Study optimal portfolio selection using average and current profitability of risky assets.

problem Continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection in time-varying financial markets.
method Introduced AP and CP indexes; estimated AP and CP using second-order variation of an auxiliary wealth process.
result Estimations of AP and CP are more accurate than traditional MLE.

Endogenous business cycles explain higher comovement across countries.

problem Standard models struggle to explain high comovement in business cycles across countries.
method Developed a demand-driven reduced-form model with strategic complementarities and international trade linkages.
result Combining endogenous business cycles with exogenous shocks matches empirical comovement levels.

Machine learning predicts US and EuroZone business cycles with high accuracy.

problem Predicting the business cycle phases in US and EuroZone.
method Three machine learning approaches were compared: Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) achieved the best results.
result MLR achieved 65.25% accuracy for EuroZone and 75% for US in predicting business cycle phases.

Study optimal investment and reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients.

problem Optimal mean-variance investment-reinsurance problem for insurers under Cramér-Lundberg model with random coefficients.
method Reduced to a constrained stochastic linear-quadratic control problem with jumps, solved using BSDE techniques and SREs.
result Explicit efficient investment-reinsurance strategy and mean-variance frontier.

SafeMIL learns safer policies by avoiding risky behavior from non-preferred trajectories.

problem Learning safe imitation policies from non-preferred trajectories in risky environments.
method SafeMIL uses Multiple Instance Learning to learn a cost function from non-preferred trajectories.
result SafeMIL learns a safer policy that avoids non-preferred behaviors without sacrificing reward performance.

We consider an optimal consumption/investment problem to maximize expected utility from consumption. In this market model, the investor is allowed to choose a portfolio which consists of one bond, one liquid risky asset (no transaction costs) and one illiquid risky asset (proportional transaction costs). We fully chara…

2016-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We design an optimal strategy for investment in a portfolio of assets subject to a multiplicative Brownian motion. The strategy provides the maximal typical long-term growth rate of investor's capital. We determine the optimal fraction of capital that an investor should keep in risky assets as well as weights of differ…

1998-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes in the diffusion case.

2005-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses AI to analyze on-chain parameters and identify risky cryptocurrencies.

problem Identifying risky cryptocurrencies and understanding their price factors.
method Historical data analysis, AI algorithms, clustering, classification.
result A significant negative correlation between cryptocurrency price and maximum and total supply, and a weak positive correlation with 24-hour trading volume.

In this letter, I consider the issue of pricing risky debt by following Merton's approach. I generalize Merton's results to the case where the interest rate is modeled by the CIR term structure. Exact closed forms are provided for the risky debt's price.

1998-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The study uses CoDa to analyze family business financial ratios, highlighting methodological issues.

problem Asymmetry, non-normality, and non-linearity in financial ratios of family businesses.
method Compositional data analysis (CoDa) and classical analysis strategies.
result Results are sensitive to the methodology used, emphasizing the need for appropriate methodologies.

Study examines how business units can benefit from group cohesion under regulatory constraints.

problem Regulatory constraints limit business units' ability to form a single cohesive group.
method Defined and analyzed cohesive risk measures to minimize capital costs.
result Cohesive risk measures allow groups to achieve minimal capital costs without altering individual liabilities.

This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…

2010-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Development of efficient business process models and determination of their characteristic properties are subject of intense interdisciplinary research. Here, we consider a business process model as a directed graph. Its nodes correspond to the units identified by the modeler and the link direction indicates the causal…

2010-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Research shows franchised fast food companies' stock prices decline more during recessions.

problem Impact of recession on franchised fast food companies' stock prices.
method Analyzed stock price data with Weibull distribution.
result Recessions have a more severe impact on franchised fast food companies' stock prices.