This paper uses Tsallis relative entropy to optimize stock portfolios, showing better consistency in risk-return profiles.
problem Optimizing stock portfolios with consistent risk-return profiles.
method Constructing portfolios by binning risk values and allocating stocks based on risk values, comparing with four risk measures.
result Tsallis relative entropy yields more consistent risk-excess return profiles compared to other measures.
Robo-advisor improves investment advice through client interaction.
problem Offering personalized financial advice to clients.
method Adaptive mean-variance portfolio optimization with client interaction.
result Optimal investment strategy includes both myopic and intertemporal hedging terms.
Investors can enhance their portfolios by strategically using LETFs, especially with dynamic strategies.
problem Unsuitability of passive or static approaches to LETFs leads to undesirable risk-return profiles.
method Demonstrated the effectiveness of simple dynamic strategies in exploiting favorable Omega ratio dynamics.
result Dynamic strategies can exploit the compounding effect of LETFs, improving risk-return profiles.
This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by clustering price correlations and improving risk-return profiles.
problem Volatility and regulatory uncertainty in cryptocurrency markets make portfolio construction challenging.
method The paper combines network analysis, price forecasting, and portfolio theory to identify stable groups of correlated cryptocurrencies.
result Predictive consensus-clustering portfolios maintain positive and stable performance up to a 14-day horizon, with favourable gain-loss asymmetry and tighter tail-risk control.
Investing in cryptocurrencies can improve portfolio risk-return profile, especially with diversification strategies.
problem Investing in cryptocurrencies and evaluating their potential for portfolio allocation strategies.
method Investigated different types of investors, various portfolio construction rules, and incorporated liquidity constraints.
result Cryptocurrencies can improve the risk-return profile of portfolios, especially with diversification strategies.
Study applies HRP to Latin American markets, showing smoother risk-return profile.
problem Lack of empirical analyses of HRP in Latin American markets.
method Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) with hierarchical clustering and recursive bisection.
result HRP portfolio outperforms Max Sharpe portfolio in NUAM markets, with smoother risk-return profile.
This paper aims at developing a new method by which to build a data-driven portfolio featuring a target risk-return. We first present a comparative study of recurrent neural network models (RNNs), including a simple RNN, long short-term memory (LSTM), and gated recurrent unit (GRU) for selecting the best predictor to u…
The paper clarifies long-horizon investment and DCA, showing no risk reduction but different exposure profiles.
problem Misleading claims about reducing risk with longer investment horizons and DCA.
method Unified probabilistic framework, defining risk and uncertainty, and introducing effective investment exposure.
result Different investment timing strategies can lead to distinct exposure profiles over time, affecting risk and uncertainty.
New method uses asymmetric Tsallis relative entropy for better risk assessment in financial portfolios.
problem Improving risk assessment for financial portfolios using asymmetric data.
method Generalized Tsallis relative entropy (ATRE) for asymmetric distributions of returns.
result ATRE shows better risk-return profiles, especially during market crashes.
Study replicates reference-dependent preferences impact on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
problem Impact of reference-dependent preferences on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
method Utilized CGO proxy, econometric techniques (Dependent Double Sorting, Fama-MacBeth regressions), and data from 1995-2024.
result Reference-dependent preferences have a weaker or absent positive risk-return relationship in the Chinese market.
Model predicts and optimizes trading of electricity price spreads across multiple zones.
problem Forecasting and optimizing day-ahead versus real-time price spreads in U.S. electricity markets.
method Unified statistical model for positive and negative spikes, structural price impact model based on bid stacks.
result Optimal trading strategy improves risk-return profile and highlights market heterogeneity.
The study evaluates forecast risk-adjusted performance using various metrics.
problem Evaluating forecast reliability beyond accuracy.
method Risk-adjusted performance measures (Sharpe, Sortino, Omega ratios) and Edge Ratio.
result Machine learning models often offer attractive risk profiles but not necessarily higher reliability.
We study the problem of option pricing and hedging strategies within the frame-work of risk-return arguments. An economic agent is described by a utility function that depends on profit (an expected value) and risk (a variance). In the ideal case without transaction costs the optimal strategy for any given agent is fou…
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is one of the original models in explaining risk-return relationship in the financial market. However, when applying the CAPM into reality, it demonstrates a lot of shortcomings. While improving the performance of the model, many studies, on one hand, have attempted to apply diffe…
Paper combines RL with classifiers to improve financial trading strategies.
problem Enhancing risk-return trade-offs in trading strategies.
method Combining Reinforcement Learning (RL) models with traditional classifiers like SVM, Decision Trees, and Logistic Regression.
result Ensemble methods often outperform base models in risk-adjusted returns.
It is customary that when security prices fully reflect all available information, the markets for those securities are said to be efficient. And if markets are inefficient, investors can use available information ignored by the market to earn abnormally high returns on their investments. In this context this paper tri…
RL models outperform traditional methods in certain market conditions.
problem Traditional portfolio management methods rely on accurate forecasts and do not incorporate specific investor preferences.
method Deep reinforcement learning with specific investor preferences incorporated into reward functions, realistic transaction costs modelled.
result RL models can significantly outperform traditional methods in upward trending markets, but not in sideways trending markets.
BPASGM uses sparse graphical models to optimize portfolio selection.
problem Portfolio optimization in high-dimensional settings with estimation error.
method BPASGM extends BPA to a sparse graphical model, screening assets for diversification.
result BPASGM portfolios outperform standard mean-variance portfolios in risk-adjusted performance.
2024 saw Bitcoin ETF approval, offering regulated exposure.
problem Understanding unique liquidity risks in Bitcoin ETFs.
method Analyzed premium/discount patterns in first four months.
result Premium/discount behavior differs from traditional ETFs.
This study compares VaR-based portfolio insurance with CPPI in a regime-switching market.
problem Designing dynamic portfolio insurance strategies in a market with multiple regimes.
method Extends VaR-based portfolio insurance to a Markov-modulated regime-switching market, comparing it to CPPI.
result CPPI strategy generally offers better risk-return tradeoff and stability.
The paper proposes a new risk model for foundation models in finance.
problem Understanding how foundation models affect trading strategies' risk and return.
method An extension of the CAPM, separating systematic and idiosyncratic risks.
result Monte Carlo dropout measures the epistemic risk of foundation models.
We consider the problem of finding the efficient frontier associated with the risk-return portfolio optimization model. We derive the analytical expression of the efficient frontier for a portfolio of N risky assets, and for the case when a risk-free asset is added to the model. Also, we provide an R implementation, an…
A method to produce personalized classification models to automatically review online dating profiles on Tinder is proposed, based on the user's historical preference. The method takes advantage of a FaceNet facial classification model to extract features which may be related to facial attractiveness. The embeddings fr…
AlphaSharpe uses LLMs to improve financial metrics robustness and predictive power.
problem Traditional financial metrics struggle with robustness and generalization in volatile markets.
method Iterative optimization of financial metrics using LLMs, including crossover, mutation, and evaluation.
result AlphaSharpe discovers enhanced risk-return metrics with 3x predictive power and 2x portfolio performance.
Profile entropy measures learnability and compressibility of discrete distributions.
problem Understanding the learnability and compressibility of discrete distributions.
method Investigates profile entropy, showing its role in estimation, inference, and compression.
result Profile entropy is a fundamental measure unifying estimation, inference, and compression.
Financial market created for wellbeing indices to mitigate socioeconomic risks.
problem Risk mitigation in financial indices of socioeconomic wellbeing.
method Developed new quantitative measure, created financial market, and implemented insurance instruments.
result Optimal portfolio weights and efficient frontiers for wellbeing indices.
A method to describe Riemann surfaces using graph profiles is proposed.
problem Describing Riemann surfaces in a graph-theoretic framework.
method Graph profiles to represent Riemann surfaces, establishing necessary and sufficient conditions for their existence.
result A criterion for the existence of Riemann surfaces with a given signature.
This study evaluates shrinkage estimators for improving mean and covariance in portfolio optimization.
problem Estimation errors in expected returns and covariance matrix in mean-variance model.
method Examined five shrinkage estimators for expected returns and eleven for covariance matrix across six datasets.
result GMV model with Ledoit Wolf COV2 outperforms traditional methods in most scenarios.
In cheminformatics, compound-target binding profiles has been a main source of data for research. For data repositories that only provide positive profiles, a popular assumption is that unreported profiles are all negative. In this paper, we caution audience not to take this assumption for granted, and present empirica…
In this paper we apply evolutionary optimization techniques to compute optimal rule-based trading strategies based on financial sentiment data. The sentiment data was extracted from the social media service StockTwits to accommodate the level of bullishness or bearishness of the online trading community towards certain…
Method controls extrapolation in prediction profiles for statistical and machine learning models.
problem Avoiding invalid predictions due to extrapolation in prediction profiles.
method Genetic algorithm optimization over constrained factor regions.
result Optimal factor settings without constraint are often invalid and extrapolated.
Study identifies subphenotypes of pediatric sepsis to improve ML predictive performance.
problem Enhance machine learning predictive performance in pediatric sepsis.
method Latent profile analysis of clinical data to identify subphenotypes, followed by ML experiments.
result Improved predictive performance of ML models targeting specific subphenotypes of pediatric sepsis.
XSP profiles ML models across hardware and software stacks.
problem Challenges in profiling ML model performance across different layers of the stack.
method XSP uses distributed tracing to aggregate data from various sources and introduces a leveled, iterative measurement approach.
result XSP provides insights into ML model execution not easily discernible otherwise.
We equip many non compact non simply connected surfaces with smooth Riemannian metrics whose isoperimetric profile is smooth, a highly non generic property. The computation of the profile is based on a calibration argument, a rearrangement argument, the Bol-Fiala curvature dependent inequality, together with new result…
We introduce a spectrum of monotone coarse invariants for metric measure spaces called Poincaré profiles. The two extremes of this spectrum determine the growth of the space, and the separation profile as defined by Benjamini--Schramm--Timár. In this paper we focus on properties of the Poincaré profiles of groups with …
In this paper, we present a two-stage stochastic international portfolio optimisation model to find an optimal allocation for the combination of both assets and currency hedging positions. Our optimisation model allows a "currency overlay", or a deviation of currency exposure from asset exposure, to provide flexibility…
Logarithmic separation profile in hyperbolic groups shows hierarchical structure.
problem Understanding hierarchical structure in hyperbolic groups with logarithmic separation.
method Proving groups with logarithmic separation split over cyclic groups and providing counterexamples.
result Not all groups with hierarchical structure have logarithmic separation profile.
Framework detects shape shifts in functional profiles using Fréchet mean and shape invariant model.
problem Detecting shape shifts in functional profiles.
method Combining Fréchet mean and shape invariant model for interpretable parameterization of profile deviations.
result Potential shifts in shape deformation process distinguished by significant shifts in amplitude and/or phase.
Study compares isoperimetric profiles on manifolds with integral Ricci curvature bounds.
problem Comparing isoperimetric profiles on manifolds with integral Ricci curvature bounds.
method Extending previous work, the study uses integral bounds on Ricci curvature to prove comparison results for isoperimetric profile functions.
result Comparison results for the Isoperimetric profile function in manifolds with integral bounds on Ricci curvature.
New AI stock indices classify firms' AI engagement using 10-K filings.
problem Opaque AI selection criteria in existing ETFs.
method NLP analysis of 10-K filings to classify AI stocks.
result Companies with higher AI engagement have greater positive returns.
Study enhances financial forecasting with machine learning and fuzzy MCDM.
problem Increasing financial uncertainty and market complexity.
method Integrates machine learning (XGBoost, LSTM, GNN) and intuitionistic fuzzy MCDM.
result High forecasting accuracy with low MAPE and narrow confidence intervals.
Estimates lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles and improves on previous estimates for specific manifolds.
problem Estimating lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles of specific Riemannian manifolds.
method Explicit lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles of Riemannian product manifolds.
result Improved lower bounds for isoperimetric profiles and Yamabe constants.
In the context of sub-Riemannian Heisenberg groups Hn, n \geq 1, we shall study Isoperimetric Profiles, which are closed compact hypersurfaces having constant horizontal mean curvature, very similar to ellipsoids. Our main goal is to study the stability of Isoperimetric Profiles.
Paper describes profiles of multivariate normal distributions and novel estimators for mutual information.
problem Estimating mutual information for complex distributions.
method Analytical description of profiles, introduction of Bend and Mix Models, Monte Carlo estimation.
result Bend and Mix Models accurately estimate mutual information profiles and provide Bayesian estimates.
Non-Negative Matrix Factorization, NMF, attempts to find a number of archetypal response profiles, or parts, such that any sample profile in the dataset can be approximated by a close profile among these archetypes or a linear combination of these profiles. The non-negativity constraint is imposed while estimating arch…
We develop the idea of using Monte Carlo sampling of random portfolios to solve portfolio investment problems. In this first paper we explore the need for more general optimization tools, and consider the means by which constrained random portfolios may be generated. A practical scheme for the long-only fully-invested …
Random layer-wise pruning profiles are as effective as metric-based ones for various datasets.
problem Reduction of model size and computational resources in neural networks.
method Conducted baseline experiments, developed RL-based search algorithm for finding transferable layer-wise pruning profiles.
result RL-based layer-wise pruning profiles are as good or better than best profiles found on the original dataset via exhaustive search.
Blockchain funds balance risk and return for various investors.
problem Creating diversified portfolios with risk parity for different risk appetites.
method Developed three funds (Alpha, Beta, Gamma) with distinct risk and return profiles, setting weights inversely proportional to risk.
result Blockchain enables investors to select their preferred risk-return combination and allocate wealth accordingly.