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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for risk measures theory

Develops a statistical framework for coherent risk estimation.

problem Constructing coherent risk estimators with sound financial and statistical properties.
method Inspired by axiomatic risk measure theory, defines coherent risk estimators through robust representations linked to LL-estimators.
result Demonstrates that coherence of a risk measure does not necessarily carry over to its estimators and shows alternative weight structures can lead to different outcomes.

Study asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.

problem Understanding risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.
method Derive asymptotic expansions for generalized shortfall risk measures.
result Unified theory for risk measures including distortion and utility-based measures.

New concept of partial law invariance connects decision theory and financial risk management.

problem Connecting decision theory and financial risk management under uncertainty.
method Characterizing partially law-invariant coherent risk measures via a novel representation formula.
result Strong partial law invariance bridges the gap between existing risk measure representations.

This paper gives an overview of the theory of dynamic convex risk measures for random variables in discrete time setting. We summarize robust representation results of conditional convex risk measures, and we characterize various time consistency properties of dynamic risk measures in terms of acceptance sets, penalty …

2010-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper examines risk measure expansions under FGM dependence, improving accuracy at extreme levels.

problem Capturing higher-order tail behavior and dependence effects in risk measures.
method Second-order asymptotic expansions using extreme value theory and regular variation theory.
result Second-order approximations reduce approximation errors, especially at extreme confidence levels.

This paper was presented and written for two seminars: a national UK University Risk Conference and a Risk Management industry workshop. The target audience is therefore a cross section of Academics and industry professionals. The current ongoing global credit crunch has highlighted the importance of risk measurement i…

2009-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Different approaches to defining dynamic market risk measures are available in the literature. Most are focused or derived from probability theory, economic behavior or dynamic programming. Here, we propose an approach to define and implement dynamic market risk measures based on recursion and state economy representat…

2013-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A Nash game theory approach allocates capital requirements among financial institutions.

problem Allocating systemic risk measures among financial institutions.
method Proposes a Nash allocation rule inspired by game theory.
result Provides sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of Nash allocation rules.

Risk is an inherent feature of agricultural production and marketing and accurate measurement of it helps inform more efficient use of resources. This paper examines three tail quantile-based risk measures applied to the estimation of extreme agricultural financial risk for corn and soybean production in the US: Value …

2011-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Overview of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes with Optimized Certainty Equivalent.

problem Optimizing decision-making under risk in Markov processes.
method Analyzes risk-sensitive criteria using Optimized Certainty Equivalent, including entropic risk and Conditional Value-at-Risk.
result Conditions for the existence of optimal policies and solution procedures are provided.

The paper develops a new approach to conditional risk measures using modular convex analysis.

problem Developing a new method for conditional risk measures.
method Random modular approach to conditional certainty equivalents and niveloids in the conditional LL^{\infty}-space.
result Retrieves a conditional variational formula for optimized certainty equivalents and applies it to the conditional entropic risk measure.

The risk of a financial position is usually summarized by a risk measure. As this risk measure has to be estimated from historical data, it is important to be able to verify and compare competing estimation procedures. In statistical decision theory, risk measures for which such verification and comparison is possible,…

2013-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We study combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives. We develop and discuss results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for the combinations of risk measures. One of the main results is the representation of resulting risk measures from the properti…

2018-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Value-at-Risk is a flawed substitute for non-ruin capital, leading to misleading financial standards.

problem Misuse of Value-at-Risk as a risk measure, replacing non-ruin capital, leads to flawed financial standards.
method Mathematical analysis of risk measures and their implications on financial standards.
result Non-ruin capital is a more accurate risk measure than Value-at-Risk, necessitating its adoption over the former.

A new framework for robust risk measurement and portfolio optimization.

problem Uncertainty in mean-covariance space and portfolio optimization challenges.
method Modeling uncertainty with Gelbrich distance and prior structural information, related to optimal transport theory.
result Mean-covariance robust portfolio optimization simplifies to Markowitz model with a regularization term.

Generalizes risk sharing models to a continuum of agents.

problem Risk sharing among a large number of heterogeneous agents.
method Modeling agents as points in a measure space, using risk measures on a probability space, and deriving dual representations.
result Explicit formulas for specific risk measures (entropic and expected shortfall) and applications to Pareto efficiency.

The objective in a traditional reinforcement learning (RL) problem is to find a policy that optimizes the expected value of a performance metric such as the infinite-horizon cumulative discounted or long-run average cost/reward. In practice, optimizing the expected value alone may not be satisfactory, in that it may be…

2018-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method to evaluate joint risk under uncertainty.

problem Evaluating joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty.
method Axiomatic approach to scalar and vector-valued distortion joint risk measures.
result Established a new scalar distortion joint risk measure with positive homogeneity.

Risk measures such as Expected Shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) have been prominent in banking regulation and financial risk management. Motivated by practical considerations in the assessment and management of risks, including tractability, scenario relevance and robustness, we consider theoretical properties of…

2018-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by liquidity risk in mathematical finance, D. Lacker introduced concentration inequalities for risk measures, i.e. upper bounds on the \emph{liquidity risk profile} of a financial loss. We derive these inequalities in the case of time-consistent dynamic risk measures when the filtration is assumed to carry a …

2018-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces risk consistency properties for credit ratings.

problem Promoting prudent investment decisions in credit ratings.
method Introducing and studying risk consistency properties in the framework of Choquet rating criteria.
result Characterization of Choquet risk measures and rating criteria satisfying risk consistency properties.

Establishes a link between risk measures and uniform integrability in finance.

problem Understanding uniform integrability in the context of financial risk measures.
method Introduces the folding score of distortion risk measures to study uniform integrability directly with gains and losses.
result Obtains three sets of equivalent conditions for uniform integrability involving coherent risk measures.

Develops risk measures for markets with constraints and costs.

problem Risk measures in markets with portfolio constraints and transaction costs.
method Embeds portfolio constraints and transaction costs into securities market; provides comprehensive analysis of risk measures properties.
result Establishes dual representations for convex and quasiconvex risk measures.

Risk assessment under different possible scenarios is a source of uncertainty that may lead to concerning financial losses. We address this issue, first, by adapting a robust framework to the class of spectral risk measures. Second, we propose a Deviation-based approach to quantify uncertainty. Furthermore, the theory …

2019-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗