A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study compares machine learning and process-based models for predicting rice blast disease.
BLAST optimizes deep model inference by learning efficient matrix structures.
Automated rock fragmentation assessment using deep learning and spatial statistics.
This paper studies the interrelation between spot and futures prices in the two major rice markets in prewar Japan from the perspective of market efficiency. Applying a non-Bayesian time-varying model approach to the fundamental equation for spot returns and the futures premium, we detect when efficiency reductions in …
Research predicts rice prices in Banda Aceh post-COVID using ARIMA models.
MTS-CycleGAN adapts multivariate time series data for ironmaking industry.
This paper examines the integration process of the Japanese major rice markets (Tokyo and Osaka) from 1881 to 1932. Using a non-Bayesian time-varying vector error correction model, we argue that the process strongly depended on the government's policy on the network system of the telegram and telephone; rice traders wi…
We investigate the relationship between market efficiency of rice futures transaction in Osaka and the Japanese government intervention in rice distributions by directly buying and selling rice during the interwar period, from the middle 1910s to 1939, considering the context of "discretion versus rules." We use a time…
This study analyzes how colonial rice trade in prewar Japan affected its rice market, considering several government interventions in the two rice futures exchanges in Tokyo and Osaka. We explore the interventions in the futures markets using two procedures. First, we measure the joint degree of efficiency in the marke…
The Lugannani-Rice formula is a saddlepoint approximation method for estimating the tail probability distribution function, which was originally studied for the sum of independent identically distributed random variables. Because of its tractability, the formula is now widely used in practical financial engineering as …
A new method improves the interpretability of data-driven models in ironmaking processes.
Study improves paddy rice yield predictions in Peru using sparse regression and climatic variables.
We extend Kac-Rice formula to compute expected intersections of random submanifolds.
Study finds intrinsic multifractality in maize and barley spot markets, but not in wheat and rice.
Framework detects anomalies in industrial processes using deep learning.
We study the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model of financial market crashes (Johansen, Ledoit, and Sornette [2000] "Crashes as Critical Points." Int. J. Theor. Appl. Finan. 3(2) 219-255). On our view, the JLS model is a curious case from the perspective of the recent philosophy of science literature, as it is natural…
Study finds the number of modes in Gaussian kernel density estimators scales with sqrt(β log β).
MO-GP models fill gaps in biophysical data with across-domain info transfer.
Formula for critical points of chi fields on manifolds.
We establish a few formulas that compute the volume of the zero-set (or nodal set) of a function on a compact Riemannian manifold as integrals of functionals of the function and its derivatives.
We present a method to obtain the average and the typical value of the number of critical points of the empirical risk landscape for generalized linear estimation problems and variants. This represents a substantial extension of previous applications of the Kac-Rice method since it allows to analyze the critical points…
Develops calculus for random submanifolds using zonoids.
Capsule Networks have great potential to tackle problems in structural biology because of their attention to hierarchical relationships. This paper describes the implementation and application of a Capsule Network architecture to the classification of RAS protein family structures on GPU-based computational resources. …
The study of topological properties of random smooth maps, focusing on Kac-Rice formula and Betti numbers.
Uniform interpretation of group theory in manifold homeomorphisms.
We analyze the landscape of empirical risk minimization for high-dimensional models, predicting phase transitions and critical point properties.
Recent work in distance metric learning has focused on learning transformations of data that best align with specified pairwise similarity and dissimilarity constraints, often supplied by a human observer. The learned transformations lead to improved retrieval, classification, and clustering algorithms due to the bette…
Two impossibility theorems show formal alignment certification is impossible for AI systems.
The paper analyzes local minima in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
Bayesian hypergraph inference models disease pathways from EHR data.
Non-convex optimization with local search heuristics has been widely used in machine learning, achieving many state-of-art results. It becomes increasingly important to understand why they can work for these NP-hard problems on typical data. The landscape of many objective functions in learning has been conjectured to …
Bayesian model identifies health disparities in disease progression.
Disease phenotyping algorithms process observational clinical data to identify patients with specific diseases. Supervised phenotyping methods require significant quantities of expert-labeled data, while unsupervised methods may learn non-disease phenotypes. To address these limitations, we propose the Semi-Supervised …
Bayesian meta-learning predicts Alzheimer's disease progression.
Clinical researchers use disease progression models to understand patient status and characterize progression patterns from longitudinal health records. One approach for disease progression modeling is to describe patient status using a small number of states that represent distinctive distributions over a set of obser…
It is crucial to provide compatible treatment schemes for a disease according to various symptoms at different stages. However, most classification methods might be ineffective in accurately classifying a disease that holds the characteristics of multiple treatment stages, various symptoms, and multi-pathogenesis. More…
Drug repositioning is an attractive cost-efficient strategy for the development of treatments for human diseases. Here, we propose an interpretable model that learns disease self-representations for drug repositioning. Our self-representation model represents each disease as a linear combination of a few other diseases…
Elucidating the genetic basis of human diseases is a central goal of genetics and molecular biology. While traditional linkage analysis and modern high-throughput techniques often provide long lists of tens or hundreds of disease gene candidates, the identification of disease genes among the candidates remains time-con…
Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a degenerative brain disease impairing a person's ability to perform day to day activities. The clinical manifestations of Alzheimer's disease are characterized by heterogeneity in age, disease span, progression rate, impairment of memory and cognitive abilities. Due to these variabilities, …
Deep Belief Network predicts lncRNA-disease associations with high accuracy.
Enhances disease progression modeling using LLMs for complex brain connectivity.
For many complex diseases, there is a wide variety of ways in which an individual can manifest the disease. The challenge of personalized medicine is to develop tools that can accurately predict the trajectory of an individual's disease, which can in turn enable clinicians to optimize treatments. We represent an indivi…
A method to explain disease transformation using biomarker covariance matrices.
We introduce Disease Knowledge Transfer (DKT), a novel technique for transferring biomarker information between related neurodegenerative diseases. DKT infers robust multimodal biomarker trajectories in rare neurodegenerative diseases even when only limited, unimodal data is available, by transferring information from …
The technique of Formal Concept Analysis is applied to a dataset describing the traits of rodents, with the goal of identifying zoonotic disease carriers,or those species carrying infections that can spillover to cause human disease. The concepts identified among these species together provide rules-of-thumb about the …
Paper uses TDA for automated Parkinson's disease classification and severity assessment.
Proposes Ada-Sit method for mortality prediction of rare diseases.
Analyzing available FAO data from 176 countries over 21 years, we observe an increase of complexity in the international trade of maize, rice, soy, and wheat. A larger number of countries play a role as producers or intermediaries, either for trade or food processing. In consequence, we find that the trade networks bec…