GRRT recovers sparse signals without prior sparsity or noise variance knowledge.
problem Recovering sparse signals without prior sparsity or noise variance knowledge.
method Generalized residual ratio thresholding (GRRT) for SOMP and BOMP.
result Finite sample and finite SNR guarantees for exact support recovery.
New diagnostic method detects misspecified models in inverse PDE problems.
problem Misleading residual-norm diagnostics in inverse PDE problems.
method Structure-sensitive sequential diagnostic using e-processes.
result Rejects fitted models that produce biased predictions.
Recovering the support of sparse vectors in underdetermined linear regression models, \textit{aka}, compressive sensing is important in many signal processing applications. High SNR consistency (HSC), i.e., the ability of a support recovery technique to correctly identify the support with increasing signal to noise rat…
This paper improves bond market making by adjusting hit-ratios for client flow quality.
problem Economic misleading of raw hit-ratios in corporate bond market making.
method Stochastic-control framework with residual-quality-adjusted hit-ratio.
result Optimal quotes decompose into various components, improving service/economics frontier.
Alpha-based performance evaluation may fail to capture correlated residuals due to model errors. This paper proposes using the Generalized Information Ratio (GIR) to measure performance under misspecified benchmarks. Motivated by the theoretical link between abnormal returns and residual covariance matrix, GIR is deriv…
Researchers identify critical protein residues using advanced graph theory.
problem Identifying essential residues in proteins for function.
method Learning Random Geometric Graphs (RGG) with Cramer's V correlation and organic thresholding.
result Advanced RGG methods accurately identify critical residues compared to existing techniques.
New method for Sharpe ratio analysis in high dimensions using residual-based nodewise regression.
problem Consistency of Sharpe ratio estimators in high-dimensional portfolios.
method Residual-based nodewise regression for estimating precision matrix of errors and returns.
result Consistent Sharpe ratio estimators in various portfolio settings.
Proposes a conservative LR estimator for infrequent data near a frequency threshold.
problem Overestimation of likelihood ratios for infrequent data near a frequency threshold.
method Conservative likelihood ratio estimator for frequencies slightly above a threshold.
result Improves prediction accuracy in named entity context prediction.
This paper studies deep learning methodologies for portfolio optimization in the US equities market. We present a novel residual switching network that can automatically sense changes in market regimes and switch between momentum and reversal predictors accordingly. The residual switching network architecture combines …
Sharp stability threshold found for deep residual architectures.
problem Ensuring stable training and inference in deep residual networks.
method Sublinear-growth principle and optimal-control analysis.
result Stable training condition: input-magnitude exponent q ≤ 1.
Orthogonal matching pursuit (OMP) is a widely used algorithm for recovering sparse high dimensional vectors in linear regression models. The optimal performance of OMP requires \textit{a priori} knowledge of either the sparsity of regression vector or noise statistics. Both these statistics are rarely known \textit{a p…
Study on detecting and recovering hidden dense cycles in random graphs.
problem Detecting and recovering hidden dense cycles in random graphs.
method Information-theoretic analysis of thresholds for detection and recovery.
result Characterization of information-theoretic thresholds for detection and recovery.
Flow preserves isoperimetric ratio for immersed surfaces.
problem Preserving isoperimetric ratio in Willmore flow.
method Non-local L2-gradient flow for Willmore energy. result Long-time existence and convergence for spherical initial data.
The study examines when to trust confidence thresholding in pseudo-labelling regression.
problem Calibrated probabilities from classifiers used for pseudo-labelling need careful handling to avoid bias in downstream regression.
method Developed a diagnostic apparatus to predict and bound the bias induced by confidence thresholding, derived a closed-form expression for the attenuation bias.
result The bias can be predicted from the residual score variance V∗, motivating a structural separation between classifier features and downstream controls. Study detects signals in spiked Wigner models using log likelihood ratio.
problem Detecting signals in rank-one spiked Wigner models with non-Gaussian noise.
method Proved asymptotic normality of log likelihood ratio and computed error thresholds.
result Optimal signal-to-noise ratio threshold for reliable detection.
The paper introduces a diagnostic method to detect grokking transitions in models before test accuracy improves.
problem Detecting the transition from training to generalization in machine learning models.
method Summarize task-dependent observables as empirical distributions, map them to Wasserstein/quantile coordinates, and analyze using Hankel dynamic mode decomposition.
result The diagnostic method achieves AUROC \(\approx\) 0.93 for grokking-vs-non-grokking discrimination at the run level.
Discrete time hedging in a complete diffusion market is considered. The hedge portfolio is rebalanced when the absolute difference between delta of the hedge portfolio and the derivative contract reaches a threshold level. The rate of convergence of the expected squared hedging error as the threshold level approaches z…
Grover search for optimal portfolios based on Sharpe ratio.
problem Finding optimal portfolios with specific risk-return characteristics.
method Grover's algorithm applied to portfolio selection with oracles.
result Quantum algorithms can efficiently find optimal portfolios.
We solve an optimal consumption problem with habit formation constraints.
problem Maximizing utility with habit formation constraints.
method Formulated and solved a deterministic optimal consumption problem.
result Optimal consumption policies derived explicitly.
In this paper, we implement multi-label neural networks with optimal thresholding to identify gas species among a multi gas mixture in a cluttered environment. Using infrared absorption spectroscopy and tested on synthesized spectral datasets, our approach outperforms conventional binary relevance - partial least squar…
Linear regression models contaminated by Gaussian noise (inlier) and possibly unbounded sparse outliers are common in many signal processing applications. Sparse recovery inspired robust regression (SRIRR) techniques are shown to deliver high quality estimation performance in such regression models. Unfortunately, most…
SRFRN accelerates image super-resolution using shallow residual units.
problem High computational complexity and time in deep learning image super-resolution.
method SRFRN uses a bicubic interpolated low-resolution image and residual representative units (RFR) for faster and more efficient high-resolution image reconstruction.
result SRFRN achieves superior performance and faster execution time compared to existing methods.
DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.
problem Inferring causal direction between continuous and discrete variables from observational data.
method Density Ratio-based Causal Discovery (DRCD) method.
result DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.
This work characterizes the fundamental limit of network pruning using statistical dimension and convex geometry.
problem The fundamental limit of network pruning is still lacking, especially for deep neural networks.
method Directly imposing sparsity constraint on the loss function and using statistical dimension in convex geometry.
result Characterizes the sharp phase transition point as the fundamental limit of pruning ratio.
This work tackles asymmetric community estimation in multi-layer directed networks.
problem Estimating different numbers of sender and receiver communities in multi-layer directed networks.
method Proposes a goodness-of-fit test based on the largest singular value of an aggregated normalized residual matrix.
result Develops sequential and ratio-based testing procedures to consistently determine true sender and receiver community numbers.
We derive a "semi-analytic" solution for a stock loan in which the lender forces liquidation when the loan-to-collateral ratio drops beneath a certain threshold. We use this to study the sensitivity of the contract to model parameters.
We discuss the turnpike property for optimal investment and consumption problems. We find there exists a threshold value that determines the turnpike property for investment policy. The threshold value only depends on the Sharpe ratio, the riskless interest rate and the discount rate. We show that if utilities behave a…
Paper connects rejection learning to Bhattacharyya divergence.
problem Learning models to abstain from predictions.
method Developed a link between rejection and thresholding different statistical divergences, focusing on Bhattacharyya divergence.
result Rejector obtained by joint ideal distribution corresponds to thresholding of skewed Bhattacharyya divergence.
Spatial Adapter adds structured spatial representation to frozen predictors.
problem Efficiently adding spatial structure to pre-trained models.
method Structured spatial decomposition and closed-form covariance for residual fields.
result Adapter improves spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification.
Estimates true Sharpe ratio of selected assets with various methods.
problem Estimating the true Sharpe ratio of a selected asset with high in-sample ratio.
method Polyhedral lemma, James Stein shrinkage, debiasing, thresholding, empirical Bayes.
result James Stein estimator performs best across various parameter values.
The paper studies phase transitions in random matrices and tensor unfolding for detecting signals.
problem Phase transitions in singular values and vectors of large random matrices.
method Analysis of singular values and vectors of long rectangular random matrices, and tensor unfolding algorithm for asymmetric rank-one spiked tensor models.
result An exact threshold for tensor unfolding to detect signals, independent of unfolding procedure.
The paper analyzes how to combine self-protection and self-insurance for risk reduction.
problem Combining self-protection and self-insurance for risk reduction when market insurance is absent.
method The approach uses Value-at-Risk and Tail Value-at-Risk to evaluate residual risk and solves the problem using isoquant geometry based on marginal-balance curves.
result The analysis identifies the conditions under which self-protection and self-insurance behave as substitutes or complements.
FactorGCL uses hypergraph learning to predict stock returns by mining hidden factors.
problem Mining effective factors in data-driven models is challenging due to low signal-to-noise ratio in market data.
method FactorGCL employs a hypergraph structure and temporal residual contrastive learning to extract hidden factors.
result FactorGCL outperforms existing methods and mines effective hidden factors for predicting stock returns.
Paper explores limits of high-order clustering with planted structures.
problem Statistical and computational limits of high-order clustering with planted structures.
method Developed methods for detection and recovery of clusters, identified signal-to-noise ratio boundaries.
result Sharp boundaries of signal-to-noise ratio for statistical and computational feasibility.
The study improves stock market valuation using volatility and earnings data.
problem Improving stock market valuation metrics.
method Time series model for asset returns, multivariate kernel density estimation, linear regression.
result The valuation measure is an improvement over Shiller's P/E ratio.
Alignment of neural network representations is influenced by SNR and sample size.
problem Understanding how neural network representations align across different conditions.
method Controlled training of neural networks on perturbed datasets, analyzing alignment and generalization.
result Alignment varies monotonically with SNR but non-monotonically with sample size, with minimal alignment near the interpolation threshold.
Improved AI lung ultrasound segmentation using expert confidence values.
problem Label uncertainty in lung ultrasound due to subjective interpretation by radiologists.
method Designing a data annotation protocol capturing expert confidence, training AI on binarized labels with confidence thresholds.
result Improved AI segmentation and better clinical outcomes (e.g., S/F oxygenation ratio estimation, patient readmission prediction).
STRIC detects anomalies in time series by analyzing residual signals.
problem Anomaly detection in multivariate time series data.
method End-to-end differentiable neural network architecture with Sequential Probability Ratio Test on residuals.
result STRIC outperforms state-of-the-art methods on multiple benchmarks.
A new algorithm improves sample complexity for thresholding in Monte Carlo Tree Search.
problem Determining if the root node value of a tree is at least a given threshold.
method Developed a δ-correct sequential sampling algorithm based on the Track-and-Stop strategy.
result Ratio-based modification of D-Tracking strategy reduces sample complexity and computational cost.
Paper presents a deep learning method for estimating asset return precision matrices in noisy financial markets.
problem Estimating precision matrices of asset returns in low signal-to-noise ratio environments.
method Non-linear factor model within deep learning framework, consistent estimator with error covariance estimator.
result Superior accuracy in simulations and empirical data.
The paper studies inference in hypergraph β-models with multiple layers.
problem Estimating and testing in hypergraph β-models with degree heterogeneity.
method Maximum likelihood estimation and likelihood ratio test for hypergraph β-models with multiple layers.
result The ML estimate and LR test are optimally powerful under the null hypothesis.
Study post-hoc Learning to Defer using density-ratio losses.
problem Optimizing decision-making between models and experts.
method Density-ratio losses for post-hoc L2D scorers, derived from class-probability estimation.
result The approach recovers known results and introduces new connections to expert comparison and anomaly detection.
The interplay between computational efficiency and statistical accuracy in high-dimensional inference has drawn increasing attention in the literature. In this paper, we study computational and statistical boundaries for submatrix localization. Given one observation of (one or multiple non-overlapping) signal submatrix…
This paper describes the black hole threshold in a moduli space of spherically symmetric spacetimes.
problem Understanding the black hole threshold in a moduli space of spherically symmetric spacetimes.
method Complete description and analysis of the black hole threshold in the moduli space M. result The black hole threshold is the extremal leaf of a C1 foliation of the moduli space, separating black hole solutions from non-collapsing solutions. New models explain residual and dilated dense neural networks using sparse coding.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of residual and dilated dense neural networks.
method Proposed Res-CSC and MSD-CSC models, derived mathematical relationships, implemented ISTA.
result Mathematical understanding of residual and dilated dense neural networks.
Characterizes optimal reconstruction error in high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures.
problem Optimizing reconstruction error in high-dimensional sparse Gaussian mixtures.
method Exact asymptotic characterization using state evolution of AMP algorithm.
result Identification of statistical-to-computational gap between AMP and information-theoretic threshold.
Replicates deep learning strategy for trading factor residuals, finds strong performance.
problem Exploiting mis-pricing from unexplained cross-sectional variation in factor models.
method Adhering to PIT principles, used CNNs and Transformers on recent data.
result Out-of-sample Sharpe ratios exceeding 10 in certain tests.
Prior-weighted logistic regression has become a standard tool for calibration in speaker recognition. Logistic regression is the optimization of the expected value of the logarithmic scoring rule. We generalize this via a parametric family of proper scoring rules. Our theoretical analysis shows how different members of…