Deep residual networks trained with gradient descent have small generalization gap.
problem Limited theoretical understanding of why residual networks generalize well.
method Analyzing overparameterized deep residual networks trained by gradient descent.
result Demonstrates that residual networks have a small generalization gap between training and test error.
Alpha-based performance evaluation may fail to capture correlated residuals due to model errors. This paper proposes using the Generalized Information Ratio (GIR) to measure performance under misspecified benchmarks. Motivated by the theoretical link between abnormal returns and residual covariance matrix, GIR is deriv…
In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the standard independence assumption on the error term in order to extend the range …
New diagnostic method detects misspecified models in inverse PDE problems.
problem Misleading residual-norm diagnostics in inverse PDE problems.
method Structure-sensitive sequential diagnostic using e-processes.
result Rejects fitted models that produce biased predictions.
CRC improves multivariate forecasting accuracy without risking performance degradation.
problem Systematic errors and lack of guarantees in multivariate forecasters.
method CRC uses a causality-inspired encoder and hybrid corrector with a safety mechanism.
result CRC consistently improves accuracy and ensures high non-degradation rates.
New measure assesses deep neural networks' robustness to adversarial attacks.
problem Deep learning's fragility to adversarial attacks limits its adoption in mission-critical applications.
method Introduces residual error as a new performance measure for assessing adversarial robustness.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of residual error in assessing robustness of deep neural networks.
Optimal a priori estimates are derived for the population risk, also known as the generalization error, of a regularized residual network model. An important part of the regularized model is the usage of a new path norm, called the weighted path norm, as the regularization term. The weighted path norm treats the skip c…
Proposes a robust method for high-dimensional linear models.
problem Inference in high-dimensional settings with heavy-tailed errors and clustered data.
method Residual randomization procedure for Lasso-based inference.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods in challenging settings.
Robust forecast framework reduces distribution error by 63%.
problem Accurate distribution forecast for planning decisions.
method Backtest-based bootstrap and adaptive residual selection.
result Reduces Absolute Coverage Error by more than 63%.
Paper studies M-estimators with derivatives and residual distribution for robust adaptive tuning.
problem Tackles robustness and adaptive tuning of M-estimators with heavy-tailed noise.
method Provides formulae for derivatives, characterizes residual distribution, proposes adaptive criterion.
result Characterizes distribution of residuals and proposes adaptive criterion as out-of-sample error proxy.
This paper characterizes the conditional distribution properties of the finite sample ridge regression estimator and uses that result to evaluate total regression and generalization errors that incorporate the inaccuracies committed at the time of parameter estimation. The paper provides explicit formulas for those err…
Neural operators correct PDE residuals to improve BIP solutions.
problem Reducing error in infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with neural operators.
method Error correction using PDE residuals to improve neural operator approximation.
result Trained neural operators with error correction achieve a quadratic reduction in approximation error.
New method for distributional off-policy evaluation using Bellman residual minimization.
problem Learning return distribution from offline data generated by a different policy.
method Energy Bellman Residual Minimizer (EBRM) method.
result Established finite-sample error bound for EBRM estimator.
Wide residual networks generalize well with uniform convergence to RNTK as width increases.
problem Understanding the generalization ability of wide residual networks.
method Uniform convergence of residual network kernel to residual neural tangent kernel (RNTK).
result Generalization error converges to kernel regression error with respect to RNTK.
The study analyzes numerical stability in large language models using mixed-precision arithmetic.
problem Numerical stability of large language models using low-precision arithmetic.
method Developed a mixed-precision analysis of transformer inference, deriving bounds for condition numbers and forward error.
result Established that numerical stability is determined by the interplay between weight magnitude and the growth of the residual stream.
D2SRM solves complex PDEs using deep learning.
problem High-dimensional, Hessian-dependent fully nonlinear parabolic PDEs.
method Single scalar space-time network generating derivative-consistent approximations trained through residuals and penalties.
result Well-posedness and convergence theory established for globally Lipschitz equations.
SA-PEF improves federated learning efficiency by correcting gradient mismatches.
problem Slow decay of residual error in federated learning under non-IID data.
method Integrates step-ahead correction with partial error feedback.
result Achieves faster convergence and target accuracy compared to standard EF.
AAS optimizes neural network PDE approximations by adaptively sampling.
problem Statistical errors from random samples in neural network PDE approximations.
method Minmax formulation to optimize neural network and training set samples.
result Reduces Monte Carlo approximation error for a given sample size.
Sources of variability in experimentally derived data include measurement error in addition to the physical phenomena of interest. This measurement error is a combination of systematic components, originating from the measuring instrument, and random measurement errors. Several novel biological technologies, such as ma…
This work presents a technique for statistically modeling errors introduced by reduced-order models. The method employs Gaussian-process regression to construct a mapping from a small number of computationally inexpensive `error indicators' to a distribution over the true error. The variance of this distribution can be…
New bounds on ReLU networks for low-regular functions.
problem Bounding approximation error for ReLU networks on low-regular functions.
method Complexity analysis of Fourier features residual networks to ReLU networks.
result Approximation error bound proportional to target function norm and inversely proportional to network width and depth.
Proposes a neural network method to correct residual distortions in coordinate transformations.
problem Nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions in coordinate transformation models.
method Residual-based neural network approach focusing on systematic distortions.
result The method improves accuracy and stability in challenging conditions.
Develops efficient inference for noise heterogeneity in machine learning models.
problem Downstream procedures based on residuals can be biased in additive noise models.
method Semiparametrically efficient inference using a novel Hilbert-valued one-step estimator.
result Constructs tests and confidence intervals for residual independence and goodness of fit.
Inverse depth scaling found in LLMs due to similar layers averaging error.
problem Understanding how depth affects loss in large language models.
method Analysis of LLMs and toy residual networks.
result Loss scales inversely proportional to depth in LLMs.
Improved stochastic approximation method reduces residual error.
problem Reducing residual error in stochastic approximation algorithms.
method Fixed-schedule one-quarter barrier and bias-corrected acceleration.
result Achieves T−1/2+o(1) residual reduction with O(1) primitive samples. New method for Sharpe ratio analysis in high dimensions using residual-based nodewise regression.
problem Consistency of Sharpe ratio estimators in high-dimensional portfolios.
method Residual-based nodewise regression for estimating precision matrix of errors and returns.
result Consistent Sharpe ratio estimators in various portfolio settings.
DIET tests conditional independence using marginal dependence measures of residual information.
problem Computational intractability of conditional randomization tests (CRTs).
method DIET avoids fitting large models by leveraging marginal independence statistics of information residuals.
result DIET achieves higher power than other tractable CRTs on synthetic and real benchmarks.
Deep learning enhances options hedging performance.
problem Improving delta hedging for options using neural networks.
method Learning residuals between hedging function and implied Black-Scholes delta using neural networks.
result Deep learning significantly improves hedging performance, often by more than 100%.
Residual Networks are shown to be equivalent to boosting feature representation.
problem Improving feature representation in deep learning models.
method Proved ResNet's equivalence to Online Gradient Boosting and proposed decision tree residual modules.
result ResNet can achieve Online Gradient Boosting regret bounds through architectural changes.
While training error of most deep neural networks degrades as the depth of the network increases, residual networks appear to be an exception. We show that the main reason for this is the Lyapunov stability of the gradient descent algorithm: for an arbitrarily chosen step size, the equilibria of the gradient descent ar…
Gaussian Process (GP) regression models typically assume that residuals are Gaussian and have the same variance for all observations. However, applications with input-dependent noise (heteroscedastic residuals) frequently arise in practice, as do applications in which the residuals do not have a Gaussian distribution. …
Causality-aware methods outperform linear residualization in confounding adjustment for anticausal prediction.
problem Adjusting for confounding in anticausal prediction tasks.
method Causality-aware counterfactual confounding adjustment.
result Causality-aware methods asymptotically outperform linear residualization in predictive performance.
New robust estimator improves variable selection and coefficient estimation in linear regression with heavy-tailed errors and outliers.
problem Heavy-tailed errors and anomalous predictors in high-dimensional regression.
method Adaptive PENSE estimator for robust variable selection and estimation.
result Adaptive PENSE estimator provides reliable results even under very heavy-tailed errors and aberrant predictors.
Leasing is a popular channel to market new cars. Pricing a leasing contract is complicated because the leasing rate embodies an expectation of the residual value of the car after contract expiration. To aid lessors in their pricing decisions, the paper develops resale price forecasting models. A peculiarity of the leas…
We have developed an automatic sleep stage classification algorithm based on deep residual neural networks and raw polysomnogram signals. Briefly, the raw data is passed through 50 convolutional layers before subsequent classification into one of five sleep stages. Three model configurations were trained on 1850 polyso…
RKD improves model compression by distilling residual knowledge from a deep teacher model.
problem Performance degradation due to the gap between student and teacher models.
method Introduces an assistant model to distill residual knowledge from the teacher model.
result RKD achieves better results on popular classification datasets than state-of-the-art methods.
SCORE improves tree-based predictions with boosted residual extraTrees.
problem Improving tree-based prediction models with reduced errors.
method Inspired by representation learning, SCORE uses boosting, regularized regression, and variable selection.
result SCORE provides comparable or superior performance compared to other models.
FetchSGD reduces communication in federated learning with sketching.
problem Communication bottlenecks and convergence issues in federated learning.
method FetchSGD uses Count Sketch to compress and merge model updates efficiently.
result FetchSGD achieves high compression rates and good convergence without sparse client participation.
This paper employs the extrinsic information transfer (EXIT) method, a technique imported from the analysis of the iterative decoding of error control codes, to study the performance of belief propagation in community detection in the presence of side information. We consider both the detection of a single (hidden) com…
New method improves matrix completion accuracy, especially in noisy data.
problem Noisy matrix completion in recommendation systems and signal processing.
method Residual Spectral Matching criterion and pseudo-gradient algorithms.
result Improved numerical performance in noisy data environments.
A new method boosts exploration in bandit algorithms, reducing regret.
problem Improving exploration in bandit algorithms with bounded or unbounded rewards.
method Residual Bootstrap Exploration (ReBoot) method that injects data-driven randomness.
result Proves logarithmic regret in Gaussian multi-armed bandits with appropriate variance inflation.
Efficiently refits black box predictions with wild refitting method.
problem Computing high-probability upper bounds on prediction errors.
method Three-step procedure: residuals, symmetrization, and solving a modified prediction problem.
result Wild refitting provides an upper bound on prediction error with high probability.
Sparse ELM classifier predicts brain ages from adolescent multimodal brain data.
problem Predicting brain ages from adolescent multimodal brain data with high accuracy.
method Sparse ELM classifier using residual errors for feature pruning.
result RES-ELM classifier outperforms conventional and sparse Bayesian learning ELM.
A method to reduce bias in model-based policy evaluation by shifting operators.
problem Bias in value function computation from noisy estimated models.
method Operator shifting method to reduce the residual norm error.
result The shifting factor is always positive and upper bounded by $1+O\left(1/n
ight)$.
To have a superior generalization, a deep learning neural network often involves a large size of training sample. With increase of hidden layers in order to increase learning ability, neural network has potential degradation in accuracy. Both could seriously limit applicability of deep learning in some domains particul…
Itô processes are the most common form of continuous semimartingales, and include diffusion processes. This paper is concerned with the nonparametric regression relationship between two such Itô processes. We are interested in the quadratic variation (integrated volatility) of the residual in this regression, over a un…
RSIC identifies multiple ranks of interest in NMF by analyzing residual sensitivity.
problem Determining the optimal rank in NMF.
method RSIC analyzes sensitivity of relative residuals to different initializations.
result RSIC identifies meaningful ranks consistent with data structure.
We propose a novel exponentially-modified Gaussian (EMG) mixture residual model. The EMG mixture is well suited to model residuals that are contaminated by a distribution with positive support. This is in contrast to commonly used robust residual models, like the Huber loss or ℓ1, which assume a symmetric contami…