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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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36811 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for bias-corrected

Study proposes a new method to estimate bias-correction term for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating the bias-correction term for ATE estimation.
method Directly estimating the bias-correction term by minimizing Bregman divergence.
result Automatic covariate balancing property achieved through specific model choices.

This paper corrects climate model biases using a factor model approach.

problem Systematic biases in GCM outputs due to unobserved confounders.
method Factor model approach to learn latent confounders from historical data and apply them to enhance bias correction.
result Significant improvements in the accuracy of precipitation outputs.

The study examines methods to correct measurement error in nutritional epidemiology studies.

problem Measurement error in nutritional studies leads to biased and underconfident estimates.
method The article reviews various bias-correction models for exposure variables in nutritional epidemiology.
result Bias-correction methods are essential for accurate inference in nutritional studies.

This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We demonstrate empirically that the proposed bootstrap bias correction can lead to…

2015-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Depth uncertainty networks don't improve with bias correction, contrary to expectations.

problem Improving performance in active learning with overparameterised models like NNs.
method Depth uncertainty networks, compared to underparameterised models, show no improvement in performance with bias correction.
result Depth uncertainty networks do not improve with bias correction, unlike underparameterised models.

The paper corrects biases in estimating intrinsic dimension and differential entropy.

problem Systematic bias in estimating intrinsic dimension and differential entropy.
method A bias-corrected estimator for both measures is proposed, highlighting shared steps and useful consequences.
result Simultaneous estimation of differential entropy and intrinsic dimension provides complementary perspectives on underlying manifolds.

STAS selects optimal spatio-temporal scales for bias correction in precipitation forecasts.

problem Limited prior data and fixed ST scale in existing BCoPs lead to biases in numerical weather predictions.
method End-to-end deep-learning BCoP model STAS with SFM/TFM to automatically adjust spatial and temporal scales.
result STAS outperforms 8 published BCoP methods on threat scores (TS).

Generative model improves wind field downscaling from coarse climate models.

problem Limited spatial resolution and biases in GCMs for wind energy studies.
method SerpentFlow for domain alignment and conditional fine-scale learning.
result Improved spatial coherence, inter-variable consistency, robustness under climate change.

New method preserves GCM spatial dependencies for better climate projections.

problem Systemic biases in GCM output and loss of spatial/temporal dependencies.
method SPECD approach using Vecchia approximation and semi-parametric quantile regression.
result SPECD preserves key marginal and joint distribution properties of precipitation and temperature.

Study on estimating volatility of volatility using Fourier methods and provides insights into volatility dynamics.

problem Estimating the volatility of volatility (vol-of-vol) accurately and efficiently.
method Used Fourier methodology to estimate integrated volatility of volatility, bias-corrected and without bias-correction, comparing their asymptotic properties and accuracy.
result The bias-corrected estimator reaches the optimal rate n1/4n^{1/4}, while the uncorrected estimator has a slower rate and smaller asymptotic variance.

A2A metric evaluates bias correction methods, reducing ATE estimation errors.

problem Selection biases in non-randomized studies of medical treatments.
method Propensity score matching (PSM) with novel metric A2A.
result Reduces ATE estimation errors by up to 90% across synthetic and real-world datasets.

Unified view of improving tree model interpretability and debiasing feature importance.

problem Improving interpretability and debiasing feature importance in tree-based models.
method Demonstrates a common thread among bias correction methods and local explanations for trees.
result Points out a bias in explainable AI for trees algorithms due to inbag data inclusion.

Proposes a new algorithm to estimate invariant subspaces across multilayer networks.

problem Estimating invariant subspaces across heterogeneous multiple networks.
method Bias-corrected joint spectral embedding algorithm that recursively calibrates diagonal bias and iteratively updates the subspace estimator.
result Established entrywise subspace perturbation bound and entrywise eigenvector central limit theorem for the algorithm.

BC-ACI corrects time series forecast bias, improving prediction intervals.

problem Persistent bias in time series forecasts leads to overly conservative prediction intervals.
method Augments ACI with an EWM estimate of forecast bias to correct nonconformity scores and re-center intervals.
result Reduces Winkler interval scores by 13-17% under distribution shifts, improving calibration.

A new method corrects bias in high-dimensional ridge regression.

problem Inherent bias in ridge regression limits statistical efficiency and scalability.
method Iterative bias correction strategy for p<np < n and Ridge-Screening method for p>np > n.
result Valid inferences and asymptotic properties established for de-biased ridge estimators.

PBC improves AI and dynamical subseasonal forecasts by reducing biases.

problem Subseasonal forecast accuracy drops due to model biases and compounding errors.
method Probabilistic bias correction (PBC) using machine learning to correct historical forecasts.
result PBC doubles AI Forecasting System's subseasonal skill and improves dynamical model skill.

New algorithm corrects bias in LDP-released data for better analysis.

problem Bias in data released under Local Differential Privacy (LDP).
method Inverse Weierstrass Private Stochastic Gradient Descent (IWP-SGD).
result Converges to true population risk minimizer at O(1/n)\mathcal{O}(1/n) rate.

PPI uses predictions and weighting to infer from partially labeled data.

problem Valid inference with partially labeled data.
method Combines model-based predictions with bias correction from labeled data, using Horvitz-Thompson and Hájek corrections.
result IPW-adjusted PPI with estimated propensities performs similarly to known-probability case.

The paper addresses the gap between theoretical and practical confidence set widths in universal inference.

problem Inference procedures can be overly conservative, leading to wider confidence sets than expected.
method The authors identify the source of asymptotic conservativeness and propose a remedy based on studentization and bias correction.
result The proposed method achieves exact asymptotic coverage at the nominal 1α1-α level, even under model misspecification.

We correct for sampling bias in training models to improve real-world performance.

problem Sampling bias causes discrepancies between lab and real-world model performance.
method Bayesian risk minimization and derived bias-corrected loss functions.
result Our approach integrates seamlessly into current learning paradigms and improves model performance.

SEDA improves RLDA for high-dimensional data.

problem Inconsistent performance of RLDA in high-dimensional scenarios.
method Developed a non-asymptotic approximation of misclassification rate, derived new theoretical results on eigenvectors, and proposed SEDA algorithm.
result SEDA achieves higher classification accuracy and dimensionality reduction compared to existing LDA methods.

Proposes TSCI method to infer causal effects with weak or invalid instruments using machine learning.

problem Causal inference with weak or invalid instrumental variables.
method Two-stage curvature identification (TSCI) using machine learning.
result Asymptotically unbiased and Gaussian estimator for causal effects.

Proposes EDM algorithm to accelerate model training in distributed networks.

problem Hindered effectiveness of distributed stochastic optimization algorithms due to data heterogeneity and network sparsity.
method Introduces Exact-Diffusion with Momentum (EDM) algorithm, incorporating momentum techniques to mitigate bias and enhance convergence rate.
result EDM algorithm converges sub-linearly to the optimal solution, radius independent of data heterogeneity, for non-convex objective functions.

New method corrects risk estimation bias, improving backtesting results.

problem Underestimation of risk by existing methods, especially in small samples.
method Proposes a new algorithm for bias correction using generalized Pareto distributions.
result The new algorithm leads to improved efficiency in estimating risk with heavy tails or heteroscedasticity.

New algorithm corrects risk estimation bias for heavy-tailed data.

problem Underestimation of risk in banking and insurance due to bias in estimation procedures.
method Proposes a new algorithm for bias correction and applies it to generalized Pareto distributions.
result The algorithm leads to more accurate risk estimation, especially in heavy-tailed data.

Framework combines HMM and MTGCN for spatiotemporal causal inference in clinical data.

problem Challenges in observing direct treatment effects in clinical domains.
method Integrates Hidden Markov Model and Multi Task and Multi Graph Convolutional Network for spatiotemporal data.
result Advances predictive causal inference by structurally adapting to spatiotemporal complexities.

Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate high-dimensional prediction performance.

problem Estimating test performance in high-dimensional data settings is challenging.
method Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate test performance at the total sample size.
result Learn2Evaluate provides a lower confidence bound for performance estimation.

Unified framework for output analysis using Monte Carlo sampling.

problem Accurately assess the quality of estimated values in predictive models.
method Unified output analysis framework through Monte Carlo sampling, leveraging fast iterative bootstrap sampling and higher-order influence functions.
result Clear advantage in building more robust confidence intervals with higher coverage probability.

Develops a GMM method to estimate roughness in stochastic volatility models.

problem Estimating roughness in stochastic volatility models with fractional Brownian motion.
method GMM approach for log-normal models with integrated variance and noisy realized variance.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal parameter estimator with bias correction.