Extends super-replication theorem with dynamic strategies and transaction costs.
problem Dynamic super-replication under proportional transaction costs.
method Generalizes admissible strategies and defines a well-defined super-replication price process.
result Well-defined super-replication price process in dynamic setting.
Policy gradient and actor-critic algorithms form the basis of many commonly used training techniques in deep reinforcement learning. Using these algorithms in multiagent environments poses problems such as nonstationarity and instability. In this paper, we first demonstrate that standard softmax-based policy gradient c…
A ML model accurately replicates chaotic dynamics across various parameters.
problem Replicating chaotic characteristics of non-linear dynamics using machine learning.
method A ML model trained to predict one-step-ahead states from historic states captures bifurcation diagrams and Lyapunov exponents universally.
result Variational quantum circuit outperforms classical models in reproducing long-term chaotic characteristics.
Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.
problem Improving price bounds for exotic derivatives through dynamic option trading.
method Extend semi-static trading strategies to include dynamic option trading, analyze duality results and pricing rules.
result Improved price bounds for exotic derivatives compared to conventional methods.
A family of replicator-like dynamics, called the escort replicator equation, is constructed using information-geometric concepts and generalized information entropies and diverenges from statistical thermodynamics. Lyapunov functions and escort generalizations of basic concepts and constructions in evolutionary game th…
Study models interest rates as CTMC, pricing and replicating derivatives.
problem Modeling and pricing financial derivatives in a CTMC setting.
method Model short rate as CTMC, derive pricing and replication strategies, apply Ross Recovery Theorem.
result Derive real-world dynamics of CTMC.
Dynamic hedging of an European option under a general local volatility model with small linear transaction costs is studied. A continuous control version of Leland's strategy that asymptotically replicates the payoff is constructed. An associated central limit theorem of hedging error is proved. The asymptotic error va…
Convex duality for two two different super--replication problems in a continuous time financial market with proportional transaction cost is proved. In this market, static hedging in a finite number of options, in addition to usual dynamic hedging with the underlying stock, are allowed. The first one the problems consi…
Momentum speeds up evolutionary processes in machine learning.
problem Accelerating convergence in evolutionary dynamics.
method Combining momentum from machine learning with evolutionary dynamics using information divergences as Lyapunov functions.
result Momentum accelerates convergence of evolutionary dynamics, including the replicator equation and Euclidean gradient descent.
Proves FR-NGD optimally approximates evolutionary dynamics and continuous Bayesian inference.
problem Optimizing continuous time replicator equations and continuous Bayesian inference.
method Fisher-Rao natural gradient descent (FR-NGD) and its correspondence with evolutionary dynamics.
result FR-NGD optimally approximates continuous time replicator equations and continuous Bayesian inference.
New framework replicates private equity performance using AI and liquid strategies.
problem Inadequate trust and transparency in private equity markets.
method Advanced graphical models and asymmetric risk adjustments.
result Liquid, scalable solution that closely mimics private equity performance.
Study liquidity provision in decentralized exchanges considering risk aversion and replication costs.
problem Economic viability of liquidity provision in decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Formulated strategic interactions as a sequential game with risk-averse LP, traders, and arbitrageurs.
result DEX liquidity depth is crucial for risk management, influenced by risk aversion and replication costs.
We consider a random financial network with a large number of agents. The agents connect through credit instruments borrowed from each other or through direct lending, and these create the liabilities. The settlement of the debts of various agents at the end of the contract period can be expressed as solutions of rando…
The paper prices long-term options with a reflecting barrier model.
problem Pricing long-term options with asset price limits.
method Model asset price as geometric Brownian motion with a lower reflecting barrier, pricing options using compound options.
result Option prices can be determined using standard risk-neutral arguments, and hedging strategies are available.
Proposes a new method combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow for predicting stochastic dynamical systems.
problem Predicting and capturing long-term behaviors of stochastic dynamical systems.
method Data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow, integrating error modeling and both approaches virtues.
result Successfully predicts the long-term evolution of stochastic dynamical systems and replicates dynamical behaviors.
Neural nets replicate hedging payoffs for realistic discrete-time settings.
problem Hedging in realistic, discrete-time financial markets with transaction costs.
method Deep learning techniques to train neural networks to replicate modified payoff functions.
result Neural networks can better accommodate realistic hedging scenarios and transaction costs.
The paper prices and replicates various financial contracts on a risky asset with stochastic volatility and jumps.
problem Pricing and replicating financial contracts on assets with stochastic volatility and jumps.
method Develops pricing and hedging formulas for various financial contracts, independent of the volatility process dynamics.
result Pricing and hedging formulas for financial contracts are derived without dependence on the volatility process dynamics.
This work introduces a novel modified Replicator Dynamics model, which includes external influences on the population. This framework models a realistic market into which companies, the external dynamic influences, invest resources in order to bolster their product's standing and increase their market share. The dynami…
A semi-static approach efficiently replicates and prices callable interest rate derivatives.
problem Efficiently replicating and pricing callable interest rate derivatives under dynamic market conditions.
method Proposes a semi-static hedging algorithm that updates the replication portfolio on a finite number of instances, rather than continuously.
result The hedging error can be made arbitrarily small with a sufficiently large replication portfolio, and closed-form error margins are determined.
New research connects evolutionary dynamics to Bayesian learning.
problem Connecting evolutionary biology and Bayesian learning.
method Rigorous mathematical proof using Kushner-Stratonovich equation and gradient flows.
result Discrete time filtering equations converge to Stratonovich interpretation of Kushner-Stratonovich equation.
This paper deals with the super-replication of non path-dependent European claims under additional convex constraints on the number of shares held in the portfolio. The corresponding super-replication price of a given claim has been widely studied in the literature and its terminal value, which dominates the claim of i…
Interpolates between SPG and NeuRD with Capped Implicit Exploration.
problem Combining SPG and NeuRD for better performance in non-stationary environments.
method Introduces Capped Implicit Exploration (CIX) to interpolate between SPG and NeuRD.
result NeuRD-CIX performs well more consistently than NeuRD while retaining NeuRD's advantages.
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
problem Avoid systemic risk in financial networks.
method Model financial network as random liability graph, agents adapt strategies based on learning, analyze using ODE.
result Emerging strategies converge to evolutionary stable strategies (all risky or all less risky agents).
Aims to describe neural network training dynamics using two-time-scale models.
problem Lack of a general mathematical description of neural network training.
method Introduces a theoretical framework based on two-time-scale population dynamics.
result Derives selection-mutation equations and effective fitness for hyperparameters.
Financial markets have developed a lot of strategies to control risks induced by market fluctuations. Mathematics has emerged as the leading discipline to address fundamental questions in finance as asset pricing model and hedging strategies. History began with the paradigm of zero-risk introduced by Black & Scholes st…
New algorithm ensures consistent results in constrained MAB problems.
problem Achieving consistent results in constrained MAB problems.
method Developed replicable algorithms for constrained MAB problems using the optimism principle.
result Regret and constraint violation of replicable algorithms match those of non-replicable ones.
Unified framework for fixed-income pricing and liability replication.
problem Static arbitrage and discount curve construction.
method Model-free framework for static fixed-income pricing and liability replication.
result Existence of strictly positive discount curves reproducing market prices and least-cost super-replicating portfolios.
Trains neural nets for gamma hedging with model uncertainty.
problem Gamma hedging with model mismatch.
method Trains neural networks using loss functions that reward model uncertainty.
result Networks can learn optimal gamma hedging even with model mismatch.
Characterizes super-replication prices in a financial market model.
problem Characterizing prices in a financial market model.
method Characterizes prices as the supremum of mono-prior super-replication prices through extreme priors and martingale measures.
result Super-replication prices are the supremum of mono-prior super-replication prices.
New study on replicability and stability in machine learning algorithms.
problem Ensuring consistent results in machine learning models without fixing randomness.
method Introduced global stability and list replicability concepts, proving their equivalence and boosting list replicability.
result Global stability can only be achieved weakly, while list replicability can be boosted to achieve high probability of consistent results.
Study on computational aspects of replicable learning, bridging statistical and algorithmic perspectives.
problem Understanding the computational connections between replicability and various learning paradigms.
method Design of replicable learners, lifting framework, and transformation techniques.
result Efficient replicable learners for specific learning problems under various distributions.
Spectral clustering is widely used to partition graphs into distinct modules or communities. Existing methods for spectral clustering use the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the graph Laplacian, an operator that is closely associated with random walks on graphs. We propose a new spectral partitioning method that exploi…
The paper classifies self-replicating 3D shapes using algebraic models.
problem Understanding self-replicating 3D shapes.
method Using idempotents in the (2+1)-cobordism category to classify 3-manifolds.
result A classification theorem for self-replicating 3-manifolds.
The paper proposes a method to adapt machine learning models to changing conditions.
problem Machine learning models need to adapt to new conditions in a constantly changing environment.
method Reuse knowledge from existing models to train future generations.
result The proposed method allows machine learning models to adapt and survive in a dynamic environment.
New algorithm prevents strategic replication in multi-armed bandit problems.
problem Strategic replication by agents can exploit bandit algorithms' balance.
method Designs Hierarchical UCB (H-UCB) and Robust Hierarchical UCB (RH-UCB) algorithms.
result Achieves O(lnT)-regret and sublinear regret in realistic scenarios. New RL framework simulates financial market dynamics.
problem Complex financial market dynamics under various scenarios.
method Two RL families learn simultaneously, using Deep RL and parametrized reward.
result Agents learn a shared policy for diverse behaviors.
In this paper we introduce a deep learning method for pricing and hedging American-style options. It first computes a candidate optimal stopping policy. From there it derives a lower bound for the price. Then it calculates an upper bound, a point estimate and confidence intervals. Finally, it constructs an approximate …
Study reveals statistical bias in dataset replication, reducing accuracy drop from 11-14% to 3.6%.
problem Statistical bias in dataset replication affects model generalization accuracy.
method Analyzed ImageNet-v2, identified and corrected for bias, and compared results.
result Correcting bias reduces accuracy drop from 11-14% to 3.6%.
Study replicability in high-dimensional statistics, resolving open problems.
problem Ensuring consistent results in high-dimensional statistical tasks.
method Introduced replicable learning algorithms and established computational and statistical equivalence with high-dimensional isoperimetric tilings.
result Matching sample complexity upper and lower bounds for replicable mean estimation and coin problem.
New uniformity tester ensures consistent results across different samples.
problem Non-replicable behavior of uniformity testing algorithms.
method Develops a replicable uniformity tester with improved sample complexity.
result Achieves nearly linear dependence on replicability factor ρ. This article is motivated by soccer positional passing networks collected across multiple games. We refer to these data as replicated spatial passing networks---to accurately model such data it is necessary to take into account the spatial positions of the passer and receiver for each passing event. This spatial regist…
ERICA assesses replicability of cluster analysis results.
problem Lack of quantitative scrutiny for clustering results.
method ERICA: a framework to assess replicability of cluster analysis.
result Clusters are found to be replicable in synthetic data but not in real-world datasets.
FINN learns option pricing and hedging using financial theory.
problem Learning accurate option prices and sensitivities from financial theory.
method Self-supervised replication objective based on dynamic hedging.
result FINN accurately recovers classical Black--Scholes prices and performs robustly in stochastic volatility environments.
In this work we introduce the notion of fully incomplete markets. We prove that for these markets the super-replication price coincide with the model free super-replication price. Namely, the knowledge of the model does not reduce the super-replication price. We provide two families of fully incomplete models: stochast…
This paper examines MEV attacks in dynamic AMMs and proposes new protections.
problem Dynamic AMMs introduce new MEV attack vectors due to inter-block weight changes.
method Analyzed inter-block weight changes as analogous to trades, conducted simulations.
result New inter-block protections are required to guard against multi-block MEV attacks.
Investigates multifractal scaling in critical dynamics of random surfaces.
problem Analyzing multifractal scaling in critical dynamics of random surfaces.
method Examined multifractal scaling in various conformal field theories on random surfaces.
result Higher moments of time variations of the order parameter exhibit multifractal scaling.
We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market dynamics which we study both empirically and theoretically. We demonstrate that th…
By the classical Martingale Representation Theorem, replication of random vectors can be achieved via stochastic integrals or solutions of stochastic differential equations. We introduce a new approach to replication of random vectors via adapted differentiable processes generated by a controlled ordinary differential …