Extends super-replication theorem with dynamic strategies and transaction costs.
problem Dynamic super-replication under proportional transaction costs.
method Generalizes admissible strategies and defines a well-defined super-replication price process.
result Well-defined super-replication price process in dynamic setting.
Continuous-time model shows how trading affects asset prices and optimizes investment strategies.
problem Modeling financial markets with transient price impact and optimal trading strategies.
method Establishes a continuous-time duality involving measures with martingales and a liquidity weighted norm.
result Optimality of buy-and-hold strategies for call options and utility maximizing investment strategies proved.
Improved option pricing model with transaction costs.
problem Inaccurate option pricing without considering transaction costs.
method Developed a replicating strategy with exponentially decreasing transaction costs.
result Validated the effectiveness of the new model through simulations.
Adaptive replication improves stochastic function optimization.
problem Challenges in accurately estimating functions with high variance.
method Trust-region-based Bayesian optimization with adaptive replication.
result Adaptive replication substantially improves solution accuracy and efficiency.
Dynamic hedging of an European option under a general local volatility model with small linear transaction costs is studied. A continuous control version of Leland's strategy that asymptotically replicates the payoff is constructed. An associated central limit theorem of hedging error is proved. The asymptotic error va…
New RL algorithm ensures stable, replicable policies.
problem Stability and replicability issues in RL algorithms.
method Introduced weak and strong forms of list replicability, developed a novel planning strategy, and tested state reachability.
result Proved efficient tabular RL algorithm with polynomial list complexity.
We study super--replication of contingent claims in markets with fixed transaction costs. This can be viewed as a stochastic impulse control problem with a terminal state constraint. The first result in this paper reveals that in reasonable continuous time financial market models the super--replication price is prohibi…
The study models mortgage prepayment risk, accounting for behavioral uncertainty, and provides replication strategies.
problem Modeling and replicating the prepayment option of mortgages with behavioral uncertainty.
method Modeling behavioral uncertainty as a non-hedgeable risk factor, proving its impact on exposure value, and using IRSs and swaptions for replication.
result Including behavioral uncertainty reduces the exposure's value, and swaptions are necessary for optimal replication.
Study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives, aligning with replication strategy and addressing timing frictions.
problem Inconsistencies in cash-flow forecasting under different measures and stochastic payment times.
method Use discounting sensitivities (funding-curve hedge ratios) for replication and propose a liquidity valuation adjustment.
result Aligns forecasting with replication strategy and avoids measure-mixing issues.
Study replicates market model, finds replication hindered by missing details.
problem Replicating a market model with missing details and limited quantitative reporting.
method Increased simulation runs, bootstrap confidence intervals, and code analysis.
result Achieved relational equivalence for most metrics but rejected quantitative alignment.
New framework replicates private equity performance using AI and liquid strategies.
problem Inadequate trust and transparency in private equity markets.
method Advanced graphical models and asymmetric risk adjustments.
result Liquid, scalable solution that closely mimics private equity performance.
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
problem Emergence of systemic risk in financial networks.
method Derive solutions of random fixed point equations, analyze replicator dynamics, derive conditions for evolutionary stable strategies, verify with simulations.
result Emerging strategies converge to an attractor of an ODE, avoiding systemic risk.
Study market delay effects on contingent claims pricing.
problem Delayed market information impacts contingent claims pricing.
method Analyzes Black-Scholes and binomial models with delay.
result Scaling limit of super-replication prices equals G-expectation.
This work analyzes impermanent loss in decentralized markets and provides a hedging strategy.
problem Impermanent loss in automated market makers (AMMs).
method Analytical derivation of a static replication formula using European options, and numerical example with real data.
result Guaranteed hedging coverage for all final prices within a predefined interval.
We price financial models using optimization and probability theory.
problem Financial model pricing under risk-averse investors.
method Infinite dimensional optimization, probabilistic and functional analytic tools.
result Existence of optimal strategies and convergence of reservation prices.
Investors mispricing volatility and jump sensitivity in Delta hedging models still super-replicate the true claim.
problem Investors misestimate volatility and jump sensitivity in Delta hedging models.
method Analyzes the robustness of Delta hedging in jump-diffusion models, proving stochastic flow properties and convexity of value functions.
result An erroneously computed Delta strategy super-replicates the true claim in expectation under a wide class of models.
This paper deals with the super-replication of non path-dependent European claims under additional convex constraints on the number of shares held in the portfolio. The corresponding super-replication price of a given claim has been widely studied in the literature and its terminal value, which dominates the claim of i…
The study examines a financial model with sticky prices and finds no arbitrage when interest rate is zero.
problem Analyzing financial markets with sticky asset prices and proving no arbitrage conditions.
method Introduced a financial market model with a risky asset following a sticky geometric Brownian motion and a riskless asset with a constant interest rate. Proved no arbitrage conditions and derived pricing equations.
result No arbitrage conditions are met only when the interest rate is zero, and all replicable payoffs are derived under this condition.
In the theory of riskfree hedges in continuous time finance, one can start with the delta-hedge and derive the option pricing equation, or one can start with the replicating, self-financing hedging strategy and derive both the delta-hedge and the option pricing partial differential equation. Approximately reversible tr…
This paper studies the problem of option replication in general stochastic volatility markets with transaction costs, using a new specification for the volatility adjustment in Leland's algorithm \cite{Leland}. We prove several limit theorems for the normalized replication error of Leland's strategy, as well as that of…
This paper prices and replicates the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio in hindsight.
problem Deriving the price of a financial derivative based on the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio in hindsight.
method Analyzing the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio in hindsight for a single-stock Black-Scholes market and a general market with correlated stocks.
result The replicating strategy compounds wealth at the same asymptotic rate as the best levered rebalancing rule in hindsight, beating the market asymptotically.
In this expository paper we illustrate the generality of game theoretic probability protocols of Shafer and Vovk (2001) in finite-horizon discrete games. By restricting ourselves to finite-horizon discrete games, we can explicitly describe how discrete distributions with finite support and the discrete pricing formulas…
Modelling stock prices via jump processes is common in financial markets. In practice, to hedge a contingent claim one typically uses the so-called delta-hedging strategy. This strategy stems from the Black--Merton--Scholes model where it perfectly replicates contingent claims. From the theoretical viewpoint, there is …
Trains neural nets for gamma hedging with model uncertainty.
problem Gamma hedging with model mismatch.
method Trains neural networks using loss functions that reward model uncertainty.
result Networks can learn optimal gamma hedging even with model mismatch.
Paper examines financial engineering problems and introduces AlphaZero for better replication strategies.
problem Replication portfolio construction in incomplete markets with non-convex constraints.
method Introduces AlphaZero-based system to compare with deep hedging method.
result AlphaZero outperforms deep hedging in non-convex environments, finding near-optimal strategies.
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
problem Avoid systemic risk in financial networks.
method Model financial network as random liability graph, agents adapt strategies based on learning, analyze using ODE.
result Emerging strategies converge to evolutionary stable strategies (all risky or all less risky agents).
Study liquidity provision in decentralized exchanges considering risk aversion and replication costs.
problem Economic viability of liquidity provision in decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Formulated strategic interactions as a sequential game with risk-averse LP, traders, and arbitrageurs.
result DEX liquidity depth is crucial for risk management, influenced by risk aversion and replication costs.
Model predicts cash accumulation for assets with unknown prices.
problem Cash accumulation for assets with unpredictable future prices.
method Discretized Wiener Process matched using ordinary integrals.
result Model efficiently predicts cash accumulation for various asset scenarios.
Neural Replicator Dynamics improves deep RL performance in nonstationary environments.
problem Nonstationarity and instability in multiagent reinforcement learning.
method Derive a new algorithm using replicator dynamics to bypass softmax in policy gradient methods.
result Neural Replicator Dynamics (NeuRD) outperforms policy gradient methods in nonstationary environments.
We study the problem of super-replication for game options under proportional transaction costs. We consider a multidimensional continuous time model, in which the discounted stock price process satisfies the conditional full support property. We show that the super-replication price is the cheapest cost of a trivial s…
The paper prices long-term options with a reflecting barrier model.
problem Pricing long-term options with asset price limits.
method Model asset price as geometric Brownian motion with a lower reflecting barrier, pricing options using compound options.
result Option prices can be determined using standard risk-neutral arguments, and hedging strategies are available.
Boosting strategies for merging vs. ensembling studies analyzed.
problem Deciding between merging and ensembling studies for boosting.
method Analytical transition point and bias-variance decomposition for boosting with linear learners.
result Theoretical guidelines for merging vs. ensembling studies.
The paper examines fair pricing and hedging stability under small numéraire perturbations.
problem Fair pricing and hedging stability under numéraire perturbations.
method Reformulating the stochastic control problem to show stability and deriving asymptotic formulas.
result Fair price and hedging strategy are stable with small numéraire perturbations.
We extend a linear version of the liquidity risk model of Cetin et al. (2004) to allow for price impacts. We show that the impact of a market order on prices depends on the size of the transaction and the level of liquidity. We obtain a simple characterization of self-financing trading strategies and a sufficient condi…
Study examines pricing of target volatility options in fractional SABR model.
problem Pricing target volatility options in the lognormal fractional SABR model.
method Used Ito's calculus for a theoretical replicating strategy and derived approximations and closed-form expressions.
result Accuracy of approximations for target volatility option pricing in various parameter ranges.
A new method for pricing and hedging options without using probability theory.
problem Pricing and hedging financial options using traditional probability methods.
method Using rough paths to encode volatility and enhance price trajectories for pathwise replication.
result A robust hedging strategy that is less sensitive to model misspecification.
This paper extends liquidity returns in geometric mean markets to time-varying weights.
problem Understanding returns and no-arbitrage prices in geometric mean markets with time-varying weights.
method Extending known results for constant-weight G3Ms to the general case of G3Ms with time-varying and potentially stochastic weights.
result LP shares can replicate the payoffs of financial derivatives and various trading strategies.
Study confirms mispricing in sportsbooks but finds data issues affect results.
problem Mispricing and inefficiency in online sportsbooks.
method Replication using Wikipedia buzz factor metric and backtesting.
result Data quality issues affect betting results; only one strategy remains profitable.
Study of gamma-hedging using rough paths for European and exotic options.
problem Applying rough paths to gamma-hedging strategies for derivatives.
method Rough-path theory applied to discrete-time gamma-hedging strategy.
result Sure replication of European and exotic derivatives under regular pricing signals.
In this paper we examine inefficiencies and information disparity in the Japanese stock market. By carefully analysing information publicly available on the internet, an `outsider' to conventional statistical arbitrage strategies--which are based on market microstructure, company releases, or analyst reports--can never…
The purpose of this note is to reconcile two different results concerning the model-free upper bound on the price of an American option, given a set of European option prices. Neuberger (2007, `Bounds on the American option') and Hobson and Neuberger (2016, `On the value of being American') argue that the cost of the c…
The paper explores perpetual contracts in a financial market without arbitrage.
problem Modeling perpetual contracts in a continuous-time financial market.
method Derive model-free and semi-robust expressions for perpetual contracts' funding and discount rates.
result Explicit replication strategies for perpetual contracts are derived, relating them to traditional financial instruments.
Study liquidity impact on spread option pricing.
problem Imperfect liquidity in stock markets affects option pricing.
method Developed partial-impact and full-impact models to analyze European spread options.
result Full impact model leads to higher option prices due to increased stock buying.
A variance swap is a derivative with a path-dependent payoff which allows investors to take positions on the future variability of an asset. In the idealised setting of a continuously monitored variance swap written on an asset with continuous paths it is well known that the variance swap payoff can be replicated exact…
A new method for creating derivatives without oracles.
problem Lack of trust in external oracles for derivatives pricing.
method Using Replicating Market Makers (RMMs) to create derivative instruments.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of on-chain expiring options without oracles.
Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.
problem Improving price bounds for exotic derivatives through dynamic option trading.
method Extend semi-static trading strategies to include dynamic option trading, analyze duality results and pricing rules.
result Improved price bounds for exotic derivatives compared to conventional methods.
Study the impact of overfitting on linear predictive models' performance.
problem Overfitting reduces the out-of-sample performance of linear predictive trading strategies.
method Computed in- and out-of-sample means and variances of PnLs to derive replication ratios.
result Replication ratio diminishes for complex strategies with many assets.
A new neural network approach reduces tracking error in index replication.
problem Efficiently replicating an index with cardinality constraints.
method Reparametrisation and stochastic neural networks for optimisation.
result Our model achieves the lowest tracking error compared to benchmarks.