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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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143285428570 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for reliable information sources

Improves neural network performance by dynamically adjusting model weights based on source reliability.

problem Training neural networks on data from unreliable sources leads to poor performance.
method Dynamic re-weighting strategy using likelihood tempering to adjust model weights based on estimated source reliability.
result Significant improvement in model performance when trained on mixtures of reliable and unreliable data sources.

rMFBO improves MFBO by making it robust to unreliable low-fidelity sources.

problem Optimizing expensive functions with unreliable low-fidelity approximations.
method rMFBO (robust MFBO) integrates a theoretical guarantee to make GP-based MFBO robust to unreliable sources.
result rMFBO outperforms earlier MFBO methods on unreliable sources.

New method for reliability analysis using multi-fidelity models.

problem Reliability analysis of complex systems with high computational costs.
method Adaptive Multi-fidelity Gaussian Process for Reliability Analysis (AMGPRA) with collective learning function (CLF).
result AMGPRA achieves similar or higher accuracy with reduced computational costs compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Combining complementary information from multiple modalities is intuitively appealing for improving the performance of learning-based approaches. However, it is challenging to fully leverage different modalities due to practical challenges such as varying levels of noise and conflicts between modalities. Existing metho…

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces age of information in wireless networks with unknown channel reliability.

problem Learning optimal source-channel pairs to minimize age of information in wireless networks.
method Introduces AoI regret, novel learning algorithm with bounded AoI regret.
result Developed a learning algorithm with O(1)O(1) AoI regret, improving upon Θ(logT)Θ(\log T).

A new method reduces energy consumption in machine learning by using multiple, less costly data sources.

problem High computational and energy costs in machine learning model training.
method Augmented Gaussian Process (AGP-MISO) with multi-source optimization.
result The AGP-MISO method reduces computational time and energy consumption compared to traditional approaches.

Unstructured data refers to information that does not have a predefined data model or is not organized in a pre-defined manner. Loosely speaking, unstructured data refers to text data that is generated by humans. In after-sales service businesses, there are two main sources of unstructured data: customer complaints, wh…

2016-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepTrust uses NLP to quickly identify and verify financial anomalies on Twitter.

problem Unreliable information in financial markets leading to unexpected price changes.
method Machine learning for anomaly detection, NLP for information retrieval and reliability assessment.
result DeepTrust outperforms baseline classifiers in identifying financial anomalies.

Multi-source transfer learning has been proven effective when within-target labeled data is scarce. Previous work focuses primarily on exploiting domain similarities and assumes that source domains are richly or at least comparably labeled. While this strong assumption is never true in practice, this paper relaxes it a…

2018-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method for weather-informed probabilistic forecasting and scenario generation in power systems.

problem Challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into power grids due to their stochasticity and uncertainty.
method Combines probabilistic forecasting and Gaussian copula for day-ahead prediction and scenario generation of load, wind, and solar power.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the proposed weather-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (WI-TFT) model.

Change detection (CD) in time series data is a critical problem as it reveal changes in the underlying generative processes driving the time series. Despite having received significant attention, one important unexplored aspect is how to efficiently utilize additional correlated information to improve the detection and…

2016-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes incorporating noise sources in machine learning evaluation for more reliable conclusions.

problem Inadequate handling of nondeterminism in machine learning research leads to unreliable results.
method Uses linear mixed effects models (LMEMs) and generalized likelihood ratio tests (GLRT) to analyze performance evaluation scores and assess performance differences.
result Demonstrates how to incorporate various sources of noise and data properties into statistical significance testing and reliability analysis.

Develops a statistical test for IV, improving feature selection reliability.

problem Lack of statistical justification in conventional IV-based feature selection.
method Establishes connection with Jeffreys divergence and proposes a nonparametric hypothesis test.
result The J-Divergence test provides rigorous guarantees and is more reliable than traditional IV thresholds.

Online health communities are a valuable source of information for patients and physicians. However, such user-generated resources are often plagued by inaccuracies and misinformation. In this work we propose a method for automatically establishing the credibility of user-generated medical statements and the trustworth…

2017-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In many instances, information on engineering systems can be obtained through measurements, monitoring or direct observations of system performances and can be used to update the system reliability estimate. In structural reliability analysis, such information is expressed either by inequalities (e.g. for the observati…

2012-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on reliability of latent reuse in diffusion models under distribution shift.

problem When can latent spaces from a source dataset be reused for a target dataset with different distributions?
method Considered a source-target setting with approximately low-dimensional datasets near different subspaces. Analyzed the target-domain score error due to principal-angle misalignment and target ambient noise.
result Latent reuse is reliable only if the source and target subspaces are close and the target ambient noise is not too amplified.

Paper explores physics-informed deep learning for system reliability assessment.

problem Limited study on deep learning for system reliability assessment.
method Physics-informed deep learning approach for system reliability assessment.
result Physics-informed deep learning can alleviate computational challenges and combine measurement data and mathematical models.

Study neural communication systems with bandwidth-limited channels.

problem Reliable message transmission despite noisy channels.
method Jointly model compression and error correction with neural networks; introduce prior for missing information; use auxiliary latent variables.
result Joint neural communication systems outperform separate models under expected information loss.

In the modern era, abundant information is easily accessible from various sources, however only a few of these sources are reliable as they mostly contain unverified contents. We develop a system to validate the truthfulness of a given statement together with underlying evidence. The proposed system provides supporting…

2018-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Method quantifies sensitivity of reliability analysis to uncertainty sources.

problem Computational expense in reliability analysis of complex models.
method Gaussian process surrogate model, active learning, sensitivity analysis.
result Reduces main source of error in estimating rare event probabilities.

CAMul forecasts with calibrated and accurate multi-view time-series data.

problem Combining diverse data sources for reliable time-series forecasting.
method CAMul integrates multi-modal data views dynamically, assigning importance based on context.
result CAMul outperforms state-of-the-art models by 25% in accuracy and calibration.

Study evaluates cross-validation methods for clinical ECG classification, finding leave-source-out more reliable.

problem Overoptimistic cross-validation estimates for new patient sources.
method Empirical evaluation of K-fold and leave-source-out cross-validation methods.
result Leave-source-out cross-validation provides more reliable performance estimates.

New method uses neural networks to identify sources from limited data in complex systems.

problem Identifying sources from noisy and limited data in high-dimensional systems.
method Calibrating deep neural network surrogates to ensemble simulations and using Bayesian optimization for source identification.
result Reliable source identification with uncertainty quantification using limited data and auxiliary processes.

This work tackles community detection in networks with node attributes, achieving exact recovery.

problem Community detection in networks with correlated node attributes.
method Information-theoretic criterion and iterative clustering algorithm maximizing joint likelihood.
result Exact recovery of community labels under a general model for network and node attributes.

The paper introduces a knowledge score for GPR predictions to assess their reliability.

problem Uncertainty in probabilistic predictions from Gaussian process regression models.
method A knowledge score quantifying the reduction of uncertainty in GPR predictions.
result The knowledge score improves prediction accuracy in various tasks.

A new method uses physics-informed neural networks to solve reliability analysis problems without simulations.

problem Solving reliability analysis problems without the need for expensive simulations.
method Physics-informed neural networks to learn directly from problem physics.
result Eliminates the need for expensive simulations and achieves highly accurate results.

A simple strategy prevents negative transfer in transfer learning.

problem Negative transfer in transfer learning where source representations harm target performance.
method Residual feature integration with a trainable target-side encoder.
result The method provably prevents negative transfer with theoretical guarantees.

Open-source Vizier optimizes complex systems for Google and beyond.

problem Optimizing large-scale systems with multiple objectives and constraints.
method Distributed, fault-tolerant, flexible API for blackbox optimization.
result OSS Vizier supports a wide range of optimization problems and is available as open-source.

This paper examines risks and uncertainties of changing data sources in machine learning for official statistics.

problem Risks and uncertainties associated with changing data sources in machine learning for official statistics.
method An overview of risks, causes, and repercussions of changing data sources, with a checklist of measures.
result Maintaining integrity, reliability, consistency, and relevance in official statistics.

For reliable transmission across a noisy communication channel, classical results from information theory show that it is asymptotically optimal to separate out the source and channel coding processes. However, this decomposition can fall short in the finite bit-length regime, as it requires non-trivial tuning of hand-…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper decomposes probabilistic scores into reliability, uncertainty, and information loss.

problem Understanding the reliability and uncertainty of probabilistic predictions.
method Developed decomposition identities for proper losses, quantifying reliability, residual uncertainty, and information gain.
result A three-term identity for classification scores, revealing miscalibration, grouping term, and feature-level uncertainty.

Study uses SABR model to create implied volatilities from sparse quotes.

problem Creating accurate implied volatility surfaces from limited market data.
method Multitask Gaussian process with SABR model embeddings and hierarchical regularization.
result Model produces more accurate volatilities than single-task methods.

OpinionRank uses graph-based ranking to improve unreliable crowdsourced labels.

problem Improving trustworthiness of crowdsourced labels for machine learning.
method Graph-based spectral ranking to integrate unreliable labels.
result OpinionRank outperforms conventional algorithms in reliability and scalability.

MFNets constructs efficient multifidelity surrogates from diverse information sources.

problem Creating accurate surrogates from multiple, potentially costly or inaccurate data sources.
method Directed acyclic graph of connections, gradient-based minimization of least squares objective, flexible information source structure.
result Error reduction by orders-of-magnitude, especially in low-data scenarios.

In Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) sufficient prior observed degradation data is usually critical for Remaining Useful Lifetime (RUL) prediction. Most previous data-driven prediction methods assume that training (source) and testing (target) condition monitoring data have similar distributions. However, due to …

2019-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗