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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for reliable information

In many instances, information on engineering systems can be obtained through measurements, monitoring or direct observations of system performances and can be used to update the system reliability estimate. In structural reliability analysis, such information is expressed either by inequalities (e.g. for the observati…

2012-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explores physics-informed deep learning for system reliability assessment.

problem Limited study on deep learning for system reliability assessment.
method Physics-informed deep learning approach for system reliability assessment.
result Physics-informed deep learning can alleviate computational challenges and combine measurement data and mathematical models.

A new method uses physics-informed neural networks to solve reliability analysis problems without simulations.

problem Solving reliability analysis problems without the need for expensive simulations.
method Physics-informed neural networks to learn directly from problem physics.
result Eliminates the need for expensive simulations and achieves highly accurate results.

The paper decomposes probabilistic scores into reliability, uncertainty, and information loss.

problem Understanding the reliability and uncertainty of probabilistic predictions.
method Developed decomposition identities for proper losses, quantifying reliability, residual uncertainty, and information gain.
result A three-term identity for classification scores, revealing miscalibration, grouping term, and feature-level uncertainty.

DeepTrust uses NLP to quickly identify and verify financial anomalies on Twitter.

problem Unreliable information in financial markets leading to unexpected price changes.
method Machine learning for anomaly detection, NLP for information retrieval and reliability assessment.
result DeepTrust outperforms baseline classifiers in identifying financial anomalies.

Study on limits of LLM-based multi-agent planning reliability.

problem Reliability limits of LLM-based multi-agent planning.
method Modeling LLM-based multi-agent architecture as a decision network, showing dominance by centralized Bayes decision maker.
result Optimizing multi-agent directed acyclic graphs under communication budget is equivalent to choosing a constrained experiment.

New method for reliability analysis using multi-fidelity models.

problem Reliability analysis of complex systems with high computational costs.
method Adaptive Multi-fidelity Gaussian Process for Reliability Analysis (AMGPRA) with collective learning function (CLF).
result AMGPRA achieves similar or higher accuracy with reduced computational costs compared to state-of-the-art methods.

rMFBO improves MFBO by making it robust to unreliable low-fidelity sources.

problem Optimizing expensive functions with unreliable low-fidelity approximations.
method rMFBO (robust MFBO) integrates a theoretical guarantee to make GP-based MFBO robust to unreliable sources.
result rMFBO outperforms earlier MFBO methods on unreliable sources.

Generative AI reduces IR evaluation costs but introduces errors; this work provides reliable CIs.

problem Generating relevance annotations using AI introduces errors that affect IR evaluation metrics.
method Proposes two methods: prediction-powered inference and conformal risk control to place reliable CIs around IR metrics.
result Proposed methods accurately capture both variance and bias in evaluation based on AI-generated annotations.

Unstructured data refers to information that does not have a predefined data model or is not organized in a pre-defined manner. Loosely speaking, unstructured data refers to text data that is generated by humans. In after-sales service businesses, there are two main sources of unstructured data: customer complaints, wh…

2016-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework tackles high-dimensional reliability analysis using surrogate models and active subspaces.

problem High computational cost and curse of dimensionality in reliability analysis of high-dimensional systems.
method Sparse Active Subspace (SAS) algorithm for identifying low-dimensional manifolds and constructing efficient surrogate models.
result Proposed framework significantly improves accuracy and efficiency of reliability analysis compared to existing methods.

REALFIN benchmarks financial reasoning by removing implicit assumptions, revealing model weaknesses.

problem Models struggle when implicit assumptions are missing, leading to incorrect answers.
method Developed a bilingual benchmark that systematically removes essential premises from financial questions.
result General-purpose models over-commit, while finance-specialized models fail to identify missing premises.

The AAA credit rating may have been overly precise given available data.

problem The feasibility of achieving high reliability targets for structured credit products.
method Bayes' theorem and historical data analysis.
result High reliability targets for structured products require substantial statistical discrimination, which was not achievable with available data.

Improves neural network performance by dynamically adjusting model weights based on source reliability.

problem Training neural networks on data from unreliable sources leads to poor performance.
method Dynamic re-weighting strategy using likelihood tempering to adjust model weights based on estimated source reliability.
result Significant improvement in model performance when trained on mixtures of reliable and unreliable data sources.

POTA improves short text clustering by generating reliable pseudo-labels.

problem Limited discriminative representations in short texts.
method POTA uses instance-level attention and optimal transport for semantic consistency and cluster structure.
result POTA outperforms state-of-the-art methods in short text clustering.

New BdryMatérn GP model for reliable boundary integration on irregular domains.

problem Incorporating boundary information in Gaussian process models for complex phenomena.
method Proposes a novel BdryMatérn GP framework with a new covariance kernel derived via path integral and stochastic PDE.
result Sample paths from the BdryMatérn GP satisfy desired boundaries with smoothness control on derivatives.

New method isolates epistemic uncertainty in diffusion models, improving plausibility scores.

problem Uncertainty quantification in diffusion models, especially epistemic uncertainty.
method Fisher information based approach using FLARE (Fisher-Laplace Randomized Estimator).
result FLARE improves uncertainty estimation in synthetic time-series generation tasks.

Paper proposes a method for weather-informed probabilistic forecasting and scenario generation in power systems.

problem Challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into power grids due to their stochasticity and uncertainty.
method Combines probabilistic forecasting and Gaussian copula for day-ahead prediction and scenario generation of load, wind, and solar power.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the proposed weather-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (WI-TFT) model.

Study improves summarization reliability in risky scenarios.

problem Reliability of automatic summarization in high-risk contexts.
method Conditional generation with Bayesian inference and entropy regularization.
result Significant improvement in robustness and reliability of summarization.

Paper introduces methods for more reliable probabilistic predictions with confidence intervals.

problem Inaccurate labeling of datasets due to unreliable probabilistic predictions from weak labeling functions.
method Proposes a methodology to provide confidence intervals for label probabilities using uncertainty sets of distributions.
result Improves reliability of probabilistic predictions and provides confidence intervals for label probabilities.

The paper proposes a method for better uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

problem Estimating predictive uncertainty in neural networks is crucial but challenging.
method The paper proposes a function-space variational inference method to infer a posterior distribution over functions.
result The proposed method leads to state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation and predictive performance.

Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.

problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.

New method certifies risks of LLM outputs, improving accuracy and reliability.

problem Uncertain and incorrect outputs from large language models.
method Information-lift certificates using PAC-Bayes bounds and skeleton design.
result Achieves 77.0% coverage at 2% risk, outperforming baselines.

Estimates reliability of nuclear fuel using advanced modeling techniques.

problem Determining the reliability of TRISO-coated particle fuel, which has small failure probabilities and expensive computational models.
method Coupled active learning, multifidelity modeling, and subset simulation.
result Multifidelity modeling strategies consistently reduce the number of high-fidelity model calls.

Synthesizes machine learning applications in reliability and safety.

problem Navigating the fragmented literature on ML for reliability and safety.
method Overview of ML categories, review of applications, discussion of Deep Learning.
result Machine learning can provide novel insights and improve accident prevention.

DeepSKA provides interpretable, reliable neural approximations for SRNs.

problem Estimating expected outputs in SRNs is computationally challenging and unreliable.
method Jointly achieves interpretability, reliability, and computational gains with DeepSKA.
result Delivers accurate predictions and substantial efficiency improvements across SRNs.

Credibility theory provides tools to obtain better estimates by combining individual data with sample information. We apply the Credibility theory to a Uniform distribution that is used in testing the reliability of forecasting an interest rate for long term horizons. Such empirical exercise is asked by Regulators (CRR…

2014-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The design of codes for communicating reliably over a statistically well defined channel is an important endeavor involving deep mathematical research and wide-ranging practical applications. In this work, we present the first family of codes obtained via deep learning, which significantly beats state-of-the-art codes …

2018-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Combining complementary information from multiple modalities is intuitively appealing for improving the performance of learning-based approaches. However, it is challenging to fully leverage different modalities due to practical challenges such as varying levels of noise and conflicts between modalities. Existing metho…

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces age of information in wireless networks with unknown channel reliability.

problem Learning optimal source-channel pairs to minimize age of information in wireless networks.
method Introduces AoI regret, novel learning algorithm with bounded AoI regret.
result Developed a learning algorithm with O(1)O(1) AoI regret, improving upon Θ(logT)Θ(\log T).

Develops a statistical test for IV, improving feature selection reliability.

problem Lack of statistical justification in conventional IV-based feature selection.
method Establishes connection with Jeffreys divergence and proposes a nonparametric hypothesis test.
result The J-Divergence test provides rigorous guarantees and is more reliable than traditional IV thresholds.

Although many successful ensemble clustering approaches have been developed in recent years, there are still two limitations to most of the existing approaches. First, they mostly overlook the issue of uncertain links, which may mislead the overall consensus process. Second, they generally lack the ability to incorpora…

2016-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Smooth KANs improve model reliability in computational biomedicine.

problem Limited convergence of KANs in representing generic smooth functions.
method Introducing smooth, structurally informed KANs that can approximate MLPs in specific function classes.
result Smooth KANs can achieve equivalence to MLPs in specific function classes, enhancing model reliability and performance.

Enhanced visual feature attribution via adaptive baseline weighting.

problem IG's sensitivity to baseline images leads to noisy or unstable explanations.
method Weighted Integrated Gradients (WG) evaluates and weights baselines for improved reliability.
result WG improves over Expected Gradients (EG) by up to 36% across various models.