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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3569104138 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for regret decomposition

This paper improves Q-learning bounds using reference-advantage decomposition.

problem Improving Q-learning bounds in MDPs with positive suboptimality gaps.
method Develops a novel error decomposition framework to prove gap-dependent regret bounds.
result Establishes logarithmic gap-dependent regret bounds for Q-learning.

Paper proposes FedQ-Advantage for federated Q-learning with near-optimal regret and low communication cost.

problem Near-optimal federated Q-learning with low communication cost.
method Reference-advantage decomposition for variance reduction, synchronization between agents and server, policy update.
result Achieves almost optimal regret and near-linear regret speedup compared to single-agent learning.

This paper establishes that optimistic algorithms attain gap-dependent and non-asymptotic logarithmic regret for episodic MDPs. In contrast to prior work, our bounds do not suffer a dependence on diameter-like quantities or ergodicity, and smoothly interpolate between the gap dependent logarithmic-regret, and the $\wid…

2019-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces new measures to quantify variability in decision tree models due to observational multiplicity.

problem The variability in decision tree models due to observational multiplicity.
method Introduces leaf regret and structural regret to decompose observational multiplicity.
result Structural regret is the primary driver of observational multiplicity, accounting for over 15 times the variability of leaf regret in some datasets.

The paper tackles ride-hailing fleet repositioning with a calibrated demand approach.

problem Repositioning idle supply before future demand is observed in ride-hailing.
method A predict-then-optimize approach using calibrated demand regimes, a similarity gate, and spatial queue-regret decomposition.
result The spatial gate reduces mean wait time to 82.3s compared to 85.3s for a hand-tuned similarity gate and 85.8s for a distributional-only baseline.

A new linear contextual bandit algorithm with improved regret bound.

problem Efficiently solving linear contextual bandit problems with reduced regret.
method Proposes a novel estimator embedded with exploration and a self-normalized bound.
result Regret bound matches lower bound of Ω(dT)Ω(\sqrt{dT}) up to logarithmic factors.

New method identifies algo trading strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.

problem Determining if algo trading strategies consume or provide liquidity.
method Analyzes trade and price history to classify strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.
result Identifies net liquidity consumption or provision of algo trading strategies.

Paper analyzes and improves KL-regularized RL for LLMs with logarithmic regret.

problem Improving efficiency of RL fine-tuning for large language models.
method Optimism-based KL-regularized online contextual bandit algorithm with novel regret analysis.
result Achieves an O(ηlog(NRT)dR)\mathcal{O}\big(η\log (N_{\mathcal R} T)\cdot d_{\mathcal R}\big) logarithmic regret bound.

The paper studies reward concentration in MDPs, covering asymptotic and non-asymptotic settings.

problem Reward concentration in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs).
method Unified approach to reward concentration in MDPs, including asymptotic and non-asymptotic bounds.
result Rate-equivalent definitions of regret for learning policies.

Algorithm POLO learns low-rank MDPs with adversarial changes in full-info feedback.

problem Learning low-rank MDPs with adversarial changes and unknown transition probabilities.
method Policy optimization-based algorithm POLO with regret guarantee.
result POLO achieves sublinear regret guarantee with no dependence on state space size.

New RL algorithm reduces sample complexity for optimal learning.

problem Achieving optimal learning with minimal samples in RL.
method Early-settled variance reduction method with Q-learning sequences.
result Near-optimal regret achieved with sample size SApoly(H)SA\,\mathrm{poly}(H).

Reinforcement learning (RL) in Markov decision processes (MDPs) with large state spaces is a challenging problem. The performance of standard RL algorithms degrades drastically with the dimensionality of state space. However, in practice, these large MDPs typically incorporate a latent or hidden low-dimensional structu…

2016-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

ACP-UCB1 ranks arms based on upper-tail performance, improving stochastic bandit algorithms.

problem Stochastic bandit algorithms often favor arms with strong upper-tail performance, which is not well-addressed by classical mean-reward criteria.
method ACP-UCB1 combines an adaptive conformal estimate of the upper endpoint with a UCB-type optimism bonus.
result ACP-UCB1 achieves logarithmic upper-quantile regret with per-arm contribution \(O( icefrac{\log n}{Δ_j^{\mathrm{ACP}}})\).

The paper decomposes probabilistic scores into reliability, uncertainty, and information loss.

problem Understanding the reliability and uncertainty of probabilistic predictions.
method Developed decomposition identities for proper losses, quantifying reliability, residual uncertainty, and information gain.
result A three-term identity for classification scores, revealing miscalibration, grouping term, and feature-level uncertainty.

Most of machine learning deals with vector parameters. Ideally we would like to take higher order information into account and make use of matrix or even tensor parameters. However the resulting algorithms are usually inefficient. Here we address on-line learning with matrix parameters. It is often easy to obtain onlin…

2015-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Interactive learning with hindsight instruction feedback achieves better performance than traditional methods.

problem Learning with expert supervision of optimal responses is often impractical or requires expert knowledge.
method Study of interactive learning with hindsight instruction feedback, introducing LORIL algorithm.
result LORIL algorithm achieves T\sqrt{T} regret, improving over baselines in domains with low-rank instruction-response distribution.

Paper proposes an online learning method with multi-level adaptivity for diverse loss functions.

problem Online learning with unknown types and curvatures of functions.
method Multi-layer online ensemble approach with gradient variations.
result Achieves improved regret bounds for different types of loss functions.

This paper addresses the problem of online learning in a dynamic setting. We consider a social network in which each individual observes a private signal about the underlying state of the world and communicates with her neighbors at each time period. Unlike many existing approaches, the underlying state is dynamic, and…

2013-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Regret minimization is treated as the golden rule in the traditional study of online learning. However, regret minimization algorithms tend to converge to the static optimum, thus being suboptimal for changing environments. To address this limitation, new performance measures, including dynamic regret and adaptive regr…

2020-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the sliding regret of stochastic bandit algorithms.

problem Measuring the one-shot behavior of no-regret algorithms in stochastic bandits.
method Introducing sliding regret to measure the worst pseudo-regret over a time-window.
result Randomized methods have optimal sliding regret, while index policies have the worst possible sliding regret.

This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ1/δ with probability δδ.

The notion of \emph{policy regret} in online learning is a well defined? performance measure for the common scenario of adaptive adversaries, which more traditional quantities such as external regret do not take into account. We revisit the notion of policy regret and first show that there are online learning settings …

2018-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic Hedge achieves optimal regret bounds in two-player zero-sum games.

problem Achieving optimal regret bounds for optimistic Hedge in two-player zero-sum games.
method Refined regret analysis and optimization problem formulation.
result Optimistic Hedge achieves O(logmlogn)O(\sqrt{\log m \log n}) regret bounds, matching upper and lower bounds.

We consider an online learning process to forecast a sequence of outcomes for nonconvex models. A typical measure to evaluate online learning algorithms is regret but such standard definition of regret is intractable for nonconvex models even in offline settings. Hence, gradient based definition of regrets are common f…

2018-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal switching regret for all segmentations in online convex optimisation.

problem Non-stationary online convex optimisation problems.
method Developed an efficient algorithm to achieve optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation.
result Achieved asymptotically optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation simultaneously.

New approach for distributed online optimization of non-convex losses with sublinear regret.

problem Regret evaluation and consensus in distributed, multi-agent systems with non-convex losses.
method Composite regret metric and consensus-based online normalized gradient (CONGD) approach for pseudo-convex losses; offline optimization oracle for general non-convex losses.
result First sublinear regret bound for general distributed online non-convex learning.

We propose a new reinforcement learning algorithm for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP) based on spectral decomposition methods. While spectral methods have been previously employed for consistent learning of (passive) latent variable models such as hidden Markov models, POMDPs are more challenging…

2016-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Regret minimization is a powerful tool for solving large-scale problems; it was recently used in breakthrough results for large-scale extensive-form game solving. This was achieved by composing simplex regret minimizers into an overall regret-minimization framework for extensive-form game strategy spaces. In this paper…

2018-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the Thompson sampling algorithm in an adversarial setting, specifically, for adversarial bit prediction. We characterize the bit sequences with the smallest and largest expected regret. Among sequences of length TT with k<T2k < \frac{T}{2} zeros, the sequences of largest regret consist of alternating zeros and …

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers the stability of online learning algorithms and its implications for learnability (bounded regret). We introduce a novel quantity called {\em forward regret} that intuitively measures how good an online learning algorithm is if it is allowed a one-step look-ahead into the future. We show that given…

2012-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new GG^\star regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses.

problem Online convex optimization with smooth losses.
method Introduces a new GG^\star regret measure that depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm.
result The GG^\star regret can be arbitrarily sharper than existing measures when losses have vanishing curvature.

Bandit algorithms struggle with consistent performance and robustness.

problem Achieving consistent and robust performance in stochastic multi-armed bandit settings.
method Analyzing regret minimization trade-offs and proposing distribution-oblivious algorithms.
result Logarithmic regret is inconsistent and super-logarithmic regret is necessary for consistent learning.

Paper improves worst-case regret bounds for RLSVI in reinforcement learning.

problem Minimizing regret in reinforcement learning with randomized value functions.
method Introduces a clipping variant of Thompson Sampling for RLSVI.
result Achieves a ildeO(H2SAT) ilde{\mathrm{O}}(H^2S\sqrt{AT}) worst-case regret bound.

Paper solves no-swap regret minimization for combinatorial bandits with polylogarithmic dependence on N.

problem Design efficient no-swap regret algorithms for combinatorial bandits with exponentially large action space.
method Introduces a no-swap-regret learning algorithm with polylogarithmic dependence on N and demonstrates efficient implementation.
result Achieves no-swap regret with polylogarithmic dependence on N, resolving an open problem.