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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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24487296 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for recency bias

Introduces recency bias to improve time-series forecasting.

problem Lack of recency bias in standard Transformer attention for time-series data.
method Reweights attention scores with a smooth heavy-tailed decay to emphasize nearby observations.
result Recency-biased attention consistently improves sequential modeling and achieves competitive performance on time-series forecasting benchmarks.

Language models fail to execute simple steps, showing gating and binding errors.

problem Procedural hallucinations in language models, failing to execute simple steps.
method Analyzed long-context binding tasks, identifying gating and binding errors.
result Procedural errors are due to gating and binding failures, with recency bias contributing to the latter.

Study detects and explains positional bias in financial LLMs.

problem Positional bias in financial decision-making using LLMs.
method Unified framework and benchmark for detecting and quantifying bias in Qwen2.5 models.
result Positional bias is pervasive, scale-sensitive, and resurfaces under nuanced prompt designs.

We describe a Markov latent state space (MLSS) model, where the latent state distribution is a decaying mixture over multiple past states. We present a simple sampling algorithm that allows to approximate such high-order MLSS with fixed time and memory costs.

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive data analysis is frequently criticized for its pessimistic generalization guarantees. The source of these pessimistic bounds is a model that permits arbitrary, possibly adversarial analysts that optimally use information to bias results. While being a central issue in the field, still lacking are notions of na…

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

ReWTS ensemble improves time-series forecasting by adapting to changing dynamics.

problem Complex, multi-faceted, evolving data in process industries.
method Chunk-based, recency-weighted temporal segmentation of data for multi-step forecasting.
result Significantly outperforms conventional models in mean squared forecasting error.

DEAP Cache learns prefetching, eviction, and admission using machine learning.

problem Improving cache performance through better prefetching, eviction, and admission strategies.
method End-to-end pipeline using machine learning, inspired by pretraining on large corpora and online reinforcement learning.
result Optimal policy distribution between two orthogonal eviction strategies based on frequency and recency.

AI agents in experimental markets exhibit behavioral patterns that aggregate into market dynamics.

problem Understanding AI trading behavior and its impact on market dynamics.
method Experimental asset markets populated by AI agents trained on Large Language Models (LLMs).
result AI agents' behavior leads to market dynamics similar to human traders, including bubbles.

Improved genetic algorithm optimizes SVR for robust long-term stock index forecasting.

problem Inaccurate long-term stock price predictions.
method Adaptive Weighted Genetic Algorithm-Optimized SVR (IGA-SVR).
result Reduction in MAPE by 19.87% compared to LSTM and 50.03% compared to OGA-SVR.

We study the effect of impairment on stochastic multi-armed bandits and develop new ways to mitigate it. Impairment effect is the phenomena where an agent only accrues reward for an action if they have played it at least a few times in the recent past. It is practically motivated by repetition and recency effects in do…

2018-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial advisors use KYC info but not client behaviours to guide investments.

problem Financial advisors use KYC info but not client behaviours to guide investments.
method Modified behavioural finance recency, frequency, monetary model for features; machine learning clustering algorithms.
result Trade and transaction frequency and volume are most informative for investor behaviours.

Automating the customer analytics process is crucial for companies that manage distinct customer bases. In such data-rich and dynamic environments, visualization plays a key role in understanding events of interest. These ideas have led to the popularity of analytics dashboards, yet academic research has paid scant att…

2015-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the phenomenon of bias amplification in classifiers, wherein a machine learning model learns to predict classes with a greater disparity than the underlying ground truth. We demonstrate that bias amplification can arise via an inductive bias in gradient descent methods that results in the overestimation of the…

2018-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

It has been noticed that some external CVIs exhibit a preferential bias towards a larger or smaller number of clusters which is monotonic (directly or inversely) in the number of clusters in candidate partitions. This type of bias is caused by the functional form of the CVI model. For example, the popular Rand index (R…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Depth uncertainty networks don't improve with bias correction, contrary to expectations.

problem Improving performance in active learning with overparameterised models like NNs.
method Depth uncertainty networks, compared to underparameterised models, show no improvement in performance with bias correction.
result Depth uncertainty networks do not improve with bias correction, unlike underparameterised models.

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

The paper introduces Relative Bias to quantify LLM bias systematically.

problem Quantifying bias in LLMs is challenging due to ambiguity and rapid model emergence.
method Relative Bias framework using Embedding Transformation and LLM-as-a-Judge methodologies.
result The two scoring methods show strong alignment, providing a systematic approach.

SSMs have a built-in bias towards low-frequency components, which can be adjusted.

problem Frequency bias in SSMs affects their performance on long-range sequences.
method Proposed two mechanisms to tune frequency bias: scaling initialization or applying a Sobolev-norm-based filter.
result Tuning frequency bias improves SSMs' performance on long-range sequence learning tasks.

A bias classifier is introduced to resist adversarial attacks.

problem Resisting adversarial attacks on deep neural networks (DNNs).
method Introducing the bias part of a DNN with Relu as the activation function as a classifier, and adding a random first-degree part to make it information-theoretically safe.
result The bias classifier is more robust than DNNs of similar size against adversarial attacks.

UBM transfers bias mitigation from upstream to downstream tasks efficiently.

problem Bias in fine-tuned language models across various tasks.
method Apply bias mitigation to an upstream model, then fine-tune a downstream model on this mitigated model.
result UBM effects transfer to new downstream tasks, creating less biased models.

Ensembles improve classifier performance by reducing bias, not variance.

problem Improving classifier performance through ensemble methods.
method Extended bias-variance decomposition for classification tasks, introducing dual reparameterization.
result Ensembling reduces bias in classifiers, contrary to the traditional view.

Reduces gender bias in patient notes while maintaining medical classification accuracy.

problem Bias in natural language processing of patient notes.
method Identifying and removing gendered language using BERT-based classifiers, then augmenting data to maintain performance.
result Minimal degradation in health condition classification tasks with data augmentation.

Study analyzes bias interactions in multimodal models using simulation-based methods.

problem Analyzing dynamic bias interactions in multimodal models to ensure fairness and equity.
method Simulation-based heuristic approach to compute bias scores for text-only, image-only, and multimodal embeddings.
result Multimodal bias interactions can be amplification, mitigation, or neutral, with text bias often dominant.

Study uncovers bias in image classification models using attribution maps.

problem Data bias in image classification models.
method Created an artificial dataset with known bias, trained CNNs, and used attribution maps to inspect decisions.
result Different attribution map techniques highlight bias better than others, and metrics support bias identification.

Study on bias and extrapolation in LSA with Markovian data, showing bias reduction with Richardson-Romberg extrapolation.

problem Bias in LSA with constant stepsizes and Markovian data.
method Viewing LSA as a Markov chain, proving convergence and bias expansion, and applying Richardson-Romberg extrapolation.
result Bias is proportional to the stepsize up to higher order terms, and Richardson-Romberg extrapolation reduces the bias.

The paper detects and identifies bias in data using a counterfactual approach.

problem Detecting and identifying bias in data, especially in medical image classification.
method A global explanation framework using the counterfactual approach to identify bias causing artifacts.
result Black frames significantly influence Convolutional Neural Network's prediction, changing benign to malignant.

Machine learning models predict brain age with systematic bias, corrected in this study.

problem Systematic bias in machine learning regression models for brain age prediction.
method General constrained optimization approach to correct bias.
result Our method effectively eliminates the bias from brain age predictions.