Study uses RNN for real-time crypto price prediction and trading optimization.
problem High volatility in cryptocurrency markets makes traditional forecasting models unreliable.
method Data collection, preprocessing, model refinement, and backtesting.
result Improved accuracy in real-time crypto price prediction and optimized trading strategies.
FinGPT uses LLMs for real-time market sentiment analysis.
problem Real-time market sentiment analysis for trading.
method Synthesizes financial news and social media data, integrates with technical indicators, uses FinGPT for sentiment analysis.
result Generates actionable trading signals using LLMs.
The paper analyzes real-time methods to detect rapidly varying liquidity in markets.
problem Increased trade execution price uncertainty due to rapid price variations by high-frequency traders.
method A four-state Markov switching model to identify volatile liquidity states.
result The model can generate a signal to delay orders, reducing price volatility for market participants.
A new framework enables real-time task trade-off control.
problem Conflict between multiple related tasks in a fixed model capacity.
method Formulates MTL as a preference-conditioned multiobjective optimization problem; uses a hypernetwork-based neural network.
result A single model can handle different trade-off preferences among multiple tasks.
Deep RL shows promise in algo trading, but more research needed.
problem Improving profitability in automated stock trading.
method Deep Reinforcement Learning applied to quantitative algo trading.
result Statistically significant improvements in performance, but no profitability.
Optimizes real-time data processing in HFT algorithms using machine learning.
problem Optimizing data processing speed in high-frequency trading.
method Adaptive feature selection mechanism, clustering, feature weight analysis, lightweight neural networks.
result The model maintains consistent performance across varying market conditions.
ALPE improves mid-price forecasting in HFT with real-time data.
problem Real-time mid-price forecasting in high-frequency trading.
method Adaptive Learning Policy Engine (ALPE) using RL and adaptive epsilon decay.
result ALPE outperforms other models in mid-price forecasting.
We describe an end-to-end real-time S&P futures trading system. Inner-shell stochastic nonlinear dynamic models are developed, and Canonical Momenta Indicators (CMI) are derived from a fitted Lagrangian used by outer-shell trading models dependent on these indicators. Recursive and adaptive optimization using Adaptive …
Agent Trading Arena trains LLMs in real-time financial markets to improve numerical reasoning.
problem Limited real-world training for LLMs in financial markets.
method Virtual zero-sum stock market with competitive multi-agent trading.
result LLMs perform better with chart-based visualizations and a reflection module.
Neural process model improves real-time condition monitoring signal prediction.
problem Real-time adaptation for complex condition monitoring signals.
method Label-aware neural processes encoding and reconstruction.
result Advantages in real-time adaptation, enhanced signal prediction with uncertainty quantification, and joint prediction for labels and signals.
Flexible algorithm of multicurrency trade on Forex market has been built on the grounds of non-linear stochastic wavelets (NSW) model. Probability of the loss-free trade has been evaluated. Results of the algorithm's real-time testing and issues of the algorithm's development are discussed.
GC 2022 challenges real-time trend detection in financial tick data.
problem Efficiently detect trading trends in high-volume financial tick data.
method Real-time complex event processing of tick data, focusing on trend indicators and patterns.
result Participants must build reusable and practical solutions for real-life trading decisions.
AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.
problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.
Trading system uses NP-hard optimization to select stocks for high Sharpe ratio trading.
problem Finding profitable, uncorrelated stocks for high Sharpe ratio trading.
method NP-hard combinatorial optimization using Ising machine and simulated bifurcation algorithm.
result Trading strategy with FPGA-based system achieves 164 μs response latency.
Study combines sentiment analysis with traditional models for better S&P 500 trading.
problem Improving trading performance in volatile markets.
method Sentiment analysis from financial news, GPT-2, FinBERT, combined with technical indicators and time-series models.
result Combining sentiment-driven insights with traditional models improves trading performance.
Motivated by the practical challenge in monitoring the performance of a large number of algorithmic trading orders, this paper provides a methodology that leads to automatic discovery of the causes that lie behind a poor trading performance. It also gives theoretical foundations to a generic framework for real-time tra…
Exchanges acquire excess processing capacity to accommodate trading activity surges associated with zero-sum high-frequency trader (HFT) "duels." The idle capacity's opportunity cost is an externality of low-latency trading. We build a model of decentralized exchanges (DEX) with flexible capacity. On DEX, HFTs acquire …
FinBloom enhances LLMs for real-time financial queries.
problem Limited access to real-time financial data by LLMs.
method Developed a custom 7B parameter LLM, Financial Context Dataset, and a Financial Agent.
result Significantly improved LLMs' capability to handle dynamic financial tasks.
In order to reduce signalling, traders may resort to limiting access to dark venues and imposing limits on minimum fill sizes they are willing to trade. However, doing this also restricts the liquidity available to the trader since an ever increasing quantity of orders are traded by algos in clips. An alternative is to…
Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been proposed as a model for such spreads under the assumption that the observed process is…
The algorithmic trading comes from digitalisation of the processing of trading assets on financial markets. Since 1980 the computerization of the stock market offers real time processing of financial information. This technological revolution has offered processes and mathematic methods to identify best return on trans…
New framework detects crypto wash trading using liquidity measures.
problem Detecting and monitoring wash trading in crypto assets.
method Developed a new framework to detect wash trading through real-time liquidity fluctuation measures.
result Joint elevation in liquidity jump and diffusion indicates wash trading in crypto assets.
FutureQuant Transformer predicts price ranges and volatility for futures trading.
problem Complex futures trading with real-time LOBs and vast data.
method FutureQuant Transformer model using attention mechanisms.
result Significantly improved trading performance with an average gain of 0.1193%.
Model predicts stock market volatility, leading to successful trading.
problem Real-time risk management in stock markets.
method Algebraic theory of news impact, Bessel and hypergeometric functions, ML procedures.
result Trading system proved successful in historical and real-time experiments.
Study predicts ad conversions based on URL embeddings.
problem Predicting user conversion likelihood from visited URLs.
method Introduced URL embedding models and evaluated conversion prediction models.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of URL embedding models for conversion prediction.
MM-DREX adapts LLM experts for financial trading via dynamic routing.
problem Challenges of non-stationary financial markets and static expert designs.
method MM-DREX uses a VLM-powered dynamic router to allocate expert weights and designs heterogeneous trading experts.
result Significantly outperforms 15 baselines across key metrics.
Electricity accounts for 25% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Reducing emissions related to electricity consumption requires accurate measurements readily available to consumers, regulators and investors. In this case study, we propose a new real-time consumption-based accounting approach based on flow tracing. This…
Ever growing volume and velocity of data coupled with decreasing attention span of end users underscore the critical need for real-time analytics. In this regard, anomaly detection plays a key role as an application as well as a means to verify data fidelity. Although the subject of anomaly detection has been researche…
Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and accuracy in the predictions. Despite the recent advances in deep learning, it i…
The paper proposes a framework for modeling and analysis of the dynamics of supply, demand, and clearing prices in power system with real-time retail pricing and information asymmetry. Real-time retail pricing is characterized by passing on the real-time wholesale electricity prices to the end consumers, and is shown t…
Dynamic sentiment analysis improves stock trading strategies.
problem Improving stock trading performance through dynamic agent switching.
method Combining sentiment analysis with deep reinforcement learning and dynamic agent switching.
result Dynamic sentiment-based trading strategy outperforms traditional methods.
ATLAS uses LLMs to adaptively trade by optimizing prompts and coordinating agents.
problem Adapting LLMs for real-time financial decision-making in noisy markets.
method ATLAS integrates structured market data, uses Adaptive-OPRO for prompt optimization, and employs multi-agent coordination.
result Adaptive-OPRO consistently outperforms fixed prompts in financial trading.
Paper develops a fast Bayesian method to predict toxic trades in financial transactions.
problem Predicting and managing toxic trades in financial transactions.
method PULSE: an online learning Bayesian procedure for neural networks.
result Neural networks trained with PULSE outperform traditional methods in predicting toxic trades.
The imbalance of buying and selling functions profoundly in the formation of market trends, however, a fine-granularity investigation of the imbalance is still missing. This paper investigates a unique transaction dataset that enables us to inspect the imbalance of buying and selling on the man-times level at high freq…
Model predicts and optimizes trading of electricity price spreads across multiple zones.
problem Forecasting and optimizing day-ahead versus real-time price spreads in U.S. electricity markets.
method Unified statistical model for positive and negative spikes, structural price impact model based on bid stacks.
result Optimal trading strategy improves risk-return profile and highlights market heterogeneity.
Dynamic portfolio optimization is the process of sequentially allocating wealth to a collection of assets in some consecutive trading periods, based on investors' return-risk profile. Automating this process with machine learning remains a challenging problem. Here, we design a deep reinforcement learning (RL) architec…
ContestTrade uses competitive teams to improve LLM trading performance.
problem High sensitivity to market noise in LLM-based trading systems.
method Internal competitive mechanism, data and research teams, real-time evaluation.
result Significantly outperforms other systems across various metrics.
Model predicts option movements using residual transactions for better market timing.
problem Predicting option movements using standard metrics like open interest and trading volume.
method Analyzes residual transactions, integrates machine learning and regression techniques.
result Identifies early indicators of market trends for better option price forecasting.
In most illiquid markets, there is no obvious proxy for the market price of an asset. The European corporate bond market is an archetypal example of such an illiquid market where mid-prices can only be estimated with a statistical model. In this OTC market, dealers / market makers only have access, indeed, to partial i…
Background-Foreground classification is a well-studied problem in computer vision. Due to the pixel-wise nature of modeling and processing in the algorithm, it is usually difficult to satisfy real-time constraints. There is a trade-off between the speed (because of model complexity) and accuracy. Inspired by the reject…
Trading large volumes of a financial asset in order driven markets requires the use of algorithmic execution dividing the volume in many transactions in order to minimize costs due to market impact. A proper design of an optimal execution strategy strongly depends on a careful modeling of market impact, i.e. how the pr…
Adversarial attacks can fool algorithmic trading systems.
problem Adversarial perturbations can manipulate algorithmic trading models.
method Real-time adversarial attacks on trading algorithms using universal perturbations.
result Perturbations can fool trading algorithms at unseen data points.
Study compares statistical and machine learning models for detecting crypto trading anomalies.
problem Detecting outliers in cryptocurrency limit order books for market dynamics analysis.
method Comprehensive comparative analysis of 13 diverse models using a unified testing environment.
result Empirical Covariance (EC) model outperforms standard Buy-and-Hold by 6.70%.
Detecting real-time price impact in algo trading
problem Identifying the impact of traders' actions on market prices
method Measuring timing synchronicity between trader actions and adverse market events
result Detecting price impact on a per-action basis
Study finds short-term trading signals can enhance alpha in U.S. S&P 500 portfolios.
problem Traditional factor investing misses real-time market dislocations.
method Double-selection LASSO framework to control for fundamental factors and isolate trading signals.
result 17 distinct trading signals capture significant risk premiums and enhance portfolio diversification.
Real-time personalization for HAR models learns from new users without prior data.
problem Poor performance of HAR models on new users without labeled data.
method Incremental online domain adaptation using batch normalization.
result Personalized HAR models adapt to new users in real-time.
HedgeAgents boosts financial trading with balanced strategies.
problem Inefficient trading strategies under rapid market changes.
method Integrates LLMs with multi-agent system for robust decision-making.
result 70% annualized return and 400% total return over 3 years.
This survey analyzes deep learning methods for real-time semantic image segmentation.
problem Efficient and accurate semantic image segmentation for real-time applications.
method Comprehensive analysis of deep learning architectures and techniques for fast inference.
result Best-performing architectures and techniques for real-time semantic image segmentation.