Model predicts crime distribution in real-time, superior to existing methods.
problem Accurate real-time crime forecasting is difficult due to sparse and weak historical data.
method Adapted spatial temporal residual network to predict crime distribution in Los Angeles.
result The proposed model outperforms existing approaches in crime prediction accuracy.
Method predicts crime hotspots with high resolution.
problem Forecasting sparse spatiotemporal events like crime.
method Combines RKHS methods with autoregressive smoothing kernels.
result Significantly outperforms baseline models for sparse events.
Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is sparse. At different spatio-temporal scales, crime distributions display dramatica…
CASTNet forecasts opioid overdoses using crime patterns.
problem Forecasting opioid overdose occurrences.
method Community-attentive spatio-temporal networks incorporating multi-head attention.
result Superior forecasting performance and interpretable community contributions.
A deep neural network framework for forecasting sparse spatio-temporal data.
problem Forecasting sparse spatio-temporal data with real-time interactions.
method Coupling self-exciting point process and graph structured recurrent neural network.
result More accurate real-time forecasting of crime and traffic data.
Deep learning predicts crime counts with high accuracy.
problem Forecasting crime counts in city partitions.
method Used deep neural networks trained on crime data and additional datasets.
result Predicted crime counts with 75.6% and 65.3% accuracy for Chicago and Portland.
New approach predicts crime and terrorism events with high accuracy and transparency.
problem Predicting crime and terrorism events with high accuracy and interpretability.
method Granger Network inference for local transport rules learning.
result Achieved AUC of ~90% for crime predictions and ~80% for terrorism predictions.
This thesis evaluates the quality of binary classification models in crime forecasting tools.
problem Quality assessment of binary classification models in crime forecasting tools.
method Binary classifier approach to evaluate AUC and PPVk. result The PPVk deviates significantly from AUC in crime forecasting models. BusTr predicts bus travel times from real-time traffic forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of bus travel time predictions.
method Neural sequence model trained on real-time traffic forecasts.
result BusTr outperforms DeepTTE by 30% in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Predictive policing models can be biased by differential crime reporting rates.
problem Bias in predictive policing models due to differential crime reporting.
method Simulation based on Bogotá, Colombia's victimization and crime reporting data.
result Differential crime reporting rates can lead to misallocation of police patrols.
New model detects crime linkages from text, time, and space.
problem Detecting crime linkages from limited information.
method Spatio-temporal-textual Hawkes processes with text embeddings.
result Joint modeling of space, time, and text enhances crime linkage detection.
Predict crime using urban metrics with machine learning.
problem Predict crime using urban metrics and handle multicollinearity.
method Random forest regressor for crime prediction and clustering of urban indicators.
result Urban indicators like unemployment and illiteracy are most important for predicting homicides.
Deep neural networks improve real-time power system state estimation and forecasting.
problem Real-time monitoring of power grids with large-scale renewable generation and electric vehicles.
method Developed a novel model-specific DNN for real-time PSSE and used deep RNNs for forecasting.
result Improved performance compared to existing alternatives, including Gauss-Newton PSSE solver.
Deep learning improves crime prediction accuracy.
problem Improving crime prediction accuracy using deep learning.
method Comparative study of 10 deep learning methods on crime data.
result Deep learning methods outperform existing methods in crime prediction.
The paper introduces a US crime index to assess financial losses from property and cyber crimes.
problem Lack of indices evaluating crime's financial impact on investments.
method Developed an index-based insurance portfolio using FBI financial losses data.
result Real estate, ransomware, and government impersonation are major risk contributors.
Detects crime series using RBM embeddings from crime narratives.
problem Detecting related crime series from crime records.
method Unsupervised learning of latent feature embeddings using Gaussian-Bernoulli RBM.
result Related cases are closer in feature space, unrelated cases are far apart.
Paper aims to use AI for detecting financial crimes, focusing on money laundering.
problem Financial institutions need better technologies to detect and predict financial crimes.
method Study recent works, develop a novel model for money laundering detection.
result Demonstrates a model for detecting money laundering cases with minimal human intervention.
ALPE improves mid-price forecasting in HFT with real-time data.
problem Real-time mid-price forecasting in high-frequency trading.
method Adaptive Learning Policy Engine (ALPE) using RL and adaptive epsilon decay.
result ALPE outperforms other models in mid-price forecasting.
Paper predicts crimes using historical data and machine learning.
problem Predicting and preventing crime activities.
method Supervised learning with decision tree, k-nearest neighbor, Random Forest, and Adaboost algorithms.
result The system predicts crimes with better accuracy using historical data.
LAD-BNet improves real-time energy forecasting on edge devices.
problem Real-time energy forecasting on edge devices for smart grid optimization and intelligent buildings.
method Hybrid neural architecture combining temporal lag exploitation and TCN with dilated convolutions.
result 14.49% MAPE at 1-hour horizon with 18ms inference time on Edge TPU, 8-12x faster than CPU.
The paper models crime risk using Foursquare check-ins and mobility data.
problem Understanding and predicting crime risk in urban areas.
method Directed graph of aggregated movement data, region risk factor derivation, DIFFER features.
result Reliable correlations between DIFFER features and crime count observed.
New method combines model forecasts and real-time observations for hourly wind speed predictions.
problem Filling the six-hour gap between weather model runs for accurate hourly wind speed forecasts.
method Combines quasi-real-time observed wind speed and weather model predictions using a novel Ensemble Model Output Statistics (EMOS) strategy.
result Successfully improved wind speed predictions compared to observed data from SYNOP stations.
DeepCSO model forecasts CSO events from multiple sewer structures in near real-time.
problem Forecasting Combined Sewer Overflow (CSO) events at a citywide level.
method Multi-task deep learning model combining data-driven and deterministic methods.
result Deep learning model outperforms traditional methods in CSO event forecasting.
The study improves crime prediction using Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info.
problem Improving crime prediction models using diverse data sources.
method Combining Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info for crime prediction.
result The proposed model enhances classification performance in crime prediction.
New algorithm embeds crime events using RBMs with feature selection.
problem Capturing complex crime data features for event embedding.
method Regularized RBMs with ℓ1 penalty for feature selection. result Improved event embedding with interpretable selected features.
The problem of probabilistic forecasting and online simulation of real-time electricity market with stochastic generation and demand is considered. By exploiting the parametric structure of the direct current optimal power flow, a new technique based on online dictionary learning (ODL) is proposed. The ODL approach inc…
Predictive policing systems are increasingly used to determine how to allocate police across a city in order to best prevent crime. Discovered crime data (e.g., arrest counts) are used to help update the model, and the process is repeated. Such systems have been empirically shown to be susceptible to runaway feedback l…
This study predicts crime trends in Denver using machine learning.
problem Predicting crime patterns to aid law enforcement and resource allocation.
method Statistical analysis, data visualization, and various classification algorithms.
result Ensemble Model 4 achieved the highest accuracy in predicting crime.
Queuing model predicts truck parking occupancy.
problem Real-time probabilistic forecasting of truck parking occupancy.
method Non-homogeneous queuing model with time-varying service times, verified using empirical data.
result Lower bound for real-time prediction algorithms characterized.
Machine learning predicts COVID-19 activity in China.
problem Real-time forecasting of COVID-19 activity in Chinese provinces.
method Combines mechanistic disease models with digital traces (internet searches, news alerts). Uses clustering and data augmentation techniques.
result Stable and accurate forecasts 2 days ahead of current time, outperforming baseline models in 27 out of 32 provinces.
SVM predicts economic recessions in real-time.
problem Determining the onset and end of recessions quickly.
method Support Vector Machines (SVM) applied to nowcasting.
result SVM achieves excellent predictive performance for nowcasting recessions.
Paper introduces TS-GPT for engineering time series forecasting.
problem Engineering time series require causal operations, unlike linguistic data.
method Innovations representation theory, Generative Pre-trained Transformer.
result TS-GPT effectively forecasts real-time locational marginal prices.
This review explores probabilistic forecasting methods in evolving energy markets.
problem Volatility and uncertainty in renewable energy markets require probabilistic forecasting for risk assessment.
method Traces evolution from Bayesian and distribution-based approaches to conformal prediction.
result Probabilistic forecasting offers a more comprehensive approach to risk assessment and market participation.
CRIMED optimizes regret in bandits with unbounded stochastic corruption.
problem Minimizing regret in bandits with arbitrary unbounded corruptions.
method Introduces CRIMED, an asymptotically-optimal algorithm for Gaussian distributions with known variance.
result Achieves exact lower bound on regret for Gaussian distributions with high corruption probability.
Deep model predicts robot trajectories in real time.
problem Real-time robot trajectory prediction with low latency.
method Deep conditional generative model trained with SGDVB.
result More accurate long-term predictions with lower latency.
Transformer model forecasts electricity price spread for virtual bidding.
problem Volatility in renewable energy causes price forecasting challenges.
method Transformer-based deep learning model using various time-series features.
result Trading strategy at peak hour yields nearly consistent profit.
Paper proposes a federated graph learning platform to improve financial crime detection.
problem Current financial crime detection methods are ineffective and costly.
method Federated graph learning platform combining federated learning and graph learning.
result Federated model outperforms local model by 20%.
Automated system forecasts safety and security issues in internet-connected devices.
problem Challenges in real-time large-scale forecasting by human experts.
method Developed a scalable and versatile forecasting system using models and methods.
result Automated short and long-term forecasts detect safety and security issues in internet-connected devices.
Novel framework for spatio-temporal event analysis using Hawkes processes.
problem Inference of dynamics in spatio-temporal event sequences.
method Randomized Fourier feature-based transformations and gradient descent.
result Improved fitting capability in synthetic and real datasets.
Paper proposes an efficient method for calibrating spatio-temporal forecasts.
problem Real-world spatio-temporal forecasting challenges like signal anomalies and distributional shifts.
method Learning with Calibration (ST-TTC) for real-time bias correction.
result ST-TTC improves spatio-temporal forecasting accuracy with reduced computational cost.
Generative adversarial network improves geosteering in fluvial reservoirs.
problem Improving geosteering in complex reservoirs with high uncertainties.
method Generative adversarial deep neural network (GAN) trained to model fluvial successions.
result Reduces uncertainty and correctly predicts geological features up to 500 meters ahead of drill-bit.
OneShotSTL efficiently decomposes time series online, improving speed and accuracy.
problem Real-time analysis of time series data with low processing delay.
method Online seasonal-trend decomposition algorithm with O(1) update time complexity.
result 1,000 times faster than batch methods with comparable accuracy.
Data set tracks real-time election results for 4 hours post-October 2019 Portuguese elections.
problem Real-time tracking of election results for predictive modeling.
method Real-time data collection and interval-based analysis.
result Data set supports various predictive modeling tasks including numerical forecasting.
Self-driving vehicles improve safety by predicting surrounding vehicles' trajectories.
problem Ensuring safety of self-driving vehicles through better trajectory prediction.
method Developed a Convolutional Neural Network to forecast vehicle trajectories from raw data.
result Improvement over baseline models in trajectory forecasting accuracy.
Study uses RNN for real-time crypto price prediction and trading optimization.
problem High volatility in cryptocurrency markets makes traditional forecasting models unreliable.
method Data collection, preprocessing, model refinement, and backtesting.
result Improved accuracy in real-time crypto price prediction and optimized trading strategies.
This thesis builds a real-time VaR calculation workflow for crypto derivatives.
problem Managing risk in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Applied EMWA, GARCH, and HAR models to forecast volatility; used delta-gamma-theta approach and Cornish-Fisher expansion.
result Real-time VaR estimates with millisecond calculation latencies.
Deep neural networks reduce weather forecast uncertainty estimation costs.
problem Accurate estimation of weather forecast uncertainty using ensemble prediction systems.
method Modified 3D U-Net architecture and models incorporating temporal data.
result Deep neural networks can estimate weather forecast uncertainty with fewer simulations.
New model forecasts long-memory series with time-varying parameters.
problem Forecasting long-memory series with dynamic parameters.
method Proposes a new long-memory model with a time-varying fractional parameter, driven by predictive likelihood score.
result Validated through Monte Carlo experiment and real data applications.