Pronounced variability due to the growth of renewable energy sources, flexible loads, and distributed generation is challenging residential distribution systems. This context, motivates well fast, efficient, and robust reactive power control. Real-time optimal reactive power control is possible in theory by solving a n…
arXiv research
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A new framework uses stochastic optimal control to estimate rare events more accurately.
Electronic power inverters are capable of quickly delivering reactive power to maintain customer voltages within operating tolerances and to reduce system losses in distribution grids. This paper proposes a systematic and data-driven approach to determine reactive power inverter output as a function of local measuremen…
Recently, a novel class of Approximate Policy Iteration (API) algorithms have demonstrated impressive practical performance (e.g., ExIt from [2], AlphaGo-Zero from [27]). This new family of algorithms maintains, and alternately optimizes, two policies: a fast, reactive policy (e.g., a deep neural network) deployed at t…
Machine learning models accurately predict the state and dynamics of reactive mixing.
AIF improves physical AI agents' performance in dynamic environments.
MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.
A new hierarchy quantifies agency in systems based on information processing.
Improved queue-reactive model considers order sizes for better market simulation.
A new algorithm improves efficiency and robustness of heuristic optimization in simulation-based problems.
Enhances diffusion-based sampling for molecular systems.
Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.
We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the specific risk, and the "panic effect", which occurs whenever systematic risk become…
We present a reactive beta model that includes the leverage effect to allow hedge fund managers to target a near-zero beta for market neutral strategies. For this purpose, we derive a metric of correlation with leverage effect to identify the relation between the market beta and volatility changes. An empirical test ba…
Traditional energy-based learning models associate a single energy metric to each configuration of variables involved in the underlying optimization process. Such models associate the lowest energy state to the optimal configuration of variables under consideration, and are thus inherently dissipative. In this paper we…
Unified model for market dynamics, linking price and order flow.
Algorithm improves reinforcement learning policies using offline data.
Method learns latent dynamics of complex systems from noisy data.
The identification of slow invariant manifolds (SIMs) is an essential part in model-order reduction for reactive systems. The mathematical definition of the SIM by Fenichel can be considered unsatisfactory, because it is only applicable to so-called slow-fast system and does not provide the uniqueness of the SIM. Obser…
Paper improves volatility estimation using a Queue-Reactive model.
RL optimizes meta-order execution by adapting to market conditions.
Examines financial risks' impact on EU-15 economic growth.
The hybrid clustering-classification neural network is proposed. This network allows increasing a quality of information processing under the condition of overlapping classes due to the rational choice of a learning rate parameter and introducing a special procedure of fuzzy reasoning in the clustering process, which o…
Paper revises power theory using classical mechanics concepts.
The paper models financial markets and real economy interactions using a large agent framework.
Designs a single policy for collecting data to train near-optimal policies.
New algorithm detects and adapts to changes in real-time data streams.
Turbulence is still one of the main challenges for accurately predicting reactive flows. Therefore, the development of new turbulence closures which can be applied to combustion problems is essential. Data-driven modeling has become very popular in many fields over the last years as large, often extensively labeled, da…
We introduce Recurrent Predictive State Policy (RPSP) networks, a recurrent architecture that brings insights from predictive state representations to reinforcement learning in partially observable environments. Predictive state policy networks consist of a recursive filter, which keeps track of a belief about the stat…
Decouples critic chunk length from policy to improve policy reactivity and performance.
Analysis of reactive-diffusion simulations requires a large number of independent model runs. For each high-fidelity simulation, inputs are varied and the predicted mixing behavior is represented by changes in species concentration. It is then required to discern how the model inputs impact the mixing process. This tas…
A major challenge in cognitive science and AI has been to understand how autonomous agents might acquire and predict behavioral and mental states of other agents in the course of complex social interactions. How does such an agent model the goals, beliefs, and actions of other agents it interacts with? What are the com…
Voltage control plays an important role in the operation of electricity distribution networks, especially with high penetration of distributed energy resources. These resources introduce significant and fast varying uncertainties. In this paper, we focus on reactive power compensation to control voltage in the presence…
In this paper a neural network heuristic dynamic programing (HDP) is used for optimal control of the virtual inertia based control of grid connected three phase inverters. It is shown that the conventional virtual inertia controllers are not suited for non inductive grids. A neural network based controller is proposed …
A new method uses deep learning to predict rare events in complex systems.
During reactive transport modeling, the computational cost associated with chemical reaction calculations is often 10-100 times higher than that of transport calculations. Most of these costs results from chemical equilibrium calculations that are performed at least once in every mesh cell and at every time step of the…
Generative models accelerate molecular dynamics by four orders of magnitude.
RL optimizes trading algorithms to reduce market impact and costs.
MASA framework uses RL to balance portfolio returns and risks.
System predicts HIV patients at risk of dropping out of care.
Algorithm detects concept drift and adapts models in streaming data.
Prophet predicts device qualities for FL to reduce training latency.
An algorithm based on Renormalization Group (RG) to analyze time series forecasting was proposed in cond-mat/0110285. In this paper we explicitly code and test it. We choose in particular some financial time series (stocks, indexes and commodities) with daily data and compute one step ahead forecasts. We then construct…
In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the influence of both the current book state and the past order flow. The first variant cons…
The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions. Decision-makers would rather not ignore the impact of other participants on these dynamics and should employ tools and models that take this …
New method learns low-dimensional models for systems with non-polynomial terms.
Study develops a data-based model for in-cylinder pressure and cyclic variations in RCCI engines.
A2MT learns agents to select which modalities to acquire at test time.