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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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82164245327 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for reactive systems

A new framework uses stochastic optimal control to estimate rare events more accurately.

problem Estimating rare events like chemical reactions in biomolecules is computationally challenging.
method The approach casts committor estimation as a stochastic optimal control problem, developing direct and off-policy Value Matching losses.
result The framework yields more accurate committor estimates, reaction rates, and equilibrium constants.

Recently, a novel class of Approximate Policy Iteration (API) algorithms have demonstrated impressive practical performance (e.g., ExIt from [2], AlphaGo-Zero from [27]). This new family of algorithms maintains, and alternately optimizes, two policies: a fast, reactive policy (e.g., a deep neural network) deployed at t…

2018-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models accurately predict the state and dynamics of reactive mixing.

problem Accurate prediction of reactive mixing for Earth and environmental science applications.
method Built a high-fidelity numerical model to simulate reactive mixing scenarios. Used 20 different machine learning emulators to classify mixing state and predict three QoIs.
result Ensemble methods and MLP models accurately predict the state of reactive mixing and QoIs, significantly faster than high-fidelity simulations.

AIF improves physical AI agents' performance in dynamic environments.

problem Physical AI agents are less capable than biological agents in open-ended real-world environments.
method Developed from probability theory, Bayesian machine learning, variational inference, and Active Inference (AIF), grounded in the Free Energy Principle.
result AIF minimizes variational free energy and is well-suited to physical constraints.

MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.

problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.

A new hierarchy quantifies agency in systems based on information processing.

problem Lack of a measurable, universal definition for agency in intelligent systems.
method Developed a bottom-up framework based on information processing hierarchy.
result Identified three orders of information processing (I, II, III) as necessary for agency.

A new algorithm improves efficiency and robustness of heuristic optimization in simulation-based problems.

problem Optimizing input parameters for stochastic simulation-based optimization.
method Reactive sample size algorithm based on parametric tests and indifference-zone selection.
result The reactive method improves efficiency and robustness of heuristic optimization techniques.

Enhances diffusion-based sampling for molecular systems.

problem Inefficiency and thermodynamic mode miss in diffusion-based samplers for molecular systems.
method Introduces a sequential bias along collective variables (CVs) to encourage exploration and increase temperature in the projected space.
result Improves efficiency, mode discovery, and free energy estimation; first to demonstrate reactive sampling.

Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.

problem Realistic simulation of limit order books for market research and strategy development.
method Extends Queue-Reactive model with neural network for complex dependencies and varying market conditions.
result Captures key market properties like square-root law of market impact and order size patterns.

We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the specific risk, and the "panic effect", which occurs whenever systematic risk become…

2012-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a reactive beta model that includes the leverage effect to allow hedge fund managers to target a near-zero beta for market neutral strategies. For this purpose, we derive a metric of correlation with leverage effect to identify the relation between the market beta and volatility changes. An empirical test ba…

2019-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified model for market dynamics, linking price and order flow.

problem Modeling market dynamics and order flow in a unified framework.
method Markovian market model driven by a hidden Brownian efficient price, signal-driven and queue-reactive models.
result Stability of mid-price around efficient price at macroscopic scale, behavior as diffusion.

Algorithm improves reinforcement learning policies using offline data.

problem Improving reinforcement learning policies with limited online data.
method Designs a single non-reactive policy using offline data with provable guarantees.
result Algorithm achieves better policy quality with less online data.

The identification of slow invariant manifolds (SIMs) is an essential part in model-order reduction for reactive systems. The mathematical definition of the SIM by Fenichel can be considered unsatisfactory, because it is only applicable to so-called slow-fast system and does not provide the uniqueness of the SIM. Obser…

2019-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves volatility estimation using a Queue-Reactive model.

problem Volatility estimation from high-frequency data is biased by microstructure noise.
method Uses Queue-Reactive model of limit order book to improve volatility estimation.
result Unified and alternation estimators lead to optimal mean squared error for integrated volatility.

The paper models financial markets and real economy interactions using a large agent framework.

problem Understanding capital allocation and accumulation in financial markets and real economy interactions.
method Developed a field-formalism model to analyze interactions between financial markets and real economy with a large number of heterogeneous agents.
result The number of firms in each sector depends on the aggregate financial capital invested and expected long-term returns.

Designs a single policy for collecting data to train near-optimal policies.

problem Engineering overhead in deploying minimax procedures for stochastic linear contextual bandits.
method Designs a single stochastic policy to collect data from which a near-optimal policy can be extracted.
result The designed policy can collect data from which a near-optimal policy can be extracted.

We introduce Recurrent Predictive State Policy (RPSP) networks, a recurrent architecture that brings insights from predictive state representations to reinforcement learning in partially observable environments. Predictive state policy networks consist of a recursive filter, which keeps track of a belief about the stat…

2018-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Decouples critic chunk length from policy to improve policy reactivity and performance.

problem Bootstrapping bias and difficulty in extracting optimal policies from chunked critics.
method Optimizes policy against a distilled critic for partial action chunks, allowing shorter chunks for policy.
result Reliably outperforms prior methods on long-horizon offline goal-conditioned tasks.

Generative models accelerate molecular dynamics by four orders of magnitude.

problem Femtosecond time steps limit access to slow molecular processes.
method Deep generative modeling framework that accelerates sampling.
result Quantitative characterization of equilibrium ensembles and dynamical relaxation processes.

RL optimizes trading algorithms to reduce market impact and costs.

problem Optimizing sophisticated trading algorithms to minimize market impact and costs.
method Reinforcement learning framework within a market simulator.
result RL-derived strategies consistently outperform baselines and operate near the efficient frontier.

MASA framework uses RL to balance portfolio returns and risks.

problem Managing portfolio risk in turbulent financial markets.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning with a market observer.
result MASA framework outperforms RL approaches in balancing returns and risks.

Prophet predicts device qualities for FL to reduce training latency.

problem Bad candidate-selection leads to large training and reporting latency in FL.
method Each device predicts its own training and reporting phases using LSTM. The algorithm is implemented with DRL.
result The proposed approach outperforms reactive algorithms in real-world experiments.

An algorithm based on Renormalization Group (RG) to analyze time series forecasting was proposed in cond-mat/0110285. In this paper we explicitly code and test it. We choose in particular some financial time series (stocks, indexes and commodities) with daily data and compute one step ahead forecasts. We then construct…

2008-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the influence of both the current book state and the past order flow. The first variant cons…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions. Decision-makers would rather not ignore the impact of other participants on these dynamics and should employ tools and models that take this …

2019-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method learns low-dimensional models for systems with non-polynomial terms.

problem Modeling systems with non-polynomial nonlinear terms that are spatially local and given in analytic form.
method Non-intrusive model reduction method that learns operators for linear and polynomially nonlinear dynamics via a least-squares problem incorporating given non-polynomial terms.
result Comparable accuracy to intrusive methods that require full knowledge of governing equations.

Study develops a data-based model for in-cylinder pressure and cyclic variations in RCCI engines.

problem Lack of models capturing cyclic variations in combustion concepts like RCCI.
method Combines Principle Component Decomposition and Gaussian Process Regression.
result Model predicts combustion measures with high accuracy, especially peak-pressure rise-rate.

A2MT learns agents to select which modalities to acquire at test time.

problem Learning agents to select modalities for multimodal temporal data acquisition.
method Perceiver IO architecture for active acquisition of multimodal temporal data.
result Agents successfully learn cost-reactive acquisition behavior on real-world datasets.