This paper investigates robust and efficient DR/RDR estimators for WATEs.
problem Lack of systematic investigation into robustness and efficiency conditions for WATE estimation.
method Proposes three RDR estimators using semiparametric efficient influence function and double/debiased machine learning.
result Demonstrates the practical relevance of the methods in medical and social sciences.
Proposes DR algorithms for distributionally robust off-policy evaluation and learning.
problem Sensitive to environment distribution shifts in offline observational data.
method Doubly robust and distributionally robust approaches for OPE/L.
result Achieves semiparametric efficiency and fast regret rate.
Proposes a robust method for counterfactual classification.
problem Decision-making under hypothetical scenarios.
method Doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for counterfactual classification.
result Robust against nuisance model misspecification, can attain fast n \sqrt{n} n rates. The consistency of doubly robust estimators relies on consistent estimation of at least one of two nuisance regression parameters. In moderate to large dimensions, the use of flexible data-adaptive regression estimators may aid in achieving this consistency. However, n 1 / 2 n^{1/2} n 1/2 -consistency of doubly robust estimators is…
DR-MCTS improves decision quality and sample efficiency in complex environments.
problem Improving decision quality and sample efficiency in complex environments.
method Integrates Doubly Robust off-policy estimation into Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS).
result DR-MCTS achieves superior performance in Tic-Tac-Toe and VirtualHome tasks.
Optimally estimates a functional using nuisance function tuning and sample splitting.
problem Estimating optimal rates for a doubly robust functional.
method Combines nuisance function tuning and sample splitting strategies.
result Shows optimal rates of convergence for various estimators.
New methods estimate policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.
problem Estimating policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.
method Proposed new doubly robust estimators based on kernelization approaches.
result Demonstrated a rate independent of horizon length for policy value and gradient estimation.
New estimator for causal effects in large datasets.
problem Unobserved confounding in large-scale data.
method Doubly robust estimator combining imputation, IPW, and cross-fitting.
result Error converges to Gaussian distribution at parametric rate.
Paper proves optimality of doubly robust estimators for treatment effects.
problem Estimating treatment effects in causal inference.
method Structure-agnostic framework of statistical lower bounds, using non-parametric regression and classification oracles.
result Doubly robust estimators are statistically optimal for ATE and ATT.
StableDR stabilizes doubly robust learning for biased recommendation data.
problem Data missing not at random in recommender systems.
method StableDR, a stabilized doubly robust learning approach.
result StableDR achieves bounded bias, variance, and generalization error.
Proposes a robust estimator for high-dimensional data with heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with many more regressors than observations.
method Doubly robust two-stage semiparametric difference-in-difference estimator using machine learning for propensity score estimation.
result Valid inference for heterogeneous treatment effects with bias correction procedures.
CPME embeds counterfactual outcomes in RKHS for flexible policy evaluation.
problem Estimating counterfactual policy outcomes for decision-making.
method Counterfactual Policy Mean Embedding (CPME) framework in RKHS, plug-in and doubly robust estimators, kernel test statistic.
result Doubly robust estimator improves convergence rates and asymptotic normality.
Doubly-stochastic normalization improves robustness to heteroskedastic noise.
problem Robustness to heteroskedastic noise in affinity matrix construction.
method Doubly-stochastic normalization of the Gaussian kernel.
result Doubly-stochastic normalization converges to clean matrix with rate m − 1 / 2 m^{-1/2} m − 1/2 under heteroskedastic noise. Simplified tutorial on doubly robust learning for causal inference.
problem Challenges in applying doubly robust methods due to complexity and software barriers.
method Combines propensity score and outcome modeling for robust causal inference.
result Makes doubly robust learning accessible through simplified methodology and practical examples.
Proposes DR-ACI for causal effect intervals with temporal dependence.
problem Causal effect intervals under temporal dependence.
method Doubly robust adaptive conformal inference (DR-ACI).
result Constructs prediction intervals for causal effects.
New tests for distributional causal effects using improved kernel estimators.
problem Testing for higher-order moments and multidimensional outcomes affected by treatment.
method Improved kernel estimators based on doubly robust mean embeddings.
result New permutation-based tests for distributional causal effects with improved convergence rates.
Extends robust methods for causal inference, improving estimator performance.
problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of latent confounders.
method Minimax kernel machine learning for doubly robust functionals.
result Proposed method leads to robust and high-performance estimators.
Proposes a neural network method to combine nonprobability and probability survey samples.
problem Combining nonprobability and probability survey samples for accurate population mean estimation.
method Uses a deep neural network to estimate sampling scores from nonprobability samples and combines them with probability sample information.
result Proposed estimators improve robustness to parametric propensity-score misspecification, especially for nonlinear selection mechanisms.
Improved estimators for causal inference using cross-fitting and undersmoothing.
problem Estimating expected conditional covariance in causal inference.
method Double cross-fit doubly robust (DCDR) estimators with undersmoothing for non-smooth nuisance functions.
result DCDR estimators achieve n \sqrt{n} n -consistency and asymptotic normality under minimal conditions. Improved off-policy evaluation for MDPs with weak distributional overlap.
problem Evaluation of policies when target and data-collection distributions are not strongly overlapping.
method Truncated Doubly Robust (TDR) estimators for off-policy evaluation in MDPs under weak distributional overlap.
result TDR estimators can recover large-sample behavior and are consistent even when distribution ratios are not square-integrable.
DoubleGen addresses bias in generative modeling of counterfactuals.
problem Bias in generative models for counterfactual outcomes.
method Doubly robust framework that modifies generative modeling training objectives to mitigate confounding and misspecification biases.
result Successfully addresses confounding bias even if only one auxiliary model is correct.
New methods combine machine learning with doubly robust estimators for better treatment effect estimation.
problem Estimating average treatment effects from observational data.
method Doubly robust methods using machine learning techniques.
result Machine learning improves the performance of doubly robust estimators.
We present the very first robust Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection algorithm through General Bayesian Inference (GBI) with β β β -divergences. The resulting inference procedure is doubly robust for both the parameter and the changepoint (CP) posterior, with linear time and constant space complexity. We provide a const…
The paper tackles robust policy learning from multiple data sources.
problem Learning a policy that generalizes across diverse settings from multiple heterogeneous data sources.
method Proposes a minimax regret optimization objective and a policy learning algorithm combining doubly robust offline policy evaluation and no-regret learning.
result Achieves minimal worst-case mixture regret up to a moderated vanishing rate of the total data across all sources.
Paper tackles causal inference with partially labeled data, introducing robust methods.
problem Challenges in causal inference due to partially labeled datasets and potential bias.
method Decaying missing-at-random framework and BRSS estimator for doubly robust causal inference.
result Established asymptotic normality of BRSS estimator under decaying labeling propensity scores.
Corrects mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators for doubly robust methods.
problem Mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators in doubly robust methods.
method Calibrated debiased machine learning (calibrated DML) with isotonic regression adjustment.
result Calibrated DML yields doubly robust asymptotic normality with slower convergence of nuisance estimators.
New method improves CATE model selection with optimal regret rates.
problem Nontrivial task of selecting accurate CATE models.
method Causal Q-aggregation using doubly robust loss.
result Achieves optimal oracle model selection regret rates of log(M)/n.
The paper develops methods for causal inference from single-cell RNA sequencing data with multiple outcomes.
problem Causal inference from single-cell RNA sequencing data with multiple heterogeneous outcomes.
method Generic semiparametric inference framework for doubly robust estimation with multiple derived outcomes.
result Demonstrates the use of semiparametric inferential results for estimating causal effects in genomics.
Proposes new method for calibrating treatment effect predictors.
problem Calibrating predictors of heterogeneous treatment effects.
method Causal isotonic calibration and cross-calibration.
result Achieves fast calibration rates under weak conditions.
This paper improves causal inference using deep neural networks for low-dimensional covariates.
problem Improving causal inference with deep learning for high-dimensional covariates.
method Doubly robust off-policy learning with deep neural networks on low-dimensional manifolds.
result Nonasymptotic regret bounds for finite- and continuous-action scenarios, converging at a fast rate depending on intrinsic manifold dimension.
We study the problem of off-policy critic evaluation in several variants of value-based off-policy actor-critic algorithms. Off-policy actor-critic algorithms require an off-policy critic evaluation step, to estimate the value of the new policy after every policy gradient update. Despite enormous success of off-policy …
Doubly robust self-training improves semi-supervised learning by balancing labeled and pseudo-labeled data.
problem Improving semi-supervised learning performance with limited labeled data.
method Introduces doubly robust self-training, a method that combines labeled and pseudo-labeled data to balance between labeled-only and pseudo-labeled-only training.
result Demonstrates superior performance of doubly robust self-training on ImageNet and nuScenes datasets.
Paper develops methods to estimate derivative of dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
problem Estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
method Doubly robust (DR) inference method using kernel smoothing, bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators.
result Proposes novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators for continuous treatments.
Theory establishes optimal rates for estimating linear functionals without structural assumptions.
problem Estimating linear functionals of unknown nuisance components without structural assumptions.
method Structure-agnostic framework, doubly robust estimators, first-order debiasing.
result Characterization of minimax optimal rates and regimes for double robustness.
New estimators improve causal inference in machine learning studies.
problem Improving causal inference in machine learning models.
method Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators for average causal effect.
result Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators outperform other methods in simulations.
FedDuA adapts global learning rate for federated learning.
problem Slow convergence in federated learning due to dataset and parameter space heterogeneity.
method FedDuA uses mirror descent to adaptively select global learning rate based on inter-client and coordinate-wise heterogeneity.
result FedDuA achieves minimax optimal convergence for convex objectives and outperforms baselines in various settings.
New method combines strengths of two PCL approaches without density ratio estimation.
problem Estimating causal functions in Proxy Causal Learning with unobserved confounders and proxies.
method Kernel-based doubly robust estimators combining treatment and outcome bridges, density ratio-free.
result Outperforms existing methods on PCL benchmarks, including a prior doubly robust method.
Estimates outcomes under hypothetical scenarios using a flexible framework.
problem Adapting to sudden shifts in treatment patterns.
method Doubly robust estimator using incremental interventions.
result Achieves n \sqrt{n} n -consistency and asymptotic normality. New test for conditional independence using GNNs avoids estimating conditional distributions.
problem Testing conditional independence of X X X and Y Y Y given Z Z Z . method Proposes a non-parametric testing procedure using GNNs to sample from marginal conditional distributions.
result Test statistic is doubly robust against GNN approximation errors.
This paper proposes a method to use LLMs as auxiliary evaluators in place of human judges.
problem The need for cost-effective and scalable evaluation of AI systems.
method Formulates a two-stage sampling design with LLM evaluations and human ratings, using a doubly robust estimator.
result Proposes a method to determine optimal sample sizes for human and LLM ratings.
Paper introduces GDR-learners for estimating potential outcomes from observational data.
problem Lack of theoretical property of general Neyman-orthogonality in deep generative models.
method Develops flexible GDR-learners based on various deep generative models.
result GDR-learners possess quasi-oracle efficiency and rate double robustness, asymptotically optimal.
Method learns optimal treatment sequences from observational data.
problem Optimal dynamic treatment regimes for public policies and medical interventions.
method Doubly robust classification-based approach via backward induction.
result Achieves optimal convergence rate of n^(-1/2) for welfare regret.
New test for binary treatment effects using kernel methods.
problem Testing distributional effects of binary treatments.
method Kernel-based doubly-robust test, avoiding permutations.
result Valid type-I error with computational efficiency.
Proposes a robust algorithm for aligning large language models with human preferences.
problem Misspecification in preference models, reference policies, and reward functions.
method Doubly robust preference optimization algorithm.
result Superior and more robust performance compared to state-of-the-art algorithms.
Paper develops a new estimator for dynamic treatment effects in high-dimensional settings.
problem Time-varying confounding and model misspecification in estimating dynamic treatment effects.
method Sequential model doubly robust estimator with moment-targeting estimates.
result Root-N inference achieved under model misspecification, even with high-dimensional covariates.
Natural experiment dataset reveals inconsistent treatment effect estimators.
problem Inconsistent results from over 20 estimators on a new dataset.
method Created a benchmark to evaluate estimator accuracy, derived variance formula, introduced new estimator.
result Doubly robust estimators outperform others by orders of magnitude.
New algorithm reduces bias in off-policy reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in designing off-policy reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Doubly robust off-policy actor-critic (DR-Off-PAC) with a single timescale structure.
result Establishes the first overall sample complexity analysis for a single time-scale off-policy AC algorithm.
Improves SSL with doubly robust estimation of unlabeled class distribution.
problem Limited labeled data and long-tailed class distributions in unlabeled data.
method Explicitly estimate unlabeled class distribution using doubly robust estimator.
result Improves performance of SSL methods on unlabeled data.