Tests validity of DML estimators without assumptions.
problem Validating DML estimators without making assumptions.
method Develops tests to falsify assumptions for DML estimators.
result Falsifies assumptions for DML estimators with non-trivial power.
Gradient descent recovers low-rank matrices from corrupted measurements with double over-parameterization.
problem Robust recovery of low-rank matrices from grossly corrupted measurements.
method Gradient descent with discrepant learning rates for double over-parameterized models.
result Gradient descent with discrepant learning rates provably recovers the underlying matrix without prior knowledge on rank or sparsity.
A new algorithm improves offline reinforcement learning robustness.
problem Finding optimal policies in perturbed environments from offline data.
method Doubly Pessimistic Model-based Policy Optimization (P^2MPO) framework.
result Proves sample efficiency with robust partial coverage data.
We develop methods to approximate derivatives for causal inference problems using data.
problem Estimating causal effects from data when distributions are not known.
method Constructive algorithm approximating Gateaux derivatives via finite differencing.
result Derives conditions for finite-difference approximations to preserve statistical benefits.
Proposes CCME framework for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex distributions.
method Embeds conditional distributions into RKHS, develops meta-estimators for CCME.
result Establishes finite-sample convergence rates and double robustness for CCME estimators.
Paper introduces GDR-learners for estimating potential outcomes from observational data.
problem Lack of theoretical property of general Neyman-orthogonality in deep generative models.
method Develops flexible GDR-learners based on various deep generative models.
result GDR-learners possess quasi-oracle efficiency and rate double robustness, asymptotically optimal.
Improved estimators for causal inference using cross-fitting and undersmoothing.
problem Estimating expected conditional covariance in causal inference.
method Double cross-fit doubly robust (DCDR) estimators with undersmoothing for non-smooth nuisance functions.
result DCDR estimators achieve n \sqrt{n} n -consistency and asymptotic normality under minimal conditions. A theorem for debiasing machine learning with finite sample guarantees.
problem Calculating confidence intervals for machine learning functionals.
method Debiased machine learning based on bias correction and sample splitting.
result Nonasymptotic debiased machine learning theorem with finite sample guarantees.
This paper investigates robust and efficient DR/RDR estimators for WATEs.
problem Lack of systematic investigation into robustness and efficiency conditions for WATE estimation.
method Proposes three RDR estimators using semiparametric efficient influence function and double/debiased machine learning.
result Demonstrates the practical relevance of the methods in medical and social sciences.
New methods improve estimation accuracy in noisy settings.
problem Estimating treatment effects in the presence of treatment noise.
method Developed new structure-agnostic cumulant estimators and practical procedures for higher-order robustness.
result Demonstrated that existing DML estimator is suboptimal for non-Gaussian treatment noise and introduced ACE procedures for improved accuracy.
We propose a unified framework to solve general low-rank plus sparse matrix recovery problems based on matrix factorization, which covers a broad family of objective functions satisfying the restricted strong convexity and smoothness conditions. Based on projected gradient descent and the double thresholding operator, …
Extends double linear policy with time-varying weights and proves robust positive expectation.
problem Ensuring robustness in policy optimization with time-varying parameters.
method Employed a novel elementary symmetric polynomials characterization approach to prove robust positive expectation (RPE). Derived explicit expressions for expected cumulative gain-loss and variance.
result Proved the robust positive expectation property holds for the extended double linear policy.
Paper develops a new estimator for dynamic treatment effects in high-dimensional settings.
problem Time-varying confounding and model misspecification in estimating dynamic treatment effects.
method Sequential model doubly robust estimator with moment-targeting estimates.
result Root-N inference achieved under model misspecification, even with high-dimensional covariates.
New method improves robustness of double robust estimators under complete misspecification.
problem Improper performance of double robust estimators when all nuisance functions are misspecified.
method DR+ACC, an adaptive correction clipping method.
result DR+ACC ensures bounded error and maintains semiparametric efficiency.
A new framework optimizes model transfer across domains with labeled data.
problem Distributional heterogeneity across domains in multi-source learning.
method Conditional Group Distributionally Robust Optimization (CG-DRO) framework with Mirror Prox algorithm and double machine learning.
result Established fast statistical convergence rates and uniformly valid inference for CG-DRO.
New method improves CATE model selection with optimal regret rates.
problem Nontrivial task of selecting accurate CATE models.
method Causal Q-aggregation using doubly robust loss.
result Achieves optimal oracle model selection regret rates of log(M)/n.
A new method for fast and robust sparsity learning over networks.
problem Efficiently learning sparse models in decentralized networks.
method Decentralized surrogate median regression (deSMR) method.
result Linear convergence rate with a simple implementation.
Off-policy evaluation (OPE) in reinforcement learning allows one to evaluate novel decision policies without needing to conduct exploration, which is often costly or otherwise infeasible. We consider for the first time the semiparametric efficiency limits of OPE in Markov decision processes (MDPs), where actions, rewar…
New trading policies preserve robust gains in presence of transaction costs.
problem Maintaining robust gains in asset trading with transaction costs.
method Proposed double linear trading policies, analyzed with Monte Carlo simulations and historical data.
result Desired robust positive expected gain can be preserved under certain conditions.
New method for estimating parameters in inverse problems using double robustness.
problem Estimating parameters defined as linear functionals of solutions to linear inverse problems.
method Source condition double robust inference method that uses iterated Tikhonov regularized adversarial estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter of interest as long as either the primal or dual inverse problem is sufficiently well-posed.
New theorem for generalized group sparsity improves consistency and convergence rates.
problem Improving statistical inference in high-dimensional data with element-wise and group-wise sparsity.
method Developed a generalized version of Sparse-Group Lasso and proved a universal theorem for consistency and convergence rates.
result Obtained results on consistency and convergence rates for different forms of double sparsity regularization.
Proposes fair and robust methods for estimating treatment effects.
problem Estimating treatment effects while maintaining fairness.
method Simple, nonparametric framework with fairness constraints.
result Estimators are double robust and characterize welfare trade-offs.
New estimators for causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables, addressing computational and statistical challenges.
problem Estimating causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables beyond traditional criteria.
method Introduces novel one-step corrected plug-in and targeted minimum loss-based estimators for causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables.
result Root-n consistent causal effect estimates with desirable statistical properties.
Theory establishes optimal rates for estimating linear functionals without structural assumptions.
problem Estimating linear functionals of unknown nuisance components without structural assumptions.
method Structure-agnostic framework, doubly robust estimators, first-order debiasing.
result Characterization of minimax optimal rates and regimes for double robustness.
Paper combines machine learning and model averaging for robust parameter estimation.
problem Estimating structural parameters with partially unknown functional forms.
method Pairing double/debiased machine learning with stacking for model averaging.
result DDML with stacking is more robust to unknown functional forms than single learners.
New method for estimating mean in SS inference with selection bias and decaying overlap.
problem Estimating mean in SS inference with selection bias and decaying overlap.
method Double Robust Semi-Supervised (DRSS) mean estimator.
result Consistent estimation of mean with correct specification of outcome or propensity score model.
Improves neural network performance with double regularization.
problem Challenges of mislabeled data in neural networks.
method Double regularization combining model complexity and observation reweighting.
result Stronger robustness and generalization against mislabeling.
StableDR stabilizes doubly robust learning for biased recommendation data.
problem Data missing not at random in recommender systems.
method StableDR, a stabilized doubly robust learning approach.
result StableDR achieves bounded bias, variance, and generalization error.
Study uses ML to analyze how interest rates affect fund returns, finding gradient boosting is effective.
problem Understanding how interest rate changes impact fund returns.
method Combines Machine Learning and causal inference, using Double Machine Learning framework.
result Gradient boosting is useful for predicting fund returns, showing a significant negative effect of interest rate increases.
Two sweeps of the Brennan-Schwartz algorithm solve American options under negative rates.
problem Inability of the Brennan-Schwartz algorithm to solve American options under negative interest rates.
method Two sweeps of the Brennan-Schwartz algorithm in two directions.
result Recovery of the exact solution for American options under negative rates.
A new DML method for continuous treatments uncovers causal mediation effects.
problem Estimating causal mediation effects with continuous treatments.
method Double machine learning (DML) algorithm using kernel-based doubly robust moment function.
result Asymptotic normality with nonparametric convergence rate for estimating mediated response curve.
In this article, we consider the sparse tensor singular value decomposition, which aims for dimension reduction on high-dimensional high-order data with certain sparsity structure. A method named Sparse Tensor Alternating Thresholding for Singular Value Decomposition (STAT-SVD) is proposed. The proposed procedure featu…
Double machine learning provides n \sqrt{n} n -consistent estimates of parameters of interest even when high-dimensional or nonparametric nuisance parameters are estimated at an n − 1 / 4 n^{-1/4} n − 1/4 rate. The key is to employ Neyman-orthogonal moment equations which are first-order insensitive to perturbations in the nuisance param…
Double descent found in DRL, improving generalization with model capacity.
problem Generalization in over-parameterized DRL models.
method Actor-Critic framework, Policy Entropy metric.
result Policy Entropy significantly reduces as model capacity increases, indicating improved generalization.
New invariants from quantum group theory for hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
problem Computing invariants for hyperbolic 3-manifolds with boundary.
method Using modular doubles of quantum s l ( 2 ; R ) \mathfrak{sl}(2;\mathbb R) sl ( 2 ; R ) and 6 j 6j 6 j -symbols. result Invariants decay exponentially with hyperbolic volume and 1-loop terms.
Paper analyzes finite-time convergence of double Q-learning.
problem Overestimation issue in Q-learning.
method Finite-time analysis of double Q-learning.
result Convergence to ε-accurate neighborhood in finite iterations.
More training data can hurt the generalization of adversarially robust models.
problem The challenge of balancing adversarial robustness and generalization in machine learning models.
method Investigation of three regimes based on adversary strength and empirical studies on various models.
result More training data can hurt the generalization of adversarially robust models in different regimes.
We show how to price and replicate a variety of barrier-style claims written on the log \log log price X X X and quadratic variation ⟨ X ⟩ \langle X \rangle ⟨ X ⟩ of a risky asset. Our framework assumes no arbitrage, frictionless markets and zero interest rates. We model the risky asset as a strictly positive continuous semimartingale w…
We revisit the problem of pricing and hedging plain vanilla single-currency interest rate derivatives using multiple distinct yield curves for market coherent estimation of discount factors and forward rates with different underlying rate tenors. Within such double-curve-single-currency framework, adopted by the market…
Bayesian method for estimating ATE with robustness to model misspecification.
problem Estimating average treatment effects under unconfoundedness.
method Double robust Bayesian inference using adjusted prior and posterior distributions.
result Bayesian credible sets form asymptotically exact confidence intervals.
When training a machine learning model with observational data, it is often encountered that some values are systemically missing. Learning from the incomplete data in which the missingness depends on some covariates may lead to biased estimation of parameters and even harm the fairness of decision outcome. This paper …
Double Q-learning has the same mean-squared error as Q-learning under certain conditions.
problem Comparing the mean-squared error of Double Q-learning and Q-learning.
method Theoretical analysis based on Lyapunov equations for both tabular and linear function approximation settings.
result The asymptotic mean-squared error of Double Q-learning is exactly equal to that of Q-learning under specific conditions.
Direct learning framework for integrating multi-source causal data.
problem Conditional average treatment effects inference from heterogeneous data.
method Direct learning framework, double robustness, causal information-aware weighting function.
result Effective causal data fusion in both homogeneous and heterogeneous scenarios.
A robust loss for anomaly mitigation and unsupervised contamination classification
problem Detecting and mitigating contamination in supervised and unsupervised settings
method Neural Bayesian Anomaly Mitigation (NBAM)
result Recovering the structure of contamination and identifying label-flip pairs
Study validates saliency maps of GNNs using selective inference.
problem Reliability of GNN saliency maps in graph-structured data.
method Statistical testing framework with selective inference to control Type I error rate.
result Valid p p p -values for salient subgraphs, ensuring meaningful information. Paper tackles distributed quantile regression with improved efficiency and support recovery.
problem Challenges in distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear quantile regression.
method Transformed quantile regression into least-squares optimization, applied double-smoothing approach, developed efficient algorithm.
result Achieved near-oracle convergence rate and high support recovery accuracy.
The paper uses double machine learning to estimate dynamic treatment effects robustly.
problem Estimating causal effects of dynamic treatments with time-varying covariates.
method Double machine learning with Neyman-orthogonal score functions for robustness.
result Asymptotic normality and n \sqrt{n} n -consistency of the estimators under specific conditions. A new method improves estimation of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness.
problem Estimating vaccine effectiveness under the test-negative design.
method A doubly robust estimator (TNDDR) using cross-fitting and machine learning.
result The TNDDR estimator is n \sqrt{n} n -consistent, asymptotically normal, and doubly robust.