The paper fits cash management models to data using stochastic and linear programming.
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We propose a randomized second-order method for optimization known as the Newton Sketch: it is based on performing an approximate Newton step using a randomly projected or sub-sampled Hessian. For self-concordant functions, we prove that the algorithm has super-linear convergence with exponentially high probability, wi…
Study on random linear programs and their connection to mean widths of random polyhedrons.
We propose a simple, scalable, and fast gradient descent algorithm to optimize a nonconvex objective for the rank minimization problem and a closely related family of semidefinite programs. With random measurements of a positive semidefinite matrix of rank and condition number …
Improves logistic regression performance with nonconvex programming.
We propose a new method of estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. It allows for very weak distributional assumptions including heteroscedasticity, and does not require the knowledge of the variance of random errors. The method is based on linear programming only, so that its numerical implementation is…
Two algorithms for interpreting and boosting tree-based models using rule covering.
We introduce a dynamic mechanism for the solution of analytically-tractable substructure in probabilistic programs, using conjugate priors and affine transformations to reduce variance in Monte Carlo estimators. For inference with Sequential Monte Carlo, this automatically yields improvements such as locally-optimal pr…
Unified approach adjusts classifiers to meet system-level constraints.
We show that certain classes of graphs of free groups contain surface subgroups, including groups with positive obtained by doubling free groups along collections of subgroups, and groups obtained by "random" ascending HNN extensions of free groups. A special case is the HNN extension associated to the endomorphi…
Traditional Linear Genetic Programming (LGP) algorithms are based only on the selection mechanism to guide the search. Genetic operators combine or mutate random portions of the individuals, without knowing if the result will lead to a fitter individual. Probabilistic Model Building Genetic Programming (PMB-GP) methods…
This paper introduces a new technique for quantifying the approximation error of a broad class of probabilistic inference programs, including ones based on both variational and Monte Carlo approaches. The key idea is to derive a subjective bound on the symmetrized KL divergence between the distribution achieved by an a…
This study optimizes cycle representatives in persistent homology using linear programming.
We propose an approach to the aggregation of risks which is based on estimation of simple quantities (such as covariances) associated to a vector of dependent random variables, and which avoids the use of parametric families of copulae. Our main result demonstrates that the method leads to bounds on the worst case Valu…
Gradient estimation techniques applied to programs with randomness in high energy physics.
We describe a simple, low-level approach for embedding probabilistic programming in a deep learning ecosystem. In particular, we distill probabilistic programming down to a single abstraction---the random variable. Our lightweight implementation in TensorFlow enables numerous applications: a model-parallel variational …
Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming models for regression subset selection based on mean square and absolute errors…
We consider the question of estimating a solution to a system of equations that involve convex nonlinearities, a problem that is common in machine learning and signal processing. Because of these nonlinearities, conventional estimators based on empirical risk minimization generally involve solving a non-convex optimiza…
We describe a model of random links based on random 4-valent maps, which can be sampled due to the work of Schaeffer. We will look at the relationship between the combinatorial information in the diagram and the hyperbolic volume. Specifically, we show that for random alternating diagrams, the expected hyperbolic volum…
We explore a new method for discrete-time control problems using randomization and entropy.
Study rare-event simulation for neural networks and random forests.
We propose to prune a random forest (RF) for resource-constrained prediction. We first construct a RF and then prune it to optimize expected feature cost & accuracy. We pose pruning RFs as a novel 0-1 integer program with linear constraints that encourages feature re-use. We establish total unimodularity of the constra…
Convex regression is a promising area for bridging statistical estimation and deterministic convex optimization. New piecewise linear convex regression methods are fast and scalable, but can have instability when used to approximate constraints or objective functions for optimization. Ensemble methods, like bagging, sm…
Model stock price dynamics using semi-Markov processes.
Framework learns linear programs from optimal decisions.
In the series of our earlier papers on the subject, we proposed a novel statistical hypothesis testing method for detection of objects in noisy images. The method uses results from percolation theory and random graph theory. We developed algorithms that allowed to detect objects of unknown shapes in the presence of non…
A new method solves complex control problems with random coefficients.
Generalizes leverage score sampling for neural networks, accelerating kernel methods and deep learning.
Paper characterizes MDM for consumer choice modeling and prediction.
Recent work in model-agnostic explanations of black-box machine learning has demonstrated that interpretability of complex models does not have to come at the cost of accuracy or model flexibility. However, it is not clear what kind of explanations, such as linear models, decision trees, and rule lists, are the appropr…
Estimates population profile from small random samples.
Develops a method to identify causal effects in linear models with latent variables.
It has been recently shown that numerical semiparametric bounds on the expected payoff of fi- nancial or actuarial instruments can be computed using semidefinite programming. However, this approach has practical limitations. Here we use column generation, a classical optimization technique, to address these limitations…
Adaptive SAA solves large-scale stochastic linear programs efficiently.
New method uses LP to achieve optimal sample complexity in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
Solving linear programs by using entropic penalization has recently attracted new interest in the optimization community, since this strategy forms the basis for the fastest-known algorithms for the optimal transport problem, with many applications in modern large-scale machine learning. Crucial to these applications h…
New method learns BN structures from data efficiently.
This paper presents an acceleration framework for packing linear programming problems where the amount of data available is limited, i.e., where the number of constraints m is small compared to the variable dimension n. The framework can be used as a black box to speed up linear programming solvers dramatically, by two…
We develop an HMC algorithm to easily marginalize random effects in LMMs.
Random projection (RP) is a classical technique for reducing storage and computational costs. We analyze RP-based approximations of convex programs, in which the original optimization problem is approximated by the solution of a lower-dimensional problem. Such dimensionality reduction is essential in computation-limite…
Real-world problems of operations research are typically high-dimensional and combinatorial. Linear programs are generally used to formulate and efficiently solve these large decision problems. However, in multi-period decision problems, we must often compute expected downstream values corresponding to current decision…
This work offers a broad perspective on probabilistic modeling and inference in light of recent advances in probabilistic programming, in which models are formally expressed in Turing-complete programming languages. We consider a typical workflow and how probabilistic programming languages can help to automate this wor…
We introduce an approximate search algorithm for fast maximum a posteriori probability estimation in probabilistic programs, which we call Bayesian ascent Monte Carlo (BaMC). Probabilistic programs represent probabilistic models with varying number of mutually dependent finite, countable, and continuous random variable…
Unified approach for optimizing predictions in linear programming and inverse problems.
A new method for efficient inference in probabilistic programs with mixed support.
New method solves stochastic optimization problems with random models.
A scalable Bayesian linear regression framework for spatial data.
In this paper, we propose a low-rank coordinate descent approach to structured semidefinite programming with diagonal constraints. The approach, which we call the Mixing method, is extremely simple to implement, has no free parameters, and typically attains an order of magnitude or better improvement in optimization pe…