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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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89179268357 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for random bias

Random forests reduce bias and variance, especially in low SNR settings.

problem Reducing bias and variance in machine learning models, particularly in low SNR scenarios.
method Empirical study of random forests and bagging ensembles, focusing on the importance of mtrymtry tuning.
result Random forests reduce both bias and variance, outperforming bagging ensembles in high SNR settings.

The paper analyzes and mitigates biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.

problem Modeling biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.
method Randomized truncation estimators to eliminate bias in exchange for increased variance.
result Randomized truncation estimators meaningfully outperform biased counterparts with minimal additional computation.

A bias classifier is introduced to resist adversarial attacks.

problem Resisting adversarial attacks on deep neural networks (DNNs).
method Introducing the bias part of a DNN with Relu as the activation function as a classifier, and adding a random first-degree part to make it information-theoretically safe.
result The bias classifier is more robust than DNNs of similar size against adversarial attacks.

Research reveals simplicity bias in random logistic map, impacting data analysis and forecasting.

problem Simplicity bias in dynamical systems and its impact on data analysis and prediction.
method Examined the logistic map and random logistic map, focusing on simplicity bias and noise effects.
result Simplicity bias is observable in the random logistic map, persisting even with small noise levels.

Unified theory and debiasing framework for random oblique projections in high dimensions.

problem Systematic statistical bias in random oblique projections induced by sampling.
method Unified non-asymptotic theory and debiasing framework.
result Sharp bias--variance characterizations and improved approximation accuracy.

New framework minimizes interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.

problem Interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
method Proposes a principled framework that jointly minimizes interference and selection bias using edge spillover probability and cluster matching.
result Significantly lower error in causal effect estimation compared to existing solutions.

Study improves unbiased recommender learning by addressing missing-reward bias.

problem Data bias caused by missing-reward observations in recommender systems.
method Proposes a novel estimator using propensity scores to mitigate both position and reward bias.
result The proposed estimator outperforms other methods, even with increased reward observation bias.

Our paper characterizes how ReLU affects GD's implicit bias in high-dimensional neural networks.

problem Understanding the implicit bias of gradient descent on neural networks.
method Novel primal-dual analysis tracking predictions and coefficients.
result The implicit bias approximates the minimum-2\ell_2-norm solution with high probability.

Learning algorithms need bias to generalize and perform better than random guessing. We examine the flexibility (expressivity) of biased algorithms. An expressive algorithm can adapt to changing training data, altering its outcome based on changes in its input. We measure expressivity by using an information-theoretic …

2019-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.

problem Improving random forest performance through exogenous randomness.
method Developed non-asymptotic MSE expansions for individual trees and forests, identified two types of randomness, and conducted simulations.
result Exogenous randomness, particularly feature subsampling, reduces both bias and variance of random forests.

Deep learning models can have low bias and variance, contrary to classical theory.

problem Understanding the performance of deep learning models at high complexity.
method Developed a fine-grained bias-variance decomposition for random feature kernel regression, analyzing the effects of sampling, initialization, and labels.
result The variance terms exhibit non-monotonic behavior and can diverge at the interpolation boundary, even in the absence of label noise.

The paper analyzes the bias-variance tradeoff for Bregman divergences.

problem Understanding the bias-variance tradeoff for Bregman divergences.
method Analyzes the bias-variance tradeoff through operations in dual space.
result Derives several results including a generalized law of total variance and ensembling operations.

Two-stage TMLE reduces bias and improves efficiency in CRTs.

problem Differential outcome measurement and imbalance in baseline predictors in CRTs.
method Two-stage targeted minimum loss-based estimator (TMLE) to adjust for baseline covariates.
result Our approach nearly eliminates bias due to differential outcome measurement.

New algorithms estimate Hessians using random directions for faster stochastic optimization.

problem Efficiently estimating Hessians for stochastic optimization.
method Generalized Hessian estimators using random directions and noisy function measurements.
result Asymptotically unbiased estimators with lower bias for more measurements.

Tree ensembles such as Random Forests have achieved impressive empirical success across a wide variety of applications. To understand how these models make predictions, people routinely turn to feature importance measures calculated from tree ensembles. It has long been known that Mean Decrease Impurity (MDI), one of t…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves statistical power for detecting algorithmic bias in educational data.

problem Challenges in measuring algorithmic bias using ABROCA due to skewed distribution.
method Investigates ABROCA's distributional properties and proposes nonparametric randomization tests.
result ABROCA-based bias assessments are underpowered in typical EDM sample sizes.

Randomized predictions ensure fair and accurate individual calibration in machine learning.

problem Systematic bias in typical calibration methods leads to unfair predictions for certain subgroups.
method Randomization of predictions to enforce individual calibration, trading off bias with variance.
result Randomized regression functions are more calibrated for arbitrary subgroups and achieve higher utility.

This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We demonstrate empirically that the proposed bootstrap bias correction can lead to…

2015-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New insights into bias and variance in over-parameterized models.

problem Understanding bias and variance in over-parameterized models.
method Analytic expressions derived from statistical physics for two minimal models.
result Over-parameterized models can overfit even in noiseless conditions.

The paper develops asymptotic theory for QRF variable importance, revealing a bias-variance trade-off.

problem Challenges in statistical inference for QRF variable importance due to non-smoothness and bias-variance trade-off.
method Developed asymptotic theory using pinball loss and Knight's identity, uncovered phase transition phenomenon, derived asymptotic bias.
result Theoretical foundation for understanding QRF inference limitations in high-dimensional settings.

The paper analyzes the randomized midpoint method for Langevin diffusions, revealing biases and asymptotic properties.

problem Analyzing biases and asymptotic properties of the randomized midpoint method for Langevin diffusions.
method Characterization of stationary distribution and asymptotic normality for numerical integration.
result The step-size needs to go to zero for the method to be asymptotically unbiased.

Random imputation is surprisingly effective for linear predictors in missing data scenarios.

problem The effectiveness of naive imputation in missing data scenarios for linear predictors.
method A unique random features model framework to study predictive performances.
result Naive imputation is negligible in bias for linear predictors under MCAR assumption.

This paper presents Correlated Nystrom Views (XNV), a fast semi-supervised algorithm for regression and classification. The algorithm draws on two main ideas. First, it generates two views consisting of computationally inexpensive random features. Second, XNV applies multiview regression using Canonical Correlation Ana…

2013-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

RS-PINN uses randomized smoothing to speed up high-dimensional PDE simulations without sacrificing accuracy.

problem High computational cost and bias in PINNs for high-dimensional PDEs.
method Introduces Gaussian noise for stochastic smoothing of PINNs, enabling Monte Carlo derivative approximation.
result Proposes bias correction techniques and a hybrid method to optimize the bias-variance trade-off.

Paper tackles bias-variance trade-off in missing data, proposing a dynamic framework.

problem Missing data in practical applications deteriorates model performance.
method Develops a fine-grained dynamic learning framework to jointly optimize bias and variance.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of joint bias-variance optimization.

This paper addresses external validity bias in causal inference.

problem Estimating causal effects in a target population.
method Synthesis of approaches for generalizability and transportability, including tests for heterogeneity of treatment effects and differences between study and target populations.
result Framework for addressing external validity bias in causal inference.

New analysis reveals optimal regularization for ESNs, avoiding double descent.

problem Characterizing and optimizing Echo State Networks (ESNs) for precise bias-variance.
method Random matrix theory applied to ESNs in a teacher-student setting.
result ESNs achieve lower MSE with limited training samples and teacher memory.

A new method reduces the bias in estimating inverse covariance matrices from sketches.

problem Reducing the bias in estimating inverse covariance matrices from sketches.
method Developed a framework for analyzing inversion bias and proposed a new sketching technique called LEverage Score Sparsified (LESS) embeddings.
result The new sketching technique reduces the inversion bias to O(1/d)O(1/\sqrt d) for m=O(d)m=O(d), significantly smaller than the Θ(1)Θ(1) approximation error.

This paper explains the theoretical inductive bias of Isolation Forest.

problem Lack of theoretical foundation explaining Isolation Forest's success.
method Formulated the growth process of iForest as a random walk, derived expected depth function using transition probabilities.
result Established a theoretical understanding of iForest's effectiveness and parameter adaptability.