A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Improves asynchronous federated learning with queuing dynamics.
We present a queuing model of parking dynamics and a model-based prediction method to provide real-time probabilistic forecasts of future parking occupancy. The queuing model has a non-homogeneous arrival rate and time-varying service time distribution. All statistical assumptions of the model are verified using data f…
Service system dynamics occur at the interplay between customer behaviour and a service provider's response. This kind of dynamics can effectively be modeled within the framework of queuing theory where customers' arrivals are described by point process models. However, these approaches are limited by parametric assump…
We consider reinforcement learning in input-driven environments, where an exogenous, stochastic input process affects the dynamics of the system. Input processes arise in many applications, including queuing systems, robotics control with disturbances, and object tracking. Since the state dynamics and rewards depend on…
The goal of this article is to describe the concepts of system dynamics and its applications to the simulation modeling of financial institutions daily activity. The hybrid method of the re-engineering of banking business processes based upon combination of system dynamics, queuing theory and tools of ordinary differen…
Decentralized learning ensures stability in online queuing systems with packet rates above 1.
A learning-based algorithm optimizes admission control in a queuing system.
The paper analyzes fill probabilities in limit order books with varying price levels.
We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system dynamics should be contractive on the average with respect to the Lyapunov functi…
Study uses data to analyze COPD patients' impact on hospital systems.
This paper proposes a system-agnostic policy for dynamic scheduling.
A hybrid model combines BPH and HE distributions for better heavy-tailed distribution approximation.
Algorithm improves reinforcement learning in MDPs with partial order policies.
New RL method improves on standard discounted RL for operations research.
We study the dynamics of the limit order book of liquid stocks after experiencing large intra-day price changes. In the data we find large variations in several microscopical measures, e.g., the volatility the bid-ask spread, the bid-ask imbalance, the number of queuing limit orders, the activity (number and volume) of…
Asynchronous methods are widely used in deep learning, but have limited theoretical justification when applied to non-convex problems. We show that running stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in an asynchronous manner can be viewed as adding a momentum-like term to the SGD iteration. Our result does not assume convexity …
We analyze a method to produce pairs of non independent Poisson processes from positively correlated, self-decomposable, exponential renewals. In particular the present paper provides the family of copulas pairing the renewals, along with the closed form for the joint distribution of the pair…
Strong stability of ergodic iterations proven without ergodic driving sequence.
New RL policy for unbounded state space with stability guarantee.
New algorithm uses control variates to improve multi-armed bandit performance.
Through the analysis of a dataset of ultra high frequency order book updates, we introduce a model which accommodates the empirical properties of the full order book together with the stylized facts of lower frequency financial data. To do so, we split the time interval of interest into periods in which a well chosen r…
Likelihood-free inference involves inferring parameter values given observed data and a simulator model. The simulator is computer code which takes parameters, performs stochastic calculations, and outputs simulated data. In this work, we view the simulator as a function whose inputs are (1) the parameters and (2) a ve…
Research optimizes C++ patterns for HFT, reducing latency and improving profitability.
The paper improves regret bounds for admission control in queueing systems.
New method simulates sticky boundaries in multidimensional diffusions.
Predicts next item in sequential bundles using Transformers.
We study the problem of learning policy of an infinite-horizon, discounted cost, Markov decision process (MDP) with a large number of states. We compute the actions of a policy that is nearly as good as a policy chosen by a suitable oracle from a given mixture policy class characterized by the convex hull of a set of k…
Designs for allocating resources to prioritize needy applicants while estimating treatment effects.
Finite-time queue peaks in stochastic networks have logarithmic scaling after geometric thresholds.
Study on Bitcoin transaction flows and holding times, revealing multifractal and power-law distributions.
In this paper, a novel joint transmit power and resource allocation approach for enabling ultra-reliable low-latency communication (URLLC) in vehicular networks is proposed. The objective is to minimize the network-wide power consumption of vehicular users (VUEs) while ensuring high reliability in terms of probabilisti…
Study on 2-valued dynamics on complex plane, showing some dynamics can't be group actions.
The paper studies dynamic star-shaped risk measures and their representation.
Study circles to understand dynamics and rigidity in homogeneous spaces.
A Riemmanian foliated dynamical system of 3-dimension is a closed Riemannian 3-manifold with additional structures: foliation, dynamical system. In the context of arithmetic topology, it is a geometric/analytic analogue of an arithmetic scheme with a conjectural dynamical system suggested by C. De…
Paper connects dynamics of mechanical systems to Reeb dynamics.
Two heuristics solve dynamic multiple travelling salesmen problems.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
DOODL learns shared spectral dynamics across related dynamical systems.
We propose a new class of mappings, called Dynamic Limit Growth Indices, that are designed to measure the long-run performance of a financial portfolio in discrete time setup. We study various important properties for this new class of measures, and in particular, we provide necessary and sufficient condition for a Dyn…
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing using the dynamic coherent risk measures. We introduce the dynamic …
Dynamical-VAE learns causal dynamics from POMDPs using future information.
Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose both theoretical and practical challenges to statistical machine learning algori…
Unified analysis of DLNs using DMFT reveals dynamics of loss convergence and generalization trade-offs.
dLDS models neural dynamics as sparse combinations of simpler components.
Reinforcement learning would enjoy better success on real-world problems if domain knowledge could be imparted to the algorithm by the modelers. Most problems have both hidden state and unknown dynamics. Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) allow for the modeling of both. Unfortunately, they do not p…
We consider trivializations of second iterated bundles of a Lie group that preserve lifted group structures. With such a trivialization, we elaborate Hamiltonian dynamics on cotangent, Lagrangian dynamics on tangent bundles and, both Hamiltonian and Lagrangian dynamics on Tulczyjew's symplectic space which is tangent o…
Framework for quantifying uncertainty in dynamic processes.