A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study on queues with Hawkes arrivals, proving steady-state behavior and developing an efficient algorithm.
Paper uses queue theory to model financial signals with relativistic delay.
The paper optimizes LLM inference systems through queueing theory.
In a financial market, for agents with long investment horizons or at times of severe market stress, it is often changes in the asset price that act as the trigger for transactions or shifts in investment position. This suggests the use of price thresholds to simulate agent behavior over much longer timescales than are…
Finite-time queue peaks in stochastic networks have logarithmic scaling after geometric thresholds.
In this paper, a novel joint transmit power and resource allocation approach for enabling ultra-reliable low-latency communication (URLLC) in vehicular networks is proposed. The objective is to minimize the network-wide power consumption of vehicular users (VUEs) while ensuring high reliability in terms of probabilisti…
The paper develops algorithms to minimize queue length regret in a communication system.
Algorithm stabilizes queues in asymmetric systems with unknown service rates.
The paper analyzes transaction fees on blockchains using a priority queue model.
Designs for allocating resources to prioritize needy applicants while estimating treatment effects.
An online learning framework optimizes pricing and capacity in service systems.
Improved queue-reactive model considers order sizes for better market simulation.
MERLIN tackles multi-objective task scheduling with hierarchical DRL, outperforming existing methods.
Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.
Modern Internet services, such as those at Google, Yahoo!, and Amazon, handle billions of requests per day on clusters of thousands of computers. Because these services operate under strict performance requirements, a statistical understanding of their performance is of great practical interest. Such services are model…
The paper models blockchain queues and trading dynamics, finding conditions for transaction priority and price impact.
Order positions are key variables in algorithmic trading. This paper studies the limiting behavior of order positions and related queues in a limit order book. In addition to the fluid and diffusion limits for the processes, fluctuations of order positions and related queues around their fluid limits are analyzed. As a…
Study improves queue length estimation from connected vehicles by filtering parameters.
The paper models CBF dynamics using queueing theory and insurance risk models.
The paper tackles ride-hailing fleet repositioning with a calibrated demand approach.
Gittins index optimizes decision-making under uncertainty, even in complex scenarios.
Method uses deep learning to estimate traffic intensity.
Motivated by empirical data, we develop a statistical description of the queue dynamics for large tick assets based on a two-dimensional Fokker-Planck (diffusion) equation, that explicitly includes state dependence, i.e. the fact that the drift and diffusion depends on the volume present on both sides of the spread. "J…
In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the influence of both the current book state and the past order flow. The first variant cons…
A learning-based algorithm optimizes admission control in a queuing system.
Unified model for market dynamics, linking price and order flow.
New RL algorithm reduces regret in birth-death queueing problems.
This paper considers a cross-layer adaptive modulation system that is modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). We study how to utilize the monotonicity of the optimal transmission policy to relieve the computational complexity of dynamic programming (DP). In this system, a scheduler controls the bit rate of the m-qu…
Online class imbalance learning constitutes a new problem and an emerging research topic that focusses on the challenges of online learning under class imbalance and concept drift. Class imbalance deals with data streams that have very skewed distributions while concept drift deals with changes in the class imbalance s…
This paper attempts to find out numerically the distribution of the queue-length ratio in the context of a model of preferential attachment. Here we consider two restaurants only and a large number of customers (agents) who come to these restaurants. Each day the same number of agents sequentially arrives and decides w…
The paper improves regret bounds for admission control in queueing systems.
We investigate whether the bid/ask queue imbalance in a limit order book (LOB) provides significant predictive power for the direction of the next mid-price movement. We consider this question both in the context of a simple binary classifier, which seeks to predict the direction of the next mid-price movement, and a p…
Model for cross-border markets with limited transmission capacities.
One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate. This agent-based viewpoint in finance goes back at least to the work of Garman (1…
We propose a useful approach for investigating the statistical properties of foreign currency exchange rates. Our approach is based on queueing theory, particularly, the so-called renewal-reward theorem. For the first passage processes of the Sony Bank US dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) exchange rate, we evaluate the ave…
We introduce Delay Pruning, a simple yet powerful technique to regularize dynamic Boltzmann machines (DyBM). The recently introduced DyBM provides a particularly structured Boltzmann machine, as a generative model of a multi-dimensional time-series. This Boltzmann machine can have infinitely many layers of units but al…
Order submission and cancellation are two constituent actions of stock trading behaviors in order-driven markets. Order submission dynamics has been extensively studied for different markets, while order cancellation dynamics is less understood. There are two positions associated with a cancellation, that is, the price…
Paper improves volatility estimation using a Queue-Reactive model.
RL optimizes meta-order execution by adapting to market conditions.
We examine the dynamics of the bid and ask queues of a limit order book and their relationship with the intensity of trade arrivals. In particular, we study the probability of price movements and trade arrivals as a function of the quote imbalance at the top of the limit order book. We propose a stochastic model in an …
The study examines how backrun auctions can protect traders from price manipulation.
We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system dynamics should be contractive on the average with respect to the Lyapunov functi…
Study proves fluid limits of fragmented limit-order markets.
Silent abandonment reduces contact center efficiency by 5%-15%.
A combination of a priority queueing model and mean field theory shows the emergence of traders' swarm behavior, even when each has a subjective prediction of the market driven by a limit order book. Using a nonlinear Markov model, we analyze the dynamics of traders who select a favorable order price taking into accoun…
Decentralized learning ensures stability in online queuing systems with packet rates above 1.
Market makers face a trade-off between fill probability and post-fill returns, requiring contrarian strategies.
New clustering method uses Wasserstein distance to analyze simulation outputs.