A new meta-learner improves prediction of individualized outcomes in sequential decisions.
problem Predicting individualized outcomes over long horizons in sequential decision-making.
method Developed a novel meta-learner called DRQ-learner with theoretical guarantees of orthogonality and quasi-oracle efficiency.
result DRQ-learner achieves quasi-oracle efficiency, doubly robustness, and Neyman-orthogonality.
Paper introduces GDR-learners for estimating potential outcomes from observational data.
problem Lack of theoretical property of general Neyman-orthogonality in deep generative models.
method Develops flexible GDR-learners based on various deep generative models.
result GDR-learners possess quasi-oracle efficiency and rate double robustness, asymptotically optimal.
The paper addresses bias in survival analysis due to informative censoring.
problem Bias in treatment effect estimates due to informative censoring in survival analysis.
method Assumption-lean framework using partial identification to derive bounds on CATE.
result Proposes a meta-learner, SurvB-learner, to estimate bounds on CATE.
Estimates CATEs for structured treatments using a new decomposition method.
problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects for complex data types.
method Generalized Robinson decomposition, isolating causal estimand, arbitrary model plugging, quasi-oracle convergence guarantee.
result Demonstrates superior performance in CATE estimation compared to prior work.
B-Learner provides bounds on CATE under hidden confounding risks.
problem Estimating CATE in the presence of hidden confounding.
method Adapting bounds on average treatment effect to conditional distributional treatment effects.
result B-Learner offers valid, sharp, efficient, and quasi-oracle bounds on CATE.
Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in observational studies. We first estima…
Debiased learners estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounders.
method Debiased Front-Door (FD) learners, FD-DR-Learner and FD-R-Learner, under specific assumptions.
result Debiased learners satisfy error bounds and stage-error decompositions, delivering reliable HTE estimates.
Optimizes user marketing campaigns to balance cost and effectiveness.
problem Lack of methods to optimize marketing campaigns considering cost and effectiveness.
method Proposes a treatment effect optimization algorithm using deep learning to balance cost and effectiveness.
result Demonstrates superior performance in cost-efficiency and real-world business value.
Novel method to quantify aleatoric uncertainty of treatment effects from observational data.
problem Understanding randomness in treatment effects for medical treatments.
method Partial identification and Neyman-orthogonality to quantify aleatoric uncertainty.
result Developed a novel orthogonal learner (AU-learner) for quantifying aleatoric uncertainty.
Efficient triangulations help in understanding 3-manifold boundaries.
problem Understanding boundary slopes in 3-manifolds.
method Introducing and studying boundary-efficient triangulations and inflating ideal triangulations.
result There are only finitely many boundary slopes for incompressible and \(\partial\)-incompressible surfaces in compact 3-manifolds.
Woodbury transformations improve deep generative models with efficient invertibility and determinant calculation.
problem Efficiently invertible and determinant-calculable functions for deep generative models.
method Introducing Woodbury transformations that leverage matrix identities for efficient invertibility and determinant calculation.
result Woodbury transformations enable high-dimensional interactions, efficient sampling, and likelihood evaluation, outperforming other flow architectures.
Study shows stock market efficiency varies over time and can be networked.
problem Understanding the dynamic and collective aspects of stock market efficiency.
method Defined and calculated time-varying efficiency using permutation entropy of log-returns.
result Major world stock markets can be hierarchically classified into groups with similar efficiency profiles, but these rankings are unstable.
Optimal design portfolios improve energy efficiency and reduce risk in uncertain reservoirs.
problem Uncertain reservoir conditions lead to unstable gas recovery and low resource efficiency.
method Developed optimal portfolios of well designs based on reservoir conditions and probabilities.
result Remarkable reduction in variation and substantial increase in energy efficiency achieved.
We introduce a new measure for the capital market efficiency. The measure takes into consideration the correlation structure of the returns (long-term and short-term memory) and local herding behavior (fractal dimension). The efficiency measure is taken as a distance from an ideal efficient market situation. Methodolog…
Since the 1960s, the question whether markets are efficient or not is controversially discussed. One reason for the difficulty to overcome the controversy is the lack of a universal, but also precise, quantitative definition of efficiency that is able to graduate between different states of efficiency. The main purpose…
Paper proposes efficient optimizers for large language models with fast convergence and low memory usage.
problem Designing efficient optimizers for large language models with low-memory requirements and fast convergence.
method Structured Fisher information matrix approximation and low-rank extension framework.
result New optimizers (RACS and Alice) achieve better convergence and lower memory usage than existing methods.
Neural network approximates weakly efficient frontier of convex vector optimization problems.
problem Approximating the weakly efficient frontier of convex vector optimization problems.
method Designing a neural network architecture to approximate the weakly efficient frontier of convex vector optimization problems (CVOP) satisfying Slater's condition.
result The proposed algorithm effectively approximates the true weakly efficient frontier of CVOPs, even for large problems.
AI methods are energy-intensive, but efficiency alone isn't enough for sustainability.
problem AI methods are energy-intensive and contribute to climate change.
method Critically examines the limitations of efficiency in improving environmental sustainability of AI.
result Efficiency alone is insufficient to address the environmental impacts of AI.
The efficient market hypothesis has far-reaching implications for financial trading and market stability. Whether or not cryptocurrencies are informationally efficient has therefore been the subject of intense recent investigation. Here, we use permutation entropy and statistical complexity over sliding time-windows of…
Efficient inference for adaptive data with directional stability condition.
problem Efficient inference on scalar targets after adaptive data collection.
method Introduces directional stability, a weaker condition than i.i.d. data, and shows asymptotic normality and efficiency of estimators.
result Estimators remain asymptotically normal and semiparametrically efficient under directional stability.
Efficient policy learning from observational data using weighted classification reductions.
problem Efficient policy evaluation does not necessarily lead to efficient estimation of policy parameters.
method Proposed an estimation approach based on generalized method of moments, efficient for policy parameters.
result Demonstrated empirical efficiency and regret benefits of a proposed method.
Study efficient learning of robust halfspaces with noise.
problem Learning robust halfspaces in the presence of adversarial perturbations and random label noise.
method Provides conditions for robust learnability and a simple algorithm for any ℓ_p perturbation.
result Simple computationally efficient algorithm for robust learning with random label noise.
Study tests financial market efficiency using random number generator tests.
problem Check for informational efficiencies in financial markets.
method Analysed binary daily returns as random number generators, split analysis by annual and company levels, investigated longer-term efficiency over Nasdaq-listed companies.
result Information efficiency varies across years and reflects large-scale market impacts.
Study shows how market efficiency changes during the pandemic.
problem Understanding market efficiency during the pandemic.
method Applied time-varying vector autoregression model.
result Market efficiency changes over time and can be improved by enhanced linkages.
Super efficient geodesics have a unique vertex in the complex of curves.
problem Finding the unique vertex in the complex of curves for efficient geodesics.
method Intersection growth inequality and analysis of dot graph.
result Super efficient geodesics have a unique vertex in the complex of curves, independent of distance.
We utilize long-term memory, fractal dimension and approximate entropy as input variables for the Efficiency Index [Kristoufek & Vosvrda (2013), Physica A 392]. This way, we are able to comment on stock market efficiency after controlling for different types of inefficiencies. Applying the methodology on 38 stock marke…
Muon optimizes training efficiency by improving data retention at large batch sizes.
problem Improving training efficiency and data retention at large batch sizes.
method Introducing Muon, a second-order optimizer, and combining it with muP for efficient hyperparameter transfer.
result Muon outperforms AdamW in retaining data efficiency at large batch sizes, enabling more economical training.
Three new efficient algorithms project vectors onto weighted l1 ball.
problem Sparse system identification and feature selection.
method Projected gradient descent algorithms with linear or highly competitive quadratic worst case complexities.
result Efficient tools for machine learning methods like compress sensing and feature selection.
Paper establishes lower bounds and optimal algorithms for deployment-efficient RL.
problem Deployment efficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Optimization with constraints, lower bounds, algorithms.
result Established optimal algorithms for deployment-efficient RL.
Large language models can't efficiently reason conditionally in a distribution-free setting.
problem Impossibility of conditional PAC-efficient reasoning in large language models.
method Proof of impossibility in a distribution-free setting for non-atomic input spaces.
result Any algorithm achieving conditional PAC efficiency must defer to the expert model with high probability.
The paper extends cost-efficiency analysis to incomplete markets.
problem Cost-efficiency in incomplete financial markets.
method Extends results from complete markets to incomplete markets, introduces new preferences.
result Optimal portfolios in non-decreasing preferences are perfectly cost-efficient.
We study the relationship between the notions of differentially private learning and online learning in games. Several recent works have shown that differentially private learning implies online learning, but an open problem of Neel, Roth, and Wu \cite{NeelAaronRoth2018} asks whether this implication is {\it efficient}…
Study improves pension scheme efficiency in Kenya through governance and risk management.
problem Limited research on efficiency of Kenyan pension schemes under governance structures.
method Quantitative panel regression analysis on 128 Kenyan pension schemes over 7 years.
result Employee board members have a significant positive effect on pension scheme efficiency.
The study infers risk preferences from portfolio choices and measures portfolio efficiency.
problem Measuring the efficiency of household investment portfolios based on risk preferences.
method Statistical analysis of portfolio choices and demographic information over six years.
result Implied risk aversion increases with wealth and financial literacy, impacting portfolio efficiency.
The paper proposes an efficient method for estimating ATEs using adaptive experiments.
problem Estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal sample size and high accuracy.
method The paper defines and uses the efficient treatment-assignment probability to sequentially assign treatments, estimating ATEs using an Adaptive Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (A2IPW) estimator.
result The proposed experimental design and A2IPW estimator achieve the minimized semiparametric efficiency bound and provide anytime valid confidence intervals for early stopping.
Improved sample efficiency in reinforcement learning with deep Gaussian processes.
problem Efficiently learn to control actions with limited interaction data.
method Deep Gaussian processes that simulate dynamics with depth and prior knowledge.
result Significantly improved early sample efficiency across various tasks, including half-cheetah control.
Study on time-zero efficiency of European power derivatives markets using statistical tests and trading rules.
problem Assessing time-zero efficiency in European power derivatives markets.
method Statistical tests based on the law of one price and trading rules based on price differentials and no-arbitrage violations applied to daily data of three European power markets.
result Definite conclusions on time-zero efficiency are not possible for French and Spanish markets due to liquidity and representativeness challenges.
This paper identifies the unique efficient cycle for most hyperbolic manifolds but not for the figure-8 knot complement.
problem Identifying the unique efficient cycle for hyperbolic manifolds.
method Analyzing the limit of fundamental cycles and their ℓ1-norm convergence. result The uniqueness of the efficient cycle is proven for most hyperbolic manifolds but not for the figure-8 knot complement.
Paper tackles efficient risk estimation under dataset shift conditions.
problem Limited data from target population; auxiliary data available.
method Semiparametric efficiency theory; efficient and multiply robust estimators.
result Developed estimators for various dataset shift conditions.
KalMamba improves RL efficiency with probabilistic SSMs.
problem Efficiency in learning and inference for probabilistic SSMs in RL.
method Combines Mamba's scalability with Kalman filtering for efficient probabilistic SSMs.
result KalMamba outperforms state-of-the-art SSMs in RL, especially on longer sequences.
A triangulation of a compact 3-manifold is annular-efficient if it is 0-efficient and the only normal, incompressible annuli are thin edge-linking. If a compact 3-manifold has an annular-efficient triangulation, then it is irreducible, boundary-irreducible, and an-annular. Conversely, it is shown that for a compact, ir…
This technical report describes an efficient technique for computing the norm of the gradient of the loss function for a neural network with respect to its parameters. This gradient norm can be computed efficiently for every example.
Efficient auto-tuning for DR hyperparameters with BO.
problem Hyperparameter selection in DR for large-scale datasets.
method Bayesian optimization with surrogate model, normalization, subsampling.
result Robust and efficient hyperparameter selection for DR algorithms.
Paper proves Pareto efficient insurance for multiple entities.
problem Optimizing insurance for multiple policyholders and insurers.
method Sum-minimization characterization and pairwise implementability analysis.
result Characterization of Pareto efficient insurance arrangements.
In response to the development of recent efficient dense layers, this paper shows that something as simple as replacing linear components in pointwise convolutions with structured linear decompositions also produces substantial gains in the efficiency/accuracy tradeoff. Pointwise convolutions are fully connected layers…
PoEL protocol aims to efficiently create and secure liquidity for blockchain networks.
problem Lack of sustainable liquidity and network security in Proof of Stake blockchains.
method PoEL uses staking rewards to attract risk capital, structuring incentives for capital efficiency and security.
result PoEL protocol enhances blockchain network security and liquidity sustainability.
Statistical test rejects market efficiency using entropy from price returns.
problem Determining market efficiency using information theory.
method Symbolic representation of price returns, Shannon entropy, and statistical test.
result Rejects market efficiency hypothesis for various datasets.
Efficient algorithms solve joint graphical lasso problems.
problem Learning graphical models from sparse data.
method Proximal gradient procedures with ADMM backtracking option.
result Proposed algorithms achieve high accuracy and precision.