This paper explores how theories of the planning fallacy and the outside view may be used to conduct quality control and due diligence in project management. First, a much-neglected issue in project management is identified, namely that the front-end estimates of costs and benefits--used in the business cases, cost-ben…
Research develops a water quality prediction model using LSTM.
problem Global degradation of water resources and need for optimal water quality monitoring.
method Developed a multivariate water quality prediction model using LSTM and historical data.
result Multiple step LSTM model achieved RMSE of 0.227 mg/L.
Machine learning helps predict smoke types for safer forest burns.
problem Determining which fuels to burn safely to reduce wildfire risk and minimize smoke.
method Machine learning techniques like spectral clustering and manifold learning.
result Interpretable representations and tools for differentiating smoke types.
Improving software quality through effective organizational learning.
problem Lack of reliable quantification methods for software evolution.
method Leveraging application lifecycle management data to identify and address managerial practices.
result Effective learning from past processes improves software quality indirectly.
Unified AI system for data quality control and governance in regulated environments.
problem Isolated data quality control steps in existing systems.
method AI-driven framework integrating rule-based, statistical, and AI methods.
result Empirical gains in anomaly detection, reduced manual remediation, improved auditability.
System detects overfitting in ML apps, improving quality and efficiency.
problem Overfitting in ML applications during continuous development.
method ease. ml/meter system for automated overfitting detection and measurement.
result Probabilistic overfitting signals for developers to take actions.
Tests Sharpe ratio for skill vs luck in asset management.
problem Accuracy of Sharpe ratio in measuring skill vs luck.
method Statistical tests to assess the significance of Sharpe ratios.
result Tests reveal the statistical significance of Sharpe ratios and their impact of auto-correlation.
Paper proposes real-time risk metrics for stablecoin protocols.
problem Lack of risk management frameworks for stablecoins.
method Developed two risk metrics: capitalization and liquidity.
result Demonstrated practical benefits of real-time on-chain data.
Recently, along with the emergence of food scandals, food supply chains have to face with ever-increasing pressure from compliance with food quality and safety regulations and standards. This paper aims to explore critical factors of compliance risk in food supply chain with an illustrated case in Vietnamese seafood in…
LightGBM outperforms other models in predicting pH values in Georgia, USA.
problem Accurate water quality prediction for effective resource management and pollution mitigation.
method Five distinct predictive models (linear regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, MLP neural network) were assessed for pH value forecasting in Georgia, USA.
result LightGBM achieved the highest average precision in predicting pH values.
This article contains the first published example of a real economic balance sheet where the Solvency II ratio substantially depends on the seed selected for the random number generator (RNG) used. The theoretical background and the main quality criteria for RNGs are explained in detail. To serve as a gauge for RNGs, a…
New model clusters mixed-type data with missing values, improving air quality analysis.
problem Clustering mixed-type data with missing values and regime persistence.
method Statistical jump model incorporating regime persistence and handling missing data.
result Superior performance in inferring persistent air quality regimes compared to traditional methods.
Paper proposes a dataset quality process for ML systems.
problem Inadequate standards for ML datasets in safety-critical systems.
method Proposes a dataset specification and verification process.
result Demonstrates the process on a railway signal recognition system.
In recent times, the manufacturing processes are faced with many external or internal (the increase of customized product rescheduling , process reliability,..) changes. Therefore, monitoring and quality management activities for these manufacturing processes are difficult. Thus, the managers need more proactive approa…
Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the spatial-temporal correlation features and interdependence of multivariate air quality rel…
Proposes a framework for energy-efficient AIGC workload scheduling in cloud data centers.
problem Challenges of scheduling AIGC workloads for energy efficiency and quality control.
method Joint energy management and coordinated AIGC workload scheduling framework with diffusion model-aided reward shaping.
result Effective learning of scheduling policies under sparse environmental feedback.
AI enhances bank credit risk management through deep learning and data analysis.
problem Inaccurate credit decisions and potential risks in bank credit risk management.
method Innovative application of AI technology, including deep learning and big data analysis.
result AI provides more accurate and comprehensive credit decision support, reducing risks and losses.
Review of uncertainty representation methods in risk management.
problem Inadequate consideration of uncertainty in risk management.
method Systematic literature review of 370 publications.
result Probabilistic methods are predominant, but fuzzy and evidence-based approaches are also useful.
Automated dialogue quality evaluation using user satisfaction estimates across multiple domains.
problem Lack of automated and domain-independent dialogue quality evaluation metrics.
method Created a new Response Quality annotation scheme, introduced five domain-independent feature sets, and experimented with six machine learning models.
result Gradient Boosting Regression model achieved best prediction performance, with a 16% relative improvement in binary satisfaction class prediction accuracy.
Deep-MAPS uses machine learning for mobile air pollution sensing in Beijing.
problem Ubiquitous sensing of urban air quality.
method Machine learning framework (Deep-MAPS) based on mobile and fixed sensors.
result Deep-MAPS achieves high spatial-temporal resolution (1km-by-1km and 1 hour) with over 85% accuracy.
Study compares forecasting methods for logistics time series.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy in logistics.
method Compared statistical and machine learning methods on simulated time series.
result Statistical methods outperformed machine learning in one-step forecasts.
New metric estimates user satisfaction for dialogue quality evaluation.
problem Sparse and intrusive explicit user feedback for dialogue quality evaluation.
method Created a new Response Quality annotation scheme and developed a turn-level User Satisfaction metric using five domain-independent feature sets and six machine learning models.
result Gradient boosting regression achieved best correlation of ~0.79 between predicted and annotated user satisfaction labels.
Paper proposes data quality measures for large-scale high-dimensional data.
problem Lack of practical data quality measures for large-scale high-dimensional data.
method Proposes two data quality measures: class separability and in-class variability. Efficient algorithms based on random projections and bootstrapping are provided.
result Efficient algorithms for computing data quality measures on large-scale high-dimensional data.
We give a detailed account of correlations between credit sector/quality and treasury curve factors, using the robust framework of the Barclays POINT Global Risk Model. Consistent with earlier studies, we find a strong negative correlation between sector spreads and rate shifts. However, we also observe that the correl…
Proposes a new framework to manage venture capital portfolio risk by focusing on deal-level correlations.
problem Managing venture capital portfolio risk, especially extreme outcomes.
method Gaussian-copula-based framework that learns deal-level dependence from observed joint success frequencies.
result Correlation amplifies extreme upside outcomes, shifting portfolio distribution toward heavier right tails.
The study forecasts water quality from satellite data using machine learning.
problem Predicting future water quality from satellite data for coastal regions.
method Decomposed time series into components and used machine learning models (SARIMA, regression, neural network).
result Regression and neural network models are best at predicting Chl-a, SARIMA model best at FLH and SST.
Machine learning improves wildfire science and management, but requires expert knowledge.
problem Improving wildfire science and management through AI.
method Review of popular ML approaches and their application in six wildfire science domains.
result Opportunities exist for applying more advanced ML methods in wildfire science.
The paper tackles energy management in buildings with PCM using dynamic programming.
problem Optimal scheduling of HVAC systems in buildings with PCM is challenging due to nonlinear and non-convex characteristics.
method The paper uses dynamic programming to address the nonlinear nature of PCM, incorporating macro actions and multi-time scale Markov decision processes to reduce computational burden.
result The proposed method demonstrates a computational speed-up of up to 12,900 times compared to direct DP application.
Generative AI boosts productivity and improves customer service quality.
problem Productivity and quality of customer support agents.
method Staggered introduction of a generative AI-based conversational assistant in customer support.
result AI increases productivity by 15% on average, with significant heterogeneity across workers.
Predicting the completion time of business process instances would be a very helpful aid when managing processes under service level agreement constraints. The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances would allow business managers to react in time, in order to prevent delays or undesirable situ…
New deep learning model optimizes energy use in buildings.
problem Optimizing energy use and comfort in large buildings.
method Transformer-based metamodel trained with simulation and sensor data, calibrated with CMA-ES, optimized with multi-objective algorithms.
result Optimal settings reduce energy loads while maintaining thermal comfort and air quality.
Operations is a key challenge in the domain of machine learning pipeline deployments involving monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality. Typically, metrics like accuracy, RMSE etc., are used to track the performance of models in deployment. However, these metrics cannot be calculated in production due …
Machine learning models estimate nutrient concentrations from water quality surrogates.
problem Estimating high frequency nutrient concentrations from limited in-situ measurements.
method Used machine learning (Random Forests) to estimate nutrient concentrations using surrogate measures.
result Reduced RMSE by up to 60.1% compared to linear models, with additional sensors not providing significant benefits.
The paper optimizes exceptions in a statistical production system using machine learning.
problem Lack of curated and labeled training data for machine learning in data quality assurance.
method Explainable supervised machine learning to identify and prioritize exceptions.
result Improvement in the quality and efficiency of exceptions generated and authenticated by users.
In e-commerce, content quality of the product catalog plays a key role in delivering a satisfactory experience to the customers. In particular, visual content such as product images influences customers' engagement and purchase decisions. With the rapid growth of e-commerce and the advent of artificial intelligence, tr…
uMoE trains NNs with uncertain data by embedding uncertainty into training.
problem Managing aleatoric uncertainty in NN-based predictive models.
method Divide and Conquer strategy, Expert components, Gating Unit.
result uMoE outperforms baseline methods in uncertainty management.
Owing to the expeditious growth in the information and communication technologies, smart cities have raised the expectations in terms of efficient functioning and management. One key aspect of residents' daily comfort is assured through affording reliable traffic management and route planning. Comprehensively, the majo…
A classical problem in causal inference is that of matching, where treatment units need to be matched to control units based on covariate information. In this work, we propose a method that computes high quality almost-exact matches for high-dimensional categorical datasets. This method, called FLAME (Fast Large-scale …
The paper uses interpretable ML to secure data quality in IoT edge computing.
problem Ensuring data quality in IoT edge computing environments.
method Interpretable machine learning methods for feature selection and ensemble learning.
result The proposed method efficiently selects significant features for data processing.
Optimizes data power control in cell-free networks for better spectral efficiency.
problem Maximizing overall spectral efficiency in cell-free networks with multi-objective optimisation.
method Applied scalable multi-objective Bayesian optimisation to solve convergence-time limitations.
result Improved radio resource management in cell-free networks.
Model predicts Mozambique bank failures, aiding risk management.
problem Lack of bankruptcy prediction model in Mozambique banking sector.
method Linear Discriminant Analysis method, using financial indicators.
result Model accurately predicted 84% of bank failures 1 year before Central Bank intervention.
Inference is an integral part of probabilistic topic models, but is often non-trivial to derive an efficient algorithm for a specific model. It is even much more challenging when we want to find a fast inference algorithm which always yields sparse latent representations of documents. In this article, we introduce a si…
Enhances crowd safety through AI and data-driven models.
problem Improving crowd safety during events.
method Innovative data collection, AI, and machine learning.
result Accurate multi-day forecasts for event planning.
Optimizes trading policies using future price forecasts.
problem Static reinforcement learning agents lack mechanisms for using price forecasts at inference time.
method FPILOT framework inspired by Model Predictive Control (MPC). Uses a predictive model to construct an allocation-based imagined return objective at each decision step.
result Consistent improvements in total return and risk-adjusted metrics across various policy learning algorithms.
Differential ML combines AAD with ML for fast, accurate financial derivatives pricing and risk management.
problem Computational bottlenecks in financial derivatives risk management.
method Novel algorithms using automatic adjoint differentiation (AAD) for training fast, accurate approximations in real-time.
result Convergence guarantees for fast, accurate pricing and risk approximations for arbitrary derivatives instruments.
Extended study improves covariance matrix estimation for portfolio managers.
problem Limited sample sizes and poor performance of PCA estimator in high-dimensional returns.
method Developed a more general shrinkage framework targeting further information.
result Improves the PCA estimator of beta by shrinking it toward a target.
One key requirement for effective supply chain management is the quality of its inventory management. Various inventory management methods are typically employed for different types of products based on their demand patterns, product attributes, and supply network. In this paper, our goal is to develop robust demand pr…
Study compares machine learning and process-based models for predicting rice blast disease.
problem Predicting rice blast disease to support rice growers in controlling the disease.
method Compared four models: two process-based (Yoshino and WARM) and two machine learning (M5Rules and RNN).
result Machine learning models outperformed process-based models in predicting rice blast disease.