Estimates citation impact to recommend best publication venue.
problem Choosing optimal publication venue for academic papers.
method Treatment effect estimation and bias correction method.
result Effective recommendation of publication venues based on citation potential.
Dark blockchain venues increase miners' profits but raise users' execution risk.
problem Exploitable information leakage in blockchain transactions.
method Economic incentive analysis and empirical study of dark venues.
result Dark venues increase miners' profits but raise users' execution risk.
We examine the Foreign Exchange (FX) spot price spreads with and without Last Look on the transaction. We assume that brokers are risk-neutral and they quote spreads so that losses to latency arbitrageurs (LAs) are recovered from other traders in the FX market. These losses are reduced if the broker can reject, ex-post…
Simulation-based inference aids in predicting disease dynamics for health policy.
problem Predicting disease dynamics to inform public health interventions.
method Simulation-based inference using machine learning.
result Potential for efficient interpretable Bayesian inference in epidemiological models.
Flexible framework for optimal trading across multiple asset venues.
problem Optimal trading in assets listed on different venues considering liquidity dependencies.
method Bayesian update of model parameters, finite difference method, deep reinforcement learning.
result Adaptive trading strategies improve performance in changing market conditions.
Trading floors need to be twice as deep as electronic markets to compete.
problem Informed traders prefer fast electronic markets over slow trading floors.
method Examined the performance of trading floors and electronic markets in a hybrid system.
result Trading floors need to be twice as deep as electronic markets to compete.
Technological progress is leading to proliferation and diversification of trading venues, thus increasing the relevance of the long-standing question of market fragmentation versus consolidation. To address this issue quantitatively, we analyse systems of adaptive traders that choose where to trade based on their previ…
Evolutions of the trading landscape lead to the capability to exchange the same financial instrument on different venues. Because of liquidity issues, the trading firms split large orders across several trading destinations to optimize their execution. To solve this problem we devised two stochastic recursive learning …
In this paper, we generalize the Almgren-Chriss's market impact model to a more realistic and flexible framework and employ it to derive and analyze some aspects of optimal liquidation problem in a security market. We illustrate how a trader's liquidation strategy alters when multiple venues and extra information are b…
Market impact is reduced when orders are filled with concentrated counterparts.
problem Market impact increases with a large number of trading counterparts.
method Analyzed London Stock Exchange data to show concentrated trading impacts market price.
result Concentrated trading reduces market impact when matched with similarly concentrated counterparts.
This review explores ChatGPT in accounting and finance.
problem Understanding the current state of research on ChatGPT in accounting and finance.
method A scoping review of recent publications and working papers.
result Identifies three themes: applications, research tools, and implications.
Training a deep neural network for classification constitutes a major problem in remote sensing due to the lack of adequate field data. Acquiring high-resolution ground truth (GT) by human interpretation is both cost-ineffective and inconsistent. We propose, instead, to utilize high-resolution, hyperspectral images for…
The study examines how backrun auctions can protect traders from price manipulation.
problem Price manipulation by arbitrageurs in batched trading venues.
method Developed a laminated queueing model to study price manipulation and introduced a price manipulation coefficient.
result Bound the price manipulation coefficient and found it approximated by a 'zeta value' with measurable parameters.
Study of Polymarket's prediction market microstructure using tick-level order book data.
problem Understanding the microstructure of decentralized prediction markets.
method Analysis of a continuous tick-level order book feed and on-chain trade records.
result Trade direction inferred from Polymarket's public order-book feed disagrees with on-chain data in ~59% of cases.
Which area in NYC is the most similar to Lower East Side? What about the NoHo Arts District in Los Angeles? Traditionally this task utilizes information about the type of places located within the areas and some popularity/quality metric. We take a different approach. In particular, urban dwellers' time-variant mobilit…
AMM finds optimal contract for LPs to maximize order flow.
problem Maximizing order flow in AMMs with LPs.
method Leader-follower stochastic game, closed-form equilibrium solutions.
result LPs incentivized to add liquidity when external price attracts more noise trading.
We consider an illiquid financial market where a risk averse investor has to liquidate a portfolio within a finite time horizon [0,T] and can trade continuously at a traditional exchange (the "primary venue") and in a dark pool. At the primary venue, trading yields a linear price impact. In the dark pool, no price impa…
We consider the issue of a market maker acting at the same time in the lit and dark pools of an exchange. The exchange wishes to establish a suitable make-take fees policy to attract transactions on its venues. We first solve the stochastic control problem of the market maker without the intervention of the exchange. T…
The paper proposes a new algorithm for dealer markets that incorporates hedging and market impact.
problem How to manage risk and quote prices in dealer markets with limited internalization.
method Develops a mathematical model that allows dealers to hedge part of their inventory and adjust quotes based on inventory size.
result Dealers can internalize risk within a certain inventory range and externalize it outside of that range, optimizing their quoting strategy.
For a market impact model, price manipulation and related notions play a role that is similar to the role of arbitrage in a derivatives pricing model. Here, we give a systematic investigation into such regularity issues when orders can be executed both at a traditional exchange and in a dark pool. To this end, we focus…
This thesis studies CPMMs with CL, developing strategies for LTs and LPs.
problem Trading mechanisms and strategies for CPMMs with CL.
method Formalizes CPMMs with CL, develops strategies using market data and models.
result Derives optimal strategies for LTs and LPs in CPMMs with CL.
Bistable structures associated with non-linear deformation behavior, exemplified by the Venus flytrap and slap bracelet, can switch between different functional shapes upon actuation. Despite numerous efforts in modeling such large deformation behavior of shells, the roles of mechanical and nonlinear geometric effects …
Cultural activity is an inherent aspect of urban life and the success of a modern city is largely determined by its capacity to offer generous cultural entertainment to its citizens. To this end, the optimal allocation of cultural establishments and related resources across urban regions becomes of vital importance, as…
In order to reduce signalling, traders may resort to limiting access to dark venues and imposing limits on minimum fill sizes they are willing to trade. However, doing this also restricts the liquidity available to the trader since an ever increasing quantity of orders are traded by algos in clips. An alternative is to…
This paper formalizes autodeleveraging as online learning, providing robustness results and algorithms for better performance.
problem Autodeleveraging as a mechanism to restore solvency in perpetual futures markets when liquidation and insurance buffers are insufficient.
method Formalizes autodeleveraging as online learning on a PNL-haircut domain, using an algorithm to recover solvency.
result The optimized algorithm achieves about 2.6% of an upper bound on regret, reducing overshoot to $3M.
We consider learning problems where the training set consists of two types of examples: private and public. The goal is to design a learning algorithm that satisfies differential privacy only with respect to the private examples. This setting interpolates between private learning (where all examples are private) and cl…
Study public-data assisted private stochastic optimization with labeled or unlabeled public data.
problem Limits and capability of public-data assisted differentially private (PA-DP) algorithms in stochastic convex optimization.
method Lower bounds for PA-DP mean estimation and novel methods for leveraging public data in private supervised learning.
result Achieved dimension independent rate for GLM with unlabeled public data, showing optimality.
Public pretraining improves private model training even in extreme distribution shift scenarios.
problem Improving private model training accuracy in settings with large distribution shift.
method Empirical evaluation and theoretical explanation of public representations improving private training accuracy.
result Public representations can improve private training accuracy by up to 67% over private training from scratch in settings with large distribution shift.
Private estimation with public data reduces sample complexity.
problem Estimating private distributions with limited public data.
method Differentially private estimation with public data under constraints of pure or concentrated DP.
result Public data can significantly reduce private sample complexity for estimation.
Algorithm selects public datasets for private machine learning.
problem Choosing the most suitable public dataset for private machine learning.
method Measures gradient subspace distance between public and private datasets.
result Excess risk scales with the subspace distance between gradients.
Developed Merton's model for public companies using observed liabilities.
problem Estimating default risk for public companies.
method Campbell and Shiller's approximation method for risk-neutral values and default probabilities.
result Formulas and ML estimators for public companies' default probabilities.
Private distribution learning with public data, leveraging sample compression schemes.
problem Private distribution learning with public and private samples under differential privacy constraints.
method Connection to sample compression schemes and list learning.
result At least d public samples are necessary for private learnability of Gaussians in R^d.
Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.
problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.
Model shows how multiple markets can coexist or fragment based on trader behavior.
problem Understanding market competition and coexistence among multiple trading venues.
method Stylized model of traders making repeated decisions at three markets, analyzed numerically and analytically.
result Parameters like memory length and choice intensity determine whether markets coexist or fragment.
Social networking sites such as Twitter have provided a great opportunity for organizations such as public libraries to disseminate information for public relations purposes. However, there is a need to analyze vast amounts of social media data. This study presents a computational approach to explore the content of twe…
In this paper we introduce and solve a class of optimal stopping problems of recursive type. In particular, the stopping payoff depends directly on the value function of the problem itself. In a multi-dimensional Markovian setting we show that the problem is well posed, in the sense that the value is indeed the unique …
Polestar optimizes public transportation routes for efficiency and user satisfaction.
problem Difficulty in finding optimal public transportation routes due to complex networks and dynamic situations.
method Developed a Public Transportation Graph (PTG) and a route search algorithm with station binding and ranking modules.
result Demonstrated superior efficiency and user satisfaction compared to existing systems.
Study private query release with public data, reducing sample sizes.
problem Answering a wide range of statistical queries while maintaining privacy.
method Combines public and private samples to answer queries with differential privacy.
result Private and public sample complexities for different query classes.
Optimal DP model training with public data improves privacy and accuracy.
problem Ensuring privacy while training models with public data.
method Proves optimal error rates for DP model training with public data, develops novel algorithms.
result Optimal error rates can be achieved by using public data or optimal DP algorithms.
The paper analyzes how leverage affects manipulation in event-linked markets, offering new insights into regulation.
problem Manipulation and insider information in leveraged event-linked markets.
method Develops a two-axis manipulation taxonomy and analyzes leverage's effects on market-price and outcome manipulation.
result Leverage scales market-price manipulation linearly but shifts the cost-benefit threshold for outcome manipulation.
Olympic Games remain costly and overrun, despite reforms.
problem High costs and cost overruns in Olympic Games.
method Analysis of past and current Olympic Games costs and overruns, assessment of IOC reforms, and comparison of reuse vs. new construction.
result Cost overruns are increasing, and reuse of venues is ineffective.
New private learning algorithms improve utility in tasks with public features.
problem Private learning with public features in recommendation and ad prediction.
method Developed algorithms that protect only certain sufficient statistics, improving utility for linear regression and private recommendation benchmarks.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance on private recommendation benchmarks.
Publicly pretraining models on Web data may undermine differential privacy.
problem The use of large Web-scraped datasets in differential privacy models.
method Critical review of leveraging pretrained models on public datasets for differential privacy.
result Publicizing pretrained models as 'private' could harm trust and generalize poorly.
Efficiently learns private models using public data.
problem Improving private learning performance with public data.
method Proves computationally efficient algorithms for private learning with public data.
result First computationally efficient algorithms for private learning with public data.
This study examines non-retail trading on Polymarket, revealing unique behavior patterns and structural limitations.
problem Lack of address-level quote-lifecycle data in Polymarket prediction markets.
method Empirical analysis of 13 million order-filled events using DBSCAN clustering on a six-feature fill-side vector.
result Non-retail behavior is uni-modal, contradicting previous archetypal hypotheses.
We calculate the dynamics of tax evasion within a multi-agent econophysics model which is adopted from the theory of magnetism and previously has been shown to capture the main characteristics from agent-based based models which build on the standard Allingham and Sandmo approach. In particular, we implement a feedback…
Survey examines public views on facial recognition technology.
problem Public acceptance and privacy concerns with facial recognition.
method Cross-national survey of 4 countries.
result Public views vary significantly across countries.
The aim of the present article is to treat the Greek public debt issue strictly as a curve fitting problem. Thus, based on Eurostat data and using the Mathematica technical computing software, an exponential function that best fits the data is determined modelling how the Greek public debt expands with time. Exploring …