Optimizes bus schedules to improve on-time performance.
problem Improving on-time performance of public transit systems.
method Formulated as a single-objective optimization task, solved using greedy algorithm, GA, and PSO.
result Enhanced bus timetables leading to better on-time performance.
Developing countries suffer from traffic congestion, poorly planned road/rail networks, and lack of access to public transportation facilities. This context results in an increase in fuel consumption, pollution level, monetary losses, massive delays, and less productivity. On the other hand, it has a negative impact on…
BusTr predicts bus travel times from real-time traffic forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of bus travel time predictions.
method Neural sequence model trained on real-time traffic forecasts.
result BusTr outperforms DeepTTE by 30% in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Study models risks for low-carbon economy in Balkan countries, focusing on shadow economy and populism.
problem Risks and uncertainties in establishing a low-carbon economy in Balkan countries with transition economies.
method Transdisciplinary approach combining economic policy, public opinion, and climate change models.
result Identifies shadow economy and populism as key risk factors for low-carbon economy implementation.
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
problem Cross-modal ripple effects in urban transportation demand.
method Transfer learning and stacked LSTM models for cross-modal demand prediction.
result Transfer learning models outperform unimodal models in cross-modal demand prediction.
Research presents a dataset and algorithm for optimizing bus timetables in New Delhi.
problem Improving efficiency of public transport in New Delhi.
method Real-time GPS data, constrained clustering algorithm, statistical analysis.
result Algorithm reduces waiting time and provides an efficient timetable.
The principal aim of this work is the evidence on empirical way that catastrophic bifurcation breakdowns or transitions, proceeded by flickering phenomenon, are present on notoriously significant and unpredictable financial markets. Overall, in this work we developed various metrics associated with catastrophic bifurca…
Develops M2 model for next-basket recommendation considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
problem Next-basket recommendation problem considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
method Mixed model with preferences, popularities, and transitions (M2) using ed-Trans for transition patterns among items.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on all datasets in all tasks, with up to 22.1% improvement.
Paper predicts in-situ metro passenger density using smart card data.
problem Crowd management in metro systems.
method Statistical models and EM algorithm for time-dependent OD matrix and travel time cost estimation.
result Accurate prediction of in-situ passenger density for future time points.
Study examines ridesourcing patterns in Chicago using K-prototypes segmentation.
problem Limited data on ridesourcing trips hinders research on urban mobility.
method Utilized K-prototypes algorithm for mixed data types segmentation.
result Six ridesourcing user segments identified based on various factors.
Study reveals hidden infections and infection dynamics from early data.
problem Understanding early infection dynamics and hidden infections in COVID-19.
method Data-driven machine learning analysis focusing on infection counts over time.
result Significant asymptomatic infections, 10-day lag, and strong infectious force.
Accurate expected time of arrival (ETA) information is crucial in maintaining the quality of service of public transit. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) has led to more effective models for ETA estimation that rely heavily on a large GPS datasets. More importantly, these are mainly cabs based datasets wh…
CAST predicts distribution-valued time series by stabilizing and transporting simplex-supported successors.
problem Forecasting distribution-valued time series with structural failure modes.
method CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport) uses successors retrieved from causal context, stabilized with a persistence anchor, and locally transported on ordered supports.
result CAST outperforms baselines on eleven public and simulated benchmarks, achieving best average rank on both one-step KL and autoregressive rollout JSD.
Proposes a new stochastic method to calibrate climate risks in financial models.
problem Estimating climate-related financial risks in bank loan portfolios.
method Stochastic forward-looking methodology to calibrate climate macro-correlation evolution from scientific data.
result A new framework to evaluate climate risks without specific scenario assumptions.
The paper explores learning with a mix of private and public data while maintaining privacy.
problem Learning with a mix of private and public data while ensuring differential privacy.
method Designing a learning algorithm that satisfies differential privacy only with respect to private examples.
result A hypothesis class of VC-dimension d can be agnostically learned up to an excess error of α using only (roughly) d/α public examples and d/α^2 private labeled examples.
We here present a model of the dynamics of extremism based on opinion dynamics in order to understand the circumstances which favour its emergence and development in large fractions of the general public. Our model is based on the bounded confidence hypothesis and on the evolution of initially anti-conformist agents to…
A new method for sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems.
problem Sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems is challenging due to intractable terms.
method Proposes a novel approach that decomposes the transitions, allowing a trade-off between complexity of guidance term and prior transitions.
result Validated through experiments on various inverse problems, including challenging cases with latent diffusion models as priors.
Study public-data assisted private stochastic optimization with labeled or unlabeled public data.
problem Limits and capability of public-data assisted differentially private (PA-DP) algorithms in stochastic convex optimization.
method Lower bounds for PA-DP mean estimation and novel methods for leveraging public data in private supervised learning.
result Achieved dimension independent rate for GLM with unlabeled public data, showing optimality.
Public pretraining improves private model training even in extreme distribution shift scenarios.
problem Improving private model training accuracy in settings with large distribution shift.
method Empirical evaluation and theoretical explanation of public representations improving private training accuracy.
result Public representations can improve private training accuracy by up to 67% over private training from scratch in settings with large distribution shift.
Private estimation with public data reduces sample complexity.
problem Estimating private distributions with limited public data.
method Differentially private estimation with public data under constraints of pure or concentrated DP.
result Public data can significantly reduce private sample complexity for estimation.
Algorithm selects public datasets for private machine learning.
problem Choosing the most suitable public dataset for private machine learning.
method Measures gradient subspace distance between public and private datasets.
result Excess risk scales with the subspace distance between gradients.
Developed Merton's model for public companies using observed liabilities.
problem Estimating default risk for public companies.
method Campbell and Shiller's approximation method for risk-neutral values and default probabilities.
result Formulas and ML estimators for public companies' default probabilities.
Private distribution learning with public data, leveraging sample compression schemes.
problem Private distribution learning with public and private samples under differential privacy constraints.
method Connection to sample compression schemes and list learning.
result At least d public samples are necessary for private learnability of Gaussians in R^d.
Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.
problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.
ELM detects mislabels in Finnish academic publication ranks.
problem Detecting mislabeled academic publication ranks in Finland.
method Used Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) with features characterizing publication channels.
result ELM-based approach accurately detected mislabels compared to reference results.
Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) model feedback causal relations in interwoven webs of causality and policy variables. FCMs are fuzzy signed directed graphs that allow degrees of causal influence and event occurrence. Such causal models can simulate a wide range of policy scenarios and decision processes. Their directed loo…
Social networking sites such as Twitter have provided a great opportunity for organizations such as public libraries to disseminate information for public relations purposes. However, there is a need to analyze vast amounts of social media data. This study presents a computational approach to explore the content of twe…
The present study proposes a deep learning model, named DeepSleepNet, for automatic sleep stage scoring based on raw single-channel EEG. Most of the existing methods rely on hand-engineered features which require prior knowledge of sleep analysis. Only a few of them encode the temporal information such as transition ru…
Polestar optimizes public transportation routes for efficiency and user satisfaction.
problem Difficulty in finding optimal public transportation routes due to complex networks and dynamic situations.
method Developed a Public Transportation Graph (PTG) and a route search algorithm with station binding and ranking modules.
result Demonstrated superior efficiency and user satisfaction compared to existing systems.
Study private query release with public data, reducing sample sizes.
problem Answering a wide range of statistical queries while maintaining privacy.
method Combines public and private samples to answer queries with differential privacy.
result Private and public sample complexities for different query classes.
Optimal DP model training with public data improves privacy and accuracy.
problem Ensuring privacy while training models with public data.
method Proves optimal error rates for DP model training with public data, develops novel algorithms.
result Optimal error rates can be achieved by using public data or optimal DP algorithms.
UK's rapid vaccine rollout linked to reduced COVID-19 mortality.
problem Assessing the impact of accelerated vaccine rollout on public health outcomes.
method Flexible probabilistic models combining interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control methods with multi-output Gaussian processes.
result Substantial reduction in COVID-19 mortality with little effect on transmission rates.
New private learning algorithms improve utility in tasks with public features.
problem Private learning with public features in recommendation and ad prediction.
method Developed algorithms that protect only certain sufficient statistics, improving utility for linear regression and private recommendation benchmarks.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance on private recommendation benchmarks.
Publicly pretraining models on Web data may undermine differential privacy.
problem The use of large Web-scraped datasets in differential privacy models.
method Critical review of leveraging pretrained models on public datasets for differential privacy.
result Publicizing pretrained models as 'private' could harm trust and generalize poorly.
Efficiently learns private models using public data.
problem Improving private learning performance with public data.
method Proves computationally efficient algorithms for private learning with public data.
result First computationally efficient algorithms for private learning with public data.
By regular tessellation, we mean any hyperbolic 3-manifold tessellated by ideal Platonic solids such that the symmetry group acts transitively on oriented flags. A regular tessellation has an invariant we call the cusp modulus. For small cusp modulus, we classify all regular tessellations. For large cusp modulus, we pr…
We calculate the dynamics of tax evasion within a multi-agent econophysics model which is adopted from the theory of magnetism and previously has been shown to capture the main characteristics from agent-based based models which build on the standard Allingham and Sandmo approach. In particular, we implement a feedback…
New eco-systemic prudential policies aim to finance green companies, reducing systemic financial risk.
problem Insufficient financing for green companies despite available savings and monetary management.
method Reorient corporate accounting towards socio-environmental solvency, facilitating access with public guarantees.
result Green financing increases, reducing systemic financial risk and promoting less leveraged investments.
Estimates citation impact to recommend best publication venue.
problem Choosing optimal publication venue for academic papers.
method Treatment effect estimation and bias correction method.
result Effective recommendation of publication venues based on citation potential.
SUPAID automates vehicle rollout decisions for fleet managers.
problem Automating supervisor's vehicle rollout decisions to prevent costly mistakes.
method Rule mining approach based on 'one-way efficiency' assumption.
result SUPAID significantly reduces costs in a real transit agency setting.
Survey examines public views on facial recognition technology.
problem Public acceptance and privacy concerns with facial recognition.
method Cross-national survey of 4 countries.
result Public views vary significantly across countries.
Public benchmark for machine learning models in critical care.
problem Lack of public benchmarks for machine learning in critical care.
method Defined four tasks (mortality prediction, length of stay, phenotyping, decompensation risk) and compared clinical and deep learning models on eICU dataset.
result First public benchmark on multi-centre critical care dataset, comparing clinical models with predictive models.
The aim of the present article is to treat the Greek public debt issue strictly as a curve fitting problem. Thus, based on Eurostat data and using the Mathematica technical computing software, an exponential function that best fits the data is determined modelling how the Greek public debt expands with time. Exploring …
Hurd's career overview and publications listed.
problem None explicitly stated in the abstract.
method Not applicable as it's an introduction.
result No specific key result mentioned.
Study links public concern in Italy to financial markets worldwide.
problem Understanding public concern's impact on financial markets during pandemics.
method Used Google Trends data from YouTube, News, and Search to measure public concern and correlate it with stock index returns.
result Public concern in Italy drives concerns in other countries and explains stock index returns of multiple nations.
Improves zeroth-order optimization for private machine learning with public data.
problem High computation and memory cost of first-order DP methods.
method PAZO (Public Data Assisted Zeroth-order Optimization) framework.
result Achieves superior privacy/utility tradeoffs across tasks.
Paper introduces CageBO for optimizing complex public policy problems.
problem Complex decision-making and implicit constraints in public policy.
method CageBO framework using conditional variational autoencoder.
result CageBO outperforms baselines in optimizing large-scale police redistricting.
Individual choices are either based on personal experience or on information provided by peers. The latter case, causes individuals to conform to the majority in their neighborhood. Such herding behavior may be very efficient in aggregating disperse private information, thereby revealing the optimal choice. However if …