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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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285683111 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for public transit

Bus transit systems are the backbone of public transportation in the United States. An important indicator of the quality of service in such infrastructures is on-time performance at stops, with published transit schedules playing an integral role governing the level of success of the service. However there are relativ…

2019-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study models risks for low-carbon economy in Balkan countries, focusing on shadow economy and populism.

problem Risks and uncertainties in establishing a low-carbon economy in Balkan countries with transition economies.
method Transdisciplinary approach combining economic policy, public opinion, and climate change models.
result Identifies shadow economy and populism as key risk factors for low-carbon economy implementation.

Develops M2 model for next-basket recommendation considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.

problem Next-basket recommendation problem considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
method Mixed model with preferences, popularities, and transitions (M2) using ed-Trans for transition patterns among items.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on all datasets in all tasks, with up to 22.1% improvement.

Study reveals hidden infections and infection dynamics from early data.

problem Understanding early infection dynamics and hidden infections in COVID-19.
method Data-driven machine learning analysis focusing on infection counts over time.
result Significant asymptomatic infections, 10-day lag, and strong infectious force.

CAST predicts distribution-valued time series by stabilizing and transporting simplex-supported successors.

problem Forecasting distribution-valued time series with structural failure modes.
method CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport) uses successors retrieved from causal context, stabilized with a persistence anchor, and locally transported on ordered supports.
result CAST outperforms baselines on eleven public and simulated benchmarks, achieving best average rank on both one-step KL and autoregressive rollout JSD.

Proposes a new stochastic method to calibrate climate risks in financial models.

problem Estimating climate-related financial risks in bank loan portfolios.
method Stochastic forward-looking methodology to calibrate climate macro-correlation evolution from scientific data.
result A new framework to evaluate climate risks without specific scenario assumptions.

We consider learning problems where the training set consists of two types of examples: private and public. The goal is to design a learning algorithm that satisfies differential privacy only with respect to the private examples. This setting interpolates between private learning (where all examples are private) and cl…

2019-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study public-data assisted private stochastic optimization with labeled or unlabeled public data.

problem Limits and capability of public-data assisted differentially private (PA-DP) algorithms in stochastic convex optimization.
method Lower bounds for PA-DP mean estimation and novel methods for leveraging public data in private supervised learning.
result Achieved dimension independent rate for GLM with unlabeled public data, showing optimality.

We here present a model of the dynamics of extremism based on opinion dynamics in order to understand the circumstances which favour its emergence and development in large fractions of the general public. Our model is based on the bounded confidence hypothesis and on the evolution of initially anti-conformist agents to…

2015-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems.

problem Sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems is challenging due to intractable terms.
method Proposes a novel approach that decomposes the transitions, allowing a trade-off between complexity of guidance term and prior transitions.
result Validated through experiments on various inverse problems, including challenging cases with latent diffusion models as priors.

Public pretraining improves private model training even in extreme distribution shift scenarios.

problem Improving private model training accuracy in settings with large distribution shift.
method Empirical evaluation and theoretical explanation of public representations improving private training accuracy.
result Public representations can improve private training accuracy by up to 67% over private training from scratch in settings with large distribution shift.

Algorithm selects public datasets for private machine learning.

problem Choosing the most suitable public dataset for private machine learning.
method Measures gradient subspace distance between public and private datasets.
result Excess risk scales with the subspace distance between gradients.

Private distribution learning with public data, leveraging sample compression schemes.

problem Private distribution learning with public and private samples under differential privacy constraints.
method Connection to sample compression schemes and list learning.
result At least d public samples are necessary for private learnability of Gaussians in R^d.

Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.

problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.

Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) model feedback causal relations in interwoven webs of causality and policy variables. FCMs are fuzzy signed directed graphs that allow degrees of causal influence and event occurrence. Such causal models can simulate a wide range of policy scenarios and decision processes. Their directed loo…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Polestar optimizes public transportation routes for efficiency and user satisfaction.

problem Difficulty in finding optimal public transportation routes due to complex networks and dynamic situations.
method Developed a Public Transportation Graph (PTG) and a route search algorithm with station binding and ranking modules.
result Demonstrated superior efficiency and user satisfaction compared to existing systems.

Optimal DP model training with public data improves privacy and accuracy.

problem Ensuring privacy while training models with public data.
method Proves optimal error rates for DP model training with public data, develops novel algorithms.
result Optimal error rates can be achieved by using public data or optimal DP algorithms.

New private learning algorithms improve utility in tasks with public features.

problem Private learning with public features in recommendation and ad prediction.
method Developed algorithms that protect only certain sufficient statistics, improving utility for linear regression and private recommendation benchmarks.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance on private recommendation benchmarks.

UK's rapid vaccine rollout linked to reduced COVID-19 mortality.

problem Assessing the impact of accelerated vaccine rollout on public health outcomes.
method Flexible probabilistic models combining interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control methods with multi-output Gaussian processes.
result Substantial reduction in COVID-19 mortality with little effect on transmission rates.

Publicly pretraining models on Web data may undermine differential privacy.

problem The use of large Web-scraped datasets in differential privacy models.
method Critical review of leveraging pretrained models on public datasets for differential privacy.
result Publicizing pretrained models as 'private' could harm trust and generalize poorly.

By regular tessellation, we mean any hyperbolic 3-manifold tessellated by ideal Platonic solids such that the symmetry group acts transitively on oriented flags. A regular tessellation has an invariant we call the cusp modulus. For small cusp modulus, we classify all regular tessellations. For large cusp modulus, we pr…

2014-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New eco-systemic prudential policies aim to finance green companies, reducing systemic financial risk.

problem Insufficient financing for green companies despite available savings and monetary management.
method Reorient corporate accounting towards socio-environmental solvency, facilitating access with public guarantees.
result Green financing increases, reducing systemic financial risk and promoting less leveraged investments.

The aim of the present article is to treat the Greek public debt issue strictly as a curve fitting problem. Thus, based on Eurostat data and using the Mathematica technical computing software, an exponential function that best fits the data is determined modelling how the Greek public debt expands with time. Exploring …

2012-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study links public concern in Italy to financial markets worldwide.

problem Understanding public concern's impact on financial markets during pandemics.
method Used Google Trends data from YouTube, News, and Search to measure public concern and correlate it with stock index returns.
result Public concern in Italy drives concerns in other countries and explains stock index returns of multiple nations.

Study of public and private VC relationships in France using qualitative methods.

problem Understanding interactions between public and private venture capitalists in France.
method Qualitative approach with semi-structured interviews and thematic content analysis.
result Formal or informal relationships between public and private VCs are a 'economico-cognitive' approach to networking and innovation.

Individual choices are either based on personal experience or on information provided by peers. The latter case, causes individuals to conform to the majority in their neighborhood. Such herding behavior may be very efficient in aggregating disperse private information, thereby revealing the optimal choice. However if …

2005-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗