Developed Merton's model for public companies using observed liabilities.
problem Estimating default risk for public companies.
method Campbell and Shiller's approximation method for risk-neutral values and default probabilities.
result Formulas and ML estimators for public companies' default probabilities.
Algorithm selects public datasets for private machine learning.
problem Choosing the most suitable public dataset for private machine learning.
method Measures gradient subspace distance between public and private datasets.
result Excess risk scales with the subspace distance between gradients.
Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.
problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.
Optimal DP model training with public data improves privacy and accuracy.
problem Ensuring privacy while training models with public data.
method Proves optimal error rates for DP model training with public data, develops novel algorithms.
result Optimal error rates can be achieved by using public data or optimal DP algorithms.
Public pretraining improves private model training even in extreme distribution shift scenarios.
problem Improving private model training accuracy in settings with large distribution shift.
method Empirical evaluation and theoretical explanation of public representations improving private training accuracy.
result Public representations can improve private training accuracy by up to 67% over private training from scratch in settings with large distribution shift.
Publicly pretraining models on Web data may undermine differential privacy.
problem The use of large Web-scraped datasets in differential privacy models.
method Critical review of leveraging pretrained models on public datasets for differential privacy.
result Publicizing pretrained models as 'private' could harm trust and generalize poorly.
Study public-data assisted private stochastic optimization with labeled or unlabeled public data.
problem Limits and capability of public-data assisted differentially private (PA-DP) algorithms in stochastic convex optimization.
method Lower bounds for PA-DP mean estimation and novel methods for leveraging public data in private supervised learning.
result Achieved dimension independent rate for GLM with unlabeled public data, showing optimality.
The aim of the present article is to treat the Greek public debt issue strictly as a curve fitting problem. Thus, based on Eurostat data and using the Mathematica technical computing software, an exponential function that best fits the data is determined modelling how the Greek public debt expands with time. Exploring …
Polestar optimizes public transportation routes for efficiency and user satisfaction.
problem Difficulty in finding optimal public transportation routes due to complex networks and dynamic situations.
method Developed a Public Transportation Graph (PTG) and a route search algorithm with station binding and ranking modules.
result Demonstrated superior efficiency and user satisfaction compared to existing systems.
Efficiently learns private models using public data.
problem Improving private learning performance with public data.
method Proves computationally efficient algorithms for private learning with public data.
result First computationally efficient algorithms for private learning with public data.
We calculate the dynamics of tax evasion within a multi-agent econophysics model which is adopted from the theory of magnetism and previously has been shown to capture the main characteristics from agent-based based models which build on the standard Allingham and Sandmo approach. In particular, we implement a feedback…
Along with the advance of opinion mining techniques, public mood has been found to be a key element for stock market prediction. However, how market participants' behavior is affected by public mood has been rarely discussed. Consequently, there has been little progress in leveraging public mood for the asset allocatio…
New private learning algorithms improve utility in tasks with public features.
problem Private learning with public features in recommendation and ad prediction.
method Developed algorithms that protect only certain sufficient statistics, improving utility for linear regression and private recommendation benchmarks.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance on private recommendation benchmarks.
This paper investigates the relationship between private and public investment in R&D, while taking into account the effect of several instruments policies such as subsidies and taxes. We design a new look of knowledge spillovers and R&D cooperation to explain the contribution of public and private R&D on growth. We pr…
Python models predict stock sentiment for market-beating returns.
problem Predicting public sentiment for stock trading.
method Crowd-sourced labeled data, trained and evaluated various models.
result Best models predict market-beating returns from public sentiment.
Discond-VAE separates continuous and discrete factors in data.
problem Separating shared and class-specific variations in real-world data.
method Introduces private and public latent variables to represent continuous and discrete factors, respectively.
result Discond-VAE successfully disentangles class-dependent continuous factors from discrete factors.
Private equity deals predict public market returns with up to 70% accuracy.
problem Predicting public market behavior from private equity transactions.
method Logit model using detailed analysis of private equity diligence process.
result Model predicts public market returns with up to 70% accuracy in specific sectors.
Progress of machine learning in critical care has been difficult to track, in part due to absence of public benchmarks. Other fields of research (such as computer vision and natural language processing) have established various competitions and public benchmarks. Recent availability of large clinical datasets has enabl…
We consider learning problems where the training set consists of two types of examples: private and public. The goal is to design a learning algorithm that satisfies differential privacy only with respect to the private examples. This setting interpolates between private learning (where all examples are private) and cl…
PMT uses public data moments to make DP feasible for unbounded data.
problem Applying differential privacy to unbounded data distributions.
method Public-moment-guided Truncation (PMT) using second-moments from public data.
result PMT improves the accuracy and stability of DP models.
Study finds macroeconomic indicators predict health workforce and infrastructure measures.
problem Evaluating the predictive value of macroeconomic indicators for public health targets.
method Examined multiple forecasting approaches including neural networks, generalized additive models, random forests, and time series models with exogenous indicators.
result Macroeconomic indicators provide consistent and reproducible predictive signals for health workforce and infrastructure measures, but less so for other targets.
Private estimation with public data reduces sample complexity.
problem Estimating private distributions with limited public data.
method Differentially private estimation with public data under constraints of pure or concentrated DP.
result Public data can significantly reduce private sample complexity for estimation.
New privacy-preserving learning model for mixtures of private and public data.
problem Learning from datasets with both private and public data, where privacy concerns differ.
method Designing a differential privacy-preserving learning algorithm for a mixture of private and public sub-populations.
result Linear classifiers can be learned with sample complexity comparable to non-private PAC-learning, even when privacy status correlates with labels.
Private distribution learning with public data, leveraging sample compression schemes.
problem Private distribution learning with public and private samples under differential privacy constraints.
method Connection to sample compression schemes and list learning.
result At least d public samples are necessary for private learnability of Gaussians in R^d.
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model in the style of Kyle (1985)'s inside trading model, by assuming that there are at least two insiders in the market with long-lived private information, under the requirement that each insider publicly discloses his stock trades after the fact. Based on this model, …
Bibliographic analysis considers the author's research areas, the citation network and the paper content among other things. In this paper, we combine these three in a topic model that produces a bibliographic model of authors, topics and documents, using a nonparametric extension of a combination of the Poisson mixed-…
New model explains why metaorder impact estimation is hard with public data.
problem Difficulty in estimating metaorder impact using public market data.
method Proposed a modified Transient Impact Model to better describe order flow.
result Model shows market impact can be permanent under certain conditions.
Domestic Violence (DV) is considered as big social issue and there exists a strong relationship between DV and health impacts of the public. Existing research studies have focused on social media to track and analyse real world events like emerging trends, natural disasters, user sentiment analysis, political opinions,…
Social networking sites such as Twitter have provided a great opportunity for organizations such as public libraries to disseminate information for public relations purposes. However, there is a need to analyze vast amounts of social media data. This study presents a computational approach to explore the content of twe…
TMLE improves unbiased estimation in public health studies.
problem Improving unbiased estimation in observational studies.
method Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) integrates machine learning and statistical theory.
result TMLE has been adopted by researchers worldwide, especially outside the US.
Study private query release with public data, reducing sample sizes.
problem Answering a wide range of statistical queries while maintaining privacy.
method Combines public and private samples to answer queries with differential privacy.
result Private and public sample complexities for different query classes.
Twitter has provided a great opportunity for public libraries to disseminate information for a variety of purposes. Twitter data have been applied in different domains such as health, politics, and history. There are thousands of public libraries in the US, but no study has yet investigated the content of their social …
Two neural network models analyze bus system efficiency and demand.
problem Identify service gaps and quantify demand in public transportation.
method Two neural network models considering demographic data and metrics.
result Models can generalize to other cities' bus systems.
Estimates citation impact to recommend best publication venue.
problem Choosing optimal publication venue for academic papers.
method Treatment effect estimation and bias correction method.
result Effective recommendation of publication venues based on citation potential.
The global financial crisis, beginning in 2008, took an historic toll on national economies around the world. Following equity market crashes, unemployment rates rose significantly in many countries: Italy was among those. What will be the impact of such large shocks on Italian healthcare finances? An empirical model f…
Survey examines public views on facial recognition technology.
problem Public acceptance and privacy concerns with facial recognition.
method Cross-national survey of 4 countries.
result Public views vary significantly across countries.
Hurd's career overview and publications listed.
problem None explicitly stated in the abstract.
method Not applicable as it's an introduction.
result No specific key result mentioned.
AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.
problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.
Study links public concern in Italy to financial markets worldwide.
problem Understanding public concern's impact on financial markets during pandemics.
method Used Google Trends data from YouTube, News, and Search to measure public concern and correlate it with stock index returns.
result Public concern in Italy drives concerns in other countries and explains stock index returns of multiple nations.
Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.
problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.
Improves zeroth-order optimization for private machine learning with public data.
problem High computation and memory cost of first-order DP methods.
method PAZO (Public Data Assisted Zeroth-order Optimization) framework.
result Achieves superior privacy/utility tradeoffs across tasks.
Paper introduces CageBO for optimizing complex public policy problems.
problem Complex decision-making and implicit constraints in public policy.
method CageBO framework using conditional variational autoencoder.
result CageBO outperforms baselines in optimizing large-scale police redistricting.
Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is difficult to predict, even when organisers and transportation operators coordinat…
Paper presents an econophysics model for mixed economies.
problem Understanding mixed economies in various countries.
method Developed an econophysics model with a reduced state sector participation.
result Proposed a new model with a 10-15% state sector participation.
Study finds public procurement awards, especially NGEU-funded ones, boost new lending.
problem Understanding the impact of public procurement on new lending.
method Panel data local projections model, controlling for various factors.
result Public procurement awards, particularly NGEU-funded ones, significantly increase new lending.
Study of public and private VC relationships in France using qualitative methods.
problem Understanding interactions between public and private venture capitalists in France.
method Qualitative approach with semi-structured interviews and thematic content analysis.
result Formal or informal relationships between public and private VCs are a 'economico-cognitive' approach to networking and innovation.
To convey neural network architectures in publications, appropriate visualizations are of great importance. While most current deep learning papers contain such visualizations, these are usually handcrafted just before publication, which results in a lack of a common visual grammar, significant time investment, errors,…
New method uses public data to achieve optimal nonparametric classification with privacy constraints.
problem Optimal nonparametric classification under local differential privacy constraints.
method Locally differentially private classification tree with data-driven pruning.
result Achieves mini-max optimal convergence rate with public data.