A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Developed Merton's model for public companies using observed liabilities.
Python models predict stock sentiment for market-beating returns.
The model is aimed to discriminate the 'good' and the 'bad' companies in Russian corporate sector based on their financial statements data based on Russian Accounting Standards. The data sample consists of 126 Russian public companies- issuers of Ruble bonds which represent about 36% of total number of corporate bonds …
Paper presents a faster method for computing cost of equity and performing comparable company analysis.
Dataset analyzes tweets' impact on stock returns.
This paper develops a valuation model for private companies.
Within the Private Equity (PE) market, the event of a private company undertaking an Initial Public Offering (IPO) is usually a very high-return one for the investors in the company. For this reason, an effective predictive model for the IPO event is considered as a valuable tool in the PE market, an endeavor in which …
Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.
Study finds companies react negatively to material cybersecurity incident disclosures.
We introduce a probabilistic model of labor markets for university graduates, in particular, in Japan. To make a model of the market efficiently, we take into account several hypotheses. Namely, each company fixes the (business year independent) number of opening positions for newcomers. The ability of gathering newcom…
Companies and financial investors are paying increasing attention to social consciousness in developing their corporate strategies and making investment decisions to support a sustainable economy for the future. Public discussion on incidents and events -- controversies -- of companies can provide valuable insights on …
This paper proposes a use of an ordinal classifier to evaluate the financial solidity of non-life insurance companies as strong, moderate, weak, and insolvency. This study constructed an efficient classification model that can be used by regulators to evaluate the financial solidity and to determine the priority of fur…
New eco-systemic prudential policies aim to finance green companies, reducing systemic financial risk.
Visualizes board connections for socially responsible investing insights.
Study finds billing codes at IPO boost digital health companies' financial performance.
System constructs public competitor graph from financial reports.
Predicts stock price changes based on clinical trial announcements.
Study predicts firm defaults using machine learning on Italian credit data.
For the first time ever, we analyze a unique public procurement database, which includes information about a number of bidders for a contract, a final price, an identification of a winner and an identification of a contracting authority for each of more than 40,000 public procurements in the Czech Republic between 2006…
Study introduces new financial ratios for better predicting company performance.
This paper introduces a non-parametric framework to statistically examine how news events, such as company or macroeconomic announcements, contribute to the pre- and post-event jump dynamics of stock prices under the intraday seasonality of the news and jumps. We demonstrate our framework, which has several advantages …
On December 16, Zynga, the well-known social game developing company went public. This event is following other recent IPOs in the world of social networking companies, such as Groupon, Linkedin or Pandora to cite a few. With a valuation close to 7 billion USD at the time when it went public, Zynga has become the bigge…
CAI automates extraction and validation of corporate GHG emission metrics.
The complex networks approach has been gaining popularity in analysing investor behaviour and stock markets, but within this approach, initial public offerings (IPO) have barely been explored. We fill this gap in the literature by analysing investor clusters in the first two years after the IPO filing in the Helsinki S…
Predicting the exit (e.g. bankrupt, acquisition, etc.) of privately held companies is a current and relevant problem for investment firms. The difficulty of the problem stems from the lack of reliable, quantitative and publicly available data. In this paper, we contribute to this endeavour by constructing an exit predi…
Study shows publicly available news impacts financial markets.
Private equity deals predict public market returns with up to 70% accuracy.
Investment disputes increase stock volatility, especially for companies with negative outcomes.
Model predicts ESG ratings from news articles using multivariate timeseries analysis.
The study predicts bankruptcy in Indian companies using financial ratios.
After the shocking series of bankruptcies started in 2008, the public does not trust anymore the classical methods of assessing business risks. The global economic severe downturn caused demand for both developed and emerging economies' exports to drop and the crisis became truly global. However, this current crisis of…
AMA-LSTM improves stock volatility prediction using adversarial training.
Study compares ruin probabilities under independence vs. dependence assumptions.
Model earnings call transcripts for better stock price prediction.
Study of public and private VC relationships in France using qualitative methods.
Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions concerning the "average" long-time behavior of the stock market. Our aim here is to…
Most approaches in algorithmic fairness constrain machine learning methods so the resulting predictions satisfy one of several intuitive notions of fairness. While this may help private companies comply with non-discrimination laws or avoid negative publicity, we believe it is often too little, too late. By the time th…
New model uses financial filings to predict bankruptcy, even without MDA sections.
On December 16th, 2011, Zynga, the well-known social game developing company went public. This event followed other recent IPOs in the world of social networking companies, such as Groupon or Linkedin among others. With a valuation close to 7 billion USD at the time when it went public, Zynga became one of the biggest …
Study tests financial market efficiency using random number generator tests.
For sales and marketing organizations within large enterprises, identifying and understanding new markets, customers and partners is a key challenge. Intel's Sales and Marketing Group (SMG) faces similar challenges while growing in new markets and domains and evolving its existing business. In today's complex technolog…
Study tests UK FTSE-listed companies' financial data for Benford's Law conformity.
We report the first, to the best of our knowledge, hand-in-hand collaboration between human rights activists and machine learners, leveraging crowd-sourcing to study online abuse against women on Twitter. On a technical front, we carefully curate an unbiased yet low-variance dataset of labeled tweets, analyze it to acc…
Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the analysis of historical market data, such as stock prices, moving averages or daily re…
BioFinBERT analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.
Factory machinery is prone to failure or breakdown, resulting in significant expenses for companies. Hence, there is a rising interest in machine monitoring using different sensors including microphones. In the scientific community, the emergence of public datasets has led to advancements in acoustic detection and clas…
System segments Form 10-K documents into Item sections for financial analysis.
Study introduces new methods to estimate equity and liability required rates of return.