We provide the asymptotic distribution of the major indexes used in the statistical literature to quantify disparate treatment in machine learning. We aim at promoting the use of confidence intervals when testing the so-called group disparate impact. We illustrate on some examples the importance of using confidence int…
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48 results for “promotion impact”
Machine learning improves hierarchical forecasting of sales time series.
problem Hierarchical forecasting of sales time series is challenging due to dynamic changes.
method Used artificial neural networks, extreme gradient boosting, and support vector regression to disaggregate time series.
result Machine learning models outperform traditional methods in predicting sales time series with high volatility.
We present a thorough empirical analysis of market impact on the Bitcoin/USD exchange market using a complete dataset that allows us to reconstruct more than one million metaorders. We empirically confirm the "square-root law'' for market impact, which holds on four decades in spite of the quasi-absence of statistical …
Fairness in machine learning has predominantly been studied in static classification settings without concern for how decisions change the underlying population over time. Conventional wisdom suggests that fairness criteria promote the long-term well-being of those groups they aim to protect. We study how static fairne…
SPADE improves demand forecasting accuracy by 4.5% for post-promotion periods.
problem Overreacting to peak events in demand forecasting leads to biased forecasts.
method SPADE splits forecasting into two tasks: one for peak events and another for post-peak events, using masked convolution filters and a specialized Peak Attention module.
result Overall PPE improvement of 4.5%, 30% improvement for most affected forecasts after promotions and holidays, and 3.9% improvement in PE accuracy.
SAM improves deep learning tasks by promoting balancedness, reducing outlier impact.
problem Improving generalization in deep learning tasks, especially with scale-invariant problems.
method Introduces balancedness as a new concept to depict global behaviors of SAM, focusing on the difference between squared norms of two variables.
result SAM promotes balancedness and is data-responsive, outperforming SGD in outlier scenarios.
Study finds inventory inaccuracies are linked to store activity and product perishability.
problem Inventory record inaccuracy in grocery retailing environments.
method Analysis of 24,000 SKUs across 11 stores, field quasi-experiment on audits.
result Inventory audits can boost sales by 11%, especially for perishable items.
Study examines machine learning competitions' impact on AI development.
problem Fostering innovation and skill development in AI.
method Analysis of major competition platforms, workflows, and participant demographics.
result MLCs promote collaboration, reproducibility, and continuous innovation in AI.
Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.
problem Anomalous diffusion in financial market order dynamics.
method Discrete Time Random Walk with Sibuya waiting times, non-uniform sampling, and cubic spline interpolation.
result Demonstrates price impact for different forcing functions and model parameters.
The Impact of Designated Market Makers on Market Liquidity and Competition: A Simulation Approachq-fin.TR
This study examines how DMMs affect market liquidity and competition.
problem The impact of DMMs on market liquidity and competition.
method Agent-based simulations to explore the effects of varying competition levels and incentive structures among DMMs.
result Optimal competition among DMMs maximizes liquidity benefits without negatively impacting price discovery.
This study analyzes how weather impacts bike sharing usage in Washington D.C.
problem Understanding how weather affects bike sharing usage patterns.
method Gathered bike usage and weather data, used k-means clustering algorithm to identify clusters.
result Weather significantly impacts bike usage, with temperature and precipitation being the most influential factors.
The Food Crises: A quantitative model of food prices including speculators and ethanol conversionq-fin.GN
Recent increases in basic food prices are severely impacting vulnerable populations worldwide. Proposed causes such as shortages of grain due to adverse weather, increasing meat consumption in China and India, conversion of corn to ethanol in the US, and investor speculation on commodity markets lead to widely differin…
Tool to estimate research impact for low-resource institutions.
problem Costly databases limit access for third-world institutions.
method Machine Learning for data analysis and panel regression.
result Approximation of SCOPUS Impact Factor for free.
Study shows 'Belt and Road' node cities boost digital finance in China.
problem Impact of 'Belt and Road' node cities on digital inclusive finance.
method Descriptive analysis, literature review, theoretical model, differential differential method.
result Establishment of 'Belt and Road' node cities promotes digital inclusive finance in China, with Internet development as a mediating variable.
A new filter design improves system identification accuracy.
problem Improving system identification accuracy for various system types.
method Generalized proportionate-type normalized subband adaptive filter (GPtNSAF) using least squares on subband errors with a sparsity penalty.
result GPtNSAF benefits from increasing subbands more than sparsity for quasi-sparse or dispersive systems, and both aspects are complementary for sparse systems.
Visual analytics systems combine machine learning or other analytic techniques with interactive data visualization to promote sensemaking and analytical reasoning. It is through such techniques that people can make sense of large, complex data. While progress has been made, the tactful combination of machine learning a…
Study evaluates digital transformation impact on financial performance using LLMs.
problem Measuring and understanding the impact of digital transformation on financial performance.
method Constructed DT indicators from company reports; analyzed effects of different digital technologies.
result Digital transformation improves financial performance, but varies by technology.
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
problem Encouraging green technology innovation in Chinese companies.
method Quasi-experimental research using panel data of Chinese listed companies, double difference model.
result Margin trading and short selling increase green tech innovation significantly.
iPromoter-BnCNN identifies and classifies six types of sigma promoters.
problem Accurate classification of sigma promoters remains challenging.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) combining local features.
result Supremacy on 5-fold cross-validation and independent test datasets.
Computational identification of promoters is notoriously difficult as human genes often have unique promoter sequences that provide regulation of transcription and interaction with transcription initiation complex. While there are many attempts to develop computational promoter identification methods, we have no reliab…
The creation of the Renewable Energy Law (Law 1715 of 2014) promotes the introduction of large-scale renewable energy generation in the Colombian electricity market. The new legislation aims to diversify the country's generation matrix, mainly composed of hydro and fuel-based generation, with a share of 66% and 34% res…
Gradient boosting predicts promotion efficiency using multiple performance indicators.
problem Forecasting promotion efficiency in FMCG retail.
method Gradient boosting applied to six performance indicators for different product groups.
result Models accurately forecast promotion efficiency, optimizing marketing strategies.
In this paper, we study the effect of different regularizers and their implications in high dimensional image classification and sparse linear unmixing. Although kernelization or sparse methods are globally accepted solutions for processing data in high dimensions, we present here a study on the impact of the form of r…
New algorithm makes machine learning fairer by removing bias from data.
problem Reduces bias in machine learning models through orthogonal data transformation.
method Orthogonal to Bias (OB) algorithm based on structural causal models.
result Promotes counterfactual fairness without sacrificing model accuracy.
Investigates consumption and investment strategies with preference for liquid assets.
problem Infinite horizon consumption-portfolio problem with liquid and illiquid risky assets.
method Analyzes properties of value function, categorizes solvency regions, and characterizes optimal policy.
result Liquidity preference leads to higher liquid wealth and lower consumption, potentially negative allocation to illiquid asset.
Dynamic promotion optimization for e-commerce platforms within financial constraints.
problem Balancing promotional costs with incremental revenue for sustainable growth.
method Knapsack Problem formulation for dynamic optimization, Retrospective Estimation, online-dynamic calibration.
result Significant increase in target outcome while staying within financial constraints.
Semi-supervised learning benefits the rich more than the poor, affecting fairness.
problem Disparate impact of semi-supervised learning on different sub-populations.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of a broad family of SSL algorithms using pseudo-labels.
result Semi-supervised learning benefits the rich more than the poor, potentially violating fairness.
Social media enhances or diminishes scientific status, depending on usage.
problem Impact of social media on scientific stratification and mobility.
method Logistic Attribution Analysis combining statistical and machine learning methods.
result Social media promotes stratification and mobility, but beyond a threshold, it negatively impacts status.
Signal processing tasks as fundamental as sampling, reconstruction, minimum mean-square error interpolation and prediction can be viewed under the prism of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Endowing this vantage point with contemporary advances in sparsity-aware modeling and processing, promotes the nonparametric basi…
Understanding and predicting the popularity of online items is an important open problem in social media analysis. Considerable progress has been made recently in data-driven predictions, and in linking popularity to external promotions. However, the existing methods typically focus on a single source of external influ…
Study uses time series analysis to predict player churn and conversion in games.
problem Predicting player churn and conversion in free-to-play games.
method State Space time series approach with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Unobserved Components models.
result Unobserved Components approach fails to detect marketing campaigns and predicts abandonment poorly.
Paper develops a method to learn optimal sparsity-promoting regularizers for linear inverse problems.
problem Solving linear inverse problems with sparse solutions.
method Bilevel optimization framework to select an optimal synthesis operator .
result Established well-posedness and theoretical guarantees for the learning process.
FairPrep: Promoting Data to a First-Class Citizen in Studies on Fairness-Enhancing Interventionscs.LG
FairPrep aims to improve fairness in machine learning by providing best practices.
problem Lack of best practices in fairness-enhancing interventions.
method Developer-centered design and evaluation framework for fairness-enhancing interventions.
result Hyperparameter tuning and data cleaning methods impact fairness outcomes.
When society maintains a competitive system to promote an abstract goal, competition by necessity relies on imperfect proxy measures. For instance profit is used to measure value to consumers, patient volumes to measure hospital performance, or the Journal Impact Factor to measure scientific value. Here we note that \t…
SHHK Stock Connect increases A-H share price premium, more for less efficient markets.
problem Impact of financial liberalization on cross-market pricing efficiency.
method Monthly data for 67 A-H dual-listed firms, system GMM dynamic models.
result Heterogeneous effect of SHHK Stock Connect on A-H price premium, more pronounced for less efficient markets.
Uber optimizes marketplace levers using machine learning to improve resource allocation efficiency.
problem Optimizing budget allocation for drivers and riders to maximize business value.
method End-to-end machine learning and optimization procedure using feature store, model training, and ADMM.
result Substantially improved Uber's resource allocation efficiency through high-dimensional optimization.
A variation of the Minority Game has been applied to study the timing of promotional actions at retailers in the fast moving consumer goods market. The underlying hypotheses for this work are that price promotions are more effective when fewer than average competitors do a promotion, and that a promotion strategy can b…
Back cover text: Megaprojects and Risk provides the first detailed examination of the phenomenon of megaprojects. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multibillion-dollar megaprojects systematically and self-servingly misinform parliaments, the public and the media in order to get projects approved and b…
Retrospective Analysis of the 2019 MineRL Competition on Sample Efficient Reinforcement Learningcs.LG
MineRL Competition reduced reinforcement learning sample needs.
problem Sample inefficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Human demonstrations and imitation learning integrated into reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Top solutions used deep reinforcement learning and imitation learning.
Paper proposes a unified sparsity-based framework for evaluating algorithmic fairness.
problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning across diverse domains.
method Unified sparsity-based framework for evaluating fairness.
result Demonstrates broad applicability and effectiveness of the framework.
Paper tackles fairness in insurance machine learning models using active learning.
problem Reducing labeling effort and promoting fairness in insurance machine learning.
method Introduces a fair active learning method to sample informative and fair instances.
result Achieves a balance between model performance and fairness in insurance datasets.
Reinforcement learning (RL) constitutes a promising solution for alleviating the problem of traffic congestion. In particular, deep RL algorithms have been shown to produce adaptive traffic signal controllers that outperform conventional systems. However, in order to be reliable in highly dynamic urban areas, such cont…
Explainable machine learning (ML) enables human learning from ML, human appeal of automated model decisions, regulatory compliance, and security audits of ML models. Explainable ML (i.e. explainable artificial intelligence or XAI) has been implemented in numerous open source and commercial packages and explainable ML i…
Twitter promotes cryptocurrency pump-and-dumps, affecting trading behavior and returns.
problem The influence of Twitter on cryptocurrency pump-and-dump events.
method Analysis of abnormal returns, trading volume, and tweet activity.
result Investors relying on Twitter information sell later, leading to significant losses.
Net-Promoter Score (NPS) is now ubiquitous as an easily-collected market research metric, having displaced many serious market research processes. Unfortunately, this has been its sole success. It possesses few, if any, of the characteristics that might be regarded as highly desirable in a high-level market research me…
Framework identifies causal direction from single data setting.
problem Identify causal direction from single observational data.
method VCEI framework based on ICM principle and artificial variation.
result VCEI is competitive to other frameworks in identifying causal direction.
New testing method for robust actor-critic bandit algorithms.
problem Balancing data collection for app performance and user adherence.
method Modified actor-critic algorithm and novel testing procedure.
result Testing procedure is robust to critic misspecification.
Paper addresses LSTM stability for thermal systems using infinity-norm.
problem Stability of LSTM networks in thermal systems.
method Derived ISS condition for LSTM, developed training strategy.
result ISS-promoted LSTM outperforms other models in thermal system case study.