Gradient boosting predicts promotion efficiency using multiple performance indicators.
problem Forecasting promotion efficiency in FMCG retail.
method Gradient boosting applied to six performance indicators for different product groups.
result Models accurately forecast promotion efficiency, optimizing marketing strategies.
Computational identification of promoters is notoriously difficult as human genes often have unique promoter sequences that provide regulation of transcription and interaction with transcription initiation complex. While there are many attempts to develop computational promoter identification methods, we have no reliab…
Understanding and predicting the popularity of online items is an important open problem in social media analysis. Considerable progress has been made recently in data-driven predictions, and in linking popularity to external promotions. However, the existing methods typically focus on a single source of external influ…
Twitter promotes cryptocurrency pump-and-dumps, affecting trading behavior and returns.
problem The influence of Twitter on cryptocurrency pump-and-dump events.
method Analysis of abnormal returns, trading volume, and tweet activity.
result Investors relying on Twitter information sell later, leading to significant losses.
Dynamic promotion optimization for e-commerce platforms within financial constraints.
problem Balancing promotional costs with incremental revenue for sustainable growth.
method Knapsack Problem formulation for dynamic optimization, Retrospective Estimation, online-dynamic calibration.
result Significant increase in target outcome while staying within financial constraints.
Study finds inventory inaccuracies are linked to store activity and product perishability.
problem Inventory record inaccuracy in grocery retailing environments.
method Analysis of 24,000 SKUs across 11 stores, field quasi-experiment on audits.
result Inventory audits can boost sales by 11%, especially for perishable items.
Distance metric learning (DML), which learns a distance metric from labeled "similar" and "dissimilar" data pairs, is widely utilized. Recently, several works investigate orthogonality-promoting regularization (OPR), which encourages the projection vectors in DML to be close to being orthogonal, to achieve three effect…
Cluster-wise linear regression (CLR), a clustering problem intertwined with regression, is to find clusters of entities such that the overall sum of squared errors from regressions performed over these clusters is minimized, where each cluster may have different variances. We generalize the CLR problem by allowing each…
A variation of the Minority Game has been applied to study the timing of promotional actions at retailers in the fast moving consumer goods market. The underlying hypotheses for this work are that price promotions are more effective when fewer than average competitors do a promotion, and that a promotion strategy can b…
Sparse alpha-norm regularization has many data-rich applications in Marketing and Economics. Alpha-norm, in contrast to lasso and ridge regularization, jumps to a sparse solution. This feature is attractive for ultra high-dimensional problems that occur in demand estimation and forecasting. The alpha-norm objective is …
Recently, there has been an abundance of works on designing Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) that are robust to adversarial examples. In particular, a central question is which features of DNNs influence adversarial robustness and, therefore, can be to used to design robust DNNs. In this work, this problem is studied throug…
CD estimates demand by separating promotions from a stable base, reducing inventory costs.
problem Operational volatility in demand forecasts leads to excessive safety stock and inventory costs.
method Contextual Deconvolution (CD) decomposes demand into a smooth base and promotion-driven shocks.
result CD reduces inventory costs by stabilizing demand forecasts, but under-provisions event spikes.
There is, among the economist ecosystem, the idea of virtuous public spending as a form of promotion of economic growth. If we think on the way GDP is measured, it is not possible to get that conclusion because it becomes circular: measuring the money flow obviously will detect directly the public spending but always m…
iPromoter-BnCNN identifies and classifies six types of sigma promoters.
problem Accurate classification of sigma promoters remains challenging.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) combining local features.
result Supremacy on 5-fold cross-validation and independent test datasets.
SBS policy improves crypto market forecasts by 0.15% with minimal model changes.
problem Improving crypto market forecasting models while minimizing model state transitions.
method Shadow Before Swap (SBS) policy that warm-refits and evaluates challenger models.
result Reduces NLL by 0.1472% relative to continuous maintenance in historical data.
Adversarial training effectiveness varies widely due to inconsistent training settings.
problem Variability in adversarial training effectiveness due to inconsistent training settings.
method Comprehensive evaluation of 10+ adversarial training methods and their hyperparameters.
result Basic training settings like weight decay can significantly impact adversarial robustness.
To address three important issues involved in latent variable models (LVMs), including capturing infrequent patterns, achieving small-sized but expressive models and alleviating overfitting, several studies have been devoted to "diversifying" LVMs, which aim at encouraging the components in LVMs to be diverse. Most exi…
An app-based mHealth intervention uses reinforcement learning to send effective reminder notifications.
problem Designing an effective reinforcement learning algorithm for app-based mHealth interventions.
method Developed a reinforcement learning algorithm to send reminder notifications based on participant likelihood of app engagement.
result The algorithm improved app-based mHealth interventions by reducing participant burden and promoting behavior change.
Paper develops a method to learn optimal sparsity-promoting regularizers for linear inverse problems.
problem Solving linear inverse problems with sparse solutions.
method Bilevel optimization framework to select an optimal synthesis operator B. result Established well-posedness and theoretical guarantees for the learning process.
Researchers use GANs to infer physics-based inverse problems, quantifying uncertainty and promoting generalizability.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in physics-based inverse problems.
method Trained conditional Wasserstein GANs with U-Net architecture and conditional instance normalization.
result The approach effectively samples from the posterior and promotes generalizability with out-of-distribution samples.
Gradient descent promotes low-rank solutions in tensor completion.
problem Implicit regularization in tensor factorization using gradient descent.
method Introduced deep Tucker and TensorTrain (TT) unconstrained factorization to address tensor completion.
result Gradient descent promotes solutions with low-rank.
New algorithms extract Koopman invariant subspaces from large-scale data.
problem Difficulty in discerning the Koopman invariant subspace from many Koopman eigenmodes.
method Multi-task feature learning and pruning procedure to remove spurious modes.
result Effective in approximating Koopman operator for complex flows.
This study benchmarks AI agents for personalized retail promotions using simulations.
problem Optimizing coupon targeting for sparse customer purchase events.
method Comprehensive simulations of customer shopping behaviors; training RL agents on batch data.
result Contextual bandit and deep RL methods outperform static policies in sparse reward environments.
Noise in RNNs promotes flatter minima and more stable dynamics.
problem Understanding and optimizing the training of RNNs with noise.
method Formalizing RNNs as stochastic differential equations and analyzing the effect of noise in the hidden states.
result Noise injection in RNNs leads to flatter minima, more stable dynamics, and improved robustness.
Extends uplift modeling for multiple cost treatments.
problem Optimizing interventions with multiple treatment groups and varying costs.
method Extended standard uplift models to support multiple treatment groups with different costs.
result Improved performance of models in synthetic and real data.
LOCO-Reg improves CNN accuracy by promoting feature cohesion near filter centers.
problem Current regularization schemes in CNNs violate the principle that weights near the center of a filter are larger than weights on the outside.
method Introduces Locality-Promoting Regularization (LOCO-Reg) to correct this issue.
result LOCO-Reg yields accuracy gains across multiple architectures and datasets.
A new filter design improves system identification accuracy.
problem Improving system identification accuracy for various system types.
method Generalized proportionate-type normalized subband adaptive filter (GPtNSAF) using least squares on subband errors with a sparsity penalty.
result GPtNSAF benefits from increasing subbands more than sparsity for quasi-sparse or dispersive systems, and both aspects are complementary for sparse systems.
The paper studies sparsity in EBF with hyperpriors and proposes a PALM algorithm.
problem Promoting sparsity in sparse learning problems.
method Empirical Bayes framework, hyperpriors, proximal alternating linearized minimization (PALM) algorithm.
result Appropriate hyperpriors can significantly enhance sparsity and restoration accuracy.
Deep tensor factorization benefits from implicit regularization with polynomial growth.
problem Tensor factorization's implicit regularization effect in deep networks is not well understood.
method Investigated the implicit regularization in deep tensor factorization, showing polynomial growth.
result Implicit regularization in deep tensor factorization grows polynomially with depth, improving estimation accuracy and convergence.
EAP clusters evolving data, promoting temporal smoothness and automatic cluster tracking.
problem Clustering time-evolving data with temporal smoothness and automatic cluster identification.
method Evolutionary Affinity Propagation (EAP) on a factor graph exchanging messages between adjacent data snapshots.
result EAP clusters data with temporal smoothness and automatically tracks clusters, outperforming existing methods.
Cross-shareholding improves stock price synchronicity in China.
problem Measuring price informativeness in Chinese stock market firms.
method Analyzing cross-shareholding networks and centrality measures.
result Cross-shareholding reduces price delay and enhances price synchronicity.
Net-Promoter Score (NPS) is now ubiquitous as an easily-collected market research metric, having displaced many serious market research processes. Unfortunately, this has been its sole success. It possesses few, if any, of the characteristics that might be regarded as highly desirable in a high-level market research me…
New MMM captures hierarchical marketing effects and sign restrictions.
problem Measuring effectiveness of marketing activities with hierarchical structure and sign constraints.
method Proposes a constrained maximum likelihood approach using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm.
result Demonstrates superior performance on real datasets compared to multi-stage methods.
New method learns nonlinear projections for reduced-order modeling of complex dynamical systems.
problem Modeling transient dynamics near a manifold in nonlinear systems.
method Constrained autoencoder neural networks with invertible activation functions and biorthogonal weight matrices.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on a vortex shedding model, learning oblique fibers for fast dynamics.
SPADE improves demand forecasting accuracy by 4.5% for post-promotion periods.
problem Overreacting to peak events in demand forecasting leads to biased forecasts.
method SPADE splits forecasting into two tasks: one for peak events and another for post-peak events, using masked convolution filters and a specialized Peak Attention module.
result Overall PPE improvement of 4.5%, 30% improvement for most affected forecasts after promotions and holidays, and 3.9% improvement in PE accuracy.
Optimizes choice sets to influence group decisions.
problem Maximizing agreement or disagreement in group decisions.
method Discrete choice modeling to develop optimization framework.
result Promoting a choice can be easier than encouraging consensus or discord.
ParK efficiently solves kernel ridge regression for large datasets.
problem Large-scale kernel ridge regression efficiency and accuracy.
method Partitioning feature space with random projections and iterative optimization.
result Provably maintains statistical accuracy with reduced space and time complexity.
Two policy regularization methods improve coordination in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Challenging to discover successful collective behaviors in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
method Proposes TeamReg and CoachReg methods to promote coordination.
result Improved performance across cooperative multi-agent problems.
LOTOS improves ensemble robustness by promoting orthogonal transformations.
problem Transferability of adversarial examples threatens robustness of classification models.
method LOTOS promotes orthogonality among sub-spaces of transformations in ensemble models.
result LOTOS increases robust accuracy of ensembles by 6 percentage points against black-box attacks.
Paper addresses LSTM stability for thermal systems using infinity-norm.
problem Stability of LSTM networks in thermal systems.
method Derived ISS∞ condition for LSTM, developed training strategy. result ISS∞-promoted LSTM outperforms other models in thermal system case study. Convex optimization with sparsity-promoting convex regularization is a standard approach for estimating sparse signals in noise. In order to promote sparsity more strongly than convex regularization, it is also standard practice to employ non-convex optimization. In this paper, we take a third approach. We utilize a no…
DeepBlip estimates treatment effects over time using neural networks.
problem Estimating treatment effects over time with interpretable blip effects.
method DeepBlip uses a novel double optimization trick to enable simultaneous learning of blip functions with sequential neural networks.
result DeepBlip achieves state-of-the-art performance across various clinical datasets.
Model analyzes RFQ markets using stochastic control to optimize dealer performance and inventory.
problem Optimizing market making in aggregator-routed RFQ markets with varying dealer performance scores.
method Two-tier stochastic control model that separates RFQ-level price competition from macro routing.
result Optimal controls can be expressed through derivatives of reduced Hamiltonians, leading to interpretable mappings from optimal win probabilities to optimal offsets.
IAGAN method improves medical image reconstruction by incorporating adaptive GAN priors.
problem Reconstructing high-fidelity medical images from incomplete data.
method Image-adaptive GAN-based reconstruction method (IAGAN).
result IAGAN can recover fine structures relevant for medical diagnosis.
Promotes spectral functionals to noncommutative fields and proves a theorem.
problem Spectral functionals on noncommutative fields and manifolds with boundary.
method Carries out promotion to spectral functionals, associates with noncommutative residue, and proves theorem.
result Proves Dabrowski-Sitarz-Zalecki type theorem for statistical de Rham Hodge operators on manifolds with boundary.
New algorithm makes machine learning fairer by removing bias from data.
problem Reduces bias in machine learning models through orthogonal data transformation.
method Orthogonal to Bias (OB) algorithm based on structural causal models.
result Promotes counterfactual fairness without sacrificing model accuracy.
A new method for uplift modeling using learning-to-rank techniques.
problem Improving customer targeting in marketing and retention.
method Unified formalization of uplift measures, learning-to-rank with PCG metric, LambdaMART optimization.
result Improved results compared to standard learning-to-rank metrics and state-of-the-art uplift modeling.
IPGDN learns disentangled node representations in graphs.
problem Learning disentangled node representations in graph convolutional networks (GCNs).
method IPGDN uses neighborhood routing mechanism and HSIC to enforce independence among latent representations.
result IPGDN outperforms state-of-the-arts in graph classification, clustering, and visualization.