We characterize the class of exchangeable feature allocations assigning probability to a feature allocation of individuals, displaying features with counts for these features. Each element of this class is parametrized by a countable matrix …
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48 results for “product-form exchangeability”
The study examines the balancedness of random partition models and finds the rich-get-richer characteristic is a result of model assumptions.
problem The balancedness of random partition models is largely neglected in the literature.
method Formulated a framework to define and study the balancedness of exchangeable random partition models, analyzed using product-form exchangeability and projectivity assumptions.
result The 'rich-get-richer' characteristic is an inevitable consequence of the model assumptions.
Formula for computing triple-cup product from Heegaard diagrams of 3-manifolds.
problem Computing the triple-cup product invariant of 3-manifolds.
method Explicit formula from Heegaard diagrams and reduction of Turaev's homotopy intersection form.
result Triple-cup product can be recovered from Heegaard diagrams and Turaev's form.
New tuning rules for Metropolis algorithms derived from Bayesian large-sample asymptotics.
problem Optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms under realistic assumptions.
method Large-sample asymptotics to derive weak convergence results and tuning guidelines.
result Tuning guidelines consistent with previous ones when target density is product form, accounting for correlation structure.
Defines a new tensor related to special geometric spaces.
problem Understanding new curvature tensors in semi-Riemannian geometry.
method Defines a generalized curvature tensor using specific operations.
result The tensor is connected to quasi-Einstein, Roter, and Roter-type spaces.
We study the general geometrical structure of the coadjoint orbits of a semidirect product formed by a Lie group and a representation of this group on a vector space. The use of symplectic induction methods gives new insight into the structure of these orbits. In fact, each coadjoint orbit of such a group is obtained b…
Ozsvath and Szabo construct a spectral sequence with E_2 term Λ^*(H^1(Y;Z))\otimes Z[U,U^{-1}] converging to HF^\infty(Y,s) for a torsion Spin^c structure s. They conjecture that the differentials are completely determined by the integral triple cup product form via a proposed formula. In this paper, we prove that HF^\…
The twistor space of the sphere S^{2n} is an isotropic Grassmannian that fibers over S^{2n}. An orthogonal complex structure on a subdomain of S^{2n} (a complex structure compatible with the round metric) determines a section of this fibration with holomorphic image. In this paper, we use this correspondence to prove t…
We study two special cases of the equivariant index defined in part I of this series. We apply this index to deformations of Spin-Dirac operators, invariant under actions by possibly noncompact groups, with possibly noncompact orbit spaces. One special case is an index defined in terms of multiplicities of discrete…
We consider an arbitrary linear elliptic first--order differential operator A with smooth coefficients acting between sections of complex vector bundles E,F over a compact smooth manifold M with smooth boundary N. We describe the analytic and topological properties of A in a collar neighborhood U of N and analyze vario…
We consider reinforcement learning in parameterized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), where the parameterization may induce correlation across transition probabilities or rewards. Consequently, observing a particular state transition might yield useful information about other, unobserved, parts of the MDP. We present a…
We consider the tensor completion problem of predicting the missing entries of a tensor. The commonly used CP model has a triple product form, but an alternate family of quadratic models, which are the sum of pairwise products instead of a triple product, have emerged from applications such as recommendation systems. N…
The exchange algorithm is studied for its convergence and asymptotic variance.
problem Theoretical limitations of the exchange algorithm in sampling from doubly-intractable distributions.
method Theoretical analysis of the exchange algorithm's convergence speed and asymptotic variance.
result The exchange algorithm converges at a geometric rate and satisfies a Central Limit Theorem.
We give an integral representaion of the zeta-reguralized determinant of Laplacians on three dimensional Heisenberg manifolds, and study a behaivior of the values when we deform the uniform discrete subgroups. Heiseberg manifolds are the total space of a fiber bundle with a torus as the base space and a circle as a typ…
Study on pricing American Exchange options using Lévy processes.
problem Pricing American Exchange options driven by Lévy processes.
method Represented American Exchange options as European options plus early exercise premium; studied properties of free boundary and provided an approximative formula.
result Developed an approximative formula for American Exchange options.
Warped product manifolds with p-dimensional base, p=1,2, satisfy some curvature conditions of pseudosymmetry type. These conditions are formed from the metric tensor g, the Riemann-Christoffel curvature tensor R, the Ricci tensor S and the Weyl conformal curvature C of the considered manifolds. The main result of the p…
Optimal crypto order execution using cross-exchange signals.
problem Maximizing order execution efficiency in cryptocurrency markets.
method Reinforcement learning applied to cross-exchange data.
result Cross-exchange signals improve optimal execution outcomes.
The paper verifies deep neural networks' ability to approximate functions on spheres.
problem Theoretical verification of deep neural networks' performance on spherical functions.
method Spherical analysis using reproducing kernels and convolutional factorizations.
result Rates of uniform approximation for functions in Sobolev spaces and additive ridge forms.
Regional Inequality Simulations Based on Asset Exchange Models with Exchange Range and Local Support Biasphysics.soc-ph
New models reduce regional inequality by adjusting exchange range and asset distribution bias.
problem Reduction of regional inequality in economic systems.
method Proposed new asset exchange models with spatial exchange range and local support bias to adjust asset distribution and circulation rates.
result Achieved asset distribution from over-concentration to exponential and eventually normal, reducing Gini coefficient.
A known failing of many popular random graph models is that the Aldous-Hoover Theorem guarantees these graphs are dense with probability one; that is, the number of edges grows quadratically with the number of nodes. This behavior is considered unrealistic in observed graphs. We define a notion of edge exchangeability …
Wealth Distributions in Asset Exchange Modelsphysics.soc-ph
How do individuals accumulate wealth as they interact economically? We outline the consequences of a simple microscopic model in which repeated pairwise exchanges of assets between individuals build the wealth distribution of a population. This distribution is determined for generic exchange rules --- transactions that…
The team predicts foreign exchange rates using clustering and attention models.
problem Complexity and unexpected events in foreign exchange markets.
method Clustering and attention models applied to historical data.
result Improved event-driven price prediction for oversold scenarios.
Wealth Distributions in Models of Capital Exchangecond-mat.stat-mech
A dynamical model of capital exchange is introduced in which a specified amount of capital is exchanged between two individuals when they meet. The resulting time dependent wealth distributions are determined for a variety of exchange rules. For ``greedy'' exchange, an interaction between a rich and a poor individual r…
Study finds recurring patterns in cryptocurrency volatility and liquidity.
problem Recurring patterns in volatility and liquidity of major cryptocurrencies.
method Data from two centralized exchanges and a decentralized exchange analyzed for patterns.
result Systematic patterns in volatility and liquidity across different timeframes.
Representation of Exchange Option Prices under Stochastic Volatility Jump-Diffusion Dynamicsq-fin.MF
The article provides representations of exchange option prices under SVJD dynamics.
problem Modeling and pricing exchange options under stochastic volatility and jumps.
method Develops representations for European and American exchange options using SVJD dynamics and equivalent martingale measures.
result Derives integro-partial differential equations and representations for exchange option prices.
This paper introduces cluster exchange groupoids for Coxeter-Dynkin diagrams and finds their fundamental groups are braid groups.
problem Understanding the fundamental groups of cluster exchange groupoids for Coxeter-Dynkin diagrams.
method Introduced cluster exchange groupoids for Coxeter-Dynkin diagrams and showed the fundamental group isomorphic to braid groups.
result The fundamental group of the exchange groupoid for a Coxeter-Dynkin diagram is the braid group associated with the diagram.
Kalman Filter in the Problem of the Exchange and the Inflation Rates Adequacy To Determining Factorsq-fin.MF
Study finds relevance of exchange and inflation rates to economic factors.
problem Determining the relevance of exchange and inflation rates to economic factors.
method Introduced concept of adequacy, established positive relation between exchange and inflation rates and other economic factors.
result Close positive relation found between exchange and inflation rates and other economic factors.
The article improves the display of acceptable exchange ratios for merging companies.
problem Determining feasible exchange ratios for merging companies.
method Exploits a diagrammatic approach to display the bargaining region.
result Shares face upper and lower bounds for acceptable exchange ratios.
Framework for systemic risk modeling using jointly exchangeable arrays.
problem Systemic risk in insurance portfolios with interactions.
method Jointly exchangeable arrays, central limit theorems, simulation-based validation.
result Asymptotic approximations for total portfolio losses in large portfolios over long time horizons.
Framework handles both exchangeable and non-exchangeable event sequences without tuning.
problem Handling both exchangeable and non-exchangeable event sequences efficiently.
method Parametric Hawkes-process-inspired conditional probability mass function with variational inference.
result Competitive computational and predictive performance against state-of-the-art methods.
Unified framework for representation and causal structure learning using exchangeable data.
problem Identifying latent representations or causal structures in non-i.i.d. data.
method Identifiable Exchangeable Mechanisms (IEM) framework for representation and structure learning.
result New insights and identifiability results for causal structure and representation learning.
IUS framework predicts EUR/USD exchange rate with improved accuracy.
problem Accurate forecasting of EUR/USD exchange rate.
method Combines large language models for sentiment analysis, deep learning for forecasting, and feature selection.
result Optuna-optimized Bi-LSTM model reduces MAE and RMSE by 10.69% and 9.56% respectively.
The Phylogenetic Indian Buffet Process: A Non-Exchangeable Nonparametric Prior for Latent Featurescs.LG
Nonparametric Bayesian models are often based on the assumption that the objects being modeled are exchangeable. While appropriate in some applications (e.g., bag-of-words models for documents), exchangeability is sometimes assumed simply for computational reasons; non-exchangeable models might be a better choice for a…
We use techniques from network science to study correlations in the foreign exchange (FX) market over the period 1991--2008. We consider an FX market network in which each node represents an exchange rate and each weighted edge represents a time-dependent correlation between the rates. To provide insights into the clus…
The paper reviews exchangeability and its implications for conformal prediction and rank tests.
problem Ensuring distribution-free predictive inference in machine learning and statistics.
method Explains exchangeability and its role in conformal prediction and rank tests.
result Discovers similarities between conformal prediction and rank tests based on exchangeability.
It is assumed that under suitable economic and information-theoretic conditions, market exchange rates are free from arbitrage. Commodity markets in which trades occur over a complete graph are shown to be trivial. We therefore examine the vector space of no-arbitrage exchange rate ensembles over an arbitrary connected…
Study finds significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges after FTX collapse.
problem Quantifying trust dynamics and redistribution between centralized and decentralized exchanges.
method Interdisciplinary approach combining causal inference and computational text analysis.
result Significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges following the FTX collapse.
Unbiased wealth exchanges always lead to inequality.
problem Understanding wealth distribution in unbiased binary exchange systems.
method Analytical demonstration of unbiased binary exchanges leading to perfect inequality.
result Any system driven by unbiased binary exchanges will reach perfect inequality and zero mobility.
This paper compares AMMs and LOBs in exchange mechanisms, formalizing complexity vs. expressiveness trade-offs.
problem Designing efficient exchange mechanisms between assets.
method Formalizes a complexity-approximation trade-off for CFMMs and LOBs, introducing an exchange complexity measure.
result Optimally expressive mechanisms can be designed with minimal complexity, allowing for arbitrary demand curves.
Model estimates foreign exchange reserve compositions of undisclosed central banks.
problem Limited information on central bank reserve compositions hinders analysis.
method Hidden Markov Model relating portfolio valuation to exchange rates.
result China's reserve composition likely matches global average, while Singapore holds fewer US dollars.
Directed graphs occur throughout statistical modeling of networks, and exchangeability is a natural assumption when the ordering of vertices does not matter. There is a deep structural theory for exchangeable undirected graphs, which extends to the directed case via measurable objects known as digraphons. Using digraph…
Multifractal Measures for the Yen-Dollar Exchange Ratecond-mat.stat-mech
We study the tick dynamical behavior of the yen-dollar exchange rate using the rescaled range analysis in financial market. It is found that the multifractal Hurst exponents with the short and long-run memory effects can be obtained from the yen-dollar exchange rate. This exists one crossover for the Hurst exponents at…
Paper compares MCMC-based copula methods for exchange option pricing.
problem Pricing exchange options using copulas and MCMC.
method Risk-neutral pricing, copulas, and MCMC algorithm.
result Different copula models provide similar option prices except Gumbel.
Study compares market microstructure between two South African exchanges.
problem Understanding price response dynamics and market microstructure differences between two South African exchanges.
method Comparative analysis of returns distributions, auto-correlations, price impact, and trading costs on different time scales.
result Similar stylized facts emerge as measurement time scale increases, but price responses vary significantly.
XSPNs combine SPNs and MEVMs for efficient inference in data with repeated parts.
problem Efficient inference in data with repeated interchangeable parts.
method Introducing Exchangeability-Aware Sum-Product Networks (XSPNs) that combine SPNs and MEVMs.
result XSPNs can be more accurate than conventional SPNs when data contains repeated parts.
We introduce an autoregressive-type model with self-modulation effects for a foreign exchange rate by separating the foreign exchange rate into a moving average rate and an uncorrelated noise. From this model we indicate that traders are mainly using strategies with weighted feedbacks of the past rates in the exchange …
We use insight from a model of earth tectonic plate movement to obtain a new understanding of the build up and release of stress in the price dynamics of the worlds stock exchanges. Nonlinearity enters the model due to a behavioral attribute of humans reacting disproportionately to big changes. This nonlinear response …
The unfair consequences of equal opportunities: comparing exchange models of wealth distributionnlin.AO
Simple agent based exchange models are a commonplace in the study of wealth distribution of artificial societies. Generally, each agent is characterized by its wealth and by a risk-aversion factor, and random exchanges between agents allow for a redistribution of the wealth. However, the detailed influence of the amoun…