Method curates cost-effective, high-quality datasets using AI models.
problem Costly manual labeling of datasets.
method Probably Approximately Correct Labels (PACL) method.
result Curates high-quality datasets with low overall labeling error.
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48 results for “probability quality”
By seeking the narrowest prediction intervals (PIs) that satisfy the specified coverage probability requirements, the recently proposed quality-based PI learning principle can extract high-quality PIs that better summarize the predictive certainty in regression tasks, and has been widely applied to solve many practical…
Diffusion models improve sample quality with guidance, proving it works for general data distributions.
problem Theoretical understanding of guidance effect in diffusion models for general data distributions.
method Analyzing diffusion guidance under general data distributions, proving improvement in sample quality.
result Guidance improves the average reciprocal of the classifier probability, aligning with its motivation.
CTM improves diffusion model sampling quality with efficient ODE traversal.
problem Lack of natural trade-off between sample quality and speed in consistency models.
method CTM trains a neural network to output scores and traverse ODE trajectories efficiently.
result CTM achieves state-of-the-art FIDs and improves sample quality with increased computational budget.
Model explains how stablecoin runs are influenced by large sales and reserve quality.
problem Understanding and predicting stablecoin runs due to large sales and poor reserve quality.
method Global game model addressing both large sales and poor reserve quality, analyzing risk components.
result The probability of a run increases with large sales and decreases with precise public knowledge, but increases with precise private signals when fundamentals are weak.
We propose a betting strategy based on Bayesian logistic regression modeling for the probability forecasting game in the framework of game-theoretic probability by Shafer and Vovk (2001). We prove some results concerning the strong law of large numbers in the probability forecasting game with side information based on …
Paper explores how text generation quality and diversity metrics relate to distribution fitting.
problem Unclear relation between text generation quality and diversity metrics and distribution fitting.
method Theoretical approach to prove a linear combination of quality and diversity metrics can be a divergence metric.
result CR/NRR proposed as a better substitute for BLEU/Self-BLEU metrics.
CNFs learn on manifolds using PPD, improving likelihood and sample quality.
problem Training CNFs on manifolds efficiently and accurately.
method Minimizing PPD, a novel divergence, to train CNFs on manifolds.
result CNFs trained with PPD achieve state-of-the-art results on manifold benchmarks.
This paper argues against using calibration metrics for assessing posterior probabilities and proposes expected proper scoring rules instead.
problem The assessment of posterior probabilities generated by machine learning classifiers using calibration metrics is flawed and should be replaced with expected proper scoring rules.
method The paper reviews proper scoring rules from a practical perspective, explains why expected PSRs are a principled measure of posterior quality, and introduces a new calibration metric called calibration loss.
result Calibration loss is superior to expected calibration error and expected score divergence calibration metrics for assessing posterior probabilities.
In standard generative adversarial network (SGAN), the discriminator estimates the probability that the input data is real. The generator is trained to increase the probability that fake data is real. We argue that it should also simultaneously decrease the probability that real data is real because 1) this would accou…
PQMass assesses generative model quality using chi-squared tests.
problem Assessing the quality of generative models without density assumptions.
method Divides sample space into regions, applies chi-squared tests to p-values.
result Effectively assesses generative model quality, novelty, and diversity.
Study improves data quality assessment for structural monitoring data.
problem Ensuring reliability of structural health monitoring data.
method Probabilistic data quality assessment using a conditional diffusion model.
result Significantly improves accuracy of data quality assessment.
The article focuses on determining the predictive uncertainty of a model on the example of atrial fibrillation detection problem by a single-lead ECG signal. To this end, the model predicts parameters of the beta distribution over class probabilities instead of these probabilities themselves. It was shown that the desc…
In many applications, accurate class probability estimates are required, but many types of models produce poor quality probability estimates despite achieving acceptable classification accuracy. Even though probability calibration has been a hot topic of research in recent times, the majority of this has investigated n…
Geometric Gaussian approximations capture any distribution.
problem Approximating complex probability distributions.
method Geometric Gaussian approximations through diffeomorphisms or exponential maps.
result Geometric Gaussian approximations are universal, capturing any distribution.
This paper presents a method to automatically generate high-quality prediction intervals for neural networks.
problem Accurate uncertainty quantification for deep learning models in real-world applications.
method Dual neural network approach with a novel loss function to balance prediction interval width and coverage.
result Our method produces significantly narrower prediction intervals with higher probability coverage compared to state-of-the-art methods.
We propose a training method for deep neural network (DNN)-based source enhancement to increase objective sound quality assessment (OSQA) scores such as the perceptual evaluation of speech quality (PESQ). In many conventional studies, DNNs have been used as a mapping function to estimate time-frequency masks and traine…
Optimal transport learns Riemannian metrics for evolving probability measures.
problem Learning metrics for evolving probability measures on Riemannian manifolds.
method Neural parametrization of a metric tensor via optimal transport, alternating optimization scheme.
result Improved trajectory inference on scRNA and bird migration data.
D-Wave quantum annealing fails to improve sampling quality from RBMs compared to Gibbs sampling.
problem Improving sampling quality from RBMs using D-Wave quantum annealing.
method Comparison of D-Wave quantum annealing and Gibbs sampling for RBM sampling.
result D-Wave sampling does not significantly improve the number of local valleys compared to Gibbs sampling.
A new restart criterion for k-means++ improves clustering quality and adapts to data difficulty.
problem Arbitrary restart counts in k-means++ lead to inconsistent results and wasted computation.
method GTRC combines Good-Turing estimates, bounds, and user-specified tolerance to dynamically decide restarts.
result GTRC achieves clustering quality comparable to fixed restart counts, varying restarts based on data difficulty.
Probabilistic Autoencoder learns latent space weights' distribution.
problem Nonlinear model reconstruction error and sample quality.
method Normalizing flow for latent space weights' probability distribution.
result PAE achieves small reconstruction errors, high sample quality, and good performance.
The principle of peer review is central to the evaluation of research, by ensuring that only high-quality items are funded or published. But peer review has also received criticism, as the selection of reviewers may introduce biases in the system. In 2014, the organizers of the ``Neural Information Processing Systems\r…
Investigates statistical properties of perturb-softmax and perturb-argmax distributions.
problem Underexplored statistical properties of Gumbel-Softmax and Gumbel-Argmax distributions.
method Investigates convexity and differentiability to determine completeness and minimality of these distributions.
result Identifies parameters that admit complete and minimal representation of probability distributions.
The rising volume of datasets has made training machine learning (ML) models a major computational cost in the enterprise. Given the iterative nature of model and parameter tuning, many analysts use a small sample of their entire data during their initial stage of analysis to make quick decisions (e.g., what features o…
Generative model learns conditional distributions on collective variable levels.
problem Modeling conditional probability distributions on collective variable levels.
method General and efficient learning approach, data enrichment strategy.
result Effective generative models on different level-sets of collective variables.
We consider the problem of learning the qualities of a collection of items by performing noisy comparisons among them. Following the standard paradigm, we assume there is a fixed "comparison graph" and every neighboring pair of items in this graph is compared times according to the Bradley-Terry-Luce model (where t…
Deep learning improves PV generation quantile forecasting.
problem Accurate probabilistic forecasting of PV generation.
method Developed an encoder-decoder deep learning model for multi-output quantile PV forecasting.
result The model improves forecast quality and computational efficiency.
New method optimizes MRI sampling patterns for faster scans.
problem Accelerate MRI scans without sacrificing image quality.
method Joint learning of adaptive sampling patterns and model-based recovery.
result Improved MR image quality compared to other methods.
Generative model improves sample quality on ImageNet32.
problem Improving sample quality in generative models.
method Iterative Gaussian posterior inference, treating generated sample as unknown variable.
result Improves sample quality on ImageNet32 over BFNs and VDMs.
FAB-PPI uses prior knowledge to improve prediction-powered inference.
problem Improving statistical inference with machine learning predictions.
method Informing PPI with prior knowledge on prediction quality.
result FAB-PPI improves inference accuracy and confidence intervals.
We present a new algorithm for identifying the transition and emission probabilities of a hidden Markov model (HMM) from the emitted data. Expectation-maximization becomes computationally prohibitive for long observation records, which are often required for identification. The new algorithm is particularly suitable fo…
The paper provides statistical guarantees for generative models using dimension reduction.
problem Improving the quality of generative models without increasing dimensionality.
method Modeling generative devices as smooth transformations of a lower-dimensional space and using integral probability metrics.
result Established a risk bound showing the impact of dimension reduction on generative model error.
TRAiL is a linear bandit algorithm that ensures optimal regret and guarantees inference quality.
problem Optimal regret and inference quality in linear bandits with convex action sets.
method TRAiL estimates the parameter through regularized least squares and perturbs the action set along the tangent plane.
result TRAiL achieves an upper bound on cumulative regret with high probability.
DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.
problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Derives PF-ODE for infinite-dimensional functions, improving function generation tasks.
problem Efficient inference in infinite-dimensional diffusion models.
method Derives PF-ODE in infinite-dimensional function spaces.
result Reduces function evaluations while maintaining sample quality.
The neural network (NN)-based direct uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods have achieved the state of the art performance since the first inauguration, known as the lower-upper-bound estimation (LUBE) method. However, currently-available cost functions for uncertainty guided NN training are not always converging and …
Algorithm finds safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.
problem Finding safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.
method Bi-criteria approximation learning algorithm with polynomial sample complexity.
result Achieves almost 2 approximation for both escape probability and safe zone size.
A new framework separates classifier calibration and discrimination.
problem Combining reliability and resolution in probabilistic predictions.
method Manokhin Probability Matrix separates reliability and resolution using Spiegelhalter Z-statistic and AUC-ROC.
result Classifiers are categorized into four archetypes: Eagle, Bull, Sloth, and Mole.
Study evaluates quality of uncertainty estimates for neural networks.
problem Lack of principled assessment methods for evaluating uncertainty quality in deep learning.
method Statistical methods of frequentist interval coverage, interval width, and expected calibration error.
result Different UQ methods produce markedly different quality uncertainty estimates.
We investigate the properties of multidimensional probability distributions in the context of latent space prior distributions of implicit generative models. Our work revolves around the phenomena arising while decoding linear interpolations between two random latent vectors -- regions of latent space in close proximit…
CDC-FM improves generative model quality-generalization tradeoff by regularizing with geometry-aware noise.
problem Tradeoff between high sample quality and memorization in deep generative models.
method Introduces Carré du champ flow matching (CDC-FM) that replaces homogeneous noise with anisotropic Gaussian noise capturing latent data manifold geometry.
result CDC-FM consistently offers better quality-generalization tradeoff across diverse datasets and architectures.
Paper presents a new video generation model using diffusion probabilistic methods.
problem Generating high-quality video sequences.
method Denoising diffusion probabilistic models, autoregressive, end-to-end optimization.
result Significant improvements in perceptual quality and probabilistic frame forecasting.
Conservative objective models are a special kind of contrastive divergence-based energy modelstat.ML
Theoretical proof shows COMs are a type of contrastive divergence model with improved sampling.
problem Improving sampling quality in offline model-based optimization.
method Showed COMs are contrastive divergence models, proposed Langevin MCMC sampler, and decoupled model.
result Improved sampling quality achieved by decoupling model and using Langevin MCMC.
Invertible flow-based generative models are an effective method for learning to generate samples, while allowing for tractable likelihood computation and inference. However, the invertibility requirement restricts models to have the same latent dimensionality as the inputs. This imposes significant architectural, memor…
A new watermarking method corrects bias in language models using maximal coupling.
problem Correcting bias in language model token distributions.
method Maximal coupling to balance bias correction and text quality.
result Outperforms prior techniques in preserving text quality and detectability.
Bayesian Conditional Gaussian Network Classifiers with Applications to Mass Spectra Classificationcs.LG
Classifiers based on probabilistic graphical models are very effective. In continuous domains, maximum likelihood is usually used to assess the predictions of those classifiers. When data is scarce, this can easily lead to overfitting. In any probabilistic setting, Bayesian averaging (BA) provides theoretically optimal…
Efficient methods estimate concordance probability for big data.
problem Efficiently calculating concordance probability in large datasets.
method Proposes two estimation methods for discrete and continuous settings.
result Estimators are accurate and computationally efficient.
Stochastic Gradient Boosting (SGB) is a widely used approach to regularization of boosting models based on decision trees. It was shown that, in many cases, random sampling at each iteration can lead to better generalization performance of the model and can also decrease the learning time. Different sampling approaches…