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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for probabilistic view

Proposes a deep probabilistic multi-view model for multi-view learning.

problem Learning from multiple related views with shared latent structure.
method Probabilistic Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) in latent space, deep generative networks, variational inference.
result Efficient variational inference approximates posterior distributions of latent multi-view layer.

CAMul forecasts with calibrated and accurate multi-view time-series data.

problem Combining diverse data sources for reliable time-series forecasting.
method CAMul integrates multi-modal data views dynamically, assigning importance based on context.
result CAMul outperforms state-of-the-art models by 25% in accuracy and calibration.

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian probabilistic latent variable model for multi-view anomaly detection, which is the task of finding instances that have inconsistent views. With the proposed model, all views of a non-anomalous instance are assumed to be generated from a single latent vector. On the other hand, an ano…

2014-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) is a classic technique for multi-view data analysis. To overcome the deficiency of linear correlation in practical multi-view learning tasks, various CCA variants were proposed to capture nonlinear dependency. However, it is non-trivial to have an in-principle understanding of these…

2019-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a probabilistic (generative) view of affinity matrices along with inference algorithms for a subclass of problems associated with data clustering. This probabilistic view is helpful in understanding different models and algorithms that are based on affinity functions OF the data. IN particular, we show how(…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

While frame-independent predictions with deep neural networks have become the prominent solutions to many computer vision tasks, the potential benefits of utilizing correlations between frames have received less attention. Even though probabilistic machine learning provides the ability to encode correlation as prior kn…

2019-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In many machine learning problems, labeled training data is limited but unlabeled data is ample. Some of these problems have instances that can be factored into multiple views, each of which is nearly sufficent in determining the correct labels. In this paper we present a new algorithm for probabilistic multi-view lear…

2012-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometric approach improves probabilistic robustness in neural networks.

problem Widespread lack of robustness in deep neural networks to adversarial examples.
method Geometric view on Probabilistically Robust Learning (PRL) and introduction of new perimeters.
result Existence of solutions and properties of modified PRL models.

Improves Bayesian optimisation for engineering design problems with many variables.

problem Efficiently searching for global minima in high-dimensional design spaces.
method Integrates input and output data to identify a reduced latent subspace using probabilistic partial least squares.
result Significant improvements in convergence to the global minimum compared to existing methods.

Invites probabilistic approach to Kähler-Einstein metrics via random point processes.

problem Constructing Kähler-Einstein metrics on complex projective algebraic manifolds.
method Large N-limit from random point processes defined by algebro-geometric data; variational approach for positive Ricci curvature.
result Convergence of metrics to Kähler-Einstein metrics under specific conditions.

This work frames active inference through control as inference, offering robust control algorithms.

problem Active inference framework lacks practical sensorimotor control algorithms.
method Frame active inference through control as inference, presenting trajectory optimization as inference.
result AI may be framed as partially-observed CaI when the cost function is defined in observation states.

Unified framework for multi-view diffusion geometries using intertwined diffusion trajectories.

problem Constructing multi-view diffusion geometries with flexible view interaction and fusion.
method Intertwined multi-view diffusion trajectories (MDTs) as a class of inhomogeneous diffusion processes.
result Established theoretical properties and derived diffusion distances and embeddings.

Correlated component analysis as proposed by Dmochowski et al. (2012) is a tool for investigating brain process similarity in the responses to multiple views of a given stimulus. Correlated components are identified under the assumption that the involved spatial networks are identical. Here we propose a hierarchical pr…

2018-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep state space model forecasts time series with uncertainty.

problem Probabilistic forecasting for risk management.
method Parameterized deep networks for non-linear models, recurrent neural nets for dependency, ARD network for exogenous variables.
result Accurate and sharp probabilistic forecasts with realistic uncertainty growth.

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such uncertainties, arising from the loss of precision induced by numerical calculation …

2015-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper presents a probabilistic framework for SPD matrices in machine learning.

problem Machine learning on SPD matrices is fragmented; this paper aims to unify it.
method Unified probabilistic framework using Gaussian distributions and Bayes classifiers.
result Different SPD machine learning tools can be reinterpreted and extended using Gaussian distributions.

Topic models have emerged as fundamental tools in unsupervised machine learning. Most modern topic modeling algorithms take a probabilistic view and derive inference algorithms based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) or its variants. In contrast, we study topic modeling as a combinatorial optimization problem, and p…

2016-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The main objective is to present a some variant of the Black - Litterman model. We consider the canonical case when priori return is determined by means such excess return from the CAPM market portfolio which is derived using reverse optimization method. Then the a priori return is at risk quantified uncertainty. On th…

2016-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

ProSMIN improves representation quality through probabilistic self-supervised learning.

problem Improving representation quality in self-supervised learning.
method ProSMIN uses two neural networks, online and target, to learn diverse representations through knowledge distillation and a modified scoring rule loss function.
result ProSMIN achieves superior accuracy and calibration on various downstream tasks.

We propose a probabilistic enhancement of standard kernel Support Vector Machines for binary classification, in order to address the case when, along with given data sets, a description of uncertainty (e.g., error bounds) may be available on each datum. In the present paper, we specifically consider Gaussian distributi…

2019-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the probabilistic structure of DDPMs and bounds their sampling error.

problem Understanding and controlling errors in discrete-time DDPMs.
method Structural analysis of score functions, Schrödinger's problem, and FBSDEs.
result Explicit upper bound for total variation distance between sampling and target distributions.

A new framework for PPLS combines noise estimation, optimization, and calibration.

problem Probabilistic PLS models need interpretable latent factors and calibrated uncertainty.
method End-to-end pipeline combining noise estimation, constrained optimization, and prediction calibration.
result Achieves near-nominal coverage and native calibrated uncertainty across benchmarks.

Optimal control of stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems is a major challenge in the domain of robot learning. Given the intractability of the global control problem, state-of-the-art algorithms focus on approximate sequential optimization techniques, that heavily rely on heuristics for regularization in order to achi…

2019-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Predictive modelling and supervised learning are central to modern data science. With predictions from an ever-expanding number of supervised black-box strategies - e.g., kernel methods, random forests, deep learning aka neural networks - being employed as a basis for decision making processes, it is crucial to underst…

2018-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a new framework for data efficient and versatile learning. Specifically: 1) We develop ML-PIP, a general framework for Meta-Learning approximate Probabilistic Inference for Prediction. ML-PIP extends existing probabilistic interpretations of meta-learning to cover a broad class of methods. 2) We i…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for reinforcement learning that adapts to different domains using auxiliary classifiers.

problem Training reinforcement learning agents to perform well in different domains with varying dynamics.
method Learning auxiliary classifiers to distinguish source-domain from target-domain transitions and modifying the reward function accordingly.
result The approach improves transfer performance in reinforcement learning tasks with varying dynamics.

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as mixture models, are used for cluster analysis. These models have two types of variables: observable and latent. In cluster analysis, the latent variable is estimated, and it is expected that additional information will improve the accuracy of the estimation of the latent varia…

2016-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗