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arXiv research

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168,742 papers · 148 categories

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64129193257 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for probabilistic search

We introduce an approximate search algorithm for fast maximum a posteriori probability estimation in probabilistic programs, which we call Bayesian ascent Monte Carlo (BaMC). Probabilistic programs represent probabilistic models with varying number of mutually dependent finite, countable, and continuous random variable…

2015-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In deterministic optimization, line searches are a standard tool ensuring stability and efficiency. Where only stochastic gradients are available, no direct equivalent has so far been formulated, because uncertain gradients do not allow for a strict sequence of decisions collapsing the search space. We construct a prob…

2017-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In deterministic optimization, line searches are a standard tool ensuring stability and efficiency. Where only stochastic gradients are available, no direct equivalent has so far been formulated, because uncertain gradients do not allow for a strict sequence of decisions collapsing the search space. We construct a prob…

2015-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes DGCN with trajectory sampling for data-efficient policy search in MBRL.

problem Improving data efficiency in model-based reinforcement learning.
method Combines trajectory sampling and DGCN for uncertainty propagation in probabilistic world models.
result Improves sample-efficiency over other uncertainty propagation methods and probabilistic models.

PDNAS optimizes GNN architectures for diverse datasets.

problem Inadequate adaptability and combinatorial search space in GNNs.
method Dual architecture search (micro- and macro-architectures) with gradient-based optimization.
result PDNAS finds deeper GNNs with better performance on diverse datasets.

Bayesian optimization tackles expensive discrete and mixed parameter spaces.

problem Optimizing expensive functions with discrete and mixed parameters.
method Probabilistic reparameterization to maximize expectation of AF over continuous parameters.
result Our approach provably converges to a maximizer of the AF and enjoys the same regret bounds as standard BO.

einspace expands NAS search space to include diverse neural architectures.

problem NAS results are often limited to existing structures; new designs are rare.
method einspace uses a probabilistic context-free grammar to create a versatile search space.
result einspace discovers novel and improved architectures, including convolutions and attention.

There is a widespread need for techniques that can discover structure from time series data. Recently introduced techniques such as Automatic Bayesian Covariance Discovery (ABCD) provide a way to find structure within a single time series by searching through a space of covariance kernels that is generated using a simp…

2016-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In neural architecture search (NAS), the space of neural network architectures is automatically explored to maximize predictive accuracy for a given task. Despite the success of recent approaches, most existing methods cannot be directly applied to large scale problems because of their prohibitive computational complex…

2019-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we explore how probabilistic programs can be used to represent policies in sequential decision problems. In this formulation, a probabilistic program is a black-box stochastic simulator for both the problem domain and the agent. We relate classic policy gradient techniques to recently introduced black-box…

2015-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

PICLE uses probabilistic models to efficiently evaluate and compose modules for continual learning.

problem Challenging search space of module compositions in continual learning.
method Probabilistic framework to cheaply compute module compositions' fitness.
result First modular CL algorithm to achieve perceptual, few-shot, and latent transfer.

Most structure inference methods either rely on exhaustive search or are purely data-driven. Exhaustive search robustly infers the structure of arbitrarily complex data, but it is slow. Data-driven methods allow efficient inference, but do not generalize when test data have more complex structures than training data. I…

2019-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical relational frameworks such as Markov logic networks and probabilistic soft logic (PSL) encode model structure with weighted first-order logical clauses. Learning these clauses from data is referred to as structure learning. Structure learning alleviates the manual cost of specifying models. However, this be…

2018-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Asynchronous method for hyperparameter and neural architecture search.

problem Efficiently searching for optimal hyperparameters and neural architectures.
method Model-based, asynchronous multi-fidelity method combining Hyperband and Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization.
result Substantial speed-ups over current state-of-the-art methods on various benchmarks.

Statistical model checking for PCTL on MDPs using reinforcement learning.

problem Model checking PCTL specifications on MDPs with statistical methods.
method Reinforcement learning for policy search, statistical model checking with UCB-based Q-learning.
result Provably guaranteed statistical model checking method for PCTL specifications on MDPs.

Brain uses synaptic failure to sample from posterior distributions.

problem Bayesian inference in the brain's probabilistic computations.
method Adapting synaptic failure to sample posterior predictive distributions.
result Synaptic failure enables sampling of complete posterior predictive distributions.

Acquiring new robot motor skills is cumbersome, as learning a skill from scratch and without prior knowledge requires the exploration of a large space of motor configurations. Accordingly, for learning a new task, time could be saved by restricting the parameter search space by initializing it with the solution of a si…

2019-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

It has recently been shown that many of the existing quasi-Newton algorithms can be formulated as learning algorithms, capable of learning local models of the cost functions. Importantly, this understanding allows us to safely start assembling probabilistic Newton-type algorithms, applicable in situations where we only…

2017-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

NAS improves gliomas segmentation on MRI scans.

problem Designing optimal deep learning architectures for brain tumor segmentation.
method Neural architecture search with probabilistic parameter learning for MRI brain tumor segmentation.
result Two optimal neural architectures for brain tumor segmentation were discovered.

Contemporary global optimization algorithms are based on local measures of utility, rather than a probability measure over location and value of the optimum. They thus attempt to collect low function values, not to learn about the optimum. The reason for the absence of probabilistic global optimizers is that the corres…

2011-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper provides fast estimates for complex option types.

problem Estimating prices for constrained multiple exercise American options.
method Lookahead search for lower estimates and nearest-neighbor martingale for upper estimates.
result Probabilistic convergence guarantees for the algorithms.

PB2 uses probabilistic models to efficiently discover high-performing hyperparameters.

problem Efficiently tuning hyperparameters in reinforcement learning (RL) is computationally expensive and laborious.
method Population-Based Bandits (PB2) uses probabilistic models to guide hyperparameter exploration.
result PB2 discovers high-performing hyperparameter configurations with fewer agents than PBT.

Face recall is a basic human cognitive process performed routinely, e.g., when meeting someone and determining if we have met that person before. Assisting a subject during face recall by suggesting candidate faces can be challenging. One of the reasons is that the search space - the face space - is quite large and lac…

2016-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Similarity graphs are an active research direction for the nearest neighbor search (NNS) problem. New algorithms for similarity graph construction are continuously being proposed and analyzed by both theoreticians and practitioners. However, existing construction algorithms are mostly based on heuristics and do not exp…

2019-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The cycling operation endows the super summit set SxS_x of any element xx of a Garside group GG with the structure of a directed graph ΓxΓ_x. We establish that the subset UxU_x of SxS_x consisting of the circuits of ΓxΓ_x can be used instead of SxS_x for deciding conjugacy to xx in GG, yielding a faster and more pr…

2003-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The causal discovery of Bayesian networks is an active and important research area, and it is based upon searching the space of causal models for those which can best explain a pattern of probabilistic dependencies shown in the data. However, some of those dependencies are generated by causal structures involving varia…

2016-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

GOLS-I automatically determines learning rates for various neural network training algorithms.

problem Adapting learning rates in stochastic training algorithms for neural networks.
method Gradient-Only Line Search (GOLS-I) for automatically setting learning rates.
result GOLS-I learning rate schedules are competitive with manually tuned rates across multiple algorithms, architectures, datasets, and loss functions.

Approximate inference in high-dimensional, discrete probabilistic models is a central problem in computational statistics and machine learning. This paper describes discrete particle variational inference (DPVI), a new approach that combines key strengths of Monte Carlo, variational and search-based techniques. DPVI is…

2014-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗