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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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6.3%12.5%18.8%25.0% · Mar 199319922001200920172026
48 results for probabilistic numerical solvers

Parallel-in-time solver reduces ODE simulation time from linear to logarithmic.

problem Efficiently solving ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with reduced computational cost.
method Formulated a parallel-in-time probabilistic numerical ODE solver using time-parallel formulation of iterated extended Kalman smoothers.
result Reduces span cost from linear to logarithmic in the number of time steps.

The paper improves ODE solvers by integrating diverse information types.

problem Improving accuracy and physical meaningfulness of ODE solutions.
method Leveraging probabilistic solvers to include second-order information and physical conservation laws.
result Solutions become more accurate and physically meaningful with additional information.

New method combines ODE filters and numerical quadrature to propagate model uncertainty.

problem Propagation of model uncertainty in ODE solutions with uncertain parameters.
method Combining ODE filters with numerical quadrature.
result Effective propagation of both numerical and parametric uncertainty.

Calibrated probabilistic solvers improve accuracy of ODE estimates.

problem Uncertainty in probabilistic ODE solutions is not well-calibrated for adaptive step sizes.
method Introduce and assess several calibration methods for probabilistic ODE solvers.
result Calibration methods interact efficiently with adaptive step-size selection, improving posteriors.

DALTON improves ODE parameter estimation by learning from noisy data.

problem High sensitivity to parameters in ODEs produces unreliable parameter estimates.
method Data-adaptive probabilistic likelihood approximation for ODEs.
result DALTON produces more accurate parameter estimates than existing methods.

Prob-GParareal adds uncertainty quantification to PinT solvers for differential equations.

problem Uncertainty in numerical solutions of differential equations.
method Prob-GParareal uses Gaussian processes to model Parareal correction function, providing probabilistic forecasts.
result Prob-GParareal yields accurate and robust probabilistic forecasts on various ODE systems.

Probabilistic method combines space and time uncertainties in PDEs.

problem Separate treatment of space and time in PDE solvers obscures interactions and error quantification.
method Gaussian process interpretation of finite difference methods interacting with probabilistic ODE solvers.
result Joint quantification of space- and time-uncertainty possible without sacrificing ODE solver performance.

Runge-Kutta methods are the classic family of solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), and the basis for the state of the art. Like most numerical methods, they return point estimates. We construct a family of probabilistic numerical methods that instead return a Gauss-Markov process defining a probability d…

2014-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses Gaussian ODE filtering to approximate likelihoods for fast ODE inverse problems.

problem Intractable forward models in likelihood-free inference, especially for ODEs.
method Gaussian ODE filtering to construct local Gaussian likelihood approximations.
result New solvers outperform standard likelihood-free approaches on benchmark systems.

New method combines ODE solvers with Bayesian inference for efficient model training.

problem Combining ODE solvers with Bayesian inference for efficient model training.
method Probabilistic state space model using extended Kalman filter for joint inference from differential equations and data.
result Efficient approximate Bayesian inference on latent force and ODE solution.

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such uncertainties, arising from the loss of precision induced by numerical calculation …

2015-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework for probabilistic linear solvers reduces manual effort.

problem Manual implementation of probabilistic iterative methods is laborious.
method Affine Tracing: Automatically constructs PIMs from standard implementations.
result Any realistic affine PIM is calibrated, motivating their adoption.

New method calibrates probabilistic linear solver for online coverage guarantees.

problem Uncertainty in probabilistic linear solver solutions without coverage guarantees.
method Online conformal prediction-PLS (OCP-PLS) method to calibrate uncertainty thresholds.
result Validates online calibration of uncertainty thresholds via online conformal prediction.

SA-Solver improves stochastic sampling from DPMs.

problem Efficient sampling from Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) is time-consuming.
method Proposes SA-Solver, an improved stochastic Adams method for solving diffusion SDE.
result SA-Solver achieves improved or comparable performance compared to SOTA methods for few-step sampling.

We present a derivation and theoretical investigation of the Adams-Bashforth and Adams-Moulton family of linear multistep methods for solving ordinary differential equations, starting from a Gaussian process (GP) framework. In the limit, this formulation coincides with the classical deterministic methods, which have be…

2016-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

DPM-Solver speeds up DPM sampling to 10-20 function evaluations.

problem Slow sampling from Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs).
method Exact formulation of diffusion ODE solutions, using change-of-variable and exponentially weighted integral.
result Generates high-quality samples in 10-20 function evaluations.

This work frames active inference through control as inference, offering robust control algorithms.

problem Active inference framework lacks practical sensorimotor control algorithms.
method Frame active inference through control as inference, presenting trajectory optimization as inference.
result AI may be framed as partially-observed CaI when the cost function is defined in observation states.

The numerical solution of large-scale PDEs, such as those occurring in data-driven applications, unavoidably require powerful parallel computers and tailored parallel algorithms to make the best possible use of them. In fact, considerations about the parallelization and scalability of realistic problems are often criti…

2017-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

There is resurging interest, in statistics and machine learning, in solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that return probability measures instead of point estimates. Recently, Conrad et al. introduced a sampling-based class of methods that are 'well-calibrated' in a specific sense. But the computational c…

2016-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study compares 5 ODE solvers on 3 case studies, finding varying accuracy.

problem Comparing estimation accuracy of 5 ODE solvers on 3 case studies.
method Used 5 different numerical ODE solvers (Euler's, Heun's, Midpoint, Runge-Kutta 4th order, ODE45) on 3 case studies and compared their results.
result Different solvers have varying accuracy depending on the case study.

Efficiently solves MRF inference problems with semidefinite programming.

problem Computing partition function or MAP estimate in binary and multi-class MRFs.
method Coordinate-descent-based fast semidefinite solver for SDPs.
result Substantially outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in approximate inference.

PANIS learns PDE surrogates for heterogeneous materials without solving the PDE.

problem Learning surrogates for parametrized PDEs in heterogeneous media.
method Physics-aware neural implicit solvers combining probabilistic learning and physics-informed discretization.
result Learned surrogates for effective solutions in heterogeneous materials without solving the reference problem.

New ODE solvers improve training efficiency and accuracy.

problem Training Neural ODEs requires efficient and accurate gradient calculation.
method Presented algebraically reversible ODE solvers that are time and memory efficient, calculate exact gradients, and are numerically stable.
result Reversible solvers strictly improve upon previous architectures in efficiency and accuracy.

Probabilistic SR method speeds up high-fidelity simulations with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of reliable uncertainty quantification in deep-learning based SR methods.
method Statistical Finite Element Method and energy-based generative modeling.
result Efficient high-resolution predictions with inherent uncertainty estimates.

We describe a set of Gaussian Process based approaches that can be used to solve non-linear Ordinary Differential Equations. We suggest an explicit probabilistic solver and two implicit methods, one analogous to Picard iteration and the other to gradient matching. All methods have greater accuracy than previously sugge…

2014-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new solver for path-dependent PDEs using signature kernels.

problem Solving path-dependent PDEs (PPDEs) efficiently and accurately.
method Uses signature kernels to solve PPDEs by approximating the solution with minimal norm in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.
result Proves the consistency of the numerical scheme, ensuring convergence to PPDE solutions as the number of collocation points increases.

Neural ODEs' performance varies with numerical method, requiring adaptive step size control.

problem Neural ODEs' performance depends on the numerical method used during training.
method Proposes an adaptive step size control algorithm to ensure a valid ODE without increasing computational cost.
result Valid Neural ODEs require careful numerical method selection and step size adaptation.

A learning algorithm optimizes SOR solver parameters for a sequence of linear systems efficiently.

problem Optimizing solver parameters for a sequence of related linear systems without extra computations.
method Bandit and contextual bandit algorithms for online learning of optimal parameters.
result The overall cost approaches the best fixed parameter as the sequence length increases.

New method reduces PDE surrogate model training costs by selectively acquiring time steps.

problem High computational cost of generating training data for PDE surrogate models.
method STAP (Selective Time-Step Acquisition for PDEs) framework that acquires only important time steps.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on several benchmark PDEs, reducing training costs.

This work introduces a new loss function to improve the efficiency of optimization-based PDE solvers.

problem Optimization-based PDE solvers converge slowly and are inefficient compared to classical iterative solvers.
method Proposes a novel Stabilized Gradient Residual (SGR) loss function to modulate the condition number.
result The SGR loss achieves orders-of-magnitude faster convergence than the MSE loss in both ODIL and PINNs frameworks.