Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

63126189252 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for probabilistic embeddings

This work connects LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA through a stochastic perspective.

problem Exploring the theoretical connection between LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA.
method Solving the stochastic linear reconstruction of LLE using expectation maximization.
result LLE, factor analysis, and probabilistic PCA are shown to be connected through a stochastic perspective.

Probabilistic embeddings improve speaker diarization accuracy.

problem Improving speaker diarization accuracy using embeddings.
method Extracting x-vectors and precision matrices from speech segments, interfacing with PLDA model, applying agglomerative clustering, joint training of PLDA and extractor.
result Joint training of PLDA and probabilistic x-vector extractor yields accuracy gains.

We introduce Probabilistic FastText, a new model for word embeddings that can capture multiple word senses, sub-word structure, and uncertainty information. In particular, we represent each word with a Gaussian mixture density, where the mean of a mixture component is given by the sum of n-grams. This representation al…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel 3D shape registration method using spectral graph embedding and probabilistic matching.

problem Challenges in 3D shape analysis and registration, especially with large variability.
method Combining spectral graph matching with Laplacian embedding for large graphs, using commute-time embedding and PCA.
result A method to register shapes with different samplings and isometric deformations.

Improved learning of probabilistic box embeddings by modeling parameters with Gumbel distributions.

problem Local identifiability issues in geometric embeddings.
method Modeling box parameters with min and max Gumbel distributions, calculating expected intersection volume.
result Improves the ability of probabilistic box embeddings to learn.

MMbeddings reduces categorical embeddings by treating them as latent effects, significantly decreasing parameters and mitigating overfitting.

problem Large cardinalities in categorical embeddings lead to high parameter counts and overfitting.
method MMbeddings treats embeddings as latent random effects in a variational autoencoder framework, reducing parameter count and mitigating overfitting.
result MMbeddings consistently outperforms traditional embeddings across various tasks, demonstrating its potential in machine learning applications.

EMFs combine deep learning and probabilistic models for better density estimation.

problem Combining domain-specific knowledge with general-purpose deep learning.
method Alternating transformations with structured layers that embed domain-specific inductive biases.
result EMFs induce desirable properties like multimodality and hierarchical coupling.

We present a probabilistic language model for time-stamped text data which tracks the semantic evolution of individual words over time. The model represents words and contexts by latent trajectories in an embedding space. At each moment in time, the embedding vectors are inferred from a probabilistic version of word2ve…

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves understanding of dimension reduction algorithms and their probabilistic embeddings.

problem Improving theoretical understanding of non-linear dimension reduction algorithms.
method Analytical investigation of a generalized multidimensional scaling optimization problem.
result Probabilistic formulation of the problem leads to deterministic embeddings, contrary to standard implementations.

Efficiently combines probabilistic predictions using kernel embeddings.

problem Combining multiple probabilistic predictions to improve forecast accuracy.
method Embed predictions into RKHS, optimizes kernel-based scoring rules, finds efficient implementation.
result Generalised linear pool outperforms traditional linear pool in operational wind speed forecasts.

Develops a neural framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems.

problem Uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems using trajectory-oriented approaches.
method D2D neural probabilistic forecasting framework using kernel mean embeddings and mixture density networks.
result The D2D model captures distributional evolution in chaotic systems and produces skillful probabilistic forecasts.

Probabilistic models learned as density estimators can be exploited in representation learning beside being toolboxes used to answer inference queries only. However, how to extract useful representations highly depends on the particular model involved. We argue that tractable inference, i.e. inference that can be compu…

2016-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for concept-based learning using probabilistic inference and expert rules.

problem Concept-based learning with limited training data.
method Divide images into patches, transform into embeddings, cluster, and use frequentist inference to find concepts.
result FI-CBL outperforms concept bottleneck model in small data scenarios.

Word embeddings are a powerful approach for unsupervised analysis of language. Recently, Rudolph et al. (2016) developed exponential family embeddings, which cast word embeddings in a probabilistic framework. Here, we develop dynamic embeddings, building on exponential family embeddings to capture how the meanings of w…

2017-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

A new probabilistic approach improves deep metric learning by considering image uncertainties and class-specific variances.

problem Proxy-based deep metric learning struggles with image uncertainties and class-specific structures.
method Introduces non-isotropic probabilistic proxy-based deep metric learning using directional von Mises-Fisher distributions.
result Improves generalization performance and competitive on standard benchmarks.

Word embeddings have demonstrated strong performance on NLP tasks. However, lack of interpretability and the unsupervised nature of word embeddings have limited their use within computational social science and digital humanities. We propose the use of informative priors to create interpretable and domain-informed dime…

2019-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The Fisher information metric is an important foundation of information geometry, wherein it allows us to approximate the local geometry of a probability distribution. Recurrent neural networks such as the Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) networks that have lately been used to yield state-of-the-art performance on speech…

2017-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes CCE to assess point-wise reliability of neural network predictions.

problem Overconfidence and misaligned predictive distributions in neural networks.
method Introduces Conditional Congruence (CCE) metric using conditional kernel mean embeddings.
result CCE exhibits correctness, monotonicity, reliability, and robustness in high-dimensional regression tasks.

Embedding methods which enforce a partial order or lattice structure over the concept space, such as Order Embeddings (OE) (Vendrov et al., 2016), are a natural way to model transitive relational data (e.g. entailment graphs). However, OE learns a deterministic knowledge base, limiting expressiveness of queries and the…

2018-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Time-delayed embeddings avoid self-intersections for high enough delay.

problem Analyzing self-intersections in time-delayed embeddings.
method Study of time-delayed coordinate maps for diffeomorphisms on compact manifolds.
result For high enough delay, time-delayed embeddings avoid self-intersections almost everywhere.

ManifoldMind uses adaptive-curvature probabilistic spheres for trustworthy recommendations in semantic hierarchies.

problem Sparse and abstract recommendation domains where users explore diverse conceptual paths.
method Adaptive-curvature probabilistic spheres, soft multi-hop inference, and curvature-aware semantic kernel.
result Superior NDCG, calibration, and diversity compared to baselines on public benchmarks.

Word embeddings generated by neural network methods such as word2vec (W2V) are well known to exhibit seemingly linear behaviour, e.g. the embeddings of analogy "woman is to queen as man is to king" approximately describe a parallelogram. This property is particularly intriguing since the embeddings are not trained to a…

2019-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Word2Vec (W2V) and GloVe are popular, fast and efficient word embedding algorithms. Their embeddings are widely used and perform well on a variety of natural language processing tasks. Moreover, W2V has recently been adopted in the field of graph embedding, where it underpins several leading algorithms. However, despit…

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New method calibrates probabilistic regression models without restrictive assumptions.

problem Ensuring predictive distributions accurately reflect true uncertainty.
method Nonparametric re-calibration algorithm based on conditional kernel mean embeddings.
result Consistently outperforms prior re-calibration approaches across various benchmarks.

We describe a simple, low-level approach for embedding probabilistic programming in a deep learning ecosystem. In particular, we distill probabilistic programming down to a single abstraction---the random variable. Our lightweight implementation in TensorFlow enables numerous applications: a model-parallel variational …

2018-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

VJE learns latent representations without contrastive learning, providing probabilistic semantics.

problem Learning latent representations without contrastive signals.
method VJE maximizes a symmetric conditional evidence lower bound (ELBO) on paired encoder embeddings, using a Student-t distribution on a polar representation.
result VJE outperforms standard non-contrastive baselines in ImageNet-1K, CIFAR-10/100, and STL-10.

Knowledge graph reasoning, which aims at predicting the missing facts through reasoning with the observed facts, is critical to many applications. Such a problem has been widely explored by traditional logic rule-based approaches and recent knowledge graph embedding methods. A principled logic rule-based approach is th…

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This work presents the concept of kernel mean embedding and kernel probabilistic programming in the context of stochastic systems. We propose formulations to represent, compare, and propagate uncertainties for fairly general stochastic dynamics in a distribution-free manner. The new tools enjoy sound theory rooted in f…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A Hilbert space embedding of a distribution---in short, a kernel mean embedding---has recently emerged as a powerful tool for machine learning and inference. The basic idea behind this framework is to map distributions into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) in which the whole arsenal of kernel methods can be ex…

2016-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel probabilistic dimensionality reduction framework that can naturally integrate the generative model and the locality information of data. Based on this framework, we present a new model, which is able to learn a smooth skeleton of embedding points in a low-dimensional space from high-dimensional noisy…

2016-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New probabilistic complexity measures for linear and kernel methods.

problem Limitations of linear and kernel methods in machine learning.
method Introducing approximate notions of dimensional and margin complexity.
result Approximate complexity measures are both sufficient and necessary for learning.

PFP-BNNs offer a fast, deterministic approach to Bayesian neural networks.

problem Limited uncertainty handling in traditional neural networks restricts their use in safety-critical settings.
method Probabilistic Forward Pass (PFP) approximates Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) for efficient BNNs.
result PFP-BNNs achieve up to 4200x speedup over SVI-BNNs while maintaining similar accuracy and uncertainty.

Unified probabilistic foundation for fuzzy simplicial sets in dimensionality reduction.

problem Lack of clear probabilistic interpretation in fuzzy simplicial sets.
method Introducing a probabilistic framework explaining fuzzy simplicial sets as marginals of probability measures on simplicial sets.
result Unified probabilistic theoretical foundation for fuzzy simplicial sets.

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are known to provide accurate predictions and uncertainty estimates even with small amounts of labeled data by capturing similarity between data points through their kernel function. However traditional GP kernels are not very effective at capturing similarity between high dimensional data poin…

2019-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) are recently introduced deep tractable probabilistic models by which several kinds of inference queries can be answered exactly and in a tractable time. Up to now, they have been largely used as black box density estimators, assessed only by comparing their likelihood scores only. In this pa…

2016-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.

problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.