A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper models blockchain queues and trading dynamics, finding conditions for transaction priority and price impact.
problem Understanding and predicting price impacts in blockchain trading environments.
method Developed a probabilistic model for blockchain queues with adversarial scheduling, derived expressions for transaction priority and price impact.
result Conditions for transaction priority and statistical models for price impact in blockchain trading environments.
A combination of a priority queueing model and mean field theory shows the emergence of traders' swarm behavior, even when each has a subjective prediction of the market driven by a limit order book. Using a nonlinear Markov model, we analyze the dynamics of traders who select a favorable order price taking into accoun…
Modern Internet services, such as those at Google, Yahoo!, and Amazon, handle billions of requests per day on clusters of thousands of computers. Because these services operate under strict performance requirements, a statistical understanding of their performance is of great practical interest. Such services are model…
Order positions are key variables in algorithmic trading. This paper studies the limiting behavior of order positions and related queues in a limit order book. In addition to the fluid and diffusion limits for the processes, fluctuations of order positions and related queues around their fluid limits are analyzed. As a…
The paper tackles ride-hailing fleet repositioning with a calibrated demand approach.
problem Repositioning idle supply before future demand is observed in ride-hailing.
method A predict-then-optimize approach using calibrated demand regimes, a similarity gate, and spatial queue-regret decomposition.
result The spatial gate reduces mean wait time to 82.3s compared to 85.3s for a hand-tuned similarity gate and 85.8s for a distributional-only baseline.
In this paper, a novel joint transmit power and resource allocation approach for enabling ultra-reliable low-latency communication (URLLC) in vehicular networks is proposed. The objective is to minimize the network-wide power consumption of vehicular users (VUEs) while ensuring high reliability in terms of probabilisti…
Motivated by empirical data, we develop a statistical description of the queue dynamics for large tick assets based on a two-dimensional Fokker-Planck (diffusion) equation, that explicitly includes state dependence, i.e. the fact that the drift and diffusion depends on the volume present on both sides of the spread. "J…
In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the influence of both the current book state and the past order flow. The first variant cons…
In a financial market, for agents with long investment horizons or at times of severe market stress, it is often changes in the asset price that act as the trigger for transactions or shifts in investment position. This suggests the use of price thresholds to simulate agent behavior over much longer timescales than are…
Optimal trading strategy between CEXs and DEXs with priority fees and stochastic delays.
problem Managing latency risk in trading between centralized and decentralized exchanges.
method Developed a mixed control framework combining absolutely continuous controls with impulse interventions, allowing for stochastic execution delays and multiple pending orders.
result Optimal priority fee selection significantly outperforms non-strategic fee selection.
This paper considers a cross-layer adaptive modulation system that is modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). We study how to utilize the monotonicity of the optimal transmission policy to relieve the computational complexity of dynamic programming (DP). In this system, a scheduler controls the bit rate of the m-qu…
Online class imbalance learning constitutes a new problem and an emerging research topic that focusses on the challenges of online learning under class imbalance and concept drift. Class imbalance deals with data streams that have very skewed distributions while concept drift deals with changes in the class imbalance s…
This paper attempts to find out numerically the distribution of the queue-length ratio in the context of a model of preferential attachment. Here we consider two restaurants only and a large number of customers (agents) who come to these restaurants. Each day the same number of agents sequentially arrives and decides w…
Neural networks learn clean data patterns first, then noisy data, leading to improved performance initially but deteriorating later.
problem Improvement in prediction error on clean data during early training of neural networks with noisy labels.
method Theoretical analysis and experiments to explore the dynamics of gradient descent and the impact of clean and noisy data.
result Neural networks prioritize learning clean data patterns first, leading to improved performance initially but deteriorating later due to diminishing gradient dominance of clean samples over noisy ones.
We investigate whether the bid/ask queue imbalance in a limit order book (LOB) provides significant predictive power for the direction of the next mid-price movement. We consider this question both in the context of a simple binary classifier, which seeks to predict the direction of the next mid-price movement, and a p…
We introduce Delay Pruning, a simple yet powerful technique to regularize dynamic Boltzmann machines (DyBM). The recently introduced DyBM provides a particularly structured Boltzmann machine, as a generative model of a multi-dimensional time-series. This Boltzmann machine can have infinitely many layers of units but al…
Order submission and cancellation are two constituent actions of stock trading behaviors in order-driven markets. Order submission dynamics has been extensively studied for different markets, while order cancellation dynamics is less understood. There are two positions associated with a cancellation, that is, the price…
We examine the dynamics of the bid and ask queues of a limit order book and their relationship with the intensity of trade arrivals. In particular, we study the probability of price movements and trade arrivals as a function of the quote imbalance at the top of the limit order book. We propose a stochastic model in an …