A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Survival strategies in a market with self-determined prices are closely tied to log-optimal investment.
A deterministic trading strategy can be regarded as a signal processing element that uses external information and past prices as inputs and incorporates them into future prices. This paper uses a market maker based method of price formation to study the price dynamics induced by several commonly used financial trading…
Model shows how heterogeneity in strategies and risk tolerance affects financial market stability.
Paper optimizes trading strategies by creating shadow prices for markets with transaction costs.
Most sales applications are characterized by competition and limited demand information. For successful pricing strategies, frequent price adjustments as well as anticipation of market dynamics are crucial. Both effects are challenging as competitive markets are complex and computations of optimized pricing adjustments…
The folk result in Kyle-Back models states that the value function of the insider remains unchanged when her admissible strategies are restricted to absolutely continuous ones. In this paper we show that, for a large class of pricing rules used in current literature, the value function of the insider can be finite when…
We propose procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales based on limit order type betting strategies. We first show that the null hypothesis of martingale property of a stock price process can be tested based on the capital process of a betting strategy. In particular with high frequency Markov …
In their seminal work Carr and Lee (2008) show how to robustly price and replicate a variety of claims written on the quadratic variation of a risky asset under the assumption that the asset's volatility process is independent of the Brownian motion that drives the asset's price. Additionally, they propose a correlatio…
Trading bubbles form when traders adapt to price mismatches.
Improved option pricing model with transaction costs.
Study uses RNN for real-time crypto price prediction and trading optimization.
In this paper, the Kyle model of insider trading is extended by characterizing the trading volume with long memory and allowing the noise trading volatility to follow a general stochastic process. Under this newly revised model, the equilibrium conditions are determined, with which the optimal insider trading strategy,…
We introduce various quantitative and mathematical definitions for price momentum of financial instruments. The price momentum is quantified with velocity and mass concepts originated from the momentum in physics. By using the physical momentum of price as a selection criterion, the weekly contrarian strategies are imp…
Due to the limited predictability of wind power and other stochastic generation, trading this energy in competitive electricity markets is challenging. This paper derives revenue-maximising and risk-constrained strategies for stochastic generators participating in electricity markets with a single-price balancing mecha…
We introduce an autoregressive-type model of prices in financial market taking into account the self-modulation effect. We find that traders are mainly using strategies with weighted feedbacks of past prices. These feedbacks are responsible for the slow diffusion in short times, apparent trends and power law distributi…
The QLBS model is enhanced with a large trader's impact, leading to optimal hedging strategies.
Modeling market makers' quoting strategies to understand price impact.
Study introduces a new investment strategy model using lazy factor and probability weights.
In this article, we develop a general framework to study optimal execution and to price block trades. We prove existence of optimal liquidation strategies and we provide regularity results for optimal strategies under very general hypotheses. We exhibit a Hamiltonian characterization for the optimal strategy that can b…
We present a simple one-parameter model for spatially localised evolving agents competing for spatially localised resources. The model considers selling agents able to evolve their pricing strategy in competition for a fixed market. Despite its simplicity, the model displays extraordinarily rich behavior. In addition t…
In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by càdlàg processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices arbitrarily unfavorable for high trading intensity. Such frictions induce a duality bet…
Optimal trading strategy derived for nonlinear price impact models.
Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.
Study optimal futures trading strategies for assets with multiscale central tendency price model.
This paper studies four trading algorithms of a professional trader at a multilateral trading facility, observing a realistic two-sided limit order book whose dynamics are driven by the order book events. The identity of the trader can be either internalizing or regular, either a hedge fund or a brokery agency. The spe…
This paper examines pricing and hedging strategies for cross-currency equity protection swaps.
New method optimizes share buyback contracts without optimal control's limitations.
We study a linear price impact model including other liquidity takers, whose flow of orders either follows a Poisson or a Hawkes process. The optimal execution problem is solved explicitly in this context, and the closed-formula optimal strategy describes in particular how one should react to the orders of other trader…
AI simplifies trading strategies, potentially making markets more efficient.
Optimal market making strategy with price forecasts reduces inventory costs and spreads.
Study solves DREs for trading strategies using signals and past prices.
Investment strategies in financial markets can lead to instability due to market impacts.
Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.
The paper examines fair pricing and hedging stability under small numéraire perturbations.
Study shows randomized strategies can't be Nash equilibria in markets with transient price impact.
Price dynamics is analyzed in terms of a model which includes the possibility of effective forces due to trend followers or trend adverse strategies. The method is tested on the data of a minority-majority model and indeed it is capable of reconstructing the prevailing traders' strategies in a given time interval. Then…
In this paper, we construct the utility-based optimal hedging strategy for a European-type option in the Almgren-Chriss model with temporary price impact. The main mathematical challenge of this work stems from the degeneracy of the second order terms and the quadratic growth of the first order terms in the associated …
Study optimizes option pricing with robust strategies, ensuring consistency with vanilla option prices.
EB improves asset pricing by mining large strategies without lookahead bias.
Study insurance pricing under correlation ambiguity without increasing prices or reducing utility.
Study optimal liquidation strategies on Uniswap v2/v3 considering price impact.
We describe an agent-based simulation of a fictional (but feasible) information trading business. The Gas Price Information Trader (GPIT) buys information about real-time gas prices in a metropolitan area from drivers and resells the information to drivers who need to refuel their vehicles. Our simulation uses real wor…
A stock loan is a loan, secured by a stock, which gives the borrower the right to redeem the stock at any time before or on the loan maturity. The way of dividends distribution has a significant effect on the pricing of the stock loan and the optimal redeeming strategy adopted by the borrower. We present the pricing mo…
We propose a contextual-bandit approach for demand side management by offering price incentives. More precisely, a target mean consumption is set at each round and the mean consumption is modeled as a complex function of the distribution of prices sent and of some contextual variables such as the temperature, weather, …
We introduce and study the notion of sure profit via flash strategy, consisting of a high-frequency limit of buy-and-hold trading strategies. In a fully general setting, without imposing any semimartingale restriction, we prove that there are no sure profits via flash strategies if and only if asset prices do not exhib…
This study deals with the problem of pricing European currency options in discrete time setting, whose prices follow the fractional Black Scholes model with transaction costs. Both the pricing formula and the fractional partial differential equation for European call currency options are obtained by applying the delta-…
Pricing Chinese convertible bonds using Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming.
Generative model improves intraday electricity price forecasting.