A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable claims in incomplete markets.
Recent theoretical results establish that time-consistent valuations (i.e. pricing operators) can be created by backward iteration of one-period valuations. In this paper we investigate the continuous-time limits of well-known actuarial premium principles when such backward iteration procedures are applied. We show tha…
Deep learning improves option pricing in incomplete markets.
We use the maximum entropy principle for pricing the non-life insurance and recover the Bühlmann results for the economic premium principle. The concept of economic equilibrium is revised in this respect.
The duality principle in option pricing aims at simplifying valuation problems that depend on several variables by associating them to the corresponding dual option pricing problem. Here, we analyze the duality principle for options that depend on several assets. The asset price processes are driven by general semimart…
Proposes a fair pricing framework insensitive to protected covariates.
The literature provides strong evidence that stock prices can be predicted from past price data. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used mathematical technique for dimensionality reduction and analysis of data by identifying a small number of principal components to explain the variation found in a data set…
We consider an integro-differential equation derived from a system of coupled parabolic PDE and an ODE which describes an European option pricing with liquidity shocks. We study the well-posedness and prove comparison principle for the corresponding initial value problem.
Extends option pricing model to incorporate market factor dynamics.
We apply the maximum entropy principle to economic systems in equilibrium and find the density function for the market's wealth. This is the same as price density which is used for insurance pricing. The risk aversion parameter of the agent then it's utility function with respect to this density is derived.
The paper studies large deviation principles for stochastic volatility models with reflection, focusing on binary barrier options and call prices.
We propose a new model for electricity pricing based on the price cap principle. The particularity of the model is that the asset price is an exponential functional of a jump Lévy process. This model can capture both mean reversion and jumps which are observed in electricity market. It is shown that the value of an Eur…
A variational inequality for pricing the perpetual American option and the corresponding difference equation are considered. First, the maximum principle and uniqueness of the solution to variational inequality for pricing the perpetual American option are proved. Then the maximum principle, the existence and uniquenes…
This paper explores the possibility that asset prices, especially those traded in large volume on public exchanges, might comply with specific physical laws of motion and probability. The paper first examines the basic dynamics of asset price displacement and finds one can model this dynamic as a harmonic oscillator at…
The paper calculates prices for multi-step barrier options under the Black-Scholes model.
Develops a model for bid and ask prices using stochastic control.
Study on implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.
We investigate a statistical-static hedging technique for pricing assets considered as single-step stochastic cash flows. The valuation is based on constructing in a canonical way a European style derivative on a benchmark security such that the physical payoff distribution coincides with the (corrected) physical asset…
We study fractional stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function of a continuous Gaussian process . Forde and Zhang established a large deviation principle for the log-price process in such a model under the assumptions that the function is globally…
In this paper we state the fundamental principles of the gauge approach to financial economics and demonstrate the ways of its application. In particular, modelling of realistic price processes is considered for an example of S&P500 market index. Derivative pricing and portfolio theory are also briefly discussed.
Study values American passport options in an exponential Lévy model.
The paper proves the law of one price in a continuous-time setting without friction.
Innovative extensions to option pricing models using asymmetric Brownian motion and random walk approaches.
Volatility dynamics of wavelet - filtered stock price time series is studied. Using the universal thresholding method of wavelet filtering and a principle of minimal linear autocorrelation of noise component we find that the quantitative characteristics of volatility dynamics of denoised series are noticeably different…
Study models weather index insurance pricing by insurers and farmers, finding flexible pricing kernels boost profits.
Study large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.
In this paper we analyse financial implications of exchangeability and similar properties of finite dimensional random vectors. We show how these properties are reflected in prices of some basket options in view of the well-known put-call symmetry property and the duality principle in option pricing. A particular atten…
Extended Jarrow-Rudd model with skewness and kurtosis for option pricing.
Paper introduces a new volatility model for natural gas markets and discusses swing option pricing.
The relationship between expectation and price is commonly established with two principles: no-arbitrage, which asserts that both maps are positive; and equivalence, which asserts that the maps share the same null events. Constructed from the Arrow-Debreu securities, classical and quantum models of economics are then d…
The paper defines and implements risk-indifference pricing for American-style contingent claims.
The paper speeds up and improves pricing and calibration for the rough Heston model.
Optimal insurance strategy for maximizing RDEU under various premium principles.
We prove a large deviations principle for the class of multidimensional affine stochastic volatility models considered in (Gourieroux, C. and Sufana, R., J. Bus. Econ. Stat., 28(3), 2010), where the volatility matrix is modelled by a Wishart process. This class extends the very popular Heston model to the multivariate …
We analyze long-term memory properties of hourly prices of electricity in the Czech Republic between 2009 and 2012. As the dynamics of the electricity prices is dominated by cycles -- mainly intraday and daily -- we opt for the detrended fluctuation analysis, which is well suited for such specific series. We find that …
We construct an utility-based dynamic asset pricing model for a limit order market. The price is nonlinear in volume and subject to market impact. We solve an optimal hedging problem under the market impact and derive the dynamics of the efficient price, that is, the asset price when a representative liquidity demander…
In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the implied volatility. In addition, we prove that if the volatility function in an uncor…
New boundary condition for Black-Scholes equations in strict local martingale models.
The thesis examines stochastic calculus in option pricing with logistic models and numerical methods.
Optimizes insurance pricing by accounting for policyholders' price sensitivity.
We propose a new non parametric technique to estimate the CALL function based on the superhedging principle. Our approach does not require absence of arbitrage and easily accommodates bid/ask spreads and other market imperfections. We prove some optimal statistical properties of our estimates. As an application we firs…
An elementary arbitrage principle and the existence of trends in financial time series, which is based on a theorem published in 1995 by P. Cartier and Y. Perrin, lead to a new understanding of option pricing and dynamic hedging. Intricate problems related to violent behaviors of the underlying, like the existence of j…
We propose a neural network approach to price EU call options that significantly outperforms some existing pricing models and comes with guarantees that its predictions are economically reasonable. To achieve this, we introduce a class of gated neural networks that automatically learn to divide-and-conquer the problem …
We introduce a stacking version of the Monte Carlo algorithm in the context of option pricing. Introduced recently for aeronautic computations, this simple technique, in the spirit of current machine learning ideas, learns control variates by approximating Monte Carlo draws with some specified function. We describe the…
The paper introduces a new price model based on entropy that better fits high-frequency market data.
This paper introduces the class of volatility modulated Lévy-driven Volterra (VMLV) processes and their important subclass of Lévy semistationary (LSS) processes as a new framework for modelling energy spot prices. The main modelling idea consists of four principles: First, deseasonalised spot prices can be modelled di…
Extends BBSM model to incorporate ESG ratings and path dynamics.
Option pricing is the most elemental challenge of mathematical finance. Knowledge of the prices of options at every strike is equivalent to knowing the entire pricing distribution for a security, as derivatives contingent on the security can be replicated using options. The available data may be insufficient to determi…